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Omnicom Group Inc  (NYSE:OMC)
Q1 2019 Earnings Call
April 16, 2019, 8:30 a.m. ET

Contents:

  • Prepared Remarks
  • Questions and Answers
  • Call Participants

Prepared Remarks:

Operator

Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Omnicom First Quarter 2019 Earnings Release Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. Later, we will conduct a question-and-answer session and instructions will follow at that time. (Operator Instructions) As a reminder, this conference call is being recorded. At this time, I'd like to introduce your host for today's conference, Senior Vice President of Investor Relations, Shub Mukherjee. Please go ahead.

Shub Mukherjee -- Vice President, Investor Relations

Good morning. Thank you for taking the time to listen to our first quarter 2019 earnings call. On the call with me today is John Wren, President and Chief Executive Officer and Phil Angelastro, Chief Financial Officer. We hope everyone has had a chance to review our earnings release. We have posted to www.omnicomgroup.com, this morning's press release, along with the presentation covering the information that we will review this morning. This call is also being simulcast and will be archived on our website.

Before we start, I've been asked to remind everyone to read the forward-looking statements and other information that we have included at the end of our investor presentation and to point out that certain of the statements made today may constitute forward-looking statements and that these statements are our present expectations and that actual events or results may differ materially. I would also like to remind you that during the course of the call, we will discuss some non-GAAP measures, in talking about Omnicom's performance. You can find the reconciliation of those measures to the nearest comparable GAAP measures in the presentation materials.

We are going to begin this morning's call with an overview of our business from John Wren. Then, Phil Angelastro, will review our financial results for the quarter. And then, we will open up the line for your questions.

John D. Wren -- Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Thank you, Shub. Good morning. I'm pleased to speak to you this morning about our first quarter 2019 results. It's been two months since our last call and a lot has happened in that time, including kicking off a few strategic initiatives, promotions in our agency network leadership and some notable industry awards. Importantly, we got off to a good start with our financial results. In the first quarter, organic growth was 2.5% and was in line with our internal targets. Our operating profits and EBITDA margin of 13% for the quarter exceeded our expectations. The improved performance is attributable to a number of factors, including the continuing benefits from Omnicomwide cost initiatives, the impact of dispositions completed in 2018 and a small gain from a few additional dispositions completed in the first quarter of 2019.

The upsides were offset in part by the negative effect of foreign exchange on our operating results. Phil, will provide you more detail when he gets to his remarks. And EPS for the quarter was up 8.3% to $1.17 per share, excluding the impact of a one-time tax benefit from the successful resolution of foreign tax claims recorded in the first quarter of 2018. The results continue to demonstrate the consistency and diversity of Omnicom's operations, our ability to deliver consumer-centric strategic business solutions to our clients and our best-in-industry creative talent combined with market-leading digital, data and analytical expertise.

In the quarter, we grew organically in every geographic region of the world with the exception of Latin America. This growth was achieved through broad participation across all of our agencies, disciplines and client sectors. Looking first across disciplines, advertising and media was up 5.1%, CRM Consumer Experience was down less than 1%; strong performance in our Precision Marketing Group business was offset by a negative performance in our events business. Healthcare was up 6.8% with virtually all of our businesses in this discipline performing well. PR was down 0.5%. We are seeing some positive signs in certain areas of our PR operations and believe the growth strategies being implemented by our management teams will result in better performance. And as expected, CRM Execution and Support was down 3.3%. During the quarter, we sold MarketStar, a provider of outsourced sales support and services based in Utah. MarketStar is a very similar business to Sellbytel, which we sold in the third quarter of 2018. As I previously mentioned, we also divested a few other small businesses in our portfolio during the quarter, in line with our strategy of divesting non-core and underperforming operations.

Turning now to our performance by geography, the US was up 2% in the quarter, driven by strong performance in advertising and media, healthcare and our Precision Marketing Group, offset by the decline in our events business. Beyond the US, the North American region, primarily consisting of Canada was up 6.1% in the quarter. The UK was up 1.3%, led by advertising and media, precision marketing and healthcare. This performance was offset by declines in our events and CRM execution businesses. Overall growth in the Euro and non-Euro region was 4%. In the Euro markets, the Netherlands and Spain have better-than-average growth and Germany also performed well. France was negative in the quarter primarily due to the loss of the specialty print production client. In the non-Euro markets, the Czech Republic and Russia had very good growth. Asia-Pacific's first quarter organic growth was 2.1% as Australia, India, and New Zealand performed very well in the quarter. China was negatively impacted by the delay of several projects and events. It's our current expectation that these projects will go forward but later in the year. Latin America was down 3% as another quarter of solid operating results in Mexico was offset by the continuing negative performance in Brazil. We expect 2019 will continue to be a difficult year in Brazil. Our smallest region, the Middle East and Africa, grew 12.8%.

Let me now discuss what we were seeing in the industry and how our strategies enable us to achieve consistent financial performance. Over the past couple of years, Omnicom initiated numerous changes in response to our clients' needs. As a result, we are continuing to adjust and reorganize our businesses and management teams. In order to improve the speed of decision making, we are organized within our network structure into 12 practice areas, the last practice area we formed, the Omnicom Retail Group was announced in March.

We've expanded a number of top clients in our Global Client Leaders Group from 25 to 100. We have further consolidated our data and analytics and technology services and investments at Annalect. We launched Omni, our proprietary data and analytics platform. The platform is in the process of being rolled out to our top clients. We've also expanded our investments in training and development of our people, so they can use these tools. We've expanded our consulting services and capabilities and we've consolidated our production services across all major markets. And as I'll get to in a couple of minutes, we continue to streamline our media offering.

Expanding on some of these initiatives. In March, we announced the formation of a new center of excellence to advance our commerce capabilities, Omnicom Retail Group. The new group is leveraging expertise to increase conversion and transactions for clients , both online and offline. It brings together five award-winning agencies with exceptional creativity, strategic thinking and deep client and category experience; The Integer Group, TracyLocke, Haygarth, TPN and The Marketing Arm. These agencies together employ over 2,500 people across 19 markets. Omnicom's Retail Group agencies will continue to invest in advanced shopper knowledge and drive innovation and thought-leadership in shopper and retail marketing. Sophie Daranyi, formerly the CEO of Haygarth, a creative agency specializing in brand, shopper and retail marketing was named CEO of Omnicom Retail Group.

Turning now to our Global Client Leaders Group. We've expanded this Group to 100 clients. The responsibilities of the Global Client Leaders include ensuring our clients are receiving the highest quality marketing and communication services from our agencies, creating and managing agile client teams with best-of-breed talent and skills, breaking down existing agency silos by organizing internal teams within and across practice area groups and offering our clients the breadth of our services as their needs change. We also expanded our C-Suite consulting services. Last year, we added Credera and Levo to our other consulting services, which include Batten, Daggerwing, sparks & honey, TLGG and several other consulting units that have been developed organically to serve our clients' needs. As a result, we are increasingly changing the manner in which we engage with our clients. As these practices develop, we expect to have more opportunities to offer our clients tip of the spear solutions that tackle business problems. During the quarter, we also made some important strategic changes in our media operations. As you may recall, about a decade ago, we formed Accuen for programmatic services and Resolution Media for search, social and performance marketing. At the time, when these services were in their formative stages, we needed dedicated units with real subject matter experts to support our media agencies. Today, these services are no longer a specialty. They are at the core of how we work with our media clients. As a result, we are fully integrating these capabilities involving about 600 people in the United States alone into our media agencies, Hearts & Science, OMD and PHD. With this reorganization, we've simplified our structure by expanding the capabilities of our client teams. We expect these changes to increase our speed, agility and the quality of service to clients.

To further this effort, Omnicom Media Group made several management changes to ensure that the next generation of media agency leaders have an understanding of creativity and a deep expertise in digital data and analytics. Scott Hagedorn, was named CEO of North American Operations at Omnicom Media Group. Following his previous positions as the CEO of Hearts & Science and CEO of Annalect, he began his career as a brand planner at RAPP. Scott, will be partnered with John Swift, who was named COO of Omnicom Media Group, North America. John, has substantial operating experience, having led our US media-buying organization as well as developing a number of our specialty media business units. With Scott's move, Erin Matts, who previously served as CEO of Annalect, North America, has been named CEO of Hearts & Science in the US. Following the integration of Resolution Media and Accuen capabilities into our media brands, George Manas, has been named Chief Media Officer at OMD US and Anthony Koziarski, is taking the same role at PHD, USA. Resolution Media will continue as an agency focused on non-network clients that seek dedicated performance-only media services. While we have undertaken numerous organizational changes, our philosophy to support strong brands and cultures, so they can be vital incubators for creativity and innovation as well as magnets for the best talent has not changed. We believe our approach is a significant competitive advantage in retaining and hiring the best people and in servicing our clients.

Our major brands have their own unique positioning and go-to-market strategies, but a common overarching theme is our commitment to the concept of connected creativity. We are using data analytics, cultural insights and technology tools from our Omni platform to create and deliver a powerful brand voice that connects with consumers across every touch point whether it's marketing, sales, service or support and through all mediums. It's important to distinguish that Omni serves as a platform of extremely valuable information. Just as important, our agencies continue to significantly invest in educating and training their people and hiring new talent that can interpret and use this information. This is a fundamental and constant change at our agencies and one which will allow us to remain a key partner for innovation to our clients, especially as the marketplace rapidly evolves. As evidence that these key themes and strategies are positively impacting our work, let me just mention a few of the recent highlights of our agencies being recognized around the globe. OMD was named Adweek's 2019 Global Media Agency of the Year. In WARC's Best of the Best rankings, BBDO was ranked the Number 1 network, BBDO New York received Number 1 agency followed by Adam & Eve/DDB. Omnicom won the world's most awarded holding company. Ketchum was named Best Agency of the Past 20 Years at the 20th Annual PRWeek Awards. At the 2019 Dubai Lynx Awards, BBDO Worldwide won Network of the Year with TBWA Worldwide coming in second. The Media Network of the Year went to OMD Worldwide. As always, these awards are a true testament to the talent here at Omnicom. We've always strived to be a great place for people to work, which includes creating a safe and inclusive environment for all employees regarding of race, religion, gender or sexuality. Part of the commitment to attracting, retaining and developing the best talent means continuing to place a strong emphasis on our diversity and inclusion efforts. Indeed, we've made some strides in diversity and inclusion in the first quarter. For the third year in a row, we received 100% on Human Rights Campaign Corporate Equality Index, the National Benchmarking tool on corporate policies and practices, pertinent to LGBTQ employees. Omnicom also received distinction of the Best Place to Work for LGBTQ Equality. And Omnicom is an official member of the Valuable 500, a global movement putting disability inclusion on the leadership agenda of businesses.

In summary, we've made significant strides in changing our services, capability and organization. We are pleased with our financial performance in the first quarter, which continue to reflect the benefits of our strategies. While it is early in the year, we're on track for where we expect to be for the full year 2019.

I will now turn the call over to Phil for a closer look at the first quarter results. Phil?

Philip J. Angelastro -- Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Thank you, John and good morning . As John said, our results for the first quarter of 2019 were better than our expectations. While organic revenue growth was within our expected range, our operating profit and margins were stronger than we expected. Our results were driven by several items, including the strong performance of our agencies, the continuing impact of our cost efficiency initiatives plus some benefits from the repositioning actions we took in the third quarter of 2018, including a favorable change in business mix in the quarter from the disposition of certain non-strategic under-performing agencies in the second half of 2018.

In addition, we recorded a net gain on a few smaller dispositions in Q1, which after considering the effect, the negative impact FX translation had on our operating profit also had a slightly positive impact on our margins. Starting on Slide 3, for the first quarter, organic revenue growth totaled 2.5% or $91 million. Additionally, due to the continued strengthening of the US dollar since the second half of last year, changes in currency rates negatively impacted our reported revenue by $122 million or 3.4%.

And finally, dispositions in connection with our repositioning actions, primarily in our CRM Execution and Support discipline, exceeded revenue from acquisitions in the quarter, as we continue to cycle through the disposals we made in the second half of 2018. The net impact from acquisitions and dispositions, reduced our first quarter revenue by $130 million or about 3.6%. In total, our reported revenue decreased 4.4% to $3.5 billion in the quarter. In a few minutes, I will discuss the drivers of the changes in revenue in more detail.

Turning to Slide 1, in the income statement items below revenue. Our Q1 EBITA was $451 million, up $1 million from Q1 of '18 or 0.3%, with the resulting EBITA margin of 13%, up 60 basis points. Our operating income or EBIT for the quarter was $429 million, up 1.7% when compared to the first quarter of last year, while our operating margin of 12.4% represented an 80 basis point improvement over Q1 of last year.

A few key points in regards to our margin improvement, we continue to seek out opportunities to increase operational efficiencies. These initiatives are primarily focused in the areas of real estate, back office services, procurement and IT, and continue to positively impact our operating performance. Additionally, as we described last quarter, we continue to see benefits from the change in business mix resulting from the disposition of several non-strategic, lower margin or underperforming agencies. And lastly, during the quarter, we recorded a net gain on the disposition of a few agencies, including MarketStar, a US-based sales support business which after considering the effect of the negative impact of FX translation on our operating profit had a slightly positive impact on our margins.

Net interest expense for the quarter was $46 million, down $900,000 compared to the first quarter of 2018 and down $7.1 million versus Q4 of 2018. Interest expense on our debt increased $3.1 million in the first quarter of 2019 versus Q1 of '18, reflecting higher rates on our fixed to floating interest rate swaps which was partially offset by a decrease in interest expense on commercial paper compared to the prior year. To take advantage of a unique opportunity, in February, 2019, we issued EUR520 million of short-term senior notes in a private placement to an investor outside the United States. The notes are unsecured, non-interest bearing and mature in August 2019. As a result, in the first quarter of 2019, we were able to substantially reduce our other short-term borrowing needs, including our commercial paper issuances. The reduction in commercial paper borrowing is expected to continue through the maturity of the notes in Q3. Interest income increased $1.6 million versus Q1 of 2018, reflecting higher cash balances available for investment and when compared to Q4 of 2018, interest expense on our debt decreased $2.9 million due to the decrease in commercial paper activity as described above. Interest and amortization expense on our pension obligations also decreased versus last quarter and lastly, we also saw an increase in our interest income versus Q4.

Regarding income taxes, our reported effective tax rate for the first quarter was 26.8%, in line with our expected 2019 full year rate. As a reminder, last year's Q1 tax rate benefited from the successful resolution of foreign tax claims which reduced last year's quarterly income tax expense by $13.3 million. Earnings from our affiliates was marginally negative in the first quarter of 2019. While the allocation of earnings to the minority shareholders in our less than fully owned subsidiaries decreased to $16.5 million due to our disposition activity as well as the impact of FX. As a result, net income for the first quarter was $263 million, down slightly when compared to our reported Q1 2018 net income. But after excluding the $13.3 million addition to net income from the settlement of the foreign tax claims from last year, 2019's net income would have increased 4.9%.

Now turning to Slide 2, income available for common shareholders for the quarter was also $263 million and our diluted share count for the quarter decreased 3.1% versus Q1 of last year to 224.2 million. As a result, our diluted EPS for the first quarter was $1.17, which increased $0.03 or 2.6% when compared to our reported Q1 EPS for last year. The positive impact from the settlement of the foreign tax claims increased last year's EPS by $0.06. So excluding this item, the increase versus last year's first quarter would have been $0.09 or 8.3%.

Turning to components of our revenue change in the first quarter, which are detailed on Page 3. On a year-over-year basis, US dollar's continued strengthening created a large headwinds in our reported revenue. The impact of changes in currency rates decreased reported revenue by 3.4% or $122 million in revenue for the quarter. And as has been the case for the last two quarters, the strengthening was widespread. On a year-over-year basis in the first quarter, the dollar strengthened against every one of our major foreign currencies. The largest FX movements in the quarter are from the euro, the UK pound, the Australian dollar and the Brazilian reis.

Looking forward, if currency stay where they currently are, FX could negatively impact our revenues by approximately 2.5% during the second quarter. But then moderate in the second half of the year, resulting in a negative impact of approximately 25 basis points for the second half and 1.5% for the full year. But obviously, it's difficult to make assumptions on how foreign currency rates will move over the next few months let alone the balance of 2019.

The impact of our recent acquisitions, net of dispositions decreased revenue by $130 million in the quarter or 3.6%, primarily driven by the Sellbytel disposition and other actions we took in the second half of last year and a few dispositions we completed in the back half of the first quarter. Based on transactions we've completed to date, and since we will cycle through the most significant of last year's dispositions by the end of the third quarter, our current expectations are that the impact of our acquisition activity net of dispositions will continue to be negative, approximately 4% for the second quarter and approximately 3% for the third quarter and for the full year.

Turning to organic growth, which was up $91 million on a global basis for the quarter were 2.5%. The performance of our disciplines was mixed. Our advertising and healthcare disciplines both had solid organic growth in the quarter. CRM Consumer Experience was marginally negative due primarily to reductions in revenue at our events businesses which offset strong performance in our precision marketing agencies in the quarter and PR was down a bit, while CRM Execution and Support continued to underperform.

Geographically, all regions were positive in the quarter except for Latin America with our domestic and Continental European regions, having the strongest performance.

Slide 4 shows our mix of business by discipline. For the first quarter, split was 55% for advertising and 45% for marketing services. And as for the organic growth by discipline, our advertising discipline was up 5.1%. Advertising's organic growth continues to be led by our media businesses, notably, the continued strong performance by Hearts & Science, while our global and national advertising agencies performed well with only a few exceptions.

CRM Consumer Experience was down 0.6% for the quarter, primarily driven by declines in our events businesses which faced a very difficult comp partly driven by last year's Winter Olympics in South Korea. Results for the rest of the discipline were mostly positive, driven by strong performance from our Precision Marketing Group, branding which also had growth, while our shopper and sales promotion businesses were down slightly. While CRM Execution and Support continued to underperform this quarter. Our domestic businesses while negative versus the prior year, did show improvement versus Q4. PR was down 0.5%. Performance in this discipline was also mixed by geographic regions. The UK and Asia were both positive. North America was marginally negative with Continental Europe and Latin America both lagging in the quarter. And Healthcare was up 6.8%. As has been the case over the past few quarters, the growth has been well balanced with positive results across all regions.

On Slide 5, which details the regional mix of business, you can see during the quarter, the split was 54% in the US, 3% for the rest of North America, 10% in the UK, 18% for the rest of Europe, 11% for Asia Pacific, 3% for Latin America and the balance for the Middle East and African markets. As for the details of our performance by region, organic revenue growth in the first quarter in the US was 2%, led by our advertising and media agencies as well as our healthcare agencies with mixed performance from our CRM Consumer Experience agencies while our CRM Execution and Support agencies declined. Our UK businesses were positive again this quarter, up 1.3% and led by our advertising, healthcare and PR agencies. However, the continuing uncertainty surrounding how the British government will formalize its departure from the EU, certainly clouds the outlook for the market. The rest of Europe was up 4% organically in the quarter. In the Euro markets, Italy, the Netherlands and Spain continued to turn in strong performances across disciplines this quarter. Germany returned to positive organic growth while France lagged. Our organic growth in Europe outside the Eurozone was positive as well. Organic growth in the Asia-Pacific region, facing a fairly strong comp to Q1 of 2018 was 2.1% with Australia, India, Japan and New Zealand, leading the way this quarter. Our Greater China agencies, were down organically in total for the quarter, largely from the impact of non-recurring project revenue from Q1 '18 in our events agencies in that market. Latin America was down 3% in the quarter, with the continuing issues in the Brazilian economy, dragging down the region's performance overall. Elsewhere in the region, we continue to see positive performance from our agencies in Mexico. In the Middle East and Africa, which is our smallest region was up 12.8% for the quarter.

On Slide 6, we present our revenue by industry sector. In comparing the first quarter revenue for 2019 to 2018, you can see a slight shift in our mix of business; an increase in the contribution from our pharma industry clients, offset with the decrease in the percentage of revenue from our technology clients, primarily resulting from the Sellbytel disposition.

Turning to our cash flow performance. On Slide 7, you can see that in the first quarter we generated $341 million of free cash flow, excluding changes in working capital. As for our primary uses of cash on Slide 8, dividends paid to our common shareholders were $135 million, down slightly versus Q1 last year due to the reduction in our outstanding common shares as a result of repurchase activity over the past year. The $0.05 per share increase in the quarterly dividend that we announced in February will impact our cash payments from Q2 forward. Dividends paid to our non-controlling interest shareholders totaled $17 million. Capital expenditures were $27 million, down compared to 2018 due to less leasehold improvement activity. Acquisitions including earn-out payments totaled $7 million, reflecting a decrease in activity so far this year, when compared to our Q1 activity last year. And stock repurchases, net of the proceeds received from stock issuances under our employee share plans, totaled $284 million, reflecting an increase in the activity this year versus last year. All in, we outspent our free cash flow by about $130 million in the first quarter. Regarding our capital structure, at the end of the quarter, our total debt is $5.5 billion, up about $600 million since this time last year and as of this past year end. As we mentioned earlier in February of 2019, we issued short term senior notes of EUR520 million in a private placement to an investor outside the United States. The notes are unsecured, non-interest bearing and mature this August and therefore are classified as short-term on our balance sheet. Our net debt position at the end of the quarter was $2.04 billion, up about $800 million compared to the year-end December 31, 2018 balance. The increase in net debt was a result of the typical uses of working capital that historically occur in our first quarter, which totaled about $740 million, as well as the use of cash in excess of our free cash flow of approximately $130 million. These increases in net debt were partially offset by the cash we received from our disposition activity of $65 million and the effect of exchange rates on cash during Q1 which increased our cash balance by about $25 million. Compared to March 31, 2018, our net debt is down $282 million. The decrease was primarily driven by the positive change in our operating capital, during the past 12 months of approximately $340 million, and the cash proceeds received from the sale of subsidiaries during the past year of $370 million. Partially offsetting these increases over the past 12 months was the overspend of our free cash flow of approximately $170 million and the negative impact of FX on our cash balances which totaled just over $200 million. As for our debt ratios, they remain solid. Our total debt to EBITDA ratio was 2.3 times, reflecting the issuance of the euro denominated debt this quarter, while our net debt to EBITDA ratio fell to 0.9 times. And due to the year-over-year increase in our interest expense, our interest coverage ratio decreased to 9.8 times but remain strong.

And finally on Slide 10, you can see, we continue to manage and build the Company through a combination of well focused internal development initiatives and prudently priced acquisitions. For the last 12 months, our return on invested capital ratio was 25%, while our return on equity was 52.6%. And that concludes our prepared remarks. Please note that we have included a number of other supplemental slides in the presentation materials for your review. But at this point we are going to ask the operator to open the call for questions. Thank you.

Questions and Answers:

Operator

Speaker O-Operator

Thank you very much. (Operator Instructions) Our first question will come from Alexia Quadrani with JPMorgan. Please go ahead.

Alexia Quadrani -- JPMorgan -- Analyst

Thank you very much. Just a couple of questions if I may. John, maybe if you can provide a bit more color on kind of what you're seeing behind the healthy underlying business, especially in the US, which has seen some improvement in the last couple of quarters after lagging for a couple of years? You gave some broader color, but I'm wondering if there is anything specific that is sort of driving improvement in the US? And then maybe for Phil, I think, you highlighted a couple of divestitures that you've downsized over the last 12 months or so, which has helped improve the profitability of the business. I guess, I'm wondering, if you could tell us if that's going to help improve the profitability going forward. Should we see some margin benefit the next couple of quarters and maybe how much -- how many more of these sort of underperforming businesses do you think you still have that we could see the opportunity of further divestitures?

John D. Wren -- Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Hello, Alexia, in terms of the color or our performance this quarter versus prior -- same quarters in prior years, is the marketplace is changing all the time, they are changing in a number of ways. The competition set is pretty much what competition set was last year -- at the end of last year, we were able to -- we had a very good run in the third quarter in terms of new business and so we're seeing some of that reflected in the performance of the first quarter, and you'll see it throughout the rest of the balance of this year. That's probably the biggest single component. The other thing, as you know is -- organic growth for net of what you win, how your clients grow or decline and what you lose and we've been fortunate of late, not to have the leaky bucket syndrome. So I am pretty optimistic.

Philip J. Angelastro -- Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

And then just to follow-up in terms of of divestitures, Alexia, I think for future expectations for the balance of the year and the rest of the quarters, I think, our expectation is for the businesses to continue to perform well and I think, we would expect to achieve probably 20 basis points to 30 basis points of improvement over last year. The first quarter relatively speaking is traditionally small relative to the rest of our quarters, so the first quarter doesn't always necessarily make a definitive trend for us. But we're going to continue to focus on EBIT dollars as we always do, and we'd expect 20 basis points to 30 basis points for the balance of the year. But we're also going to continue to invest in the business and invest for growth, as we always do and try to find the right balance so that we can find and fund sustainable growth.

In terms of future divestitures and the process we go through, I think, you've seen over the last three or four years that it is a part of the process we follow. I think, we're through an awful lot of what we plan to do strategically but we're going to continue that process. We look at it every quarter and annually, every year, late in the year, as we look at the New Year and reevaluate where the businesses still fit strategically and what might be some opportunistic things that come up which is essentially what you saw with the Sellbytel disposition in the third quarter of last year and then MarketStar disposition in the first quarter of this year. Both of those were similar businesses, different geographies but they were opportunities for us to take advantage of situations where we weren't prepared to continue to invest in what was needed for the future of those businesses, yet we're able to find buyers that made much more sense than us for those businesses.

Alexia Quadrani -- JPMorgan -- Analyst

Thank you. That was -- that's very helpful. Can I just ask you one quick follow-up, could you quantify the gain of MarketStar that you captured in the quarter?

Philip J. Angelastro -- Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

I don't think, from our perspective, it's significant enough to quantify. I think between MarketStar as we said, as far as the gain and the translation loss we had on FX, those two together were essentially less than 10 basis points.

Alexia Quadrani -- JPMorgan -- Analyst

Okay, thank you very much.

Philip J. Angelastro -- Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Sure.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question in queue will come from Dan Salmon with BMO Capital Markets. Please go ahead.

Daniel Salmon -- BMO Capital Markets -- Analyst

Hi, good morning, everyone. John, maybe with your comment earlier about the competitive set not changing that much. Ultimately, the answer to this question, maybe, no. But nevertheless, I'd be just interested in your thoughts a bit more high level but when you look at some of the moves in recent weeks where non-traditional competitors like Accenture have been buying maybe what we viewed as a bit more traditional competitors like Droga or a transaction like we saw over the weekend with Publicis and Epsilon. If I put aside everything to talk about disciplines and capabilities and where the future of the business heads, if I put that sort of aside, if I put aside your normal sort of discipline on M&A and valuation in the past and just sort of what deals may be available, and just try to isolate the variables in your head that line up to say, does M&A in sort of a mid to larger scale make more sense or less sense based on what's going on around you, do you sense any sort of notable change in how you might look at the landscape in that sense?

John D. Wren -- Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Speaking purely from an Omnicom point of view. We can take these apart in -- as examples in two parts. Accenture buying Droga, which is a very good agency. I already have a lot of really good agencies, so that is not something that would -- buying another agency wouldn't be of -- it wouldn't be -- appeal to me. The hiring (ph) which we are acquiring, large and consultative type of IT practices not sapiens of the world, because we think those big builds of the past are of the past but like Credera, which we did last year and a few others, we would continue to do those but I don't see them to be terribly expensive. And what Epsilon, and I don't know what -- I haven't looked at Epsilon in a long time. But from what I've observed of Epsilon, they are good company, they have some good clients. They don't have anything from what I can observe as unique or self-proprietary in terms of what it does that it's if necessary, is not replicated. Jonathan Nelson, who is head of our -- for all of Omnicom, our digital practices, is sitting here with us today. Jonathan, you want to add anything on that?

Jonathan Nelson -- Chief Executive Officer, Omnicom Digital

At Omnicom, we've been working on this idea of mass personalization at scale for well over a decade. Our investments in Annalect, our platform, Omni and the Precision Marketing Group along with Hearts & Science, are just our latest examples of how we're focused on this. As we proceed on this, we are really focused on three key areas. One is to keep the platforms open. As I previously talked about, we would rather rent and partner on data and technology rather than own. That's not to say that in a few strategic instances, we won't develop our own data assets, we do develop our own data assets like our inventory graph. But we generally believe of modular open approach is best for ourselves and our customers. Two, we have been doing this on a global basis for over a decade, our data platforms, our technology platforms have been rolled out in every major region of the world as of right now.

And three, the hardest part about this is doing integration with your traditional assets at scale. Anybody who does this can tell you that mass personalization at scale is extremely hard and we have been dedicated to this training thousands of our employees across all over the world in every major discipline across Omnicom for the entire time that we've been doing this. So those three things, open versus closed, global and integration at scale are how we're approaching this problem.

John D. Wren -- Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

So now back to John. Final answer to your question, if I or my team felt threatened in any way, we would look for the appropriate acquisitions to complete our offerings to our clients. I simply don't feel that way right now.

Operator

Okay, thank you. And our next question in queue will come from Adrien de Saint Hilaire with Bank of America. Please go ahead.

Adrien de Saint Hilaire -- Bank of America -- Analyst

Hello, good morning, everyone and thanks for taking the question. Actually a very easy one. I don't think you've really repeated your 2019 outlook for 2% to 3% organic sales growth. So could you just say whether you're still happy with this. Thank you very much.

Philip J. Angelastro -- Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Sure. I don't think there's anything in our view that would change that outlook for the year at this point about 2% to 3% growth for the year.

Adrien de Saint Hilaire -- Bank of America -- Analyst

Okay, thank you very much indeed. And also, would you mind sharing, how much did Accuen grow year-on-year dollar wise Q1 versus Q1?

Philip J. Angelastro -- Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Sure. So Accuen grew -- actually Accuen grew in the US by about $2 million. So it's basically flat and on a worldwide basis, Accuen is down $4 million, which also is roughly flat. Going forward or overall just to comment on the programmatic business, so the programmatic business certainly in our view continues to be strong, but we continue to see the transition of some clients from our performance-based bundled solution to the traditional agency approach and going forward as John had said earlier, the programmatic offering is being integrated into our agencies and into the agency offering. So we think that's the right answer for the business ultimately, because it is something that is just part of what our agencies do on a day-to-day basis, but ultimately, the business is strong, it continues to perform well.

Adrien de Saint Hilaire -- Bank of America -- Analyst

Okay, thanks very much.

Philip J. Angelastro -- Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Sure.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question in queue will come from Julien Roch with Barclays. Please go ahead.

Julien Roch -- Barclays -- Analyst

Yes, good morning, guys. Thank you, my strategic question on M&A has been asked. So I will do more simple number question, for Phil, if FX is minus 100 basis point across the board, i.e. not a big impact from one country or another, what's the rough impact on margin? That's my first question. The second one is for a while, you've said that you've done the bulk of dispositions but you're looking at the portfolio on a continuing basis and you've increased the guidance from 2.5% to 3%, going forward in 2021, what's the best way of thinking about acquisition less disposition. Put a flat number or put like a minus one number because you'll continue to trim the portfolio? And then last question is interest guidance for the full year because of the benefit of the private senior note until August. Thank you.

Philip J. Angelastro -- Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Sure. So on FX, I think your question is a hypothetical one, if FX was down 100 basis points, what would the impact on margin be? I think, the answer is, it depends -- depends on where the FX positive or in this case a negative would be. But I think -- I think, it's pretty direct to say, if FX is up or down 100 basis points to 200 basis points, typically, the impact on our margins is minimal. And in this quarter, the impact that negative FX had on margins, the margin percentage was less than 10 basis points, which sometimes when FX is up or down in the neighborhood, it was this quarter, we do tend to see a larger impact on our margins on the margin percentage. But that didn't happen this quarter, the FX decline was kind of across the board, didn't have a big impact on margin percentage when you looked at the totality of Omnicom. As far as dispositions go, we don't forecast certainly into 2020 and 2021. I think the bulk of the dispositions we've done to date, we will cycle through by the end of Q3 of this year. The size of the dispositions we did this quarter just they're not that large that they're going to have a significant impact on the number going forward. And as far as strategically, we will continue to pursue the same strategy as far as acquisitions are concerned. We'd rather do more than less. Our capital allocation strategy isn't going to change to the extent we can find accretive acquisitions that fit our strategy, fit the culture and meet the needs of what we think we -- will work well and integrate with the business, we're going to try and find more of those deals and do more of those deals. We're not going to set an acquisition dollar target and then have an M&A group chase deals, so that we can -- we can meet that target.

But we're going to continue to pursue deals, we're pursuing them today, but less of the right fit. We're pretty disciplined about it. We're going to continue to be disciplined about it. So ideally as you get out a year or two, the goal would be to have certainly back in the more acquisitions mode. The disposition process will continue, but certainly the bulk of what we intended to do -- we're through the bulk of it, but we're going to continue to look at opportunistic things if they come up and if they're right for the business, disposition might be the right answer. But the goal is to do more -- more acquisitions certainly.

On interest expense, I think, we don't have -- I don't have the number in front of me. We could take that offline. But we certainly expect that the reductions that we've been able to achieve in our CP borrowings because of the opportunistic debt offering we did, the private placement we did in January or in early February, excuse me, is going to reduce our CP borrowings. We'll probably have a little bit of negative year-over-year increase in interest from our floating or fixed and floating swaps, but we do have a debt-offering coming. We do have a 10-year bond offering that's coming due, that we're going to replace and there should be some savings from that offering. Because 10-years ago, the rate was certainly higher than we expect to refinance today. So we can take that offline and we can give you some more detail.

Adrien de Saint Hilaire -- Bank of America -- Analyst

Okay, very clear as usual. Thank you very much.

Philip J. Angelastro -- Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Sure.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question in queue will come from Michael Nathanson with MoffettNathanson. Please go ahead.

Michael Nathanson -- MoffettNathanson Research -- Analyst

Thanks. Can I just ask one on the numbers and then one if I could to Jonathan. So just on the numbers, when I look at salary and service change, I know there's a lot of moving pieces from dispositions and currency, is there anyway you can give me a sense of what was -- where you think the organic growth is for Omnicom on salary and services, how we think about it for the year? Just try to strip away all these moving pieces.

John D. Wren -- Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

I don't know if Phil can, but I know, I can.

Philip J. Angelastro -- Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

We don't -- we don't really look at it that way or attempt to look at it that way, unfortunately in terms of -- having a specific answer for your question.

Michael Nathanson -- MoffettNathanson Research -- Analyst

Okay. Then I guess the question would be is, so you guys within that number, you can't take out what currency would be, do you think currency is representative of -- the change of currencies represent the change in salary and services or is there anything unusual about maybe the weighting of salary and services by geographies?

Philip J. Angelastro -- Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

No, I don't think there's anything unusual. We actually -- I don't have it with me for the call, but we do have a constant currency calculation that we do, so we can give you a follow-up on what those ratios were on a constant currency basis, so that you get a sense for what those numbers are without currency. We typically have that -- I forgot to bring it with me into the room where we're having the call.

Michael Nathanson -- MoffettNathanson Research -- Analyst

Okay, cool and do you guys mind if I ask Jonathan a question?

Philip J. Angelastro -- Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Sure, go right ahead.

Michael Nathanson -- MoffettNathanson Research -- Analyst

Okay. Jonathan, a question for you is, last year, we spent a lot of time in beginning of the year thinking about GDPR and the impact on the market and on agencies. I wonder, when you look back on what happened last year in GDPR, what did you learn? And looking forward to what could happen within the US, what do you thing is likely in terms of privacy outcomes here for the US?

Jonathan Nelson -- Chief Executive Officer, Omnicom Digital

Well, I think that there will be more regulation around privacy in the US that's nearly inevitable with the comments made by a number of people in the industry, legislation is going to happen in the US. At Omnicom, we did a deep audit of all of our assets, looking at all of our different data providers and partners and came up with policies and procedures to protect ourselves and our clients and what we are trying to do is find that sort of fuzzy line of privacy and take a few steps back from it. And I don't -- I think that policy has worked so far and it will likely work going forward.

Michael Nathanson -- MoffettNathanson Research -- Analyst

Okay. And meaning like, you don't see any material change in how you guys running your business because of it?

Jonathan Nelson -- Chief Executive Officer, Omnicom Digital

Not a material change. I mean, when it comes down to actually on a day-to-day basis, of course, it's evolving every day, but in the macro, it's -- keep moving forward.

Michael Nathanson -- MoffettNathanson Research -- Analyst

Okay, thanks, guys.

Jonathan Nelson -- Chief Executive Officer, Omnicom Digital

Sure.

Philip J. Angelastro -- Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

I think, we have time, given the markets about to open, I think, we have time for one more question.

Operator

(Operator Instructions)

Philip J. Angelastro -- Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Great, OK, well if not, we're right on time.

John D. Wren -- Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

On time, perfect.

Philip J. Angelastro -- Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

So thank you everybody for joining the call. Appreciate it.

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, that does conclude your conference call for today. We do thank you for your participation, and for using AT&T's Executive Teleconference. You may now disconnect.

Philip J. Angelastro -- Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you.

Duration: 58 minutes

Call participants:

Shub Mukherjee -- Vice President, Investor Relations

John D. Wren -- Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Philip J. Angelastro -- Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Alexia Quadrani -- JPMorgan -- Analyst

Daniel Salmon -- BMO Capital Markets -- Analyst

Jonathan Nelson -- Chief Executive Officer, Omnicom Digital

Adrien de Saint Hilaire -- Bank of America -- Analyst

Julien Roch -- Barclays -- Analyst

Michael Nathanson -- MoffettNathanson Research -- Analyst

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