Can Cracker Barrel Old Country Store Meet These Numbers?

Checking expectations

Seth Jayson
Seth Jayson
Sep 13, 2012 at 12:00AM
Other

Cracker Barrel Old Country Store (Nasdaq: CBRL) is expected to report Q4 earnings on Sep. 18. Here's what Wall Street wants to see:

The 10-second takeaway
Comparing the upcoming quarter to the prior-year quarter, average analyst estimates predict Cracker Barrel Old Country Store's revenues will increase 11.8% and EPS will grow 30.0%.

The average estimate for revenue is $685.4 million. On the bottom line, the average EPS estimate is $1.30.

Revenue details
Last quarter, Cracker Barrel Old Country Store notched revenue of $608.5 million. GAAP reported sales were 4.5% higher than the prior-year quarter's $582.5 million.

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Quarterly periods. Dollar amounts in millions. Non-GAAP figures may vary to maintain comparability with estimates.

EPS details
Last quarter, non-GAAP EPS came in at $0.86. GAAP EPS of $0.81 for Q3 were 27% higher than the prior-year quarter's $0.64 per share.

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Quarterly periods. Non-GAAP figures may vary to maintain comparability with estimates.

Recent performance
For the preceding quarter, gross margin was 68.8%, 30 basis points worse than the prior-year quarter. Operating margin was 6.7%, 170 basis points better than the prior-year quarter. Net margin was 3.1%, 50 basis points better than the prior-year quarter.

Looking ahead


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The full year's average estimate for revenue is $2.56 billion. The average EPS estimate is $4.43.

Investor sentiment
The stock has a five-star rating (out of five) at Motley Fool CAPS, with 162 members out of 187 rating the stock outperform, and 25 members rating it underperform. Among 61 CAPS All-Star picks (recommendations by the highest-ranked CAPS members), 58 give Cracker Barrel Old Country Store a green thumbs-up, and three give it a red thumbs-down.

Of Wall Street recommendations tracked by S&P Capital IQ, the average opinion on Cracker Barrel Old Country Store is outperform, with an average price target of $55.00.

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