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DATE

  • Wednesday, July 30, 2025, at 3 p.m. EDT

CALL PARTICIPANTS

  • President & Chief Executive Officer — Adam Greenlee
  • Chief Financial Officer — Kimberly Ulmer
  • Executive Vice President, Corporate Development & Administration — Robert Lewis

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RISKS

  • Management revised its adjusted EPS guidance for 2025 downward to a range of $3.85–$4.05 (non-GAAP, full year), citing two explicit impacts: an expected $10 million reduction in Dispensing and Specialty Closures adjusted EBIT (non-GAAP) for FY2025, resulting from weaker North American hot-fill beverage volumes due to adverse weather, and a separate $10 million impact in Metal Containers adjusted EBIT (non-GAAP) for the second half and full year, related to a major North American customer bankruptcy.
  • Free cash flow guidance for 2025 was reduced to approximately $430 million, with management noting that the lower adjusted EPS forecast is "directly attributed to the two discrete items" impacting segment profitability.

TAKEAWAYS

  • Net Sales: Net sales reached approximately $1.5 billion in Q2 2025, representing an 11% increase driven by growth in Dispensing products and higher raw material cost pass-throughs in Metal Containers.
  • Adjusted EBIT: Adjusted EBIT reached a record $193 million, up 17% year over year in Q2 2025, driven by Dispensing gains (including Weener), price/mix improvements, and cost reductions.
  • Adjusted EPS: $1.01, a $0.13 or 15% year-over-year increase in Q2 2025, with management highlighting record first-half adjusted EBIT and EBITDA.
  • Dispensing and Specialty Closures Segment Sales: Sales rose 24% in Q2 2025, led by the Weener integration and higher organic Dispensing product volumes.
  • Dispensing and Specialty Closures Adjusted EBIT: Increased $15 million or 16%, despite a $5 million EBIT headwind from North American beverage volume declines.
  • North American Beverage Closures Volumes: Declined by a mid-single-digit percentage in Q2 2025, with management attributing the decrease primarily to "cool wet weather" and reduced promotional activity.
  • Metal Containers Segment Sales: Sales increased 4% in Q2 2025, reflecting favorable price/mix and a 1% benefit from foreign currency translation.
  • Metal Containers Adjusted EBIT: Adjusted EBIT in Metal Containers rose 21% in Q2 2025 due to normalized production and improved fixed cost absorption; Pet food volumes in the segment grew by a mid-single-digit percentage in Q2 2025.
  • Custom Containers Sales: Sales declined 3% in Q2 2025, largely due to exits from lower-margin business. Comparable volumes, excluding these exits, grew 2%.
  • Custom Containers Adjusted EBIT: Adjusted EBIT in Custom Containers increased 11% year over year in Q2 2025, with margin expansion of 190 basis points attributed to cost reduction measures.
  • 2025 Full-Year Guidance: The adjusted EPS range is set at $3.85–$4.05 for 2025, a 9% increase at the midpoint over 2024 actuals, reflecting impacts from weather-related beverage closures and customer bankruptcy.
  • Dispensing Segment 2025 Outlook: Organic volume is expected to achieve "high single-digit growth" in 2025. Dispensing and Specialty Closures adjusted EBIT is forecast to grow approximately 20% for the year.
  • Metal Containers 2025 Outlook: Volume growth in Metal Containers is projected at a mid-single-digit percentage in 2025, led by pet food and a partial recovery in vegetable packs.
  • Custom Containers 2025 Outlook: Comparable volumes in Custom Containers are expected to grow by a mid-single-digit percentage, with a mid-teen percentage increase in adjusted EBIT expected for 2025.
  • Free Cash Flow 2025 Guidance: Free cash flow guidance was lowered to roughly $430 million for 2025, up 10% from 2024, with management citing increased cash interest and $300 million in CapEx.
  • Adjusted EBITDA: Management forecasts adjusted EBITDA exceeding $1 billion for 2025 -- the highest in company history -- at the midpoint of the adjusted EPS range.
  • Third Quarter 2025 Guidance: Adjusted EPS is projected at $1.18–$1.28 for Q3 2025; Dispensing and Specialty Closures net sales are expected to rise by a mid-to-high 20s percentage rate, while Metal Containers adjusted EBIT faces a $5 million–$10 million headwind from customer bankruptcy.

SUMMARY

Silgan Holdings (SLGN -3.33%) delivered record adjusted EBIT and EBITDA, with management emphasizing the performance of Dispensing, pet food, and cost reduction initiatives, but revised its full-year 2025 adjusted EPS guidance lower due to a $10 million impact from weaker North American hot-fill beverage closures and a separate $10 million expected loss tied to a major customer bankruptcy in Metal Containers. Segment leadership highlighted robust gains in Dispensing and Specialty Closures for Q2 2025, including successful Weener integration, mid-single-digit growth in Metal Containers' pet food category, and improved Custom Containers adjusted EBIT margin following the exit of lower-margin business. Management expects ongoing growth in Dispensing and pet food, and stable soup and fruit segment volumes in 2025, and stated that all long-term structural fundamentals remain intact despite short-term disruptions from discrete weather and customer events.

  • President Greenlee described their position as targeting a 9% year-over-year adjusted EPS gain at the midpoint for 2025, supported by "record first-half adjusted EBIT and record first-half adjusted EBITDA for the first half of 2025 (non-GAAP)."
  • Chief Financial Officer Ulmer stated, "At the midpoint of our estimated 2025 adjusted EPS range, we will exceed the prior record levels of adjusted EBIT and adjusted EBITDA, and exceed $1 billion of adjusted EBITDA for the first time in the company's history."
  • Metal Containers segment's 2025 mid-single-digit growth forecast is driven primarily by pet food and partial recovery in vegetable packs, as stated by management.
  • According to Greenlee, volumes for legacy Dispensing products (excluding beverage) grew at a "mid- to high single-digit" rate in Q2 2025, aligning with prior expectations.
  • Management identified the only factors driving current guidance revisions as "The hot-fill beverage item in North America and the customer bankruptcy in Metal Containers," assuring that performance in all other business areas is consistent with previous forecasts.
  • Greenlee clarified that, at the end of the day, the inventory build in hot-fill beverages will be worked down in 2025, and a return to normalized demand is anticipated in 2026.
  • Ulmer indicated that changes in free cash flow forecast are "primarily the two items that we talked about on the EBITDA [ line ]."
  • Robert Lewis reaffirmed the company's capital allocation approach, stating share repurchases remain "the third leg of the stool" and are considered in times of sustained market dislocation, with no change to the firm's capital deployment priorities.

INDUSTRY GLOSSARY

  • Hot Fill Beverage: Beverage products processed at high temperatures and filled into containers while hot to maintain sterility, with demand patterns sensitive to weather-driven consumption.
  • Pack: Industry term for the seasonal production period, especially relevant to the timing of canning food or beverage product volumes.
  • Co-pack: The practice of shifting production to contract manufacturing or co-packing partners, often as part of asset-light strategies or when facilities are closed.
  • Dispensing and Specialty Closures: Segment focused on closures and dispensing systems for food, beverage, personal care, and healthcare packaging.
  • Weener: Reference to the acquired Weener Plastics Group, a provider of plastic packaging solutions, recently integrated into Silgan's Dispensing and Specialty Closures segment.

Full Conference Call Transcript

Adam Greenlee: Thank you, Alex, and we'd like to welcome everyone to Silgan's second-quarter earnings call. Our second quarter results showcase the structural changes that have been taking shape in our business over the past decade. As our teams continue to build upon the momentum in our business, and delivered 15% adjusted EPS growth and record adjusted EBIT, driven by the success of our strategic initiatives, the strong operational execution of our teams, and the benefit of our capital deployment model.

Our second quarter and first half results have shown significant organic growth in Dispensing and pet food markets, the integration of the [indiscernible] acquisition, and the success of our cost reduction initiatives that have resulted in first half adjusted EPS that is 17% above the prior year period. Record first half adjusted EBIT and record first half adjusted EBITDA. Our Dispensing and Specialty Closures segment showed significant year-over-year growth and delivered another quarter of record adjusted EBIT, with over 40% growth in dispensing products and continued success in the markets we serve.

Our market-leading innovation and design capabilities, the strength of our long-term customer relationships, and the execution and focus of our teams continue to set us apart in the market and drive organic growth that outpaces our peers and the end markets we serve. We have made meaningful progress in the integration of the Weener acquisition from a cultural, synergy and product portfolio perspective. And we have been very pleased with the incremental opportunities our teams are continuing to uncover to leverage both our global commercial presence and our expanded product offering to drive accelerated growth well into the future as a result of this combination.

We continue to have success with new and existing customers in our core high-end fragrance and beauty, personal care and home care markets, and are seeing incremental opportunities in health care and pharma markets as well. Our Dispensing momentum remained strong into the second half of the year as we execute on our near- and long-term priorities in this rapidly growing high-value portion of our business. Volumes for our North American Beverage Specialty Closure products, particularly in the hot fill markets, fell short of our expectations entering the quarter due mostly to cool wet weather experienced in much of the country during the second quarter.

Additionally, with weather impacting consumption patterns in the first half, our customers have adjusted their promotional spending plans to reflect the lower consumption patterns during this period, which further impacted our volumes. While weather conditions have improved as we enter the third quarter, our expectation is that the [indiscernible] consumption occasions for these beverages in the first half of the year will not be recovered in the balance of the year, as our customers work through the inventory they built for the peak season.

In Metal Containers, we continue to see strong demand for our pet food products, which grew by a mid-single-digit percentage in the second quarter, driven by our strong presence in the fastest-growing portions of the pet food market. As expected, our total volumes in the second quarter were comparable to prior year levels, mostly as a result of the timing of orders for containers for soup markets in the first half. Our adjusted EBIT performance in Metal Containers during the second quarter was 21% above the prior year period, driven by a more normalized production environment relative to the prior year.

In Custom Containers, our business delivered strong operating performance and experienced continued success in the marketplace, as comparable volumes grew 2% after adjusting for the impact of lower margin business exited as a result of our cost savings initiatives. As expected, our adjusted EBIT margins expanded 190 basis points as a result of our cost reduction activities. With our strong start to the year, we remain confident in our ability to deliver on our strategic objectives and achieved significant earnings growth in 2025. And our expectations for continued growth in Dispensing and pet food products remain unchanged.

We continue to expect Dispensing organic volume to deliver another year of high single-digit growth, but we now expect the adverse weather impact on our [ hot fill beverage ] Specialty Closures volumes in North America in the second and third quarters to impact segment adjusted EBIT by approximately $10 million for the year. Our Metal Containers volumes are on track to grow by a mid-single-digit percentage, driven primarily by mid- to high single-digit growth in pet food, and a partial recovery in [ prudent vegetable pack ] volumes.

Unfortunately, a recent customer bankruptcy in North America that has resulted in that customer exiting certain markets is expected to impact Metal Containers adjusted EBIT by approximately $10 million in the second half of 2025. In Custom Containers with the annualization of the new business that ramped up in 2024, as well as additional new business awards in 2025, we continue to expect comparable volumes to grow by a mid-single-digit percentage this year.

We remain focused on the opportunities that lay ahead for the company, and are confident in our ability to execute on our plan as the structural changes and evolution in our portfolio have positioned us to drive significant growth in our business in the near term and long term. Our financial performance remains strong, and we are pleased that we are positioned to achieve a 9% increase in adjusted EPS, and exceed $1 billion in adjusted EBITDA at the midpoint of our estimated adjusted EPS range in 2025. With that, Kim will take you through the financials for the quarter, and our estimates for the third quarter and the full year of 2025.

Kimberly Ulmer: Thank you, Adam. As Adam highlighted, we reported another quarter of strong financial results in the second quarter, driven by the continued success of our dispensing business, more normalized production of Metal Containers and the execution of our cost reduction plan. Net sales of approximately $1.5 billion increased 11% from the prior year period, driven primarily by growth in dispensing products, including the addition of the [ banner ] business, and the pass-through of higher raw material and other manufacturing costs in Metal Containers.

Record total adjusted EBIT for the quarter of $193 million increased by 17% on a year-over-year basis driven by strong growth in dispensing products, including from the acquisition of Weener, improved price cost in Metal Containers, and the benefits of our cost reduction efforts, resulting in higher adjusted EBIT in all segments, and record adjusted EBIT in the Dispensing and Specialty Closure segment. Adjusted EPS of $1.01 increased $0.13, or 15%, from the prior year quarter. Turning to our segments. Second quarter sales in our Dispensing and Specialty Closures segment increased 24% versus the prior year period primarily as a result of the inclusion of the sales from Weener, and higher organic volumes of dispensing products.

Due to the rapid integration of Weener and the overlapping customers and products, organic volume mix calculations have become less meaningful for the segment and for Dispensing products in particular. Volumes for Food and Beverage Specialty Closures declined 3% during the quarter, driven by a mid-single-digit decline in North American beverage products, predominantly in hot fill markets. The decline in North American beverage volume was a result of cool wet weather in the second quarter, which drove lower overall consumption of these products, and as a result, lower promotional activity.

Record second quarter 2025 Dispensing and Specialty Closures adjusted EBIT increased $15 million, or 16%, versus the prior year period as a result of the contribution from Weener and higher organic volumes of dispensing products. The previously discussed decrease in North American beverage volumes resulted in an approximately $5 million year-over-year headwind to adjusted EBIT in the second quarter. In our Metal Container segment, sales increased 4% versus the prior year period as a result of favorable price/mix due to the contractual pass-through of higher raw material and other costs, and a 1% benefit from foreign currency translation.

As expected, unit volumes during the quarter were comparable due to mid-single-digit volume growth in pet food, and higher volume for fruit and vegetable markets, partially offset by lower volumes for supermarkets, primarily related to the timing of orders during the first half of the year. Metal Container adjusted EBIT increased 21% primarily as a result of favorable price cost due to a more normalized production schedule, and better fixed cost absorption relative to the prior year quarter which was impacted by a customer's reduction of their fruit and vegetable [ pack ] plans midyear.

In Custom Containers, sales decreased 3% compared to the prior year quarter, driven by a 2% decrease in volumes due to the exit of lower margin business as a result of a planned footprint reduction to achieve the previously announced cost reduction goals. Excluding the lower-margin business exited to achieve cost reduction plans, volumes increased 2%. Custom Containers adjusted EBIT increased 11% as compared to the second quarter of 2024, primarily due to favorable price/cost, including mix as a result of cost savings initiatives.

Looking ahead to the full year of 2025, we are revising our estimate of adjusted EPS from a range of $4 to $4.20, to a range of $3.85 to $4.05, a 9% increase at the midpoint of the range as compared to $3.62 in 2024. The revision in our estimate of adjusted EPS is the result of lower volume expectations for Specialty Closures in the North American beverage market, which we expect to impact dispensing and Specialty Closures adjusted EBIT by approximately $10 million, and the impact associated with certain changes in the market due to a customer bankruptcy in Metal Containers, which is also expected to impact the second half and full year by approximately $10 million.

This estimate includes interest expense of approximately $185 million, a tax rate of approximately 24%, corporate expense of approximately $45 million, and a weighted average share count of approximately 107 million shares. At the midpoint of our estimated 2025 adjusted EPS range, we will exceed the prior record levels of adjusted EBIT and adjusted EBITDA, and exceed $1 billion of adjusted EBITDA for the first time in the company's history.

From a segment perspective, we now expect a low teen percentage increase in total adjusted EBIT in 2025, driven primarily by an approximately 20% increase in Dispensing and Specialty Closures adjusted EBIT, a mid-teen percentage increase in Custom Container segment adjusted EBIT, and a mid-single-digit percentage increase in Metal Containers adjusted EBIT. Based on our current earnings outlook for 2025, we are revising our estimate of free cash flow from approximately $450 million to approximately $430 million, a 10% increase from the prior year as earnings growth will be partly offset by higher cash interest and CapEx of approximately $300 million. This estimate also includes approximately $20 million of cash costs to support our cost reduction programs.

Turning to our outlook for the third quarter of 2025. We are providing an estimate of adjusted earnings in the range of $1.18 to $1.28 per diluted share. Third-quarter earnings are expected to benefit from the inclusion of Weener, higher organic volumes of Dispensing products, and the ongoing benefits of our cost reduction programs. These benefits are expected to be partially offset by the reduction in Specialty Closures volumes in the North American beverage markets, and the impact of a recent customer bankruptcy in Metal Containers. Dispensing and Specialty Closures third-quarter net sales are expected to grow by a mid- to high-20s percentage rate, driven by strong volumes for Dispensing products, including the results of Weener.

Metal Containers and Custom Containers third-quarter volume is expected to increase by a mid-single-digit percentage. Third quarter adjusted EBIT in the dispensing and Specialty Closures and Custom Container segments are expected to be above prior year levels. Metal Containers third quarter adjusted EBIT is expected to be slightly below prior year levels as a result of a $5 million to $10 million impact related to the previously discussed recent customer bankruptcy. That concludes our prepared comments, and we'll open the call for questions. Rachel, would you kindly provide the directions for the question-and-answer session?

Operator: [Operator Instructions] And we will take our first question from Matt Roberts with Raymond James.

Matthew Roberts: First, on Metal. Maybe you could help me understand that customer. I believe they used to be 3% of revenue. They cut 30% last year, so called about 2% of revenue now, if my math is right there. How much of a hit to volume was that in '25 and what categories that expand to versus '24? Or maybe longer term, [ thinking out ] to '26? What's a worst-case scenario? A 2% revenue goes away? I mean, how much would EBIT be down in '26? Are there any assets or facilities that are co-located or dedicated to this customer? What is a more likely scenario for '26? Any additional color would be great there.

Adam Greenlee: Sure. Thanks, Matt. Obviously, it was a recent filing that are one of our large customers went into bankruptcy proceeding. So we've been dealing with that for a little bit of time now. And one thing I would say, just to be really clear, our company and our teams did a great job of protecting any downside financial risk related to that filing. So our teams worked very hard and diligently to make sure there was no financial impact on the filing itself. Now as we pivot and move forward to the ongoing operations, there's a couple of things to think about. One, you're right, it's a large customer, you can probably figure out for yourself who that might be.

We've got near site -- on-site locations that are competitively advantaged to any other potential supply scenario that, that particular customer could consider. We continue to operate under our contracts as normal, and we are working really hard to help them have a successful 2025 pack. And as they ramped into the bankruptcy proceeding, they've been operating under an asset-light strategy. So by that. I guess I would say they've been sort of shedding some of their operating facilities and moving some of their volume to [ co-pack ]. And that's where really the impact is where we're feeling it this year. They've closed a couple of facilities.

And just -- I won't give you the specific markets that they close those facilities for. They've moved most of that volume. They've lost some share. They moved most of the remaining volume to co-pack locations. And in some instances, we are the supplier of that co-pack locations -- our location, excuse me, in some instances, we are not. So where we are not is where we would have a potential shortfall in volume that we've now included in our forecast for the remainder of the year. The bankruptcy proceeding should conclude sometime probably in the first quarter of next year.

So we'll -- like I said, work really hard to help them have a successful 2025 [ pack ] season. Anything beyond that would be speculation, but I'll just reiterate what I started with is we have competitively advantaged facilities on-site, or near site, to the filling locations, and that's proven for about 38 years to be a very effective business model. Sorry, maybe just one last thing. Look, if the volume doesn't come back or the volume doesn't stay, we have a long track record of rightsizing our capacity to the demand levels of our customers, and we'll absolutely do that here.

I think we're premature in saying that at this point because we don't know what the final outcome is going to be. But clearly, that's a core part of our strategy as we do rightsize our capacity, just the demands of our customers, and we'll continue to do that. We'll have cost-down opportunities if we need them.

Matthew Roberts: Okay. certainly. Really appreciate all the color there, Adam. And maybe if I may ask another one on the Dispensing side. [indiscernible] can take it. But I know, Kim, I believe you said mid-teens [ 25 ] EBIT increase, where I think last quarter, you were expecting 20%. So my math says that's about a $20 million shortfall, and beverage was $10 million of that? Am I missing anything there? Or maybe my math is wrong? And on the Dispensing side, I think you still said you expect high single-digit volume and mix, but hard to parse that out with Weener now. So is that high single digit volume mix inclusive of Weener?

Could you discuss how Weener is done versus '24, and your legacy dispensing volumes in '25? And just any color on end markets and dispensing, how that's performing amid tariffs, or whether it's fragrance, beauty and the likes? Any additional color there would be great.

Adam Greenlee: Sure no problem. And I think maybe you were a little high on your increase.

Unknown Executive: Yes. Matt, think about mid- to high teens percentage increase. The impact from -- as Adam said, from the [ hot-filled beverage ] is about $10 million. So reduction to the balance of the business.

Adam Greenlee: And that's the important point. The only thing we're dealing with here in this conversation are the two discrete items that we outlined in the comments earlier. The balance of the prospects and forecasts for the business remain. And then I think, Matt, you think about Dispensing volume. Yes, we're seeing significant growth. I mean it's really interesting. We've acquired 42 companies in our history at Silgan, and we've done a pretty good job of integrating all of those businesses, and it should be no surprise to anyone that Weener is already not fully integrated, but we've made significant progress. So the synergies are right on track where we expected.

What's really interesting is some of the growth opportunities when you think about the global footprint, you think about the broadening of our basket of products we take to our customers, we're finding more opportunities than what we had initially -- we had initially identified. And as a reminder, we don't include those commercial synergies and our estimates when we set our synergy estimates at the beginning of the announcement of the acquisition. So we're feeling really good about it. It gets harder and harder to parse out our legacy volume from Weener because we are making investments into Weener facilities.

And one thing I would say is, remember, those facilities are very well capitalized, and carry with them a slightly higher depreciation. So if you think of EBIT margin, maybe the incremental EBIT margin didn't appear to be as robust as you would have thought. But when you get to the EBITDA margin level, we're delivering exactly what we would have expected from the Weener acquisition. And then the last point I'd make in [ DSC ] is you've got this powerhouse in fragrance and beauty, for our products that continues to perform. And what we've seen a good indicator of future market needs is our sampler platform.

I'll just say we continue to essentially be sold out in samplers and volume has been very, very strong. Our fragrance and beauty volumes are accelerating in the second half of the year. So we're expecting significant growth in the back half of the year with new product launches. And I think many of our customers in the prestige and high end of this market segment have been talking about new product launches on their public call, and talking about how these products continue to perform versus some of the other portfolio of products they have in their in their company.

And we feel really good about in fragrance and beauty, and our customers do too, and they continue to invest and we're right there with them to support them for their growth.

Operator: And we will take our next question from George Staphos with Bank of America.

George Staphos: Adam, I know you've already said you don't really want to get into the organic sort of legacy growth question on Dispensing. But I want to give it one more shot if you can answer the question this way. I mean, clearly, you know the number of parts, the number of units you're shipping, and you probably knew what Weener was doing at the time you acquired it. If we sort of stop the clock at that point with Weener's units being what they were, and you measured all the other incremental growth from here as growth in legacy. What kind of growth would that show ex beverage? Is there any way you can talk to that?

Adam Greenlee: Sure. And George, you're exactly right. I think we can do that. We obviously have done that. But there's a little bit of mathematics that it takes to get there and you're making some assumptions, too. So maybe let me [indiscernible] you really clear. Our legacy Dispensing products are in the mid- to high single-digit growth rate in the quarter, which is right in line with our expectations. So the business continues to perform. There are no issues whatsoever. You mentioned [indiscernible] beverage. Unfortunately, with the wet cool weather that we talked about.

Our customers did pull back a bit on their promotional spending in the second quarter as they saw really limited opportunity for consumers to be out about enjoying their sports drinks as an example, given that it was raining just about everywhere. I think one of the anecdotal comments from a customer was that they didn't put in their forecast for the year, 25 consecutive weekends of rain in a particular market that they serve. So those are the kind of issues we're dealing with.

And it's really -- I mean, we mentioned food and beverage in the press release, but it's -- this is really a North American hot fill, you can call [indiscernible] sports drinks on the go, whatever you want. It's those products that people typically enjoy when they're not in their home and outdoing activity.

George Staphos: Sure. And at the end of the day, the customer is the customer. You're not going to dictate to them. They're going to ask you to help them in the market. But with that being said, there was a but coming, right? So it's not going to range 52 weeks out of the year. Presumably, they are going to need to defend share in the third quarter, and even into the fourth quarter and football season. What are they doing in terms of promotional activity? Why they -- why haven't they at least dialed it back up to capture that portion of the market again to the extent that you can comment?

And what might it mean for your business for the rest of the year? Last question for me, and I'll turn it over after this to come back. So soup was down. You mentioned it was timing. What is the outlook for third and fourth quarter? And how is that factored in? And then yes -- I'll turn it over there, and I'll come back.

Adam Greenlee: Okay. Thanks, George. Back to the hot-fill segment for just a second. So it's a great question, one that obviously, we're working really hard to understand what our customers do. So there's a couple of things. The pre-season filling for hot-fill beverages, [indiscernible] [ strength ], et cetera. It really starts in February and March. So they're building inventory to support the demand of the season, call it late in the first quarter through the second quarter and through the summer. The reality is with the lower consumer demand that we've seen, they've actually built a little bit of inventory. Nothing to be worried about, but they're going to burn off their inventory.

And then the reality of that market is there's a summer season for sports drinks, and the shoulders is just less demand. There is less demand. So there is going to be a recovery. It's highly unlikely that's in '25. It will be in '26. And again, we're not going to try to forecast weather for '26 at this point, but there's nothing about the underlying demand and our customers' position. They are very focused on maintaining or growing their market share. And usually, that plays out pretty well for the packaging suppliers. So we feel good that there's a recovery. It's just unfortunate that it's going to be beyond the current calendar year.

And then when you think about -- So, look, [ soups ] very stable in the second half. We just had a little bit of timing issue in the first half. There was a little bit of pull into Q1. And then we had a really strong Q2 last year. So outside of that, soup volumes are really consistent. We've got super close relationships with those customers in those markets. And understand what their programs are for the back half, and feel like we're in a very good spot. And soup continues to perform well. Again, underlying demand at the consumer level to be very consistent and our customers are confident in their second half forecast.

George Staphos: And just a point of clarification. You said that you expect stable second half of the year on soup? Did I hear that right?

Adam Greenlee: Yes. Yes.

Operator: We will take our next question from Ghansham Panjabi with Baird.

Ghansham Panjabi: I guess as you step back a bit, Adam, coming into the year, I think your initial view was that volumes would be up mid-single digits across the three operating segments, if I remember that correctly. And so the adjustment for EPS for 2025 specific as of this morning, is that specific to the weakness in specialty closures in North American beverage and then the bankruptcy impact at the customer level? Or is there anything else we should consider?

Adam Greenlee: I know, I think you've got it exactly right. I mean I think it's two incredibly discrete items. The hot-fill beverage item in North America and the customer bankruptcy in Metal Containers, and everything else about our message and our story remains exactly the same as we came into the year. So -- I mean, we actually feel -- we feel very confident that, A, we had it right with the exception of those two discrete items; and B, our businesses continue to perform.

And maybe the last item I tell you is our key strategic markets of Dispensing and pet food continue to accelerate in the second half of the year, and we will see that acceleration in both of those product categories.

Ghansham Panjabi: And that statement is true even with the mixed consumer across the U.S. and Europe? Just to be clear on some of your discretionary categories and so on, right?

Adam Greenlee: Yes. And fair enough, it -- literally 100% of our products being consumer staples, we feel like we fall very much into the category that consumers use and need the products that we manufacture.

Ghansham Panjabi: Got it. And then just as a clarification. So the weakness in Specialty Closures in North American beverage. When did you start seeing that during the quarter relative to when you reported last and you had visibility in the first month end of the quarter at that time?

Adam Greenlee: Yes. It was shortly thereafter really kind of the mid part of the quarter that they -- we saw the weather. We kept asking the questions, our customers did not pull back their forecast until mid to later in the quarter, unfortunately.

Operator: We will take our next question from Jeff Zekauskas with JPMorgan.

Jeffrey Zekauskas: For 2026, should we think as a base case of the effect of the [ Food Camp ] bankruptcy as an additional $10 million, versus 2025?

Adam Greenlee: So I think, Jeff, number one, again, we're -- we haven't concluded all the way through the process of the bankruptcy filing. I think -- what we have in there right now is a $10 million impact in the back half of '25. I think that there is some element of that where customers -- that customer has exited the market in certain areas, and that volume has gone to [ co-packers ] that we don't supply. There is a chance some of that comes back next year. To be clear, I think the base case is that it stays right where it is in the second half of the year.

As far as the remaining assets and remaining volumes, it will largely depend on who actually acquired the business out of bankruptcy and what their intention of running [indiscernible] assets are?

Jeffrey Zekauskas: Okay. And then what you did is you -- you talked about these two $10 million pretax items, and you lowered your free cash flow by $20 million. And I would think currencies would be a help to you in the second half? Is the -- does the free cash flow generation reduction contains something more than these two items?

Kimberly Ulmer: No, it's primarily the two items that we talked about on the EBITDA [ line ].

Adam Greenlee: And there's a lot of moving parts on currency, foreign currency too. We've got some favorability with the euro. We've got some unfavorable [indiscernible] other jurisdictions. So all of that is factored in, and really came out in the [indiscernible] at the net zero. And the $20 million impact is directly attributed to the two discrete items that we're talking about. So from an earnings, from a free cash flow perspective, those are the only things that have changed as far as our outlook for the year.

Operator: We will take our next question from Gabe Hajde with Wells Fargo Securities.

Gabe Hajde: I guess with the stock reacting the way it is, I'll try to take one more stab at the question. I mean, I guess asked about if there's an incremental $10 million in the next year. But maybe as it sits today, you mentioned you're assuming kind of the business that's transitioned to [ co-packers ] for the bankrupt customer sits where it is for the remainder of the year. I kind of came up with the same revenue number that Matt did.

So in a worst-case scenario, which seems to be what's sort of implied and like I said, say, stock moves, would that total hit be in the -- notwithstanding cash costs that you may have to put out to restructure the business. But would that -- in EBITDA terms be in that $20 million to $25 million range? Is there anything else that we should be aware of, or thinking about?

Adam Greenlee: I think that's a very large number, one that's larger than what we're considering to be honest with you, Gabe. So I really don't think there's anything else to consider. The remaining facilities that we supply, we are on-site, or near site, and it doesn't really matter who the owner of the filling asset is. We are going to be significantly competitively advantaged versus any other supply option they have. So the question I have Gabe, and just full disclosure here is, what is the new owner going to do with those assets? In fairness, again, under the asset-light strategy, they exited a couple of facilities, they still own several facilities.

And those facilities are some of the best in the world. And anybody who buys them, I think it will be a very interesting set of conversations as to whether they want to run them or not. I think they're advantage versus others in the market, and we feel really good about our position right next door to them.

Gabe Hajde: Understood. Clear. Okay. Maybe, Kim, one for you. It seems like every year that goes by the working capital swing gets bigger. And Adam talked about the team being proactive in terms of protecting Silgan, again from any sort of AR, or inventory exposure to this other customer. So I think the outflow, including changes in outstanding check balances was an outflow of $1.325 billion. Is there anything that you all are doing different operationally, or maybe with Weener or some addition of assets, that the working capital outflow is so large at this point?

And then anything that gives you [ consternation ] that -- I mean I know you talked about [ $430 million ] of free cash flow that won't come back in the second half?

Adam Greenlee: Gabe, it's Adam. I'm just going to jump in before Kim goes. And really, the biggest change in working capital was the ability that we were able to execute to secure additional raw materials in advance of the tariffs being implemented. And really, I think as you understand, it really has no impact on a full year basis for Silgan. So we don't benefit from that. The cash that went out the door will come in by the end of the year and the receivable. But what it does do, it helps us mitigate the cost increase that gets passed on to our customers in 2025. So this was great execution by our team.

Yes, in a certain quarter, it's going to look like maybe working capital was a little out of whack. We're incredibly confident as we are every year that, that all comes back and it's cleansed by the end of the year. So I just I wanted to say that really the biggest difference is that we took advantage of that opportunity, to provide even more value to our customers in the metal containers market.

Kimberly Ulmer: Right. And Adam on the [ right ], it's just timing. So as we move through the year, that will go back to our normalized level, and we are still expecting to be at our regular free cash flow level.

Adam Greenlee: And I know you're probably tired of me saying this Gabe, but everything else remains exactly as it was before. So the Weener acquisition, working capital is exactly what we expected. The balance of the business is exactly what we expected. It was this one item that will have no impact on the full year.

Operator: We will take our next question from Anthony Pettinari with Citi.

Anthony Pettinari: Regarding tariffs on steel and aluminum. I think a few weeks ago, one large can buyer talked about maybe potentially repositioning the food can in their portfolio. And I'm just wondering if there's sort of any finer point you can put in terms of how tariffs are impacting your customers, or just the competitive environment? I guess we also had recent trade deal with Europe. So just -- maybe how that's evolved or the impact that you're seeing, or not seeing?

Adam Greenlee: Yes. I think we've talked a lot about the impact of tariffs, and I'll say again that the company still [indiscernible] not have any impact from tariffs on our financial exposure of acquiring in this case, [indiscernible] a little bit of a higher cost and passing those through to our customers. The contractual pass-throughs of our long-term agreements allow for the pass-through of all of those costs. And that's what's going to happen, which makes the last conversation really interesting because we're helping mitigate some of those costs for our customers within a year. So we think that the purpose of the food can is many things. It's the lowest cost means of getting nutrition to consumers that need it.

And for the most part, our customers [indiscernible] can today, our customers actually cook their product in our [indiscernible] an integral part of their filling operation and how they take nutrition to the market. So it's not easy to replace. It's not easy to replicate. And we think those barriers to entry still remain. And what's in a food can today, pretty much has to be in a food can from a preparation and a process standpoint. I think with the [ 232 ] tariffs maintaining it, call it, 50% on steel, I think the impact on the food can itself is about -- something like $0.05 per food can on kind of an average food can.

When you get to the largest part of our business, which is our wet pet food category, those are primarily aluminum cans. And again, we've talked a lot about the idea that we like to source raw materials in the markets where we manufacture, and the markets in which we sell, most -- the vast, vast majority of our aluminum products are sourced in the U.S. and not subject to tariffs. And so there is a little bit of price change with some of the pricing components. The Midwest premium has increased, and we're obviously passing that through. And I'd tell you, it's something like $0.01 per can on the [ wet pet ] food side.

So the reason why I wanted to walk you through that, Anthony is, I think it's important we don't think either of those values cause the consumer to make a different decision at the purchase point when they're securing product for their families themselves, or their pets. So we think we've got a really good mechanism to pass those costs through. We think our customers understand how to deal with it. And we think consumers are paying a little bit higher price. But as I said, it's not a material change to the cost of the finished goods.

Anthony Pettinari: Okay. That's very helpful. And then just maybe two quick follow-ups on hot-fill closures. The $10 million hit from -- as customers work down inventories, is it your view that it's highly unlikely that, that headwind could persist into '26? I don't want to put words in your mouth, but that's kind of what it sounded like, but maybe not. And then the second question, in Closures, I mean there's some scanner data that shows that [ PET ], maybe in some cases, has lagged bev cans in the first half of the year. And obviously, sports drinks and juices are not one for one, what goes into a beverage can.

But I'm just wondering if you think about substrate share shift, or maybe certain containers doing better than others, do you think any of that could have crept into the weaker volumes that you saw in the first half?

Adam Greenlee: Sure. Great question. Maybe let me just -- I'll touch the second point first and just on the substrate, a couple of things. I mean, really, the [ best can ] is not a substitute for kind of our sports strength package, our on-the-go packages. They're not only reclosable to resealable. And so we think that's a differentiated product, and there's been no discussion with our customers about a potential shift. And I think when you think about, I'll just say more of the niche isotonic markets that we support versus the incredibly high volume high-output carbonated soft drink and maybe canned water market, they're just fundamentally different.

And the good news is our customers are focused on maintaining our market share in the hot-fill segment. And we think that will be what drives recovery in 2026. I think if you -- the inventory levels that we understand our customers have will meet the needs for what remains of the peak season of sports drinks in 2025. They cannot go into the 2026 summer season with no inventory. So that's -- we're pretty confident that it's going to normalize. And I think we've got a pretty good line of sight into their inventory levels and to their projections for next year, and feel comfortable that the recovery is going to happen next year.

We're disappointed, it's not this year, but all of the data points would align to say, yes, there will be a recovery to a normalized level next year in '26.

Operator: We'll take our next question from Mike Roxland with Truist Securities.

Michael Roxland: Just one quick one on Metal Containers. Are you aware of any other customers who may be facing similar headwinds in their food can businesses? Or this particular customer that you mentioned in terms of the in bankruptcy, the only one that you're aware of that has these issues?

Adam Greenlee: Well, it's a very discrete item to one customer that did file for bankruptcy that has been a requirement customer for us since we acquired their assets 25, or 30 years ago. So it really [indiscernible] is very simple. We are the only one dealing with us in the [indiscernible] industry because we're a requirement supplier, and we continue to operate under that contract. I would say the balance of our pack business is actually doing pretty well. No one's asked about the weather for the pack yet. But for the most part, the pack, we're expecting a normal season. And thus far -- so far, the reports from the field have been pretty good.

So the balance of our pack business is right in line with our expectations for the year.

Michael Roxland: Got it. And given that you're so close to your customers, I mean when -- is there any way you could have preempted this a little bit? I mean, given you're situated so closely and I think you could have done in advance. Like when you find out there's anything you could have done earlier, maybe to [ preempt ] it?

Adam Greenlee: Well, it's a good question, and I actually -- I'll pivot right off of your question into the answer because we were ready for this. We didn't talk about it publicly, but we have been preparing for this day. We've been concerned for quite a while for, I'd say, several years. And again, I actually speak with great pride that we had no financial exposure, as the single largest supplier had no financial exposure or loss related to this bankruptcy filing, and that is a real testament to being incredibly close with that customer, understanding all of the items they were dealing with and anticipating eventual outcomes. And there were a whole bunch of outcomes that we were ready for.

And when this happened, we were ready for it. And again, we continue to operate under our contract and we're going to try to help them have as good a pack season as they can happen in 2025.

Michael Roxland: Got it. And one last question Adam I had and maybe [indiscernible] could show the color. Just -- is this something that's structural, meaning that if -- let's say the company goes through with bankruptcy, they close more plants. Is Metal Containers now at a lower base in terms of both revenue and EBITDA? Or is there a way for you to maybe attract other customers -- bring in other customers that could get you back to where you were with this customer?

Adam Greenlee: Sure. I think it's an interesting question. I think our -- in the markets that we serve and our deep customer relationships, I think what I would tell you, Mike, I mean, the first thing we would look at is making sure we understand the landscape. And if there are the right opportunities that fit with the profile of operations that we have, we would obviously consider taking on additional volume. Outside of that, we absolutely have cost-out measures that we would implement in the worst-case scenario, sort of what you're describing.

So I don't think it's a [ rebasing ] of the EBITDA of the business because we'll either fill those assets because they're incredibly low cost, or we will exit facilities and take out higher-cost operations.

Operator: We will take our next question from Arun Viswanathan with RBC Capital.

Arun Viswanathan: Sorry to belabor the point here, but I guess this is maybe the second or third time we've seen this in the last few years, not necessarily bankruptcies, but some major customer disruptions on Metal Container side. Maybe you can just talk about if there's further impacts on the inventory side that you expect from this? And then related to that, just wondering if it's really -- I'm sure you guys have these discussions, but is it more indicative of some structural concerns about the food can market in general? And maybe some shift in consumer taste? Or -- what would you attribute some of these disruptions to, I guess, if anything?

Adam Greenlee: Sure. It's a good question, Arun. I mean, a couple of things. One, you're right. Last year, we had a customer call down their pack volume by about 30%, right at the beginning of the past last year. Unfortunately, it's the same customer we're talking about. So again, we keep calling these things discrete. It is discrete to the same customer. They have been -- as we talked about, we were preparing for a variety of potential outcomes over a longer period of time. So unfortunately, I would just say it revolves around a very similar conversation.

The good news of that is there's absolutely nothing about the structural components of the [ food can ] market, the fruit and vegetable market. Anything about what we do with the balance of the business. Pet food is a wonderful growing product category for us. Soup is stable. The balance of our fruit and vegetable pack business is very good this year. Even in spite of this discrete item, we're on track to deliver mid-single-digit growth in the Metal Container segment this year and feel pretty good about that. So unfortunately, it was the same customer. We feel great about food cans. It's a fantastic part of our portfolio.

And with our product portfolio and mix of markets that we serve, I think we are well advantaged for the future. And what [indiscernible] is growing at a very nice rate. It will accelerate for the second half of the year. And I'll just say it will be something around 50% of our total volume. And -- and that's part of our thesis, right? That's one of the key strategic growth areas for our entire company, and is driving growth and continued growth in wet pet food, and we're doing just that.

Arun Viswanathan: Okay. Appreciate that. And then I did have a related question, which is you mentioned redirecting some of these volumes, which are very low-cost assets elsewhere. So it sounds like you may have a strategy to offset some of this loss. Is that a fair characterization? And then I guess similar question for closures. Given the weakness that we've seen in [ isotonics ] now for quite a while, does that also appear to be structural? Are there any customer concerns there that we should be aware of? And if something like that happens, can you redirect your volumes elsewhere? And could you potentially even do that in an anticipatory fashion, just given the last few quarters of weakness?

Adam Greenlee: Sure. So a couple of things. One, on the metal container side, First of all, we're continuing to operate under a requirements contract. So there's no shifting of volume anywhere else at this point. I think what I'd like to give our team a lot of credit for is, again, planning for a whole series of potential outcomes, and not being surprised by any of them. So as this bankruptcy proceeding continues on and hopefully gets to conclusion sometime in the maybe first quarter, early second quarter of next year, we'll be prepared for any of those eventual outcomes. I can't tell you which one will be the actual outcome.

We'll be ready for a whole variety of them with specific actions to take. And we'll talk about probably more on this call at that point once the future of those assets is a little more clear. And then actually, I do feel differently on the closures volume. So yes, it's that segment [ in hostile ] that is a challenge for us right now. It was a little challenged last year. But it goes with the territory of being kind of the leader in the market. We had a disruptor brand that we supply a requirements contract to that provided significant volume growth in that particular market, late '23.

Or actually, I'm sorry, through '23, and that disruptor brand all that went away in '24. So we were the only ones that experienced that volume lift and the volume decline because of our presence in that market and our market share. So I think the good news, Arun, is that there continue to be disruptive brands, and we're actively engaged with many at this point that we hope will become [ a billion ] unit franchises, but we'll see what happens. So nothing structural about the business. And we think the underlying [indiscernible] market continues to grow. And with our low-cost, long-term customer relationship and leading market share in that business.

We think we're positioned for success on the long term and certainly in '26 moving forward.

Arun Viswanathan: Great. And if I may, just one quick one. So given that you're reducing guidance only by about 4% at the midpoint here and then your stock is off quite a bit more than that, maybe triple. So can you pivot and change your strategy maybe to focus more on share buyback and be opportunistic here rather than deleveraging? Or maybe you can just comment on how you view that?

Adam Greenlee: Yes. So you're right. I think we view this guide as something like a 4% change for two specific items on a full year basis with the entirety of the rest of the thesis intact. So there is no change to strategy. There's no change to really anything else in the business outside of these two items. And I think Bob can talk about capital deployment and how we think about share repurchases in the grand scheme of what else we do here.

Robert Lewis: Sure. Yes, Arun, I think we've been pretty clear over the years that's kind of the third leg of the stool, if you will, in terms of capital allocation. Obviously, we would target M&A activity where we can find it and it urges the kind of returns that we're accustomed to, and that shareholders are accustomed to. In the near term, we would -- but as in the past, we have done share repurchases when the market has gotten and stayed dislocated. So I don't think there's anything that's changed about that strategy, and we will continue to kind of focus on what opportunities we have in the M&A market.

Operator: We will take our next question from Daniel Rizzo with Jefferies.

Daniel Rizzo: So with the bankruptcy by the customer, does -- with everything that's going on, is your contract now more liberal whereas it gives you a lot more flexibility as this becomes resolved, where you don't have the same commitments that you've had since you bought the asset, as you mentioned?

Adam Greenlee: The contract continues on in the bankruptcy filing. So -- so we are operating. They are operating and we are operating under the same requirements contract that we have been operating under for many, many years that has been renewed multiple times since we originally acquired those assets. So [indiscernible] no flexibility beyond that. We'll honor the contract as they are [indiscernible]

Daniel Rizzo: Okay. And then I mean the weather issue was, I guess, a little bit unique with the wet spring we had, at least here in the Northeast. But I was wondering if weather has ever been kind of an issue before, or it's something that I mean just with the global warming, the kind of more extreme weather patterns, if it's something that could crop up from time to time as we move forward?

Adam Greenlee: So I think I've been here for 20 years. I think Bob is a little bit ahead of me on that. It's the first time that we've seen cold and wet weather affect a sports drink kind of product and market for a specific period of time for, call it, the fill in -- the peak part of the season. It's just it was a different experience this year than anything that I've seen. So I don't anticipate this returning going forward, and we're planning on normalization for 2026. Our customers are talking about that and planning for it. So we'll see what happens Dan.

And I think if I will try and predict the weather, I would not be very good at that.

Daniel Rizzo: No, no, I get that. I guess what I was also thinking is like if something like with global warming like warm weather could affect soup going forward, I mean, from time to time?

Adam Greenlee: I think -- I mean who knows. What I tell you again, is I think the food can and soup included is probably the lowest cost of means -- our lowest cost of getting nutrition to consumers that need it. And I just feel very comfortable saying that I think the food can will always have a real value for consumers at the end of the day, regardless of what the other circumstances may be.

Operator: We will take our next question from George Staphos with Bank of America.

George Staphos: It's late in the call. I'll try to ask these quickly. Just for [ posterity ], for the next couple of quarters, what should we expect as your volume outlook for the segment for 2025 after 2Q? So I think you already said Metal is still mid-single digits, correct me if I'm wrong on that. is Custom still mid-single digits even with -- okay. And [ DSC ] ex beverage, legacy mid- to high -- mid-single digits or better, would that be all correct?

Adam Greenlee: Yes, you got it exactly right [indiscernible]

George Staphos: Okay. Number two, on the working capital and the work that you did for your customers to mitigate their cost increase. Is there any way that you can get paid for that extra working capital effort that you're putting out for them? Or no, it's just part of being a great supplier in the market. How do you -- how can you get paid for that, if at all, or it's normal part? It's [ table stakes ].

Adam Greenlee: Yes. So it's an interesting question, George. So my [indiscernible] answer is we do get paid for that. And we do get paid for that throughout the system as we have our contractual pass-throughs, all of the costs associated of procuring that raw material, whether it's freight, whether it is carry cost, whatever it may be, we ultimately get paid for that. And our customers, and we lock -- we're arm in arm in that conversation, and it was a good thing for them, and they understand that those costs will be passed through, and we felt it was a great opportunity to help them be advantaged versus their competition in the marketplace.

George Staphos: Okay. I appreciate that. And then the last question, and it came up a couple of times before. So let's assume the customer in question here is acquired or has some of those operations acquired. How does the contract work in that at that stage? Do you -- is it still covered -- are you still covered? Are you still the supplier, number one? Number two, and you've mentioned -- and certainly, we've known this, we've covered Silgan for a very long time that your operations are going to be lower cost, you're well located logistically and so on. But can such -- some of the volumes now moved to co-pack operations?

Do you have -- do your operations have the same status being the best logistically place the lowest cost because now you know that volume isn't necessarily running at where it used to run. How would you answer those questions? And good luck for the rest of the year.

Adam Greenlee: Sure. Thanks, George. So we won't go into specific details of any of our contracts, but I would just say, broadly speaking, our long-term agreements in Metal Containers provide for a [ follow the liquid ] provision. And so that's how we think about Metal Containers volumes anytime there's a change of control being considered. So -- so there's that component. The second component, is you're right. We support these filling assets with the lowest cost, again, near-site on-site production model available in the market.

I'd tell you that even if we bring in a disadvantaged freight component, this site -- these sites that we're talking about are probably still advantage at the end of the day in the can-making market in North America. So we feel good about that position. And then the final point, George, I think that I mean we'll have the cost takeout opportunities if we need them. And whether it's these assets, or other higher cost assets in our system, we'll have the ability to respond to really anything that happens from a market perspective with the assets, and whether a new owner wants to run them or not. Maybe the last point for you, George, is those co-pack locations.

It's something we can't supply them. It's just that we're not supplying them today. I mean typically, we focus on our brands and helping them be successful in the marketplace, and that's where a lot of our effort in energy is. If we pivot there, certainly, we could do that with our very low-cost footprint as well.

Operator: Thank you. This does conclude today's question-and-answer session. I would now like to turn the call back for any additional or closing remarks.

Adam Greenlee: Great. Thanks, Rachel, and thanks, everyone, for their interest in Silgan. We look forward to sharing our third quarter results later in the year.

Operator: Thank you. This does conclude today's call. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect.