Shares of Costco Wholesale (COST 2.50%) climbed to a record high near $1,096.50 last week, only to slide back to about $1,003 as of this writing -- a drop of more than 8% in just a handful of trading days. Even after the pullback, however, the membership-based wholesale retailer's stock is up sharply in 2026 and remains well ahead of the S&P 500's gain during this period.
So, is this latest retreat a chance to buy one of retail's most dependable compounders?
Image source: Getty Images.
The business is speeding up
Starting with the headline numbers from the company's fiscal second quarter of 2026 (the 12 weeks ended Feb. 15, 2026), Costco's net sales rose 9.1% to $68.24 billion, and net income climbed nearly 14% to $2.04 billion, or $4.58 per share.
More telling, however, is the acceleration seen in Costco's business.
Stripping out swings in gasoline prices and foreign exchange, Costco's adjusted comparable sales -- a measure of sales at warehouses open at least a year -- grew 6.7% in the quarter. That marks a step up from 6.4% in the prior quarter (the period ended Nov. 23, 2025).
And the company's most recent monthly sales update shows similar momentum. Net sales jumped 13% in April (the four weeks ended May 3). With that said, a change in the timing of Easter benefited the month. But still, the acceleration is notable. Further, digitally enabled comparable sales (online and app-based orders) jumped more than 22% in the latest quarter -- far outpacing the warehouses and easing worries investors may have about Costco's ability to compete with Amazon's e-commerce business.
Of course, one of the best parts of Costco's business is the reliability of its membership-based model. To this end, Costco's membership fee income rose 13.6% in the fiscal second quarter to $1.36 billion. And even after excluding the impact of a 2024 fee increase and currency effects on this growth rate, the underlying growth in membership fee income was about 7.5%. Further, renewal rates remain stellar, at 92.1% in the U.S. and Canada and 89.7% worldwide.
That loyalty is rooted in price, and price is where Costco's scale shows up most. The warehouse club deliberately stocks only a few thousand items -- a fraction of what a typical supermarket carries -- which concentrates its buying power.
NASDAQ: COST
Key Data Points
Why the price still calls for patience
The harder question is valuation. As of this writing, Costco trades at roughly 52 times earnings, with a forward price-to-earnings ratio near 47.
Those are rich valuation multiples for any retailer, and they even sit well above the stock's own 10-year average price-to-earnings ratio of about 37.
In other words, the stock looks expensive, despite the recent pullback. A price like this arguably assumes the company keeps compounding sales and profits at a healthy clip for years on end -- essentially the performance we're seeing now, extended well into the future. Should growth cool, or should a prolonged consumer pullback or a sharper push from Amazon or Walmart's Sam's Club take hold, the stock could have a long way to fall before reaching a more forgiving level.
So, does the recent dip make shares a buy?
For investors who plan to hold for the long haul, starting a small position here could make sense, since trying to perfectly time an entry point into the stock of a company this consistent is extremely difficult. But given how much optimism is already priced in, I'd personally wait for a deeper pullback before building Costco into a full position. The business is performing about as well as it ever has. But at today's valuation, I'd still rather wait for a better price.
