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A Small Surprise From P&G

By Nate Parmelee – Updated Nov 16, 2016 at 1:19PM

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P&G delivers, just like it promised.

Hurricanes Katrina and Rita hit businesses hard, forcing many to adjust their financial expectations. But not Procter & Gamble (NYSE:PG), which issued a press release following each hurricane to let investors know that everything was on track. Today, without much fanfare, P&G kept its promise and released first-quarter earnings that were actually a penny ahead of expectations.

That's a positive surprise, but not a huge one. P&G is a well-run company with a stable of brands that includes Tide, Charmin, Pampers, and Pantene. The company should be able to overcome a fair amount of adversity.

Despite the hurricanes, which took a chunk out of the earnings and sales of the company's coffee operations, P&G delivered sales 8% higher than last year's; operating income was up a solid 10%. Net income grew only 4%, hampered by debt incurred to finance share repurchases and expenses related to the acquisition of Gillette. The company's share repurchases enabled its earnings-per-share growth to rise 10%, more than twice as fast as its net income.

Next quarter will mark the first one with Gillette on P&G's books. Because of the acquisition, the company is forecasting robust sales growth of 23%-26%, but share dilution from the acquisition will reduce earnings to somewhere between $0.66 and $0.69 per share, below last year's $0.74 per share. Still, buying P&G isn't about a penny a share here and there, or even one year's performance. It's about the long-term potential of the brands and the company's ability to grow them.

P&G deserves heaps of praise for not only providing a statement of cash flows, but also comparing its free cash flow performance with its net income performance. (The company calls it "free cash flow productivity.") In the long term, P&G seeks free cash flow results that compose at least 90% of net income, which would be a very solid performance. For this quarter, the company fell just short with 87% productivity; it's still a large improvement over last year's 77% productivity.

Many components of the Dow Jones Industrials are attractively priced now, or nearly so. Wal-Mart (NYSE:WMT), 3M (NYSE:MMM), and United Technologies (NYSE:UTX) are in that mix, and P&G isn't too far behind. It's a little too rich for my blood at 21 times trailing earnings, but this is a company with an amazing group of brands. P&G should deliver good future performance through both unit-sale growth and pricing power.

Gamble on further Foolishness:

3M is a Motley Fool Inside Value recommendation.

The Motley Fool has kicked off its ninth annual Foolanthropy campaign! Nominate your favorite charities on our Foolanthropy discussion board through Nov. 6. For guidelines on what makes a charity Foolish, visit www.foolanthropy.com .

Nathan Parmelee likes P&G's 2% dividend yield but has no financial stake in any of the companies mentioned. The Motley Fool has an ironclad disclosure policy.

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Stocks Mentioned

Walmart Stock Quote
Walmart
WMT
$130.06 (-2.50%) $-3.33
Raytheon Technologies Corporation Stock Quote
Raytheon Technologies Corporation
RTX
$82.03 (-1.70%) $-1.42
The Procter & Gamble Company Stock Quote
The Procter & Gamble Company
PG
$135.58 (-0.46%) $0.63
3M Company Stock Quote
3M Company
MMM
$112.99 (-1.01%) $-1.15

*Average returns of all recommendations since inception. Cost basis and return based on previous market day close.

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