Every investor would love to stumble upon the perfect stock. But will you ever really find a stock that provides everything you could possibly want?
One thing's for sure: You'll never discover truly great investments unless you actively look for them. Let's discuss the ideal qualities of a perfect stock, then decide if Medco Health Solutions
The quest for perfection
Stocks that look great based on one factor may prove horrible elsewhere, making due diligence a crucial part of your investing research. The best stocks excel in many different areas, including these important factors:
- Growth. Expanding businesses show healthy revenue growth. While past growth is no guarantee that revenue will keep rising, it's certainly a better sign than a stagnant top line.
- Margins. Higher sales mean nothing if a company can't produce profits from them. Strong margins ensure that company can turn revenue into profit.
- Balance sheet. At debt-laden companies, banks and bondholders compete with shareholders for management's attention. Companies with strong balance sheets don't have to worry about the distraction of debt.
- Money-making opportunities. Return on equity helps measure how well a company is finding opportunities to turn its resources into profitable business endeavors.
- Valuation. You can't afford to pay too much for even the best companies. By using normalized figures, you can see how a stock's simple earnings multiple fits into a longer-term context.
- Dividends. For tangible proof of profits, a check to shareholders every three months can't be beat. Companies with solid dividends and strong commitments to increasing payouts treat shareholders well.
With those factors in mind, let's take a closer look at Medco Health Solutions.
Factor |
What We Want to See |
Actual |
Pass or Fail? |
---|---|---|---|
Growth |
5-Year Annual Revenue Growth > 15% |
10.3% |
Fail |
1-Year Revenue Growth > 12% |
7.3% |
Fail |
|
Margins |
Gross Margin > 35% |
6.6% |
Fail |
Net Margin > 15% |
2.1% |
Fail |
|
Balance Sheet |
Debt to Equity < 50% |
146.2% |
Fail |
Current Ratio > 1.3 |
0.68 |
Fail |
|
Opportunities |
Return on Equity > 15% |
34.1% |
Pass |
Valuation |
Normalized P/E < 20 |
13.20 |
Pass |
Dividends |
Current Yield > 2% |
0% |
Fail |
5-Year Dividend Growth > 10% |
0% |
Fail |
|
Total Score |
2 out of 10 |
Source: Capital IQ, a division of Standard & Poor's. Total score = number of passes.
When we looked at Medco Health Solutions last year, it had a slightly better score of three. With revenue growth having slacked off a bit over the past year, Medco finds itself a bit further from perfection but on the cusp of a major transformation.
A lot has happened in the pharmacy benefits management space since we looked at Medco last year. The biggest trend has been consolidation. Catalyst Health Solutions
With Medco reeling from the loss of contracts with California's CalPERS pension fund as well as UnitedHealth
Although Medco's stock won't survive the merger, shareholders will receive some cash as well as shares of Express Scripts in the deal. For those who hold onto their Express Scripts shares, the stronger new company is poised to get a lot closer to perfection than Medco did on its own.
Keep searching
No stock is a sure thing, but some stocks are a lot closer to perfect than others. By looking for the perfect stock, you'll go a long way toward improving your investing prowess and learning how to separate out the best investments from the rest.
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Finding the perfect stock is only one piece of a successful investment strategy. Get the big picture by taking a look at our 13 Steps to Investing Foolishly.