What happened
If cryptocurrencies are dropping sharply in value, you can bet that Coinbase Global (COIN +0.11%) is tumbling right along with them. The recent investor exodus from all manner of digital coins and tokens is having a bad knock-on effect on the crypto exchange operator's stock; according to data compiled by S&P Global Market Intelligence it had lost 25% of its value week to date as of Friday before market open.
So what
Now is a bad time to be invested in cryptocurrency and any other assets strongly associated with digital money. Investors are scrambling into assets thought to be safe from economic storms, like the one many believe is about to hit us. Even at the peak of its popularity crypto was always accepted as a high-risk asset class, hence the movement away from it.
An analysis published Thursday by Oppenheimer analyst Owen Lau starkly illustrated the current state of the cryptosphere generally, and Coinbase specifically. According to Lau's research, the total market capitalization of cryptocurrencies fell a dizzying 55% in the second quarter while overall trading volume declined.
None of this is good news for Coinbase, so Lau enacted a very deep cut to the stock's price target. It's now $90 per share, down considerably from the former level of $197.
NASDAQ: COIN
Key Data Points
Now what
Here's the thing, though -- Lau is still bullish on Coinbase, as despite that heavy chop he's keeping his outperform (i.e., buy) recommendation on the shares. In his estimation, the stock tends to rebound more sharply than cryptocurrencies in bullish times, giving it huge potential upside when and if those assets stage a comeback.
Lau is also considering the possibility of a short squeeze in Coinbase stock. He pointed out that the relatively high short interest in the shares (currently over 12%), "could fuel a squeeze when the tides turn."
