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Hasbro Inc (HAS -0.77%)
Q2 2019 Earnings Call
Jul 23, 2019, 8:00 a.m. ET

Contents:

  • Prepared Remarks
  • Questions and Answers
  • Call Participants

Prepared Remarks:

Operator

Good morning. Welcome to the Hasbro Second Quarter 2019 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions].

At this time, I'd like to turn the call over to Ms. Debbie Hancock, Senior Vice President of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.

Debbie Hancock -- Senior Vice President of Investor Relations

Thank you and good morning, everyone. Joining me this morning are Brian Goldner, Hasbro's Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, and Deb Thomas, Hasbro's Chief Financial Officer. Today, we will begin with Brian and Deb providing commentary on the company's performance, and then we will take your questions. Our earnings release and presentation slides for today's call are posted on our investor website.

The press release and presentation include information regarding non-GAAP adjustments and non-GAAP financial measures. Our call today will discuss certain adjusted measures, which exclude these non-GAAP adjustments. A reconciliation of GAAP to non-GAAP measures is included in the press release and presentation.Please note that whenever we discuss earnings per share or EPS, we are referring to earnings per diluted share.

Before we begin, I would like to remind you that during this call and the question-and-answer session that follows, members of Hasbro management may make forward-looking statements concerning management's expectations, goals, objectives, and similar matters. There are many factors that could cause actual results or events to differ materially from the anticipated results or other expectations expressed in these forward-looking statements.

Those factors include those set forth in our annual report on Form 10-K, our most recent 10-Q, in today's press release and in our other public disclosures. We undertake no obligation to update any forward-looking statements made today to reflect events or circumstances occurring after the date of this call.

I would now like to introduce Brian Goldner. Brian?

Brian D. Goldner -- Chairman of the Board and Chief Executive Officer

Thank you, Debbie. Good morning, everyone and thank you for joining us today. The Hasbro team executed another good quarter, including revenue growth of 9% and operating profit gains of 47%. Revenues were up around our blueprint and across multiple regions, including growth in the US, Europe and Asia Pacific. Our commitment to creating the World's Best Play Experiences through innovation and storytelling for our consumers, fans and audiences drove revenue gains of 6% and adjusted operating profit growth of 73% for the first six months of the year.

Behind original release slate and continued strength in digital gaming Magic: The Gathering delivered an outstanding quarter and first half of the year. The War of the Spark set was extremely well received by players across formats, driving robust quarterly growth in tabletop and digital.

Player engagement expanded with global increases in total unique players and new players. This in turn drove an incremental increase in Magic: The Gathering Arena games played with approximately 400 million played in the quarter and 1.1 billion since the game entered open beta in September of last year. In addition, the Modern Horizon set released during the second quarter exceeded expectations and contributed to higher tabletop revenues during the quarter. This release timing was earlier in 2019 versus last year when a similar release occurred in the fourth quarter.

Importantly, Magic second quarter performance was driven by growing engagement and monetization of tabletop and arena and through special releases, like Modern Horizons that are launched once per year, this year in the second quarter. The team also delivered initial shipments of the Core Set 2020, which launched on July 12 in store and on Arena, further contributing to the above planned second quarter.

We're also investing to ensure the long-term success of Magic: The Gathering and Arena with higher year-over-year spend to drive awareness and engagement and in support of an expanded events schedule. The team hosted a successful Mythic championship played on Arena in June, featuring 68 of the top Magic players who competed for a share of the $750,000 prize pool.

Later this year, we are running several additional Mythic championships for Arena and tabletop. We are also increasing our development investment in future digital games and expertise across multiple properties that will come to market over the next several years. This includes new games for Magic and for Dungeons & Dragons, which also grew revenues this quarter.

At retail, second quarter consumer takeaway was up mid-single digits, excluding Toys "R" Us. This in part reflected the shift of Easter into the second quarter, but we're also seeing overall positive point of sale trends. In the US, point of sale was up double-digits in the second quarter and up slightly through the first half. Global point of sale for the first half of the year declined mid single-digits, primarily due to Europe. In Europe, POS has picked up in recent weeks, fueled by continued improvement in the underlying business, new initiatives, such as Nerf Fortnite and growth in MARVEL and MONOPOLY.

The US team navigated a dynamic trade and inventory environment during the quarter. While no new material tariffs have been enacted on our products. We did incur incremental expenses to prepare for the potentiality of tariffs in the US. The team did an exhaustive amount of work and is extremely well prepared for what would be a very challenging and damaging impact if tariffs were implemented. Deb will speak in more detail about the implications.

Importantly, following a challenging 2018 we are recapturing share across a broad range of retailers. E-commerce has accelerated substantially with both omnichannel and pure play retailers driving revenue and point of sale growth significantly above the rest of the business. Last week, Hasbro brands delivered strong growth during Amazon's Prime Day event. In Amazon markets around the world games Play-Doh and Nerf were among the standout drivers. We're leveraging online and digital to engage directly with consumers, launching two new HasLab projects this month through Hasbro Pulse and delivering innovative new shopping and social media experiences across geographies.

This past weekend at San Diego ComicCon we had a major show presence that we also shared with fans through social media live from the show floor with interviews, behind the scenes information, news around upcoming product and pre-order launches. Fans could purchase limited edition products on site, as well as through Hasbro Pulse and select retailers.

Hasbro's investments in brand driven storytelling uniquely positions us to monetize content to commerce experiences across online platforms. In addition to e-com growth, new retailers for Hasbro entered the category or expanded their offering over the past year and we are supporting toys and games throughout the year.

During the second quarter, new channels, including value, drug and grocery, as well as fan retailers delivered higher revenues for Hasbro brands. Our overall retail inventory declined in the quarter as our mix of retailers and consumer purchasing behavior shifts the channels, which carry less weeks of inventory. Omni-channel retailers are moving toward online e-com best practices for their physical store businesses. Profitability in carrying lower inventories remains a top priority for our global retailers and we anticipate this will be an increasingly important factor in their purchasing decisions.

In Europe, our turnaround is well under way and we delivered growth in both revenue and profit in the quarter. Retail inventory has significantly improved and declined further. Despite ongoing economic uncertainty in the region, the team is successfully executing its plan and Europe revenues and profits are up over the first half of the year.

With much of the year ahead of us, we continued to expect to stabilize revenues and improve profit for the full year 2019. Over the first half of the year, global revenues increased for several franchise brands, including Play-Doh, Monopoly and Transformers. We also launched Power Rangers in North America with international markets to roll out through this year. Point of sale is up on these brands, as well as for Baby Alive. Nerf POS turn positive in the second quarter with the success of Nerf Fortnite, which is now rolling out internationally. And we have new Nerf products hitting the market throughout the second half and in some geographies next year.

Within our partner brand portfolio, Hasbro toys and games for Marvel's Avengers End Game and Spider-Man franchises, along with innovation in Hasbro's Preschool line of Marvel Superhero Adventures and new Mega Mighties ten inch figures delivered revenue growth in the quarter.

As we look to the fourth quarter, retailers have strong plans for the October 4th launch of Hasbro product for both Frozen 2 and Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker. Our team is ready for the most important quarters of the year. We are driving revenues around amazing innovation in storytelling and as this management team has done in the past, we're investing for future profitable growth. Following a strong first half, our view of the year has not changed and we believe we are well positioned to deliver profitable growth for the full year 2019.

I'd like to now turn the call over to Deb. Deb?

Deborah M. Thomas -- Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Thank you, Brian. And good morning, everyone. Our second quarter results reflect the outstanding execution of our entire global team, producing strong quarterly revenue and profit gains in a very dynamic environment.

Revenue growth came from several brands, but was led by Magic: The Gathering. Given a robust release schedule, which was more heavily weighted to the first half of this year versus last and the positive momentum in the brand, we forecasted a strong first half for Magic, and it came in ahead of our expectations. Magic's revenue growth was further supported by growth in other franchise brands, Monopoly and Play-Doh, the launch of Power Rangers and also Hasbro products from the Marvel brand, notably in support of Avengers: End Game and Spider-Man: Far From Home.

The quarter's higher revenues and favorable mix contributed to 250 basis point increase in gross margin. Combined with our cost saving activities and ongoing cost management, we delivered a 330 basis point increase in operating profit margin to 13%. During the quarter, we successfully settled our US pension plan liability and recorded a pre-tax charge of $110.8 million within the other expense line.

Due primarily to the performance of our investments prior to the settlement of this liability, this charge was less than $140 million to $150 million estimate we provided at Toy Fair. The $0.11 per share we reported for the second quarter included a $0.68 per share charge for the pension settlement. Excluding the charge, adjusted EPS was $0.78 per share. After generating $741.5 million in operating cash flow over the trailing 12-month period, we ended the quarter with $1.2 billion in cash. Our inventory is in a good position, both in the quality and level of inventory, declining $45.5 million year-over-year.

Within our segments, revenues in the US and Canada segment increased 14%. Franchise brand revenues increased, led by Magic: The Gathering along with Play-Doh, Transformers and Monopoly. Partner brands behind Marvel growth and emerging brands, including the Power Rangers launch increased revenues, while Hasbro Gaming declined.

Retail inventory at quarter end was down slightly and of good quality. As Brian spoke to, retailers are focused on running their business with less inventory than they've had in the past. And we expect this will continue to influence retailers buying decisions this holiday season.

Operating profit for the segment increased 46% to $106.6 million. The increase was driven by revenue growth, led by Magic: The Gathering, and was only partially offset by higher intangible asset amortization expense associated with Power Rangers and higher warehousing expense. Warehousing expense included bringing more product into the country than planned to position ourselves ahead of potential tariffs. As a result, our US on hand inventory also increased.

As Brian mentioned, the team did a tremendous job this quarter, assessing and acting on the potential implementation of tariffs. It is an extremely complex issue with far reaching implications within the business. While no tariffs on our products have been enacted in the US at this point, I would like to review how this could impact the business. Namely, on the price of product, inventory, our tax rate, the cadence of revenues and manufacturing footprint.

Our tariff increases the price to bring our product into the country. This will be borne by the importer, which is primarily Hasbro. We would pass this increase on to the customer through higher prices on the tariffed items. We notified our retailers of this planned during the quarter. Given the status of tariff implementation, no price changes were enacted. Retailers have the option to take ownership of inventory in the US or directly from our contract manufacturing locations, known as direct import.

In 2018, 35% of our US and Canada revenues were delivered through direct import. Tariffs would essentially eliminate this program for items being produced in China. In fact, in the second quarter some retailers briefly paused direct import orders and all are watching it closely. As a result, we expect to see direct import orders decline as a percent of the total this year. While we can build other programs over time, in the near term Hasbro will be the primary importer. This increases shipping and warehousing costs and would impact the mix of income and expenses, and ultimately our tax rate. This would also mean product ownership is passed to the retailer later, impacting the cadence of revenues between quarters.

For example, in the fourth quarter retailers place some direct import orders for first quarter on shelf dates. Instead, they would take this product in the US during the first quarter itself. While this would level out over time, it would have an impact in the initial period on fourth quarter shipments .

Finally, as we've discussed in the past, as part of our risk management program we've been diversifying our manufacturing footprint for several years. During the quarter, we increased our resources invested in this program to accelerate our plans further. And as a result, have taken on more costs.

China will continue to be an important part of our global supply network. Last year, 67% of the product we sold in the US came from China and we believe we can get to approximately 50% by year-end 2020. We also source 20% of products sold in the US from US manufacturers. We've done the work and are prepared to address tariffs if they happen, but continue to believe they would be very disruptive to our business and consumers in the near term.

Moving to the international segment. Revenues declined 1%, including a negative $20.1 million impact from foreign exchange. Excluding FX, revenues increased 5% in the segment behind growth in Europe and Asia Pacific. Latin America declined 1% excluding FX. Led by Europe, retail and on-hand inventories in the segment continue to decline. Revenues grew franchise brands, led by Magic: The Gathering and emerging brands behind Power Rangers. Partner brand revenues were flat, but increased FX in the quarter with growth in Marvel's. Hasbro Gaming revenues were down.

The international segment increased operating profit to $14.6 million. The profit improvement resulted from favorable mix. Driven by growth in Magic: The Gathering and our continued focus on cost management. Entertainment licensing and digital segment revenues grew 28% to $96.5 million. Digital gaming, primarily Magic: The Gathering Arena and to a lesser extent, consumer product licensing drove the revenue growth. Operating profit in this segment declined to $7.9 million due to higher program production expense and increased investments in digital gaming, marketing and future game development.

As we have discussed, we continue investing in future gaming initiatives to drive long-term profitable revenue growth, particularly in our Magic: The Gathering and Dungeons & Dragons brands. We anticipate full year program production amortization to be in the range of 1% to 1.5% of total company revenues, down from the first half rate of 1.8%.

Looking at the balance of the year for this segment, I'd remind you, we signed a multi-year digital streaming agreement for Hasbro television programming during the third quarter of 2018. Also, Arena entered open beta in September 2018 and we recorded our first meaningful revenues for the game in the fourth quarter of last year.

Overall, Hasbro operating profit improved to $128.3 million or 13% of revenue. Higher revenues and the improved gross margin I spoke to earlier, contributed to this improvement, along with the favorable impact of our cost saving activities and a continued focus on cost management. This improvement was partially offset by factors I have already discussed. Most notably, investments in digital gaming, higher program production expense and higher intangible asset amortization.

Turning to our results below operating profit, other expense of $100.2 million includes the $110.8 million pre-tax charge for settling our US pension plan liability. Excluding this charge, other income was $10.6 million, an increase primarily due to foreign currency transaction gains this year versus loss last year.

Our underlying tax rate for the quarter was 18.3% versus 17.4% last year. We believe the full year tax rate will trend to the middle-to-high end of our guided 17.5% to 19% range and could potentially go slightly above the high end, due to our own response to potential tariffs. Our financial strength is evident in our strong balance sheet and cash flow, including quarter end cash position of $1.2 billion, lower inventories and DSOs flat to last year at 74 days.

Brian and I have spoken today about the timing of revenues and expenses as we enter our largest revenue and profit quarters of the year. We recognize that our retailers are focused on increasing profit and carrying lower inventory levels, while driving their point of sale. We know and have communicated that we are investing and managing incremental expenses, both planned and unplanned as discussed that we will be absorbing. This also includes higher plan incentive compensation given our outlook for this year versus a year ago.

That being said, we continue to expect to return to profitable growth in 2019. Our teams have executed an excellent start to the year and we are excited to deliver on the many amazing brands and entertainment initiatives coming this holiday season, while continuing to invest for future growth.

We will now open the call for questions.

Questions and Answers:

Operator

Thank you. At this time, we will now be conducting a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] Thank you. Our first question comes from the line of Eric Handler with MKM Partners. Please proceed with your question.

Eric Handler -- MKM Partners -- Analyst

Yes. Couple of questions. First, Deb, I mean, you talked about last year in the third quarter you had, I believe, your Netflix deal. Wondered if you could talk a little bit more about what's incremental for new product shipments in 3Q this year versus 3Q last year?

Deborah M. Thomas -- Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Sure. Well, I'll talk a little bit about the -- about the streaming deal that we did last year, which is a recall, we just point out because just for comparative issues. If we think about entertainment licensing in the third quarter of last year, because we had delivered full season and library content at the time of revenue recognition, it made it a little bit of a bump that quarter. So that's why we really pointed it out.

And, of course, as we look to the fall in the third and fourth quarter, we have the amazing product offerings in a lot of our new brands that we've talked about. And I know, Brian can elaborate on some of those, like, some of the products we have coming out. And then in the fourth quarter we're very excited for all the entertainment driven initiatives in Frozen and in Star Wars in the fourth quarter. So we're really excited about the back half of the year. We just wanted to make sure we pointed out some of these little corky things that would impact the comparability of our quarters year-on-year.

Brian D. Goldner -- Chairman of the Board and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah. One of the more notable brands that's rolling out throughout the year are new innovation as the headline and digital engagement is certainly Nerf. We saw the Nerf POS go up in Q2. A few markets have the new Nerf Fortnite product like the US and a couple of countries around the world, but it's really expanding right now. So Q3 is where it takes hold in major markets around the world.

We'll have more than 20 new Nerf Fortnite items rolling out and new innovation also for [Indecipherable] zombie, rival and mega. We also have this new high performance value-oriented product that launches in the very near-term, so that's third quarter. This is for the value shopper that really is looking for the Nerf performance. We know that kids and young people really want to play with Nerf. And we want to give them the opportunity to experience our kind of innovation and performance for that under $20 price point.

So we certainly expect further Nerf momentum in the second half with many of these new initiatives. You will also see some new protectable innovations coming later this year. We've seen great momentum year-to-date. And transformers is up, we have new initiatives in the fall there in Baby Alive. Our gaming initiatives Play-Doh us up. And then as Deb said, we get into the fourth quarter and we add to that several new initiatives, most notably Frozen 2 and Star Wars, both are set on October 4th in shelves around the world.

But we also have a number of big new initiatives for Magic in the second half of the year. We'll have at least two more Mythic championships for both Arena and for tabletop this year and that will both occur in the third and then the fourth quarter. A number of new game releases and announcements coming, as well as continued momentum we believe for Dungeons & Dragons. So really a strong lineup as we hit third and fourth quarter.

Eric Handler -- MKM Partners -- Analyst

Great. And then just as a follow-up, Deb. So, you had a significant increase in your programing cost amortization. In 2Q, $23 million, very sizable number. Was there any big deliveries from that? Was that a function of BumbleBee movie profits and expensing associated with that?

Deborah M. Thomas -- Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Sure. Well, what you're seeing in the quarter is, there is some incremental expense associated with the production content and primarily with BumbleBee, but our full year expectation on that line is up slightly from last year, but we are expecting the full year to be about 1% to 1.5% of company revenues.

We actually anticipate our revenue share from film and home entertainment to begin in the second half of this year. And if you recall, we had thought based on earlier estimates we received, it wouldn't come until very late in the year or in 2020. So we've already recorded meaningful revenue and profit from the merchandise and toys and games, consumer products and digital gaming associated with the film. And now, we'll start to see the revenue and the amortization.

So we're very happy that the -- with the financial return on our investment, but also more importantly the longer-term benefits this film has brought to reset the franchise and all of its storytelling go forward.

Eric Handler -- MKM Partners -- Analyst

Great. Thank you.

Operator

Our next question is from the line of Stephanie Wissink with Jefferies. Please proceed with your questions.

Ashley Helgans -- Jefferies -- Analyst

Good morning. This is actually Ashley on for Steph. Thanks for taking our question and congrats on the quarter. I think you guys hit almost all of our questions. But just on China -- Good morning. Just on China production exposure, what percent of US goods -- the US goods are produced in China now and what could it be by year-end?

Brian D. Goldner -- Chairman of the Board and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah. We had said that in China right now coming to the US is just under two-thirds. We think by year-end 2020 it could be around 50%. And recall that, 20% of our production for the US takes place in the US. We use all third-party manufacturers, we're increasingly spreading our footprint and adding new geographies for production globally, that includes new production in India and Vietnam.So we feel very good about where we're going.

And having said all of that, we also want to reaffirm that China continues to be a high quality, low cost place to make toys and games. And it will continue to be part of our global network in a major way.

Ashley Helgans -- Jefferies -- Analyst

All right. Thank you so much and congrats again on the quarter.

Brian D. Goldner -- Chairman of the Board and Chief Executive Officer

Thank you.

Operator

The next question comes from the line of Michael Ng with Goldman Sachs. Please proceed with your question.

Michael Ng -- Goldman Sachs -- Analyst

Hi. Good morning. Thank you very much for the question. I just have one on Magic. Based on what we know about the total gaming growth and the E&L [Phonetic] growth in the quarter. It seems like tabletop was the larger contributor to Magic. Is that the right way to think about it?

And then, can you talk a little bit about whether War of the Spark or Modern Horizon was a bigger contributor to growth. I'm kind of surprised you guys called out Modern horizons as a big contributor, but I'm just trying to think about future momentum here? Thank you very much.

Brian D. Goldner -- Chairman of the Board and Chief Executive Officer

Sure. Well, overall the Magic: The Gathering franchise saw strong growth. The largest gains in the quarter were from tabletop as you indicated, but we did see the Arena product and game represent our second highest growth in the quarter. What we saw is that, in store player growth is up 12% year-over-year in total unique players and up 11% year-over-year in new player growth behind The War of the Spark release, and that's driven by storytelling and gameplay.

Some of you may know, this is the culmination of a five-year story arc that brings together our Planeswalkers. And so, driven by storytelling and animated feature quality trailers, game play and social. But it does tie directly to the Arena game play, so they are synchronous as we go forward. We did see that and know that Magic is available in 11 languages and most of those saw significant demand above plan and we've gone for repeat -- reprints there.

The Modern Horizon set did ship in the quarter and the response was tremendous. It's most comparable to a set that we released last fourth quarter. So we highlighted just to, again, talk about how storytelling comes at different times for Magic throughout any given year. And to recognize that, it really did take hold with our fans and it was a very exciting set release. We are seeing real momentum in engagement and monetization around Magic: The Gathering Arena. We continue to see progress there. We continue to have our Mythic championships. And then also, late in the quarter we saw the Core Set 2020 began to ship, now will continue into Q3. We have a lot of new news for the back half of the year.

And we also, of course, will go to our official launch for Arena, which will likely occur in the next four months or so. And I talked about having a couple more Mythic championships for both Arena and tabletop toward the end of the year. What was really heartening to see was that, our Mythic championship 3 which came in June had 1.4 million viewer hours, which made it the number two property globally as we look at Twitch, which was even better than the Mythic Championship that happened earlier in the year. So we're seeing the momentum -- we're seeing the momentum in all the key KPIs for Magic and Magic Arena. But we did want to highlight also the success of the tabletop business.

Michael Ng -- Goldman Sachs -- Analyst

Great, thank you very much. And if I can just have a quick follow-up, what do you expect to be the key changes for Arena once it leaves open beta and goes into the official launch? Is it more marketing, more content? I just love to hear your plans there. Thank you.

Brian D. Goldner -- Chairman of the Board and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah. Well, they are continuing to offer new elements within the feature set and constantly updating the feature set based on player feedback, we really love hearing from our players. You're going to see more competition, we've got more of the esports elements that are beginning. You certainly will see and we've talked about the discrete marketing that will hit the P&L during the time of the launch.

And really the way I'd look at it and illustrate the point is that, right now the people that were engaged in Magic are aware of Magic Arena and yet over the history of Magic, to date there have been 38 million players and not all of those players are currently playing, there is a lot of [Indecipherable] and lapsed users and they need to be told about and marketed to, so that they're aware of the ability to go play Arena, go play MAGIC online and play that with their friends and neighbours all around the world. That's really an exciting element, and I think that's going to be one of the biggest shifts you'll see as we go forward. The opportunity to ignite new fan engagement and [Indecipherable] and lapsed user player engagement.

Michael Ng -- Goldman Sachs -- Analyst

Great. Thank you very much, Brian.

Operator

The next question is from the line of Arpine Kocharyan with UBS. Please proceed with your question.

Arpine Kocharyan -- UBS -- Analyst

Hi. Thanks very much. Great quarter. I just got a question on what is your sense of initial investment cadence for Arena for back half as you get into sort of the second half of the year, as well as 2020? What components of those marketing costs go away as we look into next year? It seems like those investments in Arena comes up in Q2 versus Q1. I just want to have a good sense of that flow through in the back half and as well as how you look at it for 2020?

Brian D. Goldner -- Chairman of the Board and Chief Executive Officer

So, Deb can comment on some of the key points on the P&L, where Arena development -- game development and game marketing hit, because they had a couple of different points in the P&L. But I think the way to look at it is, we will see increased spend in marketing and esports engagement in Arena as we go to launch. And remember that, Arena as well as many of our new digital games that are coming as part of a new suite of games that we will launch for Magic and then for D&D should be thought of as games as a service. So that's ongoing, they're constantly being updated, new feature sets are being offered, new content is being offered, new adventures, new ways to play.

So we do expect to the point that our operating margin in EL&D [Phonetic] will be superior to the rest of the company's average operating profit margin. And in some instances, by a long measure. We certainly see that in our entertainment and licensing area. And we see that in consumer products as a superior margins, as well as with the Wizards of the Coast brands, our gaming business overall. So that you'll continue to see that we can create that higher operating margin, and it will be that way. However, we are still spending at a higher level.

Deborah M. Thomas -- Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Right. So you may see that, that margin be a bit lower on a percentage standpoint, but still, as Brian said, superior to the rest of the company. And that's really due to the amortization. Right? When you think about the capitalization of the product and then launch, you've got amortization of it, some of which you see in product development, some of which you see an admin line, as well as some marketing we've talked about for the launch.

And in addition to that, we are investing in future gaming. So, most importantly, as you know us. Right. We don't like to sit on our laurels, we're thinking multi-years out. And to create that future profitable growth for the business and the gaming side of the business, we are investing in that longer-term larger game play. We've seen success in Arena and what we've done to date, and we'd like to make sure that, that success continues with other games and in other formats as well as we go forward. So you'll see a bit of that in product development, admin, as well as in marketing.

Brian D. Goldner -- Chairman of the Board and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah. We continue to see the opportunity to double the size of the Wizards of the Coast brands as we've done over the last five years -- over the next five years, but we're really seeing digital take hold and our game players and gamers around the world are really enjoying the games we're offering.

Arpine Kocharyan -- UBS -- Analyst

Great. Thank you. That's really helpful. And then regarding tariffs. So I know there's nothing concrete yet in that regard, but given elevated risk could you talk about the extent to which toy makers could pass on those costs, given some retail price points that can really change like, 999's and 1999's at retail. I guess what type of investment you expect to get from retailers?

Deborah M. Thomas -- Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Yeah. I think that's a great question, Arpine. It's -- as you look at it, there are these price points that, once you break down it starts to impact kind of the elasticity of demand for the product. And for us, it's always been about innovation and driving value in products that consumers are willing to pay for. But the unfortunate thing with tariffs, if they do come into play is -- the consumer is ultimately going to feel that price pressure because the cost to react to it and we always talk about being able to reengineer product and take cost out or move to different jurisdictions for manufacturing, but that takes a bit of time. And depending when they come, we can pass those price increases on to our retailers, but our expectation, as we look at it would be that, retailers would not want their margin to decline as well. So that would get passed along to consumers.

Arpine Kocharyan -- UBS -- Analyst

Great. Thank you. Great quarter.

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Felicia Hendrix with Barclays. Please proceed with your question.

Felicia Hendrix -- Barclays -- Analyst

Hi. Thank you. Deb, can we just stay on this tariff topic for a moment. And all the color that you gave us was really helpful. Just to be clear though, regarding the direct orders and what's currently happening at retail, regardless of the fact that there are currently no tariffs on choice. Should we expect to see any impact this year in the fourth quarter with the direct orders? Or are you just giving us hypotheticals?

Deborah M. Thomas -- Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

I think that if tariffs were to come into play, our expectation is, we would see an impact. Right now it's early. I mean, honestly we've seen some of our retailers change their ordering patterns, but it's early in the year and we're really excited. We have so many great initiatives coming toward the end of this year. And we -- as Brian and I've talked about, we expect those to continue into 2020. So as we think about spring sets and reorders and things like that, I think a lot of it is dependent on what we will actually see, but if tariffs were to come into play, we would expect an impact in the fourth quarter.

Felicia Hendrix -- Barclays -- Analyst

Okay. So it's more of a conditional, but you're not expecting anything yet. Okay. And then just on the -- moving on to gross margins. Your gross margins were significantly better than we expected. And I'm just wondering, were there any one-time items in there or it was just the upside, the function of the better than expected revenues versus what the Street was expecting? I'm just wondering if, again, there was a one-time items or perhaps increase in digital was changing the complexion of gross margins?

Deborah M. Thomas -- Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

A bit -- what really is impacting it is product mix. And we talked about higher -- even Magic: The Gathering performing higher than our expectations. So what you're really seeing is the impact of mix from entertainment licensing and digital, as well as the strong performance of Magic tabletop. And we talked about gaming tends to have higher margins overall for our business and it was just the strength of the quarter.

Felicia Hendrix -- Barclays -- Analyst

Okay. So given what you know today and given kind of how you talked about your expectations at Toy Fair in terms of your overall margin. Should we think about that differently?

Deborah M. Thomas -- Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

No, I think from an expectation standpoint, I mean, we still expect full year profitable growth. And we talked about that in our prepared remarks and we still expect that . Dependent on mix toward the end of the year and whether we get tariffs or not, that could impact our gross margin. But our beliefs are still the same.

Felicia Hendrix -- Barclays -- Analyst

Okay. Great. And Brian, just to kind of get back to Arena, I mean, to Magic for a second. I think in a normalized year given kind of your more first-half weighted releases of Magic versus other years, it would seem like you would have a tougher compare in the second half, but just based on the things that you've said so far this call, it sounds like given your initiatives we might not see that for the second half. Is that the right way to think about that?

Brian D. Goldner -- Chairman of the Board and Chief Executive Officer

Well, look, I think the underlying growth and engagement in Magic Arena is really substantial. Having said that, there is that quarterly compare, it's Q4 '18 versus the second quarter of this year and that's why we highlighted Modern Horizons. Look, overall Magic has been on a growth trajectory. We expect over time it compounds and continues to grow, it's part of our plan in expanding the reach and engagement of our Wizards of the Coast brands. I don't want to -- really want to comment and forecast Magic Q-for-Q, but I would say that, overall, we're very happy with the progress on Magic: The Gathering and it certainly is set up well for its launch later this year.

Felicia Hendrix -- Barclays -- Analyst

Okay. Thanks. And final one from me. Just back to you, Deb. Just with your buyback. Are you -- given the stock strength, are you still planning on repurchasing $100 million to $150 million in repurchases for the year?

Deborah M. Thomas -- Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Yeah. So, as you know, we've always said we're opportunistic with our repurchases, just based on market conditions and other factors. So our level will fluctuate from quarter-to-quarter, but our expectation is still that, we'll purchased $100 million to $150 million this year.

Felicia Hendrix -- Barclays -- Analyst

Okay. Great. Thank you so much.

Brian D. Goldner -- Chairman of the Board and Chief Executive Officer

Thanks.

Operator

The next question is from the line of Tim Conder with Wells Fargo Securities. Please proceed with your question.

Tim Conder -- Wells Fargo Securities -- Analyst

Thank you. I like to continue on little bit of Felicia's question here. And Deb, if you could just maybe remind us or refresh up the -- any timing differences between Q3 and Q4 this year versus last year? And whether that, again with the warehousing expenses you talked about, the timing of some of the revenues -- the timing between Q3 and Q4 change? It seem that you all alluded to that in your preamble.

Deborah M. Thomas -- Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Yeah. I think from a timing standpoint, as we talked about some direct comparisons with the sale of our streaming content last year in the third quarter is something that we wouldn't expect that there would be a comparable item this year. As you recall, that's like a multi-year deal. So we do that every few years. And also just some of the timing of the releases as Brian has spoken about with Magic. Those are really the big timing issues for us for the quarters. And beyond that, I think that with -- as long as tariffs still come into play and I say if, but we're hopeful that they will. That could have an impact there.

And again, that is just timing between fourth quarter and first quarter. It's a matter of shipping domestically versus the direct import and when the retailer actually takes ownership of it. But beyond that, we don't have any expectations. From an expense standpoint, we are starting to amortize the film, because we're expecting revenue for BumbleBee. So we talked about expecting between 1% and 1.5% of revenue on program, production, amortization and also the product development will continue with respect to our future gaming initiatives within the quarter.

Brian D. Goldner -- Chairman of the Board and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah. And then in the fourth quarter, Deb mentioned it, but to put it in the context of this question. We're clearly very excited about October the 4th, it's Triple Force Friday, will be supporting all the elements of the Star Wars program and launch, we have a really an amazing array of new Star Wars product in support of the film, in support of the fall in order video game, in support of The Mandalorian which begins on Disney Plus. We had seen over this past weekend, it was ComicCon and I've just looked at top sellers for us, we sold an amazing array of collector oriented product and fan-oriented product with our Hasbro Pulse and live from the floor of ComicCon. But the Star Wars items continue to be top sellers. Our fans really love them, our team does an amazing job in bringing innovation to them. So we're very excited there.

Year-to-date or I should say, in the second quarter we're very happy to see in the US that the new initiatives we have for our entire fashion doll line up around our Disney brands and including Princess and Frozen are up. And so we are seeing new momentum as a result of new product innovation. The support of Aladdin, as well as the [1:00:39] Princess segment that we spoke about before. New ways to look at our Princess is in a more modern way, and then we're very excited about Frozen 2, which comes in the fourth quarter.

So clearly not only the fourth quarter will be positively impacted by all of that Disney initiatives. We certainly believe that 2020 gets a major lift as a result of the Disney initiatives. We've seen how Marvel has contributed to performance in the quarter and year-to-date. And so, I think we've spoken about kind of the big elements that relate to or reflect timing.

Tim Conder -- Wells Fargo Securities -- Analyst

Okay. So then the -- again, the Magic this year timing skewed to the first half of the year is one of the big differences than the other things you just described.

Brian D. Goldner -- Chairman of the Board and Chief Executive Officer

Well, I think that, certainly in tabletop people had asked historically would tabletop be impacted negatively by Arena. And the answer is, emphatically no. In fact, tabletop is probably showing more momentum as a result of all of the engagement around Arena, around the tournament play and esports and the viewership on Twitch. And so the compare of Q2 this year being even bigger than Q4 last year in Modern Horizons.

We just wanted to point that out. We certainly have seen the growth of Magic over time and Magic: The Gathering has doubled in size over the last number of years. We expect Magic and the Wizards of the Coast brands to continue to grow toward doubling and we've said we could double those brands over time. D&D, Dungeons & Dragons we haven't even spoken about, but it was up in the quarter. It's showing some great momentum, and we expect to talk more about a digital gaming in that brand as well, that's coming in.

For both brands we're also engaged in a lot of storytelling. You saw some of the announcements around the Magic: The Gathering animated series that's coming to Netflix, headlined by the Russo Brothers who are amazing creative stewards for that brand and working with our team at Wizards of the Coast and our studios team. And so we're very excited about activating storytelling across all forms and formats for those brands.

Tim Conder -- Wells Fargo Securities -- Analyst

And then lastly if I may. The emerging markets, any comments or expectations and changes in LatAm and then any comment on China in particular? And then any color on Power Rangers contribution during the quarter? Thank you.

Brian D. Goldner -- Chairman of the Board and Chief Executive Officer

Sure. Yeah. China was up a bit in the quarter. And if you take out forex, our emerging markets year-to-date are about flat, up a little. We expect to continue to get back in momentum. If you take Latin America year-to-date, it's flat to up a bit. And again, we made a few on the ground changes in Mexico in supply chain that caused some timing, but I don't see anything there that are long term challenges to the region. The team has done a very good job there, and we have a lot of new initiatives that will hit in Latin America as well, as well as in China. And so, feel good about that. You had a second part of your question about Power Rangers. Thank you. Yeah. So on Power Rangers, it's really very early days, we've launched in North America, we've seen just a bit of revenue -- literally just a bit of revenue in Europe. So it rolls out throughout the rest of the year. So it's not a major contributor yet, although the early signs are quite positive. The ratings are top ratings in its time period on our partners broadcasts or linear cable channels like Nickelodeon. We're seeing great engagement online, our fans really love our new fan-oriented lightening collection. And again, early days, but whether it's consumer products, digital gaming, our toys and games or the show itself, all signs are positive for Power Rangers.

Tim Conder -- Wells Fargo Securities -- Analyst

Okay. Thank you. And very good quarter.

Brian D. Goldner -- Chairman of the Board and Chief Executive Officer

Thanks, Tim.

Operator

The next question is from the line of Ray Stochel with Consumer Edge Research. Please proceed with your question.

Ray Stochel -- Consumer Edge Research -- Analyst

Great. Thanks for taking my question. The retailers want less inventory comment, is that a mix of retailers year-over-year or versus maybe even 2017 and prior changing with Toys "R" Us? Or is that more on a like-for-like basis? And then if it's more on a like-for-like basis, I guess, my question would be, why wouldn't retailers new to the toy category or growing in the toy category due to the lack of Toys "R" Us last year want to build deeper inventories now that they know what their customers want and better understand what products their customers want? Thanks.

Brian D. Goldner -- Chairman of the Board and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah. So it's a multi-variable sort of answer. You're right that we have new retailers as part of our expanded channel strategy and expanded channel footprint who we're taking more inventory and are building inventory. And you saw in the US, our inventories are up single digits in the quarter, partly around the potentiality of tariffs and partly around the sales of our brands. What we're really talking about are online retailers and omni channel retailers who have the benefit of seeing the momentum and the major step up we saw this past quarter in online sales trying to replicate the best practice they're taking from their online or omni-channel businesses, and pairing weak supply and seeing what the opportunities are to continue to hone their inventories and to optimize inventories around maximizing sales.

And so they do expect to continue to grow in sales, they do want us to continue to provide our top selling brands and franchises. They want to make sure that they are well positioned for major launches around our story led brands and our partner story led brands. We're just commenting on the fact that overall they are operating with less week supply in an omni or online world and with the goal or target to be more like that in their brick and mortar businesses

Ray Stochel -- Consumer Edge Research -- Analyst

Got it. And do you think that, that initiative from retailers where they are in some cases even testing certain products online and then bringing that to retail if they're really successful is a long-term benefit for you guys or something that's a bit of a challenge? I'd love to know if there is any longer term thoughts on what that means for your business?

Brian D. Goldner -- Chairman of the Board and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah. No, look, we really like our direct to consumer initiatives and direct through retail initiatives that we're undertaking. We rebranded and relaunched our Hasbro Toy Shop to really focus on what we call Hasbro Pulse now, our fan-oriented content to commerce site and initiative. Our fans are really enjoying it, because they get to get unique content and unique products.

We're also working with retailers in a similar fashion in a direct way so that not every product we launch is a mega volume product that may be around a specific audience, that's able to find that product now in a manner that they couldn't have found it before. In the second quarter, if I look at online sales momentum, which is, as I've said, stepped up appreciably versus any percent gains we've seen in the past. We go from strength to strength where people are able to find our new Nerf Fortnite products, whether they can find them at retail, new Disney Princess offerings, new Play-Doh offerings, new gaming offering. So whether or not people are able to find those products at their local stores, they're able to find those products associated with the digital engagement, social engagement, content engagement or story led engagement that they are experiencing in other venues and able to bring that play home, which we think is very good for our business. And we think we uniquely differentiated ourselves through our strategy and our execution.

Ray Stochel -- Consumer Edge Research -- Analyst

Great. Thank you so much again.

Operator

The next question is from the line of Jamie Katz from Morningstar. Please proceed with your question.

Jamie Katz -- Morningstar -- Analyst

Hi. Good morning. I just have one quick question on Europe. It seems to sequentially stabilized and I'm curious if there is -- that's just because we are lapping some of the noise surrounding Toys "R" Us in Europe? Or if there is some other factor you guys are seeing? And any commentary you have on consumer behavior in the region would be helpful. Thanks.

Brian D. Goldner -- Chairman of the Board and Chief Executive Officer

Sure. Well, in Europe, revenues were up 1% or 6%, absent FX. Our inventories are down -- retail inventories are down by about a third across Europe. Our channel strategy, both omni-channel and online channel strategy capabilities are really taking hold. And it really speaks to a new array of top or leading retailers for the region, ones that we had -- really had is top retailers prior including Amazon and Smith's and [1:09:38] in Russia. We're seeing good POS gains across many major markets . The one market where POS is a bit down and that's hampering overall European POS is still the UK. We're really seeing growth in major franchise brands including Baby Alive, Monopoly and Magic: The Gathering, really good progress on Play-Doh.

In Nerf Fortnite, as I mentioned earlier, product is just beginning to have a presence in the region. Only a few markets have seen some inventory. And so, we expect that to help continue to build momentum. The Marvel franchises have made a really good contribution to growth, the Power Rangers is just beginning to roll out in those markets. And year-to-date, Transformers is up and set for a really good 2019.

Year-to-date Hasbro Gaming is up in the region. Dungeons & Dragons is up and Magic: The Gathering is up. We also saw that Playskool and Furreal contributed. So overall, we feel good about where we are and what we've said before about Europe, which is, we intend to stabilize the region in the area of revenues and we expect an improvement in profitability and that's what we saw in Q2. That's what we've seen thus far in year-to-date and we feel we're set up well for the second half.

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from the line of Drew Crum with Stifel. Please proceed with your questions.

Drew Crum -- Stifel -- Analyst

Okay. Thanks. Hi, guys. Good morning. Brian, I think you mentioned that POS has picked up recently for Nerf. Can you update us on your expectations for the brand in 2019? Your prior commentary suggests that declines would moderate versus last year. I'm just wondering if there was any change there? And then separately, there are a couple of new S5 [Phonetic] services rolling out. Is there an opportunity for Hasbro to sell content to these platforms. Are you guys locked in with exclusives with your current partners? Thanks.

Brian D. Goldner -- Chairman of the Board and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah. So, on the SVOD front, we have about 50 different SVOD deals globally. We are creating all kinds of new media windows for our new content launches, whether it's on a linear channel like Cartoon Network and then going online or streamed with another provider in a unique way or window, ensuring that we also have YouTube content where appropriate in shorter form. And so, we have some limitations as it relates to our linear joint venture with Discovery Family. But we also have opportunities for a lot of our content across any number of SVOD platforms. And we're really taking advantage of that, plus we have a number of new brands that are in development and new initiatives around brands that we're very excited about like our Transformers fan-oriented content set for next year with Netflix, War for Cybertron Trilogy.

So there are lots of ways to look at new media models and I think the team is exploring them and has done a really good job of bringing our brands to life in content, streamed and linear platforms around the world. For Nerf, I had mentioned that POS was up in Q2. Really we've only seen the new Nerf Fortnite product in a few markets, but where it is taken hold like in the US, it has really shown tremendous momentum. And so we do believe the new Nerf Fortnite innovation, as well as our Alpha Strike innovation that's coming shortly and also the new proprietary innovation sort of signals the next era of new product innovation and digital engagement for the brand. So our feeling about the band earlier in the year that if we could get these elements to work for us as we have. The team has done a very good job in marketing them. The feedback from fans has been tremendous. And yet -- we have not yet rolled Nerf Fortnite out to many markets around the world. We continue to believe that Nerf will regain momentum and also revenues and sales throughout 2019.

Drew Crum -- Stifel -- Analyst

Got it. Okay. Thanks, guys .

Operator

The next question comes from the line of Gerrick Johnson with BMO. Please proceed with your question.

Gerrick Johnson -- BMO -- Analyst

Hey, good morning. I have one balance sheet...

Brian D. Goldner -- Chairman of the Board and Chief Executive Officer

Good morning.

Gerrick Johnson -- BMO -- Analyst

Hi. One balance sheet and two Magic questions. First on the balance sheet, you mentioned US inventory is higher to mitigate tariffs, as well as more domestic fulfillment. You have a couple of big 3Q programs, channel for Frozen 2 and Star Wars. So why is your inventory down 7.5%?

Deborah M. Thomas -- Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

It's really about Europe and our international market. So piece of it's FX. Right. And we haven't talked about FX, but we've had a pretty significant negative impact from FX. But it also reduced the balance sheet at the end of the quarter. But what -- the biggest decline that you're seeing in our overall held inventory, as well as our retail inventory that we've talked about is within Europe. And beyond that, our Latin America inventory is down quite a bit as well.

Gerrick Johnson -- BMO -- Analyst

Okay. Good. Thank you. And on Magic, can you tell us how much the early release of the Magic sets impacted the second quarter?

Brian D. Goldner -- Chairman of the Board and Chief Executive Officer

The early release. No, it's just a timing of different -- as you know, a different story led card releases. I did give you a sense for the fact that tabletop was the largest gain in the quarter. I think Mike had asked that question. And then digital was our second highest growth in the quarter. And then, obviously, it was around both War of the Spark, as well as Modern Horizons and then late in the quarter we began shipping the Core Set 2020. So we kind of given you broadly order of magnitude impact for the quarter.

Gerrick Johnson -- BMO -- Analyst

Okay. And then, you did comment in the footnotes that Wizards of the Coasts digital gaming revenue was about $11 million in 2Q '18. So how did 2Q '19 compared to that?

Brian D. Goldner -- Chairman of the Board and Chief Executive Officer

Well, as you know, it's now reported inside of entertainment licensing and digital. So while we also saw gains in consumer products and some other areas like digital gaming not related to Wizards gaming, it's in those numbers.

Deborah M. Thomas -- Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Right. And we also talked about the fact that we had an -- we didn't really see the first meaningful revenue from Arena until the fourth quarter of 2018.

Brian D. Goldner -- Chairman of the Board and Chief Executive Officer

So that will be the first comp. Right. The first comp will be in fourth quarter 2018 versus this Q4 '19.

Gerrick Johnson -- BMO -- Analyst

All right. Thank you, guys.

Brian D. Goldner -- Chairman of the Board and Chief Executive Officer

Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. Our final question today comes from the line of Linda Bolton Weiser with D.A. Davidson. Please proceed with your question.

Linda Bolton Weiser -- D.A. Davidson -- Analyst

Hi. I was just curious about the girls brands within franchise brands, My Little Pony and Baby Alive. My Little Pony has really posted growth in many quarters. Can you just talk about the outlook for those girls brands within franchise?

Brian D. Goldner -- Chairman of the Board and Chief Executive Officer

Sure. Look, My Little Pony, it's our last year of the current television series, which is the ninth season and we are transitioning to new, let's call it, TV based entertainment, as well as streamed entertainment. It's very exciting. The team is really been working on something and I can't say much more than that. We are also working on the next animated feature film, that will be CGI film from our Boulder Studios, Boulder media and we're very excited about where that goes. So at times, brands are in transition and we've made a -- are making a transition on My Little Pony. Our mantra here is always to reinvest -- reinvent, reignite and reimagine brands and we're actively doing that for Pony. For Baby Alive, we are -- we've been seeing good momentum. The brand is up in Europe, and I would say down in a couple of other territories. But really it's just related to timing of different price points of product that were available a year ago versus this year. We're very excited about several fall initiatives, including a very big new initiative called the Happy Hungry Baby. And so, I think the team has done a very nice job of stepping forward in that brand.

Linda Bolton Weiser -- D.A. Davidson -- Analyst

Thanks a lot.

Operator

Thank you. At this time, I will turn the floor back to Debbie Hancock for closing remarks.

Debbie Hancock -- Senior Vice President of Investor Relations

Thank you, Rob. And thank you everyone for joining the call today. The replay will be available on our website in approximately two hours. Management's prepared remarks will also be posted on our website following this call. Our third quarter earnings release is tentatively scheduled for Tuesday, October 22. Thank you.

Operator

[Operator Closing Remarks]

Duration: 66 minutes

Call participants:

Debbie Hancock -- Senior Vice President of Investor Relations

Brian D. Goldner -- Chairman of the Board and Chief Executive Officer

Deborah M. Thomas -- Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Eric Handler -- MKM Partners -- Analyst

Ashley Helgans -- Jefferies -- Analyst

Michael Ng -- Goldman Sachs -- Analyst

Arpine Kocharyan -- UBS -- Analyst

Felicia Hendrix -- Barclays -- Analyst

Tim Conder -- Wells Fargo Securities -- Analyst

Ray Stochel -- Consumer Edge Research -- Analyst

Jamie Katz -- Morningstar -- Analyst

Drew Crum -- Stifel -- Analyst

Gerrick Johnson -- BMO -- Analyst

Linda Bolton Weiser -- D.A. Davidson -- Analyst

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