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Date

Wednesday, May 6, 2026 at 5 p.m. ET

Call participants

  • Chief Executive Officer — Christopher Urmson
  • Chief Financial Officer — David Maday

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Takeaways

  • Revenue -- $1 million, representing a 10% sequential increase from the fourth quarter of 2025.
  • Operating Loss -- $244 million (GAAP), with $46 million in stock-based compensation included.
  • R&D and SG&A -- R&D expense totaled $159 million, SG&A was $34 million, and cost of revenue was $6 million.
  • Operating Cash Usage -- $159 million in operating cash consumed; capital expenditures totaled $25 million.
  • Liquidity Position -- Nearly $1.3 billion in cash, short-term, and long-term investments at quarter end.
  • Full-Year Revenue Guidance -- Projected $14 million to $16 million for 2026, up 400% at midpoint; more than half expected in Q4.
  • Truck Operations -- Plan to exit 2026 with over 200 driverless trucks in service; order slots for all 200 secured.
  • Planned Customer Agreement -- Hirschbach selected Aurora for a 500-truck autonomous fleet; definitive deal targeted for later in 2026 with deliveries beginning 2027.
  • Regulatory Milestone -- California enabled autonomous trucking, expanding the projected market to 60 billion vehicle miles traveled by 2028.
  • Commercial Routes -- Network includes 12 distinct routes, with new bidirectional operations between Dallas-Laredo and Dallas-Oklahoma City.
  • Miles and Utilization -- Aurora Driver trucks surpassed 370,000 driverless miles with 100% on-time performance and no attributed collisions; Werner trucks average 4,000+ miles per week (225,000+ annualized per truck).
  • Second-Generation Hardware Launch -- Imminent release of a hardware kit designed for 1 million miles of operation, increased reliability, and a 50%+ reduction in hardware costs.
  • Hardware Roadmap -- Third-generation kit with AUMOVIO in field-testing; Brownfields, Texas plant completion targeted Q1 2027, with production ramping in the second half of 2027.
  • Average Pricing -- Transportation-as-a-Service priced at $1.50-$2.00 per mile plus fuel surcharge; expected Driver-as-a-Service pricing roughly $0.85 per mile.
  • Cost Structure -- Targeting cost of goods sold at approximately $2.00 per mile for breakeven under Transportation-as-a-Service model.
  • CapEx Outlook -- Expecting $150 million full-year capital expenditures in 2026, with 2026 as peak spend and 2027 declining "substantially."
  • Gross Margin Target -- $80 million run-rate revenue remains the implied target for gross profit breakeven after cost reductions.
  • Cash Flow Expectation -- Management confirmed sufficient liquidity to reach positive free cash flow in 2028.
  • Route Expansion -- Endpoints and lane count to be driven by customer demand; miles expected to be predominantly between customer facilities by year-end.
  • Production Scaling -- Roush to achieve capability for 1,000 trucks per year, with Q3 ramp to 20 trucks per week aligned to demand.
  • Sensor Technology -- New proprietary FMCW lidar (FirstLight) extends 1-kilometer range, doubling nearest competitor's range and enabling over 34 seconds reaction at highway speeds.
  • Customer Diversification -- Seven customers now operational; more anticipated by year-end as capacity expands and new agreements are finalized.
  • Fuel Efficiency -- Platform delivers 15% fuel reduction for customers, equating to $0.15-$0.16 per mile savings currently.

Summary

Aurora Innovation (AUR 1.79%) announced that California's regulatory progress now unlocks a coast-to-coast autonomous trucking market, which the company sizes at 60 billion vehicle miles by 2028. The company will imminently launch its second-generation commercial hardware kit, targeting a 50%+ reduction in hardware cost, increased reliability, and enhanced lidar capability. Discussions with Hirschbach have produced an intend-to-order for 500 trucks under the Driver-as-a-Service model, with contractual closure planned this year and deliveries starting in 2027. Revenue for the first quarter rose by 10% sequentially, and management projects 2026 revenue will reach $14 million to $16 million, with more than half realized in the fourth quarter as fleet scaling proceeds. The company ended the quarter with nearly $1.3 billion in liquidity. Management reaffirmed it expects sufficient cash to reach positive free cash flow in 2028.

  • Management highlighted, "we announced last week that they have selected Aurora to scale their autonomous fleet with intent to own and operate 500 trucks through our Driver-as-a-Service business model. We expect to finalize the definitive agreement, which represents a potential multiyear revenue stream in the hundreds of millions of dollars later this year with truck delivery slated to begin in 2027."
  • The current fleet achieved 370,000 autonomous miles without any "Aurora Driver attributed collisions" and 100% on-time delivery, according to management.
  • "have commitment and order slots for the entire 200 trucks." required for 2026 driverless scaling, removing supply availability concerns for the roadmap.
  • Gross profit breakeven is still targeted at an $80 million annualized revenue run rate following new hardware cost savings, though management clarified this is not formal guidance.
  • FirstLight lidar, described as "double the range of the closest FMCW lidar competitor," expands reaction times and safety standards for driverless highway operations.
  • Roush production ramp to 20 trucks per week is expected in the third quarter, initially setting up 1,000-truck annual builds with scalability for greater demand in 2027 and beyond.
  • Average weekly miles per Werner truck exceeded 4,000, providing a baseline for utilization assumptions as expansion proceeds.

Industry glossary

  • FMCW lidar: Frequency Modulated Continuous Wave light detection and ranging sensor enabling long-range, high-resolution object detection for autonomous vehicles.
  • Driver-as-a-Service (DaaS): Business model where autonomous driving technology is supplied as a service, allowing fleet customers to own and operate their vehicles while paying for autonomous capabilities on a per-mile or subscription basis.
  • Transportation-as-a-Service (TaaS): Comprehensive solution bundling vehicles, autonomous technology, and logistics, typically operated and maintained by the technology provider and billed per mile or usage unit.
  • Upfit: The process of installing and customizing hardware components on standard trucks to enable autonomous driving capability.
  • FirstLight: Aurora's proprietary long-range FMCW lidar system, offering extended detection distance and increased reaction time for autonomous truck navigation.

Full Conference Call Transcript

Chris will provide an update on the progress we have made across the key pillars of our business, and David will recap our first quarter financial results. We will then open the call to Q&A. A recording of this conference call will be available on our Investor Relations website at ir.aurora.tech, shortly after this call has ended. I'd like to take this opportunity to remind you that during the call, we will be making forward-looking statements. These statements are subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed, projected or implied during this call.

In particular, those described in our risk factors included in our annual report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2025, and other documents filed with the SEC as well as the current uncertainty and unpredictability in our business, the markets and economy. Additional information will also be set forth in our quarterly report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended March 31, 2026. You should not rely on our forward-looking statements as predictions of future events. All forward-looking statements that we make on this call are based on assumptions and beliefs as of the date hereof, and Aurora disclaims any obligation to update any forward-looking statements except as required by law.

Our discussion today may include non-GAAP financial measures. These non-GAAP measures should be considered in addition to and not as a substitute for or in isolation from our GAAP results. Information regarding our non-GAAP financial results, including a reconciliation of our historical GAAP to non-GAAP results, may be found in our shareholder letter, which was furnished with our Form 8-K filed today with the SEC and may also be found on our Investor Relations website. Our discussion today may also include reference to forward-looking free cash flow, a non-GAAP financial measure.

To the extent that these forward-looking financial measure is provided, it is presented on a non-GAAP basis without a reconciliation due to the inherent difficulty in forecasting and quantifying certain amounts that are necessary for such reconciliation. With that, I'll now turn the call over to Chris.

Christopher Urmson: Thanks, Stacy. 2026 is the year Aurora begins to scale. Our strategic investments are fueling the momentum necessary to accelerate our growth and extend our lead in autonomous trucking market. The start of this year has been a period of disciplined transition a deliberate buildup before the inflection. Drawing on our deep experience, safely integrating the Aurora Driver across multiple platforms. We're on the cusp of launching our second-generation commercial hardware kit on a new fleet of driverless trucks. This program positions us to exit the year with over 200 driverless trucks in operation across the Sunbelt and supports our broader scaling ambitions in 2027 and beyond.

In preparation for this imminent launch, our forthcoming software release and commercial hardware kit are engineered specifically to deliver the reliability required as we scale our fleet. This progress is driving significant commercial momentum. In addition to the Transportation as a Service commitments we already have in place with Hirschbach we announced last week that they have selected Aurora to scale their autonomous fleet with intent to own and operate 500 trucks through our Driver-as-a-Service business model. We expect to finalize the definitive agreement, which represents a potential multiyear revenue stream in the hundreds of millions of dollars later this year with truck delivery slated to begin in 2027.

As we prepare to scale, we're seeing continued regulatory momentum with landmark progress at the state level. California has reached a watershed moment, joining the vast majority of states in enabling autonomous trucking. We now project a serviceable, addressable market of 60 billion vehicle miles traveled by 2028. And excitingly, California supports a seamless coast-to-coast operating environment. With the Aurora Driver now sufficiently generalized for us to begin scaling across the Sunbelt aligned with customer demand, we strategically focused our resources on 3 key initiatives: expanding our driverless network, finalizing our latest software release and validating our second-generation commercial hardware kit.

These efforts serve as the critical final steps in preparing for the imminent launch of our new driverless truck fleet transitioning Aurora from a phase of localized operations to one of wide-scale industrial deployment. Our expansion is progressing at an accelerated pace with our network now encompassing 12 distinct routes. At the end of March, we validated driverless operations on the bidirectional route between Dallas and Laredo within just 6 weeks of initiating supervised autonomous runs. Building on this momentum, we also opened new bidirectional routes between Dallas and Oklahoma City. In collaboration with Volvo Autonomous Solutions, we have started supervised autonomous deliveries on this route to support one of their key customers.

Furthermore, we've expanded our driverless cohort to 7 customers, including transitioning commercial loads with [ McLean ] to driverless operations. Our forthcoming software release further increases the Aurora Driver's reliability in preparation for scaling, including validation of driverless operations in more severe rain as well as the full spectrum of complex construction scenarios on our highway routes. To complement these advancements, we are augmenting our driverless network to support real-time dynamic rerouting, providing the operational agility required for high-volume commercial service. We're also in the process of validating our second-generation commercial hardware kit on multiple truck platforms through rigorous on-road, track and lab testing to prepare for our planned second quarter launch and are seeing impressive performance.

Designed for 1 million miles of operation and with enhanced sensor cleaning capabilities, this kit meaningfully increases the Aurora Driver's reliability. It also brings exciting performance gains including a more efficient computer and an extended 1-kilometer range for FirstLight, our proprietary long-range FMCW lidar. This is double the range of the closest FMCW lidar competitor and can give the Aurora Driver more than 34 seconds to react when at highway speeds, setting a new superhuman standard for safety. And importantly, we expect this kit to drive a 50-plus percent reduction in Aurora Driver hardware costs, a key lever supporting our breakeven gross margin target.

While advancing on these fronts, in April, the Aurora Driver surpassed 370,000 driverless miles with 100% on-time performance and 0 Aurora Driver attributed collisions. Notably, this growth was driven by a very strong utilization with a leaner active fleet. For example, the driverless trucks we are operating for Werner are already averaging 4,000-plus miles per week, which translates to an annual run rate of 225,000-plus miles per truck. With the performance we're seeing, we expect Aurora Driver powered trucks will be capable of more than doubling utilization and in turn, revenue per truck for our customers. Expanding driverless delivery to and from customers' facilities will further strengthen the Aurora Driver's value proposition.

We're continuing to ready Hirschbach, Detmar and Werner for endpoint operations. including in-yard autonomous operations at their facilities. We currently expect to generate a majority of our 2026 revenue through operations between customer facilities, reflecting our continued focus on increasing commercial value. To ensure seamless end-to-end service, we recently began supervised testing of way station navigation and on-route fueling at truck stops. Navigating these environments requires many of the same advanced surface Street capabilities we have already refined. For example, on the 7-mile, the Aurora Driver navigates to and from the highway in Houston. The video on Page 8 of our presentation demonstrates the Aurora Driver's proficiency in these complex low-speed settings.

To meet customer demand and support our path to scale, we've established a robust hardware and vehicle platform road map. We're closing in on the second quarter launch of our second-generation commercial hardware kit on a new fleet of trucks based on the international LT series that will enable driverless operations without an observer. With this program, we have a strong line of sight to achieving our 2026 scaling goals. We expect this to establish a powerful foundation for 2027 when we plan to launch our Driver-as-a-Service business model. Looking ahead to 2027, we've made exciting progress on our third-generation commercial hardware kit that will be manufactured by AUMOVIO. Together, we started testing initial units.

Our engineering team is also working with AUMOVIO and NVIDIA to develop a first-of-its-kind Super Thor compute configuration an architecture that integrates 2 NVIDIA DRIVE for SoCs into a unified platform optimized to power the Aurora Driver at scale. This approach demonstrates our 3-way collaboration is setting the standard for industrializing autonomous technology. In March, AUMOVIO broke ground on their -- the expansion of their new Brownfields, Texas facility where they will produce our third-generation hardware kit intended to supply tens of thousands of trucks. Construction of the plant's expansion is expected to be completed in the first quarter of 2027. With start of production for the hardware kits on track to begin in the second half of 2027.

Volvo plans to build hundreds of the Volvo VNL autonomous trucks in 2027 and has already completed several Aurora Driver powered trucks on their pilot line. For the program based on the International LT truck, our upfitter, Roush, will begin scale production later this year. We're initially establishing the capacity to produce 1,000 trucks per year with potential to increase that capacity. Concurrently, PACCAR and Aurora are jointly defining the path to scalable launch on the third-generation Aurora Driver commercial hardware kit integrated with PACCAR's future autonomy enabled platform. All of this work is forging the industrial engine that extends our leadership position and supports commercial deployment at significant scale.

At Aurora, we're building a safer, stronger and more resilient freight ecosystem with our technology for the people who power it. To back this vision, we recently announced Aurora Works. Our commitment to invest in workforce development by establishing educational partnerships and technical training for emerging roles in autonomous trucking. We're at the center of a new era of logistics that improves road safety, fuels economic growth and creates new high-skilled American jobs. Autonomous freight represents a step change for what is possible in global logistics. The Aurora Driver moves the industry beyond traditional constraints toward a world of continuous high utilization delivery.

With a clear road map, deep partnerships and an accelerating industrial engine, we are well positioned to lead this evolution. The future of freight is on the road and Aurora is setting the pace. With that, I'll now pass it over to Dave, who will review our financial results.

David Maday: Thank you, Chris. Now let's review our financial results for which we have provided a summary on Page 15 of the slide deck for reference. First quarter 2026 revenue totaled $1 million across driverless and vehicle operator supervised commercial loads. Despite leveraging our shared fleet for continued development of new routes and validation of our second-generation commercial hardware kit, the Aurora Driver achieved another record number of commercial miles during the quarter which drove a 10% sequential increase in revenue from the fourth quarter of 2025. First quarter operating loss, including stock-based compensation, totaled $244 million, excluding stock-based compensation of $46 million, R&D totaled $159 million, SG&A was $34 million, and cost of revenue was $6 million.

We used approximately $159 million in operating cash during the first quarter of 2026, and capital expenditures totaled $25 million. As planned, this cash spend was below our externally communicated quarterly average target. We expect the second quarter cash spend to be above the target range due to the timing of our cash bonus payout which, as we discussed last quarter, we plan to fund with our at-the-market program. We ended the quarter with a very strong balance sheet, including liquidity of nearly $1.3 billion in cash and short-term and long-term investments.

During the first quarter, we generated net proceeds of $14 million from the issuance of Class A common stock through our at-the-market program which we used to fund the tax liability associated with vesting of employee restricted stock units during the quarter. We continue to expect 2026 revenue of $14 million to $16 million up 400% year-over-year at the midpoint. Revenue will be back-end loaded with the fourth quarter projected to contribute over half of full year revenue. as we scale driverless operations following the launch of our new fleet. We anticipate exiting the year with more than 200 driverless trucks in operation. which translates to approximately $80 million in revenue on a run rate basis for our Transportation-as-a-Service business.

This establishes a powerful foundation for 2027 when we expect the core Driver-as-a-Service model to commence. To support our scaling plan, we continue to expect quarterly cash use of approximately $190 million to $220 million on average throughout 2026. This includes approximately $150 million in anticipated full year capital expenditures, primarily attributed to our capacity plan. We continue to expect 2026 to represent peak capital spend and capital expenditures declining significantly in 2027 as we transition to our Driver-as-a-Service model and Hardware-as-a-Service structure with AUMOVIO. Our first quarter performance reflects the focused execution and disciplined transition that will define Aurora in 2026. We continue to balance prudent resource management with the strategic investments needed to support large-scale industrial deployment.

With that, we will now open the call to Q&A.

Operator: [Operator Instructions]. Our first question is from George Gianarikas with Canaccord Genuity.

George Gianarikas: So maybe first, in light of the growing commercial momentum that you're seeing, have you seen any meaningful acceleration in inbound interest from prospective fleet partners? And also as you're beginning to scale, how are you navigating price discovery? Has there been any resistance from customers regarding the per mile rate or is the value currently offsetting any cost concerns?

Christopher Urmson: Yes. Thanks, George. I appreciate the question. We continue to have really exciting conversations with various customers. We've talked in the past about each time we got to check off progress. We see it become more real in the eyes of customers, and that leads to an increase in the conversations we have. We've got an exciting funnel and we'll share more as we can -- as we get through that. I don't think we can talk specifically about pricing on this. Obviously, there's a lot of competitive elements around that. But we have very fruitful conversations with folks. Of course, they want to pay nothing for it, and we'd like to charge them more for it.

So every one of those conversations is, of course, the negotiation. I don't know, David, if you'd add more?

David Maday: Yes. I think the customers themselves have been giving us really good and direct feedback. At the end of the day, the value proposition that we're discussing has still resonated quite well. You're going to argue a little bit about the fringes, but the growing cost drivers is undeniable, the indirect costs associated with it. And fuel costs are really high right now. We're providing a 15% reduction on that. That translates to real dollars, right? That's roughly $0.15, $0.16 per mile in today's marketplace. So the value proposition does resonate quite well, and we're confident that we're going to be able to grow the business and achieve our profit objectives.

George Gianarikas: And maybe as a follow-up, given your recent autonomous haul, are you encountering any technical bottlenecks as you transition from pilot to more of a consistent operational cadence? And how have your engineering teams mitigated any constraints that have been out there in the system?

Christopher Urmson: Yes. There's nothing that we're seeing that's particularly surprising. It's stuff that's been in our road map for a while. So we're continuing to improve that. This new release that is going to land with the second-generation hardware really is about making sure that we have a robust platform that's reliable and meets customer needs, increasing the amount of rain we can handle dealing with more complicated construction that we need to deal with on freeways. That's the kind of thing that's going to set us up to be able to scale really well.

Operator: Our next question is from Scott Group with Wolfe Research.

Scott Group: So a couple of things. Relative to the target of 200 trucks by the end of the year, how many are in operation today? And then separately on the Hirschbach MOU. Just hoping for a little bit more color, like what needs to happen to convert this from an MOU to a committed contract? And do you have any color on how many of those 500 trucks you expect to deliver in '27? And how long do you think it takes to get to the full 500?

Christopher Urmson: Yes. So on the 200 trucks, when we talk about 200 trucks, we're talking about driverless trucks operating by the end of the year. Today, we're running about a handful of them. Of the vehicles that will make up those 200 trucks that are operating driverlessly, I think we own 25 of them now, and they're in various stages of upfit and preparation. So that's kind of where we stand on getting to those 200 trucks over the course of the year. We expect -- we're doing work in Q2 to prepare Roush to scale, and they'll really start scaling getting towards that 20 trucks per week production rate in Q3.

With Hirschbach, I don't know there's a whole lot we can share there. We're really excited about there have been one of our longest-term partners and customers. And to George's question earlier about the value customers see. You don't get a company like Hirschbach, signing up for an MOU unless they see real opportunity for it to complement the drivers they have in their fleet today. It's a 500 truck deal over 27 and 28 is our expectation. We expect it to turn into hundreds of millions of miles and hundreds of millions of dollars of revenue. So and we expect to get to closure on that this year.

David Maday: Yes. And Scott, one other thing on the 200 trucks, just so there's no confusion. We already have commitment and order slots for the entire 200 trucks. So there is no question about the truck availability. It's just when we bring them into start the upfit process, and we build out our capacity plan.

Scott Group: Okay. Great. And then last couple of things, David, do you -- I think you talked about last quarter, if you get to the $80 million run rate of revenue, that will be gross profit breakeven. Is that still the case? And then on the California front, when do you expect to start operations there?

David Maday: Well, relative to the gross profit breakeven, that is still our target for sure. The $80 million is one element of that. There are some things that we need to do on the cost side of that equation which are equally as important, which is part of our plan. And so we're still targeting it. It's not formal guidance, but we are targeting it, and we are going to be working really hard to be able to achieve that target. I'll let Chris talk a little bit about California.

Christopher Urmson: For California, first, we're really excited that California has taken a step forward of this. We've been in conversation with them literally for years, and we're just excited to see kind of put out the regulations and give us certainty on how we can start to build our business there. We don't have set time for when we'll begin operating in California. We have to go through the permitting process with them to do that but the team is already working on that, and we'll share more when we can.

Operator: Our next question is from Ravi Shanker with Morgan Stanley.

Ravi Shanker: Chris, you said in your letter that you and PACCAR are jointly defining the path to scalable launch on their assembly lines. Do you have an understanding? And if so, can you tell us kind of what this path looks like from a catalyst or a timing standpoint?

Christopher Urmson: Yes. I can't share timing, of course. What I can share is that we're aligning around the third-generation platform that -- or hardware kit from Aurora that we're working with AUMOVIO on. We've shared in the past that we expect that to come into production in the back half of '27. And so we continue to have conversations with PACCAR. We continue to work with them closely and look forward to offering customers who'd like to have the Aurora Driver on a Peterbilt that option.

Ravi Shanker: Okay. Understood. And maybe kind of on a different topic. Obviously, truck rates appear to be going up quite meaningfully. There are some who think we may be on the cusp of a generational upcycle here. Are you seeing any increased interest from customers or carriers who may be concerned about a driver shortage? And is this an opportunity for you to maybe revise your pricing strategy? Or are you just selling this as, hey, there's more savings for your customers if they switch to autonomous in the next few years?

Christopher Urmson: Yes. So I'll say that first. I'm not savvy enough to predict exactly what will happen with the market here, but it does feel like there's a lot of factors that are contributing to what will be increased freight rates going forward. We're really focused on delivering value to our customers. We ultimately expect to get paid for that value. And so if we're contributing more value, we'll ultimately expect to be compensated for that. But right now, we're focused on making sure that the folks who've been with us as partners and customers and get an opportunity to benefit from that and build their business. So I don't know, Dave, anything you'd add?

Ravi Shanker: No, I think that's right. I will say that the interest has been picking up a lot over the last 6 months, frankly. The number of inbounds that we're getting has been just increasing dramatically, Ravi. So we're very excited about that. Part of it is just we're out there and people can see and experience it more than they've ever had before. Part of it is the market is starting to have some positive signs that feel like they're more sustainable and that has people more interested in thinking about their long term.

I think from the pricing side, the one thing that I would say is we believe that the pricing at that $0.85 plus kind of range will enable us to be very successful. And it will support broad scale adoption for our customers. And I think we look at it not so much as how would we maximize that next quarter. And I think about it as how will we build the plan for the next several years. And we want to make sure that we have as equally as much of that long-term focus and support for customer adoption as we can.

Operator: Our next question is from Chris Pierce with Needham & Company.

Christopher Pierce: I just want to -- if you guys could shed some light, if you talked about Hirschbach, what are they seeing -- are they seeing something different in terms of absolute number of miles driven? Or is it just a unique decision on their end that sort of has them pull the trigger to move from a trial to a truck order. And I guess, do you have other partners that you've been working with over time that are similar miles or that it just sort of come down to a unique decision on their end? I just kind of want to get a sense of what helped them over the -- get over the edge.

Christopher Urmson: I think first, it's important to recognize that there's a distribution of customers, right? There's going to be folks who are first movers and there's going to be others who are fast followers. Hirschbach has had a lot of experience with us. The leadership team there. We've been able to build trust with over time. And so we're excited for them to pull the trigger. We do expect others will follow. And we'll just continue to demonstrate value. And frankly, right now, we're pretty supply constrained, and we look forward to unlocking that supply over the course of this year and certainly in '27 as we bring the AUMOVIO hardware kit online.

David Maday: The other thing that I would add on Hirschbach, they have been with us for quite some time. And they don't look at this just as a business decision. They are really looking at this -- in their words, the quality of life investment for their people, right? This is to help support their people and get them to the routes in the working environment that will improve their quality of life while we handle the "less desirable", the longer haul routes that keep you away very far. So they've been very forward-leaning on thinking about their drivers, long-term quality of life. And so I think that's something that's very important to them.

And certainly, they care a lot about their drivers.

Christopher Pierce: Yes. Okay. And then just one for Dave. In your -- from the desk of the CFO. You talked about in the last time about peak CapEx. I just want to understand definitionally, I mean, I don't think of you guys as a heavy CapEx company. I think of you as a heavy R&D company. Are we saying that '27 is we're close to peak R&D and R&D comes down? I just want to make sure I'm understanding what line item on the model and what statement to look at?

David Maday: No, I think we have said many times, we're a capital efficient or a capital-light business, right? And as a Transportation-as-a-Service business to start, you actually have a little bit more capital than what we believe is going to be our steady state long-term capital. So we do expect our CapEx to go down. Our R&D investments, certainly, that's a larger percentage of our overall expenditures. We are continuing to invest in our R&D to capitalize on the lead continue to build that advantage, make the Aurora Driver available everywhere.

And so we kind of look at that as more of a steady state kind of number for the foreseeable quarters, whereas we think the CapEx will start to drop down substantially in 2027.

Operator: Our next question is from Colin Rusch with Oppenheimer & Company.

Colin Rusch: We've done a very judicious job of waiting to scale until you guys were ready. And now as you move into this next stage of the organization, I'm just curious about how you think about pacing of the scale-up because certainly, demand isn't going to be an issue, but maintaining quality as you move into these higher volumes is critical. So I just want to think about how you're managing that, how you're managing supply chain to meet those specs, and how you might end up diversifying some of the supply chain to enable a little bit more resilient supply as you go forward?

Christopher Urmson: Yes. And that's really aligned with our long-term strategy that we've talked about for several years. So thanks for the question. as we went from the initial vehicles that we launched trials with last year, that was hardware that we had built in-house. We had sourced all in-house. As we move to the second generation of hardware, there we're leveraging Fabrinet, the experience they have, the quality process they have layering on top of that, our quality and sourcing support. So we feel good about that.

And then, of course, as we move to the back half of '27 when we expect the hardware kit that we're developing with AUMOVIO to come to life there, of course, we're leaning into AUMOVIO and the strength that they have in managing their supply chain and managing quality being a true scale automotive supplier. And so that's kind of -- as you think about the hardware side of it, that's how we're building that supply chain system. When it comes to the software that operates on board, that's been a core part of how we've thought about this is how do we ensure that the software will generalize safely over time.

It's what leads us to do as much work as we do in testing and validation. And it's why we've said from day 1 that safety has to be first. And so we've ingrained that into the organization over the better part of a decade at this point. and that leads to process that we think will scale and ultimately drive safe and reliable outcomes for our customers.

Colin Rusch: And then as you guys prioritize ODDs, I'm curious about how much input you're getting from your customers at this point? Or if you're at a place now where you're just really driving capabilities and then selling it to them, are there priorities that they have that can impact some of the sequencing and focus areas for you on an R&D perspective?

Christopher Urmson: That's a great question. We continue to want to learn as much as we possibly can from our partners and understand what the source of demand is and where it's most useful for them. Dave talked about Hirschbach focus on supporting their employees and what does that translate into places that are useful for us to drive for them. So in terms of the capabilities of the driver, the Aurora Driver has to have -- we do learn some from our customers, but that we kind of infer ourselves, but where we need to go operate, which lanes we should be opening, that is very much almost purely driven by customer demand.

Operator: Our next question is from David Vernon with Bernstein.

David Vernon: The first question for you, Dave. I noticed the language around sufficient liquidity to get to positive free cash flow in 2028 that was in the 4Q letter, it's not in a 1Q letter. Is that -- was that purposeful? Was that just -- it's still on plan? Can you give a kind of comment what the status is on that cash flow breakeven by 2028?

David Maday: Yes, it's still our plan. We believe that we have sufficient liquidity. Nothing has changed in that to get us to a positive free cash flow.

David Vernon: Okay. And then maybe the 4,000 miles per truck per week that you guys are quoting on the utilization that you're getting out of Werner. Is that the right number to use in terms of a run rate assumption to underpin the $80 million sort of half exit run rate? And then I guess the follow-on to that would be if that turns in to be the right sort of revenue per mile-ish range. How does the DAS thing compare? Is it half? Is it 3/4? Anything you can give us relatively on what we should be thinking about plugging into a model around on the DaaS or the DaaS rate would be helpful.

David Maday: Yes. I think for the mileage, I think that's really going to vary based on the customer use cases. But we're very confident in our ability to achieve double utilization, and it is really going to depend on which Roush they put them on and the load frequency that they have. But certainly, we think this 250,000-mile range is still a very good source. We've used that several years ago, and we still think that, that's a good target that any customer can achieve. So we think that's probably good there. In terms of the pricing dynamics, I can't get into too many specifics without kind of comparing individual customers.

But what I can tell you is the information that we shared before, relative to anywhere from $1.50 to $2 a mile for TaaS plus fuel surcharge. And then on the Driver-as-a-Service, again, our indicative thing, pricing is about $0.85. So again, we think that, that's a pretty good mix. And so you can kind of do the math from there. Thanks, David.

Operator: Our next question is from [ John Sager ] with Evercore ISI.

Unknown Analyst: I hate to continue to dig into the numbers a little bit. But to get to sort of $15 million of revenue, so you're charging somewhere around $2 per mile. And then if I'm backing into gross margin breakeven, that means that your cost is something like $1 per mile to operate. Is that a fair way of thinking about it? I'm just trying to figure out how to track your progress with that.

David Maday: Yes, no problem. Like our cost of goods sold is the measurement that we're looking at for our gross margin. So you will see if revenue is about $2. That's our target for our cost of goods sold. It is about $2 a mile. That will obviously change when we go to the Driver-as-a-Service. You got to remember in our current Transportation-as-a-Service business model, it's not just the cost of being able to deploy the Aurora Driver. It's the cost of purchasing the trucks, financing the hardware and a lot of other fuel costs terminal. So I think you'll see us really targeting roughly that $2 a mile for a breakeven target.

Unknown Analyst: Okay. Perfect. And then as we look out into 2027, at what point do you make that transition to the point where the customers own the trucks? And like when is -- can you give us any sense of timing on that? Is it does it all happen at once? Or is this sort of a customer by customer?

David Maday: Yes. It's not a hard line. We will start the process in 2027 and then it will really be customer-by-customer specific. I would also point out that we will still have transportation as a service trucks operating for several years. even with customers who have signed up for additional Driver-as-a-Service contract. So we're going to continue to utilize a small fleet of Transportation-as-a-Service trucks for its life, and then we will kind of just build upon that going forward. So we do expect, again, some general starting -- we will start in 2027. But there's no hard line of when it will exactly start. We're not making some fundamental shift. We will only do Driver-as-a-Service going forward.

Again, it's important for our customers to support the adoption to be able to see and experience the Aurora Driver in a scenario where they don't have to make huge investments until they've seen the product work and provide value to them.

Christopher Urmson: That is something that I think will evolve over time, right? Today, we're going to be the only provider, first provider of this technology in market. And so I think there's going to be more customer education and the Transportation-as-a-Service as Dave said, allows us to have this low friction way for them to get introduced, get used to it. But what we do see is that as customers get used to it, they believe in their -- the value they provide in owning, operating, maintaining using these trucks efficiently. And that's a confidence that we don't think that's core to Aurora. And so we see customers excited to take that on, and we look forward to it.

Operator: Our next question is from Mark Delaney with Goldman Sachs.

Mark Delaney: Nice to see the improved new rollouts to new locations. So thanks for all the updates on that. Chris, I was hoping to get your latest thoughts on AI technology and any new innovations that Aurora is looking at one thing that's had more discussion in the investment community and tech community recently has been world models, but curious whether it's that or other newer technologies that you're observing and anything that could be impactful for Aurora?

Christopher Urmson: No. We continue to pay attention to what's happening outside. We're excited about the models that we're building at Aurora. We continue to be deep believers in verifiable AI. The idea that you would trust 1 of these giant trucks driving down the road with something where you just kind of hope the output is the right thing given the input. It just doesn't make sense. And so we continue to look for ways we can bring those ideas in and fuse them with our approach to ensuring that we can deliver a safe vehicle on the road.

Mark Delaney: Understood. My other question was around the planned start of operations without a driver this quarter. Maybe just speak a bit more, if you could please around what still needs to happen for that to materialize? Is it additional testing and validation or anything else that may still be left in order to meet that time line?

Christopher Urmson: Yes. It's really imminent. We're excited about the progress we're making. It's predominantly testing a validation at this point. So we're continuing to look forward to having them on the road in Q2.

Operator: Our next question is from Ken Hoexter with Bank of America.

Ken Hoexter: Great. Chris and Dave, earlier, you talked about some of the new routes going from Dallas to Laredo, Dallas, Oklahoma City. So for the 200 trucks by year-end, can you talk about how many total lanes would that encompass kind of what's the expansion target? And then how many different customers are part of that 200 trucks? Are you focused on the existing customers? You start talking about new stickers on the trucks.

Christopher Urmson: Yes. So for the second question, first, we expect there to be many new stickers on the trucks by the end of the year. We continue to want to support and ensure that the folks who've been with us early on are able to benefit from it and grow their businesses. We appreciate the trust they put in us. But we aspire to have the Aurora Driver on every truck, ultimately. And so we're excited to have new customers come in and grow with them. On the lanes front, it's really going to be driven by customer interest and demand and where it makes sense for those customers to have the trucks operating.

We expect it to span across the Sunbelt, as we have said for some time, but the specific lanes and lane count will really be dictated by that. And that's what's great is that we're moving in the direction with our ability to unlock new lanes that it's a comparatively -- the complexity and difficulty of making that happen has come down dramatically. And so we can be much more responsive and reactive to where customers want us to operate.

Ken Hoexter: Great. Makes a lot of sense. If I can get a follow-up then on the routes, right? So maybe talk about how much of that is, I don't know, end-to-end versus drop and hook yards or maybe just understanding the last mile at this point. And then on the production, if you're targeting 200 or 20 trucks a week at this point by year-end, how much can that scale into '27 on both the truck manufacturing and the AUMOVIO side?

Christopher Urmson: Yes. Okay. So we continue -- and maybe let me make sure we mean by end-to-end. End-to-end means going from a customer side to a customer side, generally a distribution center or some kind to a customer distributions center or terminal. We're not talking about going to the Safeway or the restaurant. And so we expect by the end of the year that the miles that we drive are predominantly going between customer endpoints. That's our expectation. We think that is the right way to deliver the product. We think it's valuable to the customer. So we're looking forward to that.

And as we mentioned, we're already doing the work with customers today with Werner, Hirschbach and others at Detmar, in particular, to open up their endpoints and operate those robustly. I feel like there's a second half of your question there that I lost somewhere. I apologize.

Ken Hoexter: Just the second one is just back to the production, right? So you talked about 20 trucks a week and kind of thoughts on the scalability to '27.

Christopher Urmson: Yes. So we're starting by setting Roush up with the bandwidth to be able to produce 1,000 trucks a year. As we go into '27, as we see the demand for that, we can increase that scale further. And we really see this as a complement to the other programs we're running with Volvo and Peterbilt, PACCAR. So it's a third option relative to those 2.

Ken Hoexter: Thanks a lot. Thanks for the time.

Operator: Thank you. That is all the time we have for questions today. This concludes today's presentation. You may disconnect your lines at this time. We thank you again for your participation.