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DATE
Wednesday, April 29, 2026 at 11:00 a.m. ET
CALL PARTICIPANTS
- President and Chief Executive Officer — Kenneth F. Bernstein
- Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer — John Gottfried
- Executive Vice President, Head of Leasing — Alexander J. Levine
- Executive Vice President, Chief Investment Officer — Reginald Livingston
- Lease Administration and Due Diligence Analyst — Lynelle Ray
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TAKEAWAYS
- Earnings Growth -- Year-over-year earnings increased by 11%, attributed primarily to nearly 6% same-store growth.
- Transactional Activity -- $2.5 billion of activity completed, including $600 million in new investments, $500 million in recapitalizations, and a $1.4 billion corporate borrowing facility.
- Signed Lease Pipeline -- Signed leases totaled $3.5 million (at share), with new leases in advanced negotiation reaching $11.5 million, a net increase of $2.5 million over the previous quarter.
- High-Growth Street Leasing Spreads -- If new deals in high-growth street markets are signed as currently negotiated, they will result in a weighted average spread just above 40% compared to expiring rents.
- REIT Economic Occupancy -- Ended the quarter at 94%; street and urban portfolios increased 140 bps and 570 bps, respectively, from the prior year’s first quarter.
- San Francisco Leasing Recovery -- Signed 25,000 square feet of new leases post-quarter, bringing major new tenants and representing progress in a recovery market with 70,000 square feet left to lease.
- North Michigan Avenue Status -- Noted tenant inflow and improved foot traffic, though rents remain 50% below prior peak levels.
- Palm Beach and Newbury Acquisitions -- Completed $43 million purchase on Worth Avenue and $109 million for two key Newbury Street assets, both described as having “meaningful mark-to-market opportunity.”
- Investment Management Recapitalizations -- Recapitalized assets with TPG Real Estate ($440 million) and Cohen & Steers ($68 million), illustrating ability to partner with institutional investors and redeploy capital.
- Guidance Increase -- Full-year 2026 earnings guidance raised to $1.22-$1.26, reflecting 9% growth at the midpoint over the prior year’s reported FFO of $1.14.
- Sources of FFO Growth -- Guidance midpoint reflects $0.07-$0.09/share from internal NOI growth, $0.04-$0.05/share from external growth, $0.01-$0.02/share from investment management expansion, and a $0.04/share offset from the anticipated CityPoint loan conversion.
- Same-Store NOI Growth Outlook -- 2026 same-store NOI projected at 7% midpoint; growth guided at 6%-8% for Q2, 7%-9% for Q3, and 5%-7% for Q4, with street and urban outpacing suburban by 400-500 bps.
- Signed-Not-Open (SNO) Pipeline -- $10.5 million (5% of RABR) in the SNO pipeline, grown 18% sequentially, with approximately 80% expected to commence in 2026.
- Henderson Avenue Development -- Project described as on- or ahead of schedule for 8%-10% yield on incremental investment, with construction completion expected in the back half of the year.
- Corporate Credit Facility -- New $1.4 billion unsecured facility achieved better pricing, maturity extension, increased total capacity by $250 million, and was substantially oversubscribed.
SUMMARY
Management emphasized ongoing high demand for street retail, citing limited supply and resilient upper-end consumer behavior as key tailwinds. The company executed over $1 billion in acquisitions and recapitalizations year-to-date, initiating scale positions in Palm Beach and Boston luxury corridors. Updated guidance for the full year reflects both organic and transaction-driven bottom-line expansion, with detailed FFO contribution breakdowns provided. Leasing velocity and pipeline growth remain strong, especially on high-growth streets, while redevelopment and recovery in San Francisco and Chicago bolster embedded value potential. Strategic recapitalizations have enhanced capital flexibility and supported a robust deal pipeline, with all expansion and developments funded absent new equity issuance.
- Bernstein described the current street retail environment as benefiting from “limited supply that continues to shrink” and “increasing demand due to the ongoing focus by retailers on having their own physical locations.”
- Levine said, “all signs indicate that we will be able to deliver similar results through the remainder of this year and beyond,” referencing sustained leasing activity and rent growth.
- Livingston reported that both recent acquisitions and investment management transactions are “accretive to NAV, hitting our FFO accretion target of a penny per $200 million.”
- Gottfried stated, “given the strength in our operations and the accretive acquisitions we have completed to date, we raised both the high and low of our guidance to $1.22 to $1.26.”
- REIT and investment management pipelines remain active and consistent with historical transaction volumes, per management’s commentaries.
INDUSTRY GLOSSARY
- SNO (Signed-Not-Open): Lease contracts executed but not yet commenced, representing future income once tenants open for business.
- RABR (Rent Adjusted Base Rent): A company-specific internal metric referencing total annualized contractual rental income normalized for lease adjustments.
- FFO (Funds from Operations): A key non-GAAP performance measure commonly used by REITs, reflecting net income excluding gains/losses from property sales and certain non-cash items.
- NOI (Net Operating Income): Real estate operating profit drawn from property-level revenues minus property expenses, prior to interest, corporate expenses, and depreciation.
- Mark-to-Market Opportunity: The discrepancy between existing in-place lease rents and current prevailing market rates, which can be realized upon lease renewal or re-leasing.
- Recapitalization: The process of restructuring a property’s equity or debt ownership, often including new partners or capital sources to fuel portfolio or asset-level strategy shifts.
- ABR (Annualized Base Rent): The aggregate gross rent due from tenants, annualized for comparison or forecasting purposes.
- Pry-Lease: Management term for targeted opportunities to renegotiate or ‘pry’ leases, typically because original or expiring terms have fallen significantly below market.
Full Conference Call Transcript
Lynelle Ray: Good morning, and thank you for joining us for the first quarter 2026 Acadia Realty Trust earnings conference call. My name is Lynelle Ray, and I am a lease administration and due diligence analyst. Before we begin, please be aware that statements made during the call that are not historical may be deemed forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, and actual results may differ materially from those indicated by such forward-looking statements due to a variety of risks and uncertainties, including those disclosed in the company's most recent Form 10-Ks and other periodic filings with the SEC.
Forward-looking statements speak only as of the date of this call, 04/29/2026, and the company undertakes no duty to update them. During this call, management may refer to certain non-GAAP financial measures including funds from operations and net operating income. Please see Acadia Realty Trust’s earnings press release posted on its website for reconciliations of these non-GAAP financial measures with the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures. Once the call becomes open for questions, we ask that you limit your first round to two questions per caller to give everyone the opportunity to participate. You may ask further questions by reinserting yourself into the queue, and we will answer as time permits.
Now it is my pleasure to turn the call over to Kenneth F. Bernstein, President and Chief Executive Officer, who will begin today's management remarks.
Kenneth F. Bernstein: Thank you, Lynelle. Great job. Welcome, everyone. As you can see in our press release, we had another strong quarter in what is shaping up to be a very solid year, both with respect to our internal as well as our external growth initiatives. And while geopolitical events have certainly added unwanted uncertainty to the global economy, thankfully, due to the tailwinds for open-air retail in general, and then even more so for street retail, we are seeing continued strong results driven by strong tenant demand, strong tenant performance, and attractive investment opportunities. As the team will discuss in more detail, we delivered 11% year-over-year earnings growth driven by nearly 6% same-store growth.
And even with heightened uncertainty in the capital markets, we completed over $2.5 billion of transactional activity, comprised of $600 million of new investments, $500 million of recapitalizations within our investment management platform, and a new $1.4 billion corporate borrowing facility. Now, since I have discussed in detail the key drivers of the tailwinds in open-air retail on our previous calls, I will limit my explanation a bit. But in short, our continued strong performance is being driven most significantly by our street retail portfolio and more specifically by five key factors. First, limited supply that continues to shrink.
Second, and probably more importantly, increasing demand due to the ongoing focus by retailers on having their own physical locations rather than being so heavily reliant on either wholesale or digital channels. Third, strong tenant performance due to a resilient consumer, especially the upper-end shoppers at our street locations. Fourth, lighter relative CapEx in our re-tenanting of street locations. And finally, stronger annual income growth in our street locations, due to both higher contractual growth and then more frequent mark-to-market opportunities. These continued tailwinds are enabling us to deliver solid internal top-line growth and have that growth hit the bottom line, both in terms of earnings growth as well as net asset value growth. Alexander J.
Levine will discuss our progress last quarter and why we are poised to continue to deliver superior growth for the foreseeable future. And then supplementing this internal growth, and ensuring that we can continue to deliver this steady growth well into the future, are our external growth initiatives. Reginald Livingston will discuss our acquisition activity over the last quarter where we continue to deliver on our goals, both with respect to our on-balance sheet acquisitions of street retail and our execution through our investment management platform. But let me give a few observations. As we have seen more investor interest in retail over the past year, competition has increased for most formats of open-air retail.
But so has the volume of deals coming to market. So even with increased competition, we expect to be able to meet our acquisition goals. And while we welcome the company, it has been a bit more difficult to simply buy existing yield to make our targeted returns. So, as it relates to street retail investment opportunities, while competitive, it is still a less crowded field than in other formats, with fewer capable buyers. We are still seeing enough attractive investments that are accretive day one both to earnings and net asset value. And we are most focused on investments where there are near-term value creation opportunities where we can use our skill set and relationships to unlock that value.
We are still finding deals that get us to a 6% plus yield in the near term, but require a few more moving pieces. And since our team has never been hesitant to use its value-add skills and relationships, this shift is welcomed. The same is true for our investment management platform. The ability to achieve opportunistic returns by simply buying stable assets, as we successfully did during our Fund V investment period a few years ago, is becoming increasingly difficult; thus our recent investments over the past year have been much more value-add focused and we expect that focus to continue.
And as it relates to our investment management activity, we can actually team up with the increasing pool of institutional capital and harness that increased interest. So we do not have to just beat them; we can join them as well. And to be clear, with respect to both our REIT and investment management acquisitions, our goal continues to be to make sure our investments are accretive to earnings and to net asset value day one, and to achieve a penny of FFO for every $200 million of assets acquired.
Reggie will walk through how our most recent activity is meeting our goals both in terms of volume and accretion, and then equally importantly, how we are planting seeds for continued superior growth down the road. Then finally, John Gottfried will walk through our balance sheet metrics and how we are positioned to continue to drive both internal and external growth with plenty of dry powder and diverse sources of capital. So to conclude, our street retail investment thesis is working. The internal and external opportunities we see provide clear line of sight into providing solid multi-year top-line growth and then having that growth drop to the bottom line.
Then with ample balance sheet capacity, we are in a position to capitalize on the exciting opportunities that we have in front of us. I would like to thank the team for their continued hard work. And with that, I will hand the call over to AJ.
Alexander J. Levine: Thanks, Ken. Good morning, everyone. So I would like to start out with an update on internal growth with a focus on trends and performance on our high-growth streets. Then I will touch on some of our slower-to-recover markets with significant upside, namely San Francisco and North Michigan Avenue, and I will finish with an update on Henderson Avenue in Dallas. Overall, another strong quarter of leasing across the board—street, suburban—both within the REIT portfolio as well as our investment management platform. Total volume of signed leases in Q1 was an additional $3.5 million at our share.
We have grown our pipeline of new leases in advanced negotiation to $11.5 million, which is a net increase of nearly $2.5 million above the previous quarter. As we sign leases, we are quickly reloading the pipeline and then some. As Ken articulated, because of the historically strong supply-demand dynamic and the resilient high-income consumer that shops our streets, all signs indicate that we will be able to deliver similar results through the remainder of this year and beyond. In addition to an accelerating leasing velocity, we are also seeing a steady rise in market rents on our high-growth streets.
We are currently negotiating new leases, fair market renewals, and pry-lease mark-to-markets along several of our streets, including SoHo, Upper Madison Avenue, M Street, Armitage Avenue, and Melrose Place. These are all markets that have experienced several years of double-digit rent growth and, if we are successful in signing these new deals, it will result in a weighted average spread of just over 40%. Now remember, street leases have 3% contractual growth. So a 40% spread after five years of 3% growth means that rents have grown closer to 60% over that time period. This is what we mean when we say that not all spreads are created equal.
Now, incremental to the sector-leading growth that we are seeing on our streets, we are also continuing to build conviction around historically strong markets that are in the earlier stages of recovery, like San Francisco and North Michigan Avenue in Chicago. At our last update, we reported that since the start of 2025, we had signed about 90 thousand square feet of new leases across our two assets with LA Fitness Club Studio and T&T Supermarkets. Since our last update, and following the end of the first quarter, we have added another 25 thousand square feet by signing Sprouts Farmers Market, who will be joining Trader Joe’s and Club Studio at 555 9th Street.
And like T&T and Club Studio, this will be their first store in San Francisco. What has become clear is that tenants are strengthening their conviction around the recovery of San Francisco. And with another 70 thousand square feet of space remaining to lease, in addition to some accretive pry-lease opportunities, we are gaining increased confidence that we can continue to unlock the meaningful remaining embedded value within our two San Francisco centers. Now right behind San Francisco is North Michigan Avenue, which continues to see steady improvement and has certainly moved beyond the green shoots phase of recovery.
We still have a ways to go, but foot traffic has returned to pre-2019 levels, and since the start of this year, there has been a noticeable increase in tenant demand. Over the last year, we have seen new store openings and new lease signings from top brands like Mango, Aritzia, Uniqlo, and American Eagle, and most recently, the 60 thousand square foot Candy Hall of Fame at 830 North Michigan Avenue. Even so, rents are still 50% below where they were at prior peak. North Michigan Avenue is an iconic, irreplaceable street, and we are confident that the recovery will continue to accelerate, and when it does, we will be well positioned to capture that upside.
And finally, I will end with an update on Henderson Avenue in Dallas. As a reminder, the vision on Henderson is to create a vibrant, walkable street curated with a mix of today’s most sought-after retailers and supplemented with dynamic and recognizable F&B—mixing the best of what has worked on streets like Armitage Avenue in Chicago, Bleecker Street in New York, Melrose Place in LA, and M Street in DC. In short, Dallas’ first and only true street retail shopping experience. The street is already off to a great start, with tenants like Tecovas and Warby Parker producing sales that could already justify rents doubling.
And with 80% of our retail on the street now spoken for, our new leases are doing just that. I cannot reveal the names of all of the brands that have committed, but to give you a flavor, the project will consist of a healthy mix of nationally recognized tenants like Rag & Bone, who is relocating from Highland Park Village, along with a collection of younger brands that have had success on some of our other high-growth streets like Gizio, Cami, and Margaux. And we are saving around 10% of our space for brands that are more local and authentic to Texas.
Add in some fun, high-volume F&B like Prince Street Pizza, Papa Bagels, and Salt N’ Stir ice cream, and you have the makings of a well-curated, walkable street. So in summation, the key takeaway is that, despite consistently high levels of leasing activity over the past several quarters, we continue to see meaningful runway ahead, both in terms of mark-to-market opportunity and ongoing lease-up of our high-growth streets, as well as tapping into markets that have more recently begun to show the signs of a strong recovery. As always, I would like to thank the team for their hard work. And with that, I will turn things over to Reggie.
Reginald Livingston: Thanks, AJ, and good morning, everyone. I will cover two things: our transaction activity for Q1 and through April, and then I will share some perspective on what we are seeing in the market. On the transaction front, we have been incredibly busy year to date. We have closed over $1 billion in acquisitions and recapitalizations, gained footholds on two of the country’s premier luxury retail corridors, all while achieving our accretion and growth thresholds and building a pipeline that should maintain a high level of activity for the balance of the year. So let us walk through some details. Starting with the acquisitions not previously announced.
At the end of the quarter, within our REIT portfolio, we made our inaugural investment on Worth Avenue in Palm Beach, with the acquisition of 225 Worth for $43 million. This street is one of the most irreplaceable luxury retail corridors in the country, and it has all the ingredients for continued rent growth, including strong performing tenancy, a high-end customer base, and limited supply. The asset contains Gucci, Jay McLaughlin, and G4, and possesses a meaningful mark-to-market opportunity that we will harvest in the near future. Our conviction on Worth goes beyond this single asset.
We have an active pipeline in that corridor, and our strategy there mirrors what we have executed in other markets: acquire a foundational position, build scale, and activate the benefits of concentration to drive returns over time. Subsequent to quarter-end, also in our REIT portfolio, we closed on 4 and 28 Newbury for $109 million. These assets are anchored by Chanel and Cartier, two of the most sought-after luxury tenants in the world. These buildings are between Arlington and Berkeley Streets on Newbury—one of the best concentrations of luxury retail on the East Coast. And most importantly, this asset has a meaningful value-creation opportunity that we expect to harvest soon.
The same scale thesis applies here: understand the Newbury Street market and have relationships to create a path to building a greater presence on the corridor. For both Palm Beach and Boston, it is important to note they adhere to our metrics—being accretive to NAV, hitting our FFO accretion target of a penny per $200 million, with CAGR in excess of 5%. On the investment management side, Q1 was defined by executing on recapitalizations. We formed a joint venture with TPG Real Estate that encompassed the recap of Avenue at West Cobb and six Fund V assets, a $440 million transaction. The scale of this recap is a meaningful validation of our platform, our assets, and our relationships.
We also completed the recap of Pinewood Square in Palm Beach County with private funds managed by Cohen & Steers, a $68 million transaction. This is our second recap with Cohen & Steers, a highly regarded investor; their involvement reflects both the quality of the asset and the credibility of our business plan. These transactions, in part, demonstrate our incubated recap model at work, and in total, free up capital that we can accretively redeploy. Turning to what we are seeing in the market. The retail investment landscape remains active, even as the macro backdrop has grown more complex. Supply remains constrained, new development is sparse, and institutional capital flows into quality retail continue to grow.
None of the current macro noise has changed those underlying dynamics. What that environment rewards, though, is exactly what we have built. Recall, in the street retail world, the majority of our acquisitions are off-market, and that sourcing advantage does not diminish in periods of volatility; if anything, it improves as motivated sellers gravitate towards certainty of execution. And this rewards us disproportionately because there are just fewer players in the street retail segment. And our pipeline reflects that reality. We have a number of opportunities in advanced stages of negotiation, and we will continue to underwrite to the same disciplined thresholds that have defined our recent activity.
On the investment management side, while the institutional appetite remains elevated, so does the number of owners looking to monetize. Owners without the capital, patience, or expertise to unlock value in their assets are looking for an exit, and that is creating a compelling opportunity for a platform like ours that has all three. Our pipeline on this side is as active as it has been. So to close, as I said, we have been busy: find the right assets, on the right corridors, with the right growth profile, while continuing to accretively build the investment management business.
We expect this activity to continue as we are on track to deliver transaction volume for the balance of the year consistent with our past activity. Thank you to the team for their hard work this quarter. And with that, I will turn it over to John.
John Gottfried: Thanks, Reggie, and good morning. Our first quarter results are clear: our internal growth is accelerating, and we are achieving our external growth goals on both accretion and volume. And these accomplishments are driving our bottom-line earnings. Our year-over-year earnings are up 11%, and with the acquisitions completed to date, we raised our full-year 2026 earnings guidance. I will start my remarks by laying out the building blocks for the remainder of the year, followed by an update on 2027, and then closing with the balance sheet.
For those of you that know our approach towards earnings expectations, we set robust targets for ourselves, and thus it makes it unlikely we will raise our guidance, particularly so early in the year. However, given the strength in our operations and the accretive acquisitions we have completed to date, we raised both the high and low of our guidance to $1.22 to $1.26, representing 9% growth at the midpoint over the $1.14 of FFO we reported in 2025. And with the simplified reporting that we rolled out last year, you can clearly see what is driving that growth. Based on our latest model, here is how that $0.10 of projected year-over-year growth breaks down.
We expect that our internal NOI growth, inclusive of redevelopments, should contribute about $0.07 to $0.09 of FFO. External growth is projected to add $0.04 to $0.05, driven by the full-year impact of 2025 deals and those closed year to date in 2026. And a continued expansion and scaling of our investment management program should add another $0.01 to $0.02. And as we have previously discussed, partially offsetting our projected growth is approximately $0.04 that is embedded in our guidance from the anticipated conversion of the CityPoint loan in the second quarter. Again, while dilutive in the near term, it will ultimately be accretive as the asset stabilizes.
And the earnings growth that we expect to deliver in 2026 provides us with a roadmap for what we aim to achieve in 2027 and beyond. Before moving to same-store NOI, I want to give a few updates on our earnings model and anticipated quarterly FFO cadence for the balance of 2026. We anticipate our quarterly run rate will be in the $0.30 to $0.32 range for the balance of the year, which, consistent with our past practice, does not factor in additional acquisition accretion, notwithstanding the active pipeline our acquisition team is underwriting.
Secondly, and as I will discuss shortly, rent commencements from our signed-not-open portfolio are weighted to the back half of the year, positioning us for strong embedded growth heading into 2027. Now I want to give an update on occupancy, internal growth, and same-property NOI. At quarter-end, our REIT economic occupancy increased to 94%. But as we have said repeatedly, not all occupancy is created equal. Our street and urban portfolio—our most valuable space—sequentially increased 140 basis points and 570 basis points from Q1 of last year. And we still have several hundred basis points of embedded upside with the portfolio 91.7% occupied as of March 31.
As outlined in our release, we ended the quarter with $10.5 million, or approximately 5% of RABR, in our signed-not-open pipeline. We grew our pipeline by approximately 18% during the quarter—and that is even after nearly 25% of our pipeline commenced in Q1. And as AJ discussed, our leasing pipeline remains robust, and we anticipate that our SNO should continue to build over the next couple of quarters. I will now spend a moment to highlight a few key items on our $10.5 million pipeline for those updating models. We anticipate that approximately 80% of our SNO, representing $7.9 million of ABR, will commence during 2026, with the remaining balance targeted for 2027.
I want to highlight that over $4 million of this $7 to $9 million is projected to commence in the fourth quarter of this year, primarily from the anticipated openings of T&T Supermarket and LA Fitness’s Club Studio at our San Francisco redevelopment projects. And when incorporating the timing of commencement, we expect approximately $2 to $3 million of incremental ABR to be recognized in 2026, with the vast majority of that being in our same-store pool, which leaves us with $7 to $8 million of embedded incremental ABR growth heading into 2027.
And lastly, on earnings flow-through, with nearly half of our SNO coming from our REIT redevelopment portfolio, we are capitalizing certain costs—primarily interest and real estate taxes—so not all of that incremental ABR flows to the bottom line. Of the $5.3 million of ABR in our SNO redevelopment pool, we expect to capitalize between $3 to $4 million of cost on a full-year run-rate basis. Moving on to an update on our 2026 same-store expectations. We remain on track to land at the midpoint of our guidance, or 7%.
I will likely regret providing this level of granularity, given it only takes a few hundred thousand dollars to move us 100 basis points in either direction, but based on our current model, we see same-store growth trending 6% to 8% in Q2, 7% to 9% in Q3, and 5% to 7% in Q4, with our street and urban portfolio anticipated to outperform suburban by 400 to 500 basis points. And now moving on to our balance sheet. So far in 2026—and it is still early—we have acquired over $600 million of REIT and investment management deals, and we did so without issuing any equity.
And with the available capacity on our revolver, unsettled forward equity, anticipated proceeds from our structured finance and investment management businesses, we have all the accretive capital we need to fund our acquisition pipeline. As highlighted in our release, we completed the refinancing of our unsecured corporate credit facility, entering into a $1.4 billion agreement. As part of this refinancing, we tightened pricing, extended maturities, and increased our total borrowing capacity by $250 million to support our growth. The new facility was significantly oversubscribed, and we strategically added two new banks to our incredible and long-standing lineup of capital partners.
Following the completion of this facility, we have very manageable maturities and swap expirations over the next couple of years, which means our top-line earnings will largely drop to the bottom line. So in summary, we had an incredibly busy and productive start to the year. Our multi-year expectations of strong internal growth are intact, and we have a balance sheet that has ample capacity to support our expansion goals. And with that, I will turn the call over to questions.
Operator: We will now open the call for questions. Our first question comes from Craig Mailman with Citi.
Craig Mailman: Hey, guys. So, John, that was helpful going through the guidance detail there. Just kind of curious, between AJ and Reggie, I know there is not a lot incrementally for acquisitions. Maybe just to start there—Reggie, I think you said that activity for the balance of the year could be similar to what we have seen recently. In terms of magnitude on gross, and then maybe pro rata share, can you goalpost what you are looking at—what could conceivably close this year—and maybe what the earnings impact of that could be?
Reginald Livingston: Sure. I will focus on what I think could close this year. Taking a step back, run-rate retail on the REIT portfolio side has been about $400 million or so over the last year plus. We have done about $200 million of that so far this year. So I think we could pencil in doing basically the same volume that we did last year from a REIT portfolio side. On the investment management side, where we have averaged about $250 million plus per year over the last two and a half to three years, I think we can do that as well.
That is, by definition, a little lumpier because we are focused more on value-add opportunities, but that is how we think about it from a goalpost standpoint for volume.
John Gottfried: And then on the earnings side—so, Craig, the one thing that we pointed out is that our target, which is unchanged, is a penny of accretion per $200 million. That is both REIT and investment management. So on $200 million of REIT acquisitions, our target is day-one earnings accretion of a penny per $200 million. And that same math, even though our pro rata share is much less of the equity on investment management, when you factor in the fees, $200 million of investment management is also a penny. So, in terms of earnings impact, you would just prorate that throughout the year. Those targets are unchanged.
Craig Mailman: Okay, that is helpful. And, John, you are breaking up a little bit. Just a heads up. And then, similarly, on the leasing side, AJ, you said you guys are working on a fair bit of fair market value adjustments and some other deals. How much of those are already embedded in guidance versus could be incremental upside as we head into 2026 into early 2027?
John Gottfried: Craig, are you referring to what is in the pipeline that would convert to show up in rents?
Craig Mailman: Yeah, like what is actually considered in some of the metrics you guys talked about versus what could be additive that you do not want to put in there yet because the predictability is not great.
John Gottfried: Got it. Any leasing that we need to happen has already happened to hit the midpoint of our guidance, both on same-store and earnings. So whatever AJ gets signed that is in his pipeline—and we get them open and operating—that would be additive, which in the street is possible.
Alexander J. Levine: Yeah. We are typically fairly conservative with FMV assumptions, and it is typically upside for us.
Operator: Our next question comes from Andrew Reale with Bank of America.
Andrew Reale: Good morning. Thanks for taking my questions. Maybe if you could talk about your new corridors—Palm Beach and prime Newbury. First, what is the timeline for realizing the mark-to-market opportunities there that Reggie mentioned? And then are there any additional assets in the pipeline in either of those markets today? How scalable do you think those markets could ultimately be?
Reginald Livingston: Sure. I will start with the second one, Andrew. For us to identify a market, it is never just about one deal. We think, how can we amass $100 to $200 million plus over time, so that we can enjoy the benefits of that scale—being the first call for sellers and the first call for tenants, etc. So we have an active pipeline that we feel pretty good about. We are always going to stay disciplined in our underwriting, but we think those markets can scale. Before we even talk about scaling, though, we ask: do those markets have the same rent growth drivers and demand that we have in SoHo, in Georgetown, and our other corridors?
We think these corridors do. There is tight supply, tenant demand is very high, and the sales volumes are there not only to justify the rent run-up from previous years but to continue rent growth in the future. So we feel good about the opportunities that make sense there and that we will be able to scale.
John Gottfried: And just to add on to that—from a modeling perspective—two thoughts. In these instances, the in-place lease would typically be below market, so when we think about that in the initial bookkeeping, we are conservative as to where we think the market is on day one. A rough rule of thumb we think about is, ideally, we want to get to the 6%s cash that Reggie referred to. Our target is two years, but we will tolerate up to three or four years for the right deal where we have conviction. That frames the timeline and how we establish the gap yield from the below-market impact.
Andrew Reale: Okay, that is helpful. Thanks. And then, John, I think it was last quarter you said pry-lease could potentially be the most impactful variable within the 5% to 9% same-store range, with the real benefit maybe accruing in 2027 or 2028. If you were to maximize the pry-lease opportunity in the 7%—
John Gottfried: Andrew, we gave a wide range, and I will start with our historical practice. We have not updated same-store guidance once we have given it, which is why we are not doing it this quarter. I would say assume we are targeting the 7%, and the pry-lease upside is very real and actionable, but it is not going to deviate us from the 7% target.
Kenneth F. Bernstein: Good luck getting John to count his chickens before they hatch.
Andrew Reale: Fair enough. Thank you.
Operator: Our next question comes from Floris van Dijkum with Ladenburg Thalmann.
Floris van Dijkum: Thanks. Good morning, guys. A question that does not seem to get a lot of attention these days—your Henderson Avenue developments. It is about $200 million. Should investors expect something like a 9% or 10% return on that, as you have indicated? And is the remaining forward ATM going to be used to fund that? Maybe also talk a little bit about the timing of that development, what kind of rents you are getting, and how much of that is pre-leased.
John Gottfried: Let me start with the yields and timing, and then I will turn it over to AJ on the leasing specifics. We have put out there—and we are on, if not ahead of, target—that we think the development is going to stabilize to an 8% to 10% yield. Very consistent with what you shared. Another point is that the 8% to 10% is on the incremental dollars we are spending. That is not factoring in that we have a whole other portfolio of assets on the street that, as AJ will share, is proving to be very below market; we are not factoring in the lift from the balance of the portfolio that the development is going to add to.
In terms of timeline, we will be through our part of construction in the back half of this year, begin delivering space, stabilizing in 2027, and up and running in 2028. AJ will cover where we are in leasing.
Alexander J. Levine: I would say the interest and excitement on Henderson has been far beyond what we even initially imagined. Remember, existing sales on the street are already in excess of the sales we are seeing in markets like Armitage Avenue, and rents on Henderson are half of what we have currently on Armitage. There is already justification for rents doubling on the street, and some of the more recent leases that we are signing are actually doing just that. Rag & Bone, obviously having a lot of success over at Highland Park Village, is shifting to merchandising more in line with what they prefer from a co-tenancy standpoint. Some of the younger brands like Margaux and Gizio are committing as well.
I am anxious to give you more names—we have shared what we can at this point—but we are off to a great start.
Floris van Dijkum: Great. And as a follow-up, I wanted to touch base on Chicago. I know you talked about the momentum. I think TPG has bought into your JV, if I am not mistaken, at 717. What is the appetite to take advantage of some of the opportunistic investment opportunities that could be achievable in that market? And maybe talk about where the upside is—people often say Chicago is terrible. What has changed, and why is it not a bad place to be?
John Gottfried: Let me start with a clarification. The recap with TPG was Fund V—nothing to do with Fund IV—so everything we own at 717 is in Fund IV and still held by Fund IV. There has been no transaction there.
Alexander J. Levine: And I just want to correct one thing—Chicago is not terrible. It has never been a bad place to be, certainly in our neighborhoods, where we have had many years of success. The issue with North Michigan Avenue has never been fundamentals. Street footfalls are back in excess of 2019 volumes. Sales have seen very real growth over the last few years. It has really been a challenge of difficult spaces—multi-level retail and flagship locations that are historically more difficult to backfill—but those spaces are filling in. I mentioned names like Uniqlo, H&M coming back to the street, American Eagle, Aritzia—large-format spaces. As those fill in, we will continue to see increased activity.
The challenge of having three underperforming malls on the street has not helped, so as those pieces start to get figured out, we will see more and more momentum.
Operator: Our next question comes from Todd Thomas with KeyBanc Capital Markets.
Todd Thomas: Thanks. Good morning. First, I wanted to ask whether there are any more markets or partners that you are evaluating today. Should we expect some additional inaugural investments in the quarters ahead as we contemplate additional investment activity? And then, Ken, a bigger picture question for you or Reggie. You talked about increased competition for open-air centers—you referenced that in the context of Fund V assets, for example—but you indicated you are still finding opportunities in the street and urban segment, which seems less crowded. Why do you think competition is lower and the acquisition environment is more favorable where there are strong IRR and risk-adjusted opportunities and good rent growth, with escalators?
Kenneth F. Bernstein: I will tackle both, and Reggie should chime in. In terms of additional markets, we spend a fair amount of time—AJ and I especially—talking to our retailers about which markets are perhaps ones you might want to be in and which ones are going from “nice to have” to “need to have.” In the case of Palm Beach, it is transitioning from a seasonal market to, for a variety of reasons we all read about, a must-have market. In those instances, where we see fragmented ownership and our retailers say they would welcome institutional, high-quality ownership like Acadia, that is where we spend the majority of our time.
In some markets, like Dallas, there was no place to buy, so there we are building and creating that street retail environment. But for Palm Beach, Worth Avenue clearly checks that box, as does Newbury in Boston. There are probably a half-dozen—perhaps a dozen—additional markets that fit that spectrum that we constantly spend time on. Then we ask: is there enough to acquire over a realistic period of time so that we can build adequate scale? Is there a spine? Are there barriers to entry on a given corridor so it does not just wander up and down, left and right?
When it does—in the case of Worth Avenue and Newbury, and a half-dozen others—you should expect over time that we will focus on those. We do not have to add new markets to achieve our goals of being the premier owner-operator of street retail in the United States, but it would be nice to have a few more, and our retailers would welcome that. As to competition, street retail has a longer learning curve. It is pretty easy to underwrite some formats of open-air retail, and that is why you saw capital move first and foremost back to supermarket-anchored.
You still need to underwrite thoughtfully and carefully your supermarket, but for the satellites—the dry cleaner, the coffee shop—you do not get into the same level of underwriting. So there are just lower barriers to entry. For street retail, you have to understand the market, the tenants, the local laws—it has taken us well over a decade to get to the point we are at right now. For a lot of institutional owners, gearing up is just too difficult. They would rather partner with us. So we like our positioning in street retail. That said, as Reggie has pointed out, the team has been very active in other formats of open-air retail.
Thankfully, volume is coming back, so we will achieve our volume goals notwithstanding it being more competitive. We just have to work a little harder, and so far, so good.
Todd Thomas: Okay, that is helpful. And then, John, just real quick—appreciate the update on CityPoint as it pertains to the guidance. What is the ABR upside opportunity there today? You are at a little over $21 million of ABR—where does that stabilize, and what is the current thinking around the stabilization timeframe?
John Gottfried: In terms of stabilization, Todd, we have always thought of it in two distinct phases. The first phase—in the next 18 to 24 months—we should be able to add 10% to 20% to current ABR. That is our goal and leasing plan over the next year or two. Secondly, after that—again, the neighborhood is still filling in—once we prove out the concept and have some leases we have signed rolling, we think we add another 30% to 40% off of that once we get to that next level of stabilization after we get through the first phase.
Alexander J. Levine: For sure. The last 18 months have been pivotal at CityPoint. Between Sephora and Swarovski, most recently Warby Parker and Van Leeuwen, it really is starting to get that Armitage and M Street feel. At this point, it is about finding the right retailers and completing the right merchandising mix. There is a lot of runway ahead.
John Gottfried: The way we look at it to give us conviction is the sales being generated. We do not want to give individual tenant sales, but you can guess who they are. They are doing increasing volumes that are attracting the attention of retailers. That gives us conviction it is a matter of when, not if.
Todd Thomas: Okay. That is helpful. Thank you.
Operator: Our next question comes from Michael Mueller with JPMorgan.
Michael Mueller: Yes, hi. First, you mentioned 8% to 10% returns for the Henderson expansion. What are some of the moving parts that pull you to 8% versus 10%? Is there that much variability in the rents being discussed?
Kenneth F. Bernstein: Mike, some of it is cost, some is timing of openings and when we declare stabilization. When you are doing a full lease-up like this, 200 basis points of variability feels normal. Maybe it is a little wide so that we are being conservative, but it is not appropriate to say we are getting to 9% right now. Give us a little latitude. Hopefully, the tenant sales performance we have seen so far and the tenant enthusiasm continue. A lot of it is logistics—how long it takes to get the various tenants open. A few months’ delay could change those numbers 10 to 20 basis points one direction or another.
Michael Mueller: Okay. And second question: you now have, what, three buildings on Newbury and one in Palm Beach. The goal is to scale that, but could you operate those buildings efficiently over the longer term if you could not find additional acquisitions, or do you need five or ten assets in a market to have it work over the long term?
John Gottfried: We could absolutely operate them.
Kenneth F. Bernstein: When we refer to benefits of scale, it is very different than G&A as a percentage of assets in a given corridor. While there are cost benefits, what we are seeing is different. When we control enough buildings on a given corridor—as we have on Armitage Avenue, on M Street, and as you will see on Greene Street in New York—we can pull other levers that enable us to get higher rents more efficiently, with less downtime. AJ and team are constantly shuffling tenants. Some tenants want to be larger; others are ready to leave.
By having enough choices on a given corridor and being a trusted landlord, the benefits of scale we are referring to are not cost related—it is really the ability to drive rents and NOI over time. That requires more than just a couple of buildings on any corridor. For those benefits of scale, I look forward to Reggie and team adding to both of these corridors over time.
Operator: Thank you. That concludes today’s question-and-answer session. I would like to turn the call back to Kenneth F. Bernstein for closing remarks.
Kenneth F. Bernstein: Great. Thank you, everyone. We look forward to speaking with you next quarter. This concludes today’s conference call.
Operator: Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.
