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SONY CORPORATION (NYSE:SNE)
Q4 2019 Earnings Call
May 13, 2020, 3:00 a.m. ET

Contents:

  • Prepared Remarks
  • Questions and Answers
  • Call Participants

Prepared Remarks:

Masaru Kato -- Corporate Communications

It is now time for us to start the Sony Corporation Consolidated Financial Results Briefing for Fiscal Year 2019. I am acting as the moderator. My name is Kato from the Corporate Communications Department. This briefing is being held for the media analysts and institutional investors who have been informed in advance, and the audio presentation will be posted on our company's website.

Today, first of all we will hear from Hiroki Totoki, who is our CFO and Senior Executive Vice President. He will be explaining the consolidated financial results for fiscal year 2019 and the forecast for fiscal year 2020 using the briefing materials that are posted on our website and then after that there will be a Q&A period. We expect that it will take about 60 minutes in total. This time, we are going to accept questions any time by email. Those of you who have a question please send them in according to the method that we have informed you in advance and it will be up to two questions per person. And our time is limited. Therefore, it may be that we may not be able to answer all your questions.

Now Mr. Totoki, please.

Hiroki Totoki -- Chief Financial Officer

Thank you very much. We are holding this results via webcast in order to prevent the spread of the new coronavirus infection. We apologize for any inconvenience and ask for your understanding. As we continue to conduct business at Sony, we are prioritizing the safety of all our stakeholders, including our employees and their families, as well as our customers.

Today I will explain the consolidated results for the fiscal year ended March 31, 2020, and the recent impact of the coronavirus. At the Corporate Strategy Meeting that we will be holding on May 19, our President, Mr. Yoshida will explain our strategy for managing Sony with a longer-term view.

For fiscal year 2019 consolidated sales decreased 5% compared to the previous year to JPY8,259.9 billion yen and operating income decreased JPY48.8 billion year-on-year to JPY845.5 billion. Net income attributable to Sony Corporation stockholders decreased JPY334.1 billion to JPY582.2 billion. Excluding extraordinary items, operating income would have increased JPY4.6 billion year-on-year to JPY814 billion, net income attributable to Sony's shareholders would have decreased JPY28.2 billion year-on-year to JPY550.3 billion. The extraordinary items that impacted net income are shown here.

Operating cash flow excluding the financial services segment for the fiscal '19 was an inflow of JPY762.9 billion, slightly higher than the previous fiscal year and investing cash flow excluding the financial services was an outflow of JPY363.1 billion. Cash flow for each business segment is shown on this slide. Free cash flow was positive in all segments.

The fiscal '19 results for each business segments -- segment are shown on this slide. Now, I will discuss the estimated impact of the spread of the disease or the virus on the operating income of each segments for fiscal '19. At the last earnings results briefing, when speaking about JPY40 billion upward revision in the operating income forecast for fiscal '19, I explained that the impact of the coronavirus might be large enough to eliminate this upward potential revisions amount. We estimate that the actual impact exceeded the amount of the upward revision, but due to other factors, which improved profitability, overall operating income was within the range that I mentioned. The speed at which the impact of the coronavirus had and will appear in our results differs by business. The Electronics Products and Solutions or EP&S segment is seeing impact earliest, and we expect the impact to expand to ther segments going forward. The impact on the results of the Pictures segment will take some time to become conspicuous, but it might last a long time. While most business segments will endure a negative impact, some of our segments such as Game and Network Services will see a positive impact on their results. And later I will explain as much detail as possible. The recent impact on each of our businesses and the risks that we currently see for fiscal year 2020.

I will now talk about the Game and Network Service segment. For the fiscal '19, the sales decreased 14% to JPY1,977.6 billion mainly due to a decrease in PlayStation 4 hardware sales and game software sales as well as the negative impact of foreign exchange rates. Operating income decreased JPY72.7 billion year-on-year to JPY238.4 billion, mainly due to the decrease in games software sales, and the negative impact of the foreign exchange, partially offset by an increase in sales from network services including PlayStation Plus and the benefit of cost reductions. Compared with the previous fiscal year when we had major hit titles such as God of War and Marvel's Spider-Man, the contribution from first-party software free-to-play titles decreased.

Now I will discuss the impact that the virus is having on the Game and Network Services segment. Although production of PS4 hardware has been slightly impacted by issues where the supply chain for certain components, we are meeting demand in the short-term with inventory and sales are trending well. Recently network services revenue has increased significantly as gameplay hours on the PlayStation Network have reached 1.5 times that of the Christmas season and sales of game downloaded from network as well as network subscriber numbers have increased significantly since March. As for PlayStation 5, there have been some challenges with part of the testing process, and the qualification of production lines, primarily due to the employees working from home, having to work from home and restrictions on international travel, but we are addressing these issues and preparations are on track with the launch of the console during the holiday season of this calendar year. At this point in time, no major issues have arisen in the game software development pipelines of either our in-house games or those of our partners.

The next is the Music segment. For the year 2019, sales increased 5% to JPY849.9 billion from the previous year, and this increase was mainly due to higher sales for Music Publishing resulting from the consolidation of EMI Music Publishing as a wholly owned subsidiary and higher streaming revenues in Recorded Music, partially offset by lower sales of Fate/Grand order, a game application for mobile. Operating income decreased JPY19.1 billion to JPY142.3 billion, mainly due to the absence of a remeasurement gain resulting from the consolidation of EMI in the previous fiscal year, but partially offset by the impact of the increased sales. Including the extraordinary items associated with the consolidation of EMI as a full subsidiary, operating income would have increased JPY15.2 billion year-on-year. The profit contribution from game applications for mobile was in the mid-teens as a percentage of the operating income of this segment.

Now I will discuss the impact that the cornonavirus is having on the Music segment. The release of new music is being delayed mainly because some artists are unable to record songs and music videos. The impact of the delays in new music is limited at this time in countries like the US where the proportion of music that is streamed is high, but in countries like Japan and Germany where proportion of music that is streamed is relatively low, sales of CDs and other packaged media sales are decreasing due to restriction on outings. Ticket revenues, merchandise revenue and video revenues are decreasing, especially in Japan where over 400 events have been postponed or canceled since February through the end of May. Due to a global reduction in advertising spending, revenues from advertising supported streaming services is decreasing and revenue from the licensing of music and TV commercials is decreasing, a delay in production of motion pictures and TV shows is also causing a decline in music licensing revenue.

Next is the Pictures segment. FY '19 sales increased 3% year-on-year to JPY1,011.9 billion due to an increase in motion pictures and television production revenue. Motion pictures released this fiscal year included Spider-Man: Far From Home and Jumanji: The Next Level. These franchise films which levered Sony's IP performed better than expected. Operating income increased JPY13.6 billion year-on-year to JPY68.2 billion mainly due to the benefit of a channel portfolio review in Media Networks conducted in the previous fiscal year and improved profitability of catalog product in Motion Pictures, partially offset by program development costs and production costs on newly released shows in Television Productions.

Now I will discuss the impact of the coronavirus on Pictures segment. Box office revenue has been significantly impacted mainly due to the closure of movie theaters around the world. At Sony, we are unable to release films that have been completed like Peter Rabbit 2: The Runaway. Due to restrictions on outings the production schedule of new motion pictures and TV shows around the world, especially in the US, as significantly delayed. As a result, in Motion Pictures, theatrical revenue and revenue generated after theatrical release including the rental and sales of videos are expected to decrease. On the other hand, digital revenue from Bad Boys for Life and Bloodshot, which we released in theaters prior to the spread of the coronavirus disease has been strong. Revenue for television production is also being impacted due to delay in the delivery of shows to TV networks and digital distribution services. Due to the global reduction in advertising spending, advertising revenue in media networks is decreasing significantly, especially in India.

Next is the EP&S segment. FY '19 sales decreased 14% year-on-year to JPY1,991.3 billion mainly due to a decrease in unit sales of smartphones and TVs and negative impact of exchange rates. Operating income increased JPY10.8 billion year-on-year to JPY87.3 billion mainly due to operating cost reductions in mobile communications, partially offset by the impact of the decrease in sales. Of all businesses, we expect the EP&S segment to be impacted the most from the coronavirus.

First, I will explain the supply side which includes manufacturing and procurement. Of the four major manufacturing sites for our TV business, we ceased production in stages from mid-March at the factory we own in Malaysia and at the factories we outsource to in Mexico and Slovakia, pursuant to local government policy. These three factories have returned to partial production, but a portion of supply continues to be unable to meet demand. In the camera and smartphone businesses, the factories we own in China and Thailand are currently operating as usual. Some of our partners in Malaysia and the Philippines, who supply components to several of our businesses have reduced their operations, causing a delay in the production of some of our products due to component shortage -- shortages.

On the demand side due to the closure and shutdown of retail stores globally, retail sales have decreased significantly. The severity of the impact on a geographical basis is changing frequently but deterioration of market conditions in Europe is currently the most severe. Television business is being significantly impacted in areas like India and Vietnam, where our scale is significant as well as in Europe. And sale and profit from digital cameras are being significantly impacted by a substantial slowdown in demand around the world. We are concerned that this might continue for a long time.

Next is the Imaging & Sensing Solutions segment. FY '19 sales increased 22% year-on-year to JPY1,070.6 billion, mainly due to an increase in image sensors unit sales for mobile devices and an improvement in product mix. Operating income increased a significant JPY91.7 billion year-on-year to JPY235.6 billion, mainly due to the impact of the increase in sales, partially offset by an increase in depreciation expenses and research and development costs, as well as the negative impact of the foreign exchange rate. Due to several positive factors occurring simultaneously such as strong demand, acceleration of the shift to a larger-sized high value-added products and our introduction of a highly competitive new product which fit those specifications, the image sesor business products results that significantly exceeded our expectations at the beginning of the fiscal year.

Now I will discuss the impact of coronavirus on the I&SS segment. As of today, there has been no major impact from the coronavirus on our manufacturing facilities in Japan, which are operating as usual. Moreover, we understand that the factory operations and supply chains of our major mobile customers have been recovering. On the other hand, we believe that the decrease in shipments of our image sensors was relatively minor compared to the impact the coronavirus had on the manufacturing and sales of our mobile customers in the fourth quarter ended March 31, 2020. So there is a possibility that inventory in the supply chain of these customers has increased. In addition, we are monitoring how much the final outlook for our products, the smartphone market may decelerate going forward.

Now I would like to discuss the current state of our I&SS business. Considering the deceleration of the smartphone market due to the impact of the coronavirus, there is a possibility that image sensor sales this fiscal year will be flat year-on-year. At this point in time, there is no change to our view that image sensors will drive improvements in the first functionality of cameras, which are major differentiating factor for smartphones or our view as to the expansion of demand over the mid to long-term. Thus we have already decided to invest more than 80% of the cumulative capital expenditure we plan to make over three years of our mid-range plan. However, given the uncertain operating environment, we will postpone as long as possible decisions regarding the remaining capital expenditures, so we can make appropriate and timely decisions after gathering more market information. In addition, we will be disciplined in our prioritization of research and development spending, but we plan to maintain the current level of spending as we managed Sony for the mid to long-term.

Lastly is the financial services segment. FY '19 Financial Services revenue increased 2% year-on-year to JPY1,307.7 billion, primarily due to higher insurance premium revenue mainly from single premium insurance, partially offset by a deterioration in net gains and losses on variable insurance investments in the separate account both at Sony Life. Operating income decreased JPY31.9 billion year-on-year to JPY129.6 billion primarily due to an increase in the provision of policy reserves related to variable insurance at Sony Life, reflecting deterioration in market conditions toward the end of the fiscal year and valuation losses on certain securities held by Sony Bank resulting from a decline in prices mainly due to growing concerns about credit risk.

Now, I will explain the impact of the coronavirus on the Financial Services segment. Pursuant to the announcement of a state of emergency by the Japanese government, we have stopped all in-person sales activity of the life planners at Sony Life. If these conditions persist for a long period of time there is a possibility that the profitability of Sony Life could be significantly negatively impacted primarily, because the acquisition of new insurance policies would decrease and expenses for provisions to account for this would increase.

Next I'll discuss the consolidated results for fiscal year '20. Since we cannot reasonably predict the impact of the threat of the coronavirus disease including when it will diminish, our consolidated results focus for FY '20 is undetermined at this time. We plan to issue a consolidated results forecast for fiscal year '20 when we announce the earnings for the first quarter in early August. The best we can do is make certain hypothesis regarding the trajectory of the coronavirus disease, an estimate FY '20 operating income for each of our segments based on the assumptions you see here. The estimated results are expressed as a percentage range of actual FY '19 operating income. Based on these assumptions we estimate that consolidated operating income would decrease at least 30% compared to the FY '19 result. These figures are merely an estimate based on certain assumptions and we are continuing to work to improve our profit level.

Now I will discuss operating cash flow excluding the financial service segment and capital allocation through the end of fiscal year '19. We generated approximately JPY1.5 trillion of cumulative operating cash flow over the last two fiscal years. Approximately JPY0.2 trillion in cash flow was generated from the sale of businesses and assets. We prioritize using this cash to make growth investments such as increasing image sensor manufacturing capacity and acquiring EMI. In addition, as a strategic investment, we repurchased a total of JPY300 billion of Sony stock. We will update you on our forecast for FY '20 operating cash flow to include the impact of the coronavirus when we announce earnings for the first quarter.

Lastly, I would like to explain the state of our balance sheet. In order to reliably procure capital even when the financial markets are in turmoil, Sony has managed its balance sheet with a high degree of financial discipline while closely monitoring our credit ratings. As of the end of March 2020, we maintained our strong financial underpinnings with a 42.8% equity ratio, excluding the financial services segment. No debt is coming due in FY '20 and we had approximately JPY960 billion of cash on hand as of the end of March 2020 for consolidated Sony excluding the financial services segment. In addition, we have a total of approximately JPY570 billion in committed lines of credit from major banking institutions inside and outside of Japan and approximately JPY1 trillion commercial paper facility and uncommitted lending facilities from several banks. As of today, none of these facilities were being utilized. Thus we believe that we have sufficient liquidity to continue to conduct business in a smooth manner, even if the economic environment were to deteriorate conspicuously going forward. There is no change to our policy of steadily increasing our dividend over the long-term. Moreover, we believe we are in a position to proactively consider strategic investments in the growth opportunities in the post-corona world.

This concludes my remarks. Thank you very much.

Masaru Kato -- Corporate Communications

So consolidated financial results, financial results briefing and the forecast for fiscal year 2020 were explained. Now let us go on to the Q&A session. In the first half, 20 minutes, there will be questions from the media and in the latter half 20 minutes, there will be questions from analysts and our institutional investors. Questions can be asked at any time using email. So kindly follow the method that has been informed to you in advance. And the questions that we have received will be read as submitted. If the question is in English then the interpreter will translate into Japanese and we will reply in Japanese. So now we would like to entertain questions from the media.

We have Mr. Totoki, Senior Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer; and Naomi Matsuoka, Senior Vice President and General Manager Financial Department and Corporate Planning & Control Department; and Mami Imada, Senior General Manager, Corporate Communications to answer your questions.

Questions and Answers:

Masaru Kato -- Corporate Communications

The first question received from Mr. Shimuzu of Nikkei. About novel coronavirus, the game, Pictures, the Music businesses, how do you think the consumer demand will change because of the adverse impact and creative entertainment on the strengths of technology of Sony. You are an entertainment company. How are you going to overcome the difficulties such as delay in productions? The second question is about PlayStation 5. What is your forecast for the demand of PlayStation 5 and actual number of deliveries, will there be any quantitative impact due to the COVID-19?

Hiroki Totoki -- Chief Financial Officer

Thank you. This is Mr. Totoki speaking. I will answer two questions. Firstly the demand on digital implement actually has been increasing, that's the behavior of the consumer currently. And I think this trend is likely to continue for some time. And also the creative entertainment on the strengths of Sony's technology. As far as we're concerned, times being as such, believe we have to support the entertainment business. Earlier in April we created relief fund and I think JPY200 million to fight against the impact of the virus for Pictures and Music, because of the [Indecipherable] from live entertainment or the delay in suspension of the productions, they are affecting the lives of the creators and our partners, and with the creation of this fund, we've decided to help support their well being going forward.

And also about the PlayStation 5, as I mentioned in the speech, the production is proceeding basically according to our schedule. In the meantime, the actual delivery and actual demand, I'd like to refrain from commenting on that as of this time. So that's the extent of what I can say at this particular moment. Thank you.

Masaru Kato -- Corporate Communications

Next from NHK, Inomata-san. New coronovirus, what kind of effort put it up on the performance in terms of monetary value? You mentioned the impact so far, but what's the forecast of the impact on this fiscal year as much as you can? Second question, the impact of the coronavirus in order to contain or minimize the effect in order to protect the employees, many companies are changing the way to manage business or work lifestyle, and there may be four day work week and other new ideas, but does Sony have new ideas or initiatives, as a new way to -- for work?

Hiroki Totoki -- Chief Financial Officer

Allow me to answer these two questions. First the impact of the corona virus in monetary value to the performance. FY '19 -- for FY '19, the outbreak of the coronavirus and others it's difficult to delineate these two. But for the consolidated results, JPY68 billion negative impact was felt. For this fiscal year the impact on the fiscal year is so difficult to predict forecast any impact but including that, we came up with the estimate as I showed you earlier, I would like to take a look at that again. Your second question, the impact of the cornavirus how to minimize it, any new measures to minimize the impact? I would like to invite Imada-san to answer.

Mami Imada -- Vice President, Senior General Manager, Corporate Communications Department

The measures for the new work style, I do not have any specific measures precisely for that, but we prioritize the safety of the employees. The telework is one way to do that. And the work from home regardless of where you stay, they can work and through this measure, new way of work is being promoted and I'm sure it will proceed. At this moment, pursuant to the government policy, we try to put highest priority to the safety and the health of the employees. Thank you.

Masaru Kato -- Corporate Communications

Let's go on. From Reuters, Yamazaki-san, we have a question. First, a question about PS 5. The impact -- if there is an impact on the supply chain, I'd like to know what it is? Second about not limited games, after this coronavirus, do you have a plan to review the supply chain? That's the two questions.

Hiroki Totoki -- Chief Financial Officer

First question about PS 5 the supply chain impact on supply chain, basically we have work from home and the restrictions on international travel, those are constraints. So some testing process and the qualification of production lines may be constrained, but necessary measures are being taken for this. Towards the end of the year, we believe that we can prepare without problem for the launch. And review of the supply chain, do we have any plans for the review? From before for the manufacturing sites there had been consideration of various business risks and we have made study. And so for the expansion of new coronavirus, this is a global issue. And so changing the production sites at this present time is not being considered.

Masaru Kato -- Corporate Communications

Thank you. Let us continue with the next question. Let me read the next question, Nishida-san, a freelancer asked this question. Firstly about Game, Pictures and Music, the Contents business and also the Electronics business. Has there been an impact in terms of the delivery and the supply? There is a delay due to the COVID-19. And also, do you think the impact of COVID is limited? And what will be the outlook of impact after next year? Second question is about game business. Hardware sales, are they according to your plans or will there be impact of the COVID-19? Is it larger or less than last year? And under the current situation, it's even lower than your expectations.

Hiroki Totoki -- Chief Financial Officer

Mr. Totoki speaking. Regarding your first question, in most of our businesses, the impact of COVID-19, what is the delay situation that we are suffering and also after this year where would be the outlook, will there be an impact.

Speaking about the game business for instance, for the first party and third party games, in terms of game development, currently there are no problems that manifest as of now. But still, development activity is under way with a lot of restrictions. So efficiency maybe lower, which means that there's going to be a delay in scheduling. There is a risk as such and we have to monitor that risk very carefully. About the contents business, pictures and music, they have suspended all shooting activities and therefore the contents production, pictures or music, particularly music, with visual contents -- producing them is now very difficult. So that's what we really are driving. And during this year, as I said before, we will continue to feel some impact going forward.

As far as the game business is concerned, hardware sales -- as far as the unit sales of hardware is concerned, the PS4, the existing model, the sales, smooth going, I would say, doing rather well, particularly, the year just ended. In the fourth quarter of last fiscal year, the results were basically exactly as we had expected, and more recently, demand is rather very strong, we are informed. Thank you.

Masaru Kato -- Corporate Communications

Well, the time is running out. So this concludes the Q&A session for media people. In order to change the participants, we will take a break, a short break before we start the sessions for analysts and institutional investors.

[Break]

Thank you for your patience. From now, for about 20 minutes, we will entertain questions from analysts and institutional investors. The respondents are Hiroki Totoki, Senior Executive Vice President and CFO. We also have Naomi Matsuoka, Senior General Manager of Finance Department and Corporate Planning and Control Department; and we have Hirotoshi Korenaga, who is VP, Senior General Manager of Global Accounting division.

Now, first question please?

Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities -- Analyst

From Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities. At a time of Lehman shock, for six quarters, more than JPY100 billion of restructuring expenses was spent [Phonetic]. Are you going to take any measures from the first quarter of FY '20 or are you going to wait out until the coronavirus outbreak subsides? Now, the risk of EPS going negative and the review of the business portfolio as a possibility. Is there any possibility of a positioning change?

Hiroki Totoki -- Chief Financial Officer

Now after Lehman -- this time it's so different from Lehman shock. Number of people and the fixed cost now is so different from where it was at the time of the Lehman shock. In any case, under these circumstances, the demand itself has declined than originally expected. So we reviewed the marketing expenses and then the overhead reduction for the indirect costs and cost control, while we will not wait out until the coronavirus subsides to do this in order to secure the level of profitability. Thank you.

Masaru Kato -- Corporate Communications

Next question?

Mikio Hirakawa -- Bank of America Merrill Lynch -- Analyst

From Merrill Lynch, Hirakawa. First question. Sony's next-generation game console marketing, compared to Microsoft, software line-up introduction is a bit inferior some people say. It's lagging. So toward the launch of PS5, do you think that you have a passing grade? And if it is a passing grade, then what is going well? Also, toward the launch at the end of the year, going forward, what is the theme for your advertising activity?

Second question, for Pictures, Media Network, the portfolio review expense will be the same as previous fiscal year, that is for fiscal year '20?

Hiroki Totoki -- Chief Financial Officer

Yes. So PS5, right now -- we have to think strategically right now. Therefore, unfortunately, I cannot really make a comment. Is it a passing grade or not? Well on that point, I think results will be everything. So after the launch, it will become clear. And so, we are going to do our utmost -- make our utmost effort.

Now about Pictures and Media Network, the portfolio review expense, on a continuous basis, this is going to be steady. At the present time, we haven't made major decisions.

Mikio Hirakawa -- Bank of America Merrill Lynch -- Analyst

Thank you.

Masaru Kato -- Corporate Communications

Next question? Mr. Nakane at Mizuho Securities asked this question. Firstly, the sales and operating income forecast for March '21 year, I think you've created a budget as of end of February. At that time, what was your forecast by different businesses segment?

And also the second question is post corona or to the -- with corona, in Game, and Music, the Pictures, what do you think will be the business environment? Will there be structural change in the business environment. And will that affect or how would that affect the profitability of Sony and other peer companies? What will be the strategy of Sony to deal with such a change?

Hiroki Totoki -- Chief Financial Officer

Thank you. Mr. Totoki speaking. So year ending March 21 [Phonetic], what will the forecast on sales, was the first question. And we created budget in February, and what was viewed at that time, I think it was a question. And currently, everything has changed. Assumptions have changed. So discussing what might have been the situation without the impact of the virus will be -- discussing that will be very difficult, but impossible. But as far as we are concerned, for this year, based on the results for this year, we will make efforts to go one step further in the year after that. And that's always a practice in creating the budget based on the results of the current year, trying to do better. And also about the change in the business environment, how is business environment going to change, I think people are discussing a lot of things, but at least people will stay in the home, spend more time, or spending less time outdoors and a lot of activities are done on the remote network basis. So that will be a core part of the change. And as far as we are concerned, we have a lot of businesses related to networking and remote operations, the PlayStation Network for instance, is a large online community. So they do set this business up. There is a possibility. And I think there is room for the growth of this particular business, and the use of 5G for instance. Production of our video contents for instance instead of physical [Phonetic] contents can be done online. And also in medical business field, we have real-time technologies, but there are a lot of fields where our technologies will be useful. So those areas and opportunities that we will be focusing going forward. And speaking of pictures, theatrical release is always very important and because of the coronavirus, negative impact we currently are suffering. But once the situation settles and if we restart the theatrical operations, the people may not come to theaters to view pictures. So it may take some time. If that happens, then we have to discuss with the businesses concerned to create a new way of releasing Sony Pictures and also we can use online and -- more technologies for the live performances going forward. Thank you.

Operator

Next question. From JP Morgan, Ms. Ayada. No, Mr. Ayada.

Junya Ayada -- JPMorgan -- Analyst

First question, for INIFS [Phonetic], about the inventory of supply chain. For smartphones, depending on the customers, some models do not sell well. But depending on the future trend, the evaluation loss, which happened in the past of PS, inventory, are you thinking about that? And then the image sensors' price trend, larger-size, multi-sensor trend, what is your opinion, a view on this trend?

Hiroki Totoki -- Chief Financial Officer

Allow me to answer for the inventory. In December last year, the end of December last year, the inventory was in tight situation in the fourth quarter. Because of the outbreak of the coronavirus, sales decreased and then compared to that, the inventory slightly increased. As of the end of March, the inventory level is approaching the appropriate level. In FY '20, these inventory will be shipped out. So we are not planning any evaluation loss. That's the first point. At this point in time, on the business negotiation level, from a -- as a bird's eye view, the impact of the outbreak of the coronavirus is threefold: one, smartphone markets' deceleration and the negative impact on the sales -- unit sales. And in the supply chain, the inventory is increasing over -- across the supply chain. The sales volume itself compared to the FY '19, if it increases, the increase percentage -- the speed of the increase will be slower than FY '19. Basically, the market itself is decelerating. From the high-end smartphones to mid-to-low, there is a shift from high-end to mid-to-low. That can be triggered because of the decelerating market. And then, the image sensors' product mix may deteriorate compared to FY '19 -- or in FY '19, the larger-sized demand increased sharply. This speed may slow down. This is a big possibility. For more details, 0.58 microns product, we are in the second year producing it. So the mass production started two years ago and the market will proceed accordingly.

Masaru Kato -- Corporate Communications

Going on to the next question, SMBC Nikko Securities, Katsura.

Ryosuke Katsura -- SMBC Nikko Securities -- Analyst

First question. Semiconductor inventory and the utilization and production capacity, this kind of results and your forecast plan if you could let me know.

Second question. Cash position present status, and under the present environment, what is your stance on the view of allocation?

Hiroki Totoki -- Chief Financial Officer

Yes, image sensor capacity on an installed basis, if I can answer in that way, fourth quarter fiscal year '19, in the master process, 123K per month. And 124K was the previous subs. Since, it's a bit of a drop. But with the process mix, there is some fluctuation, and it's not that the installation is delayed. And for fiscal '20, at the end of the first quarter, 133K per month. So over three months, capacity will go up gradually, and in the fourth quarter of last year, three months' simple average 122K for operation, and the first quarter of fiscal year '20, three months' average, 127K. So for mobile and for digital, there is slight production adjustment for the digital camera. I would say that's about it. And if I may talk a little more, at the end of fiscal '20, master process output will be 138K; it is going to be -- the output will be increased. And basically, there is no change to that plan.

And for the cash position and allocation that you asked about, first of all, for fiscal '20, as of the end of the previous year March, it is JPY962.3 billion and then commitment line JPY570 billion. And this commitment line of JPY570 billion is not used, and in addition to the commercial paper facility JPY1 trillion and bank uncommitted line is JPY230 billion. So we haven't used any of this, and therefore if you have that kind of allowance, even if the environment of the economy worsens, we believe that we can continue to be liquid [Phonetic]. And as for allocation stance, naturally as we have been saying from before, strategic investment, M&A, and stock repurchase, well, we are going to have an optimal utilization, and our stance has not changed. As for convertible bonds, right now, we are not thinking so proactively.

Masaru Kato -- Corporate Communications

Thank you. We'll proceed to the next question. Nishimura from Credit Suisse.

Mika Nishimura -- Credit Suisse -- Analyst

Firstly, I'll ask this question. For fiscal '20 operating income estimate, the impact of the virus on each of the segments and also other impacts, can you separate the biggest impacts? So direction in terms of increase or decrease in fixed costs, you can also refer to that as well.

Second question will be about image sensors. They are getting larger, so the unit price is increasing and also because of multi-lenses, volume is increasing. That has been the trend. Will there be change in that trend? So decline in -- and with -- and demand of smartphones. Will there be a change in your plans to increase your production capacity?

Hiroki Totoki -- Chief Financial Officer

Firstly, our estimates for the opening income for the fiscal '20, the coronavirus impact and other type of impacts We have not estimated those separating the two. And whatever I would say is before [Phonetic] the impact of corona, not separating the two, corona versus non-corona. So like let me not to make any reference to that, but when time comes for us to announce the results of the first quarter, we will be able to give you a more solid pictures. Please bear with that.

About the image sensor production, the future direction was your question. Basically speaking, our mid-term direction is not likely to change going forward, largely speaking. But having said that, looking at the demand for smartphones currently, yes, there is an impact of the virus, so that smartphone demand is somewhat lower now. That's a matter of fact. So, as I've been explaining, the impact will be felt from the declining demand, and also the negative impact due to product mix changes. For fiscal '20, yes, these are situations that we have to observe very carefully. And with that, will there be an impact of that on our schedule plan to increase our production capacity? Well, as I said in speech, for three years now, 80% of the investment plan has been decided already. The remaining 20% or so, we have the option of deferring the remaining investments. So we'll look at the current demand and we will make investments at appropriate timing. Thank you.

Masaru Kato -- Corporate Communications

Now it's time to close the briefing session. Thank you very much for your attendance.

Duration: 59 minutes

Call participants:

Masaru Kato -- Corporate Communications

Hiroki Totoki -- Chief Financial Officer

Mami Imada -- Vice President, Senior General Manager, Corporate Communications Department

Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities -- Analyst

Mikio Hirakawa -- Bank of America Merrill Lynch -- Analyst

Junya Ayada -- JPMorgan -- Analyst

Ryosuke Katsura -- SMBC Nikko Securities -- Analyst

Mika Nishimura -- Credit Suisse -- Analyst

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