Please ensure Javascript is enabled for purposes of website accessibility

Foolish Forecast: Tenacious Teva

By Brian Orelli, PhD – Updated Apr 5, 2017 at 5:14PM

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Views you can use to get clues on tomorrow's news.

Generic-drug maker Teva Phamaceuticals (NASDAQ:TEVA) releases earnings on Tuesday morning. Let's take a look at whether we should expect a generic quarter or blockbuster one.

What Fools say:
Fools love their generic-drug makers. From big to small, the bulls rule:

Market Cap (billions)

CAPS Rating

Bull Ratio

Barr Pharmaceuticals (NYSE:BRL)

6.0

*****

96%

Dr . Reddy's Laboratories
(NYSE:RDY)

2.7

*****

96%

Mylan (NYSE:MYL)

3.7

***

92%

Teva Phamaceuticals

33.8

****

95%

Data taken from Motley Fool CAPS and Capital IQ on 10/26/2007.

What management says:
On its last earnings conference call, management said it had 153 products waiting for FDA approval, representing $90 billion of annual branded sales. They believe 40 of those are first-to-file abbreviated new drug applications (ANDA), which would earn Teva the coveted six months of marketing exclusivity.

Last November, the company authorized a $600-million share repurchase plan. It's repurchased almost two-thirds of that, but didn't repurchase any shares in the second quarter, suggesting the company doesn't feel its shares were undervalued.

Based on its strong first half and growth opportunities in the second half, it expects to be at the higher end of the guidance of $2.20 to $2.30 for the year announced in May.

What management does:
SG&A margins have been increasing thanks to higher sales of branded drugs, but that's cancelled out by higher gross margins on the aforementioned drugs. Operating margins are down slightly thanks to increased R&D expenses, which will hopefully pay off in more products and increased revenue down the line.

Margins

3/06

6/06

9/06

12/06

3/07

6/07

Gross

47.4%

50.0%

52.2%

51.8%

52.2%

51.4%

SG&A

16.6%

17.1%

17.4%

18.7%

19.4%

20.0%

Operating

24.0%

26.6%

28.7%

27.2%

26.8%

25.4%

Net

(3.5%)

0.8%

5.2%

6.5%

21.5%

21.3%

All data courtesy of Capital IQ, a division of Standard & Poor's. Data reflects trailing-12-month performance for the quarters ended in the named months.

One Fool says:
Generic-drug makers live and die by their new products, and Teva has certainly been grabbing its fair share. It announced six full FDA approvals during the quarter, including launching generic version of GlaxoSmithKline's (NYSE:GSK) cardiovascular agent Coreg.

The company did well in court as well, winning two court cases related to patents on Novartis' (NYSE:NVS) Famvir tablets. Look for a nice bump in revenues from the exclusive sales of the drug in the third quarter, with a more substantial contribution during the fourth quarter, when it will have a full quarters' worth of contribution.

Glaxo is a selection of the Income Investor newsletter. Barr is a pick of the Stock Advisor newsletter. Not sure which newsletter to pick? Click here to take a free 30-day test drive of any of our newsletters.

Fool contributor Brian Orelli, Ph.D., doesn't own shares of any company mentioned in this article. The Fool has a disclosure policy.

Invest Smarter with The Motley Fool

Join Over 1 Million Premium Members Receiving…

  • New Stock Picks Each Month
  • Detailed Analysis of Companies
  • Model Portfolios
  • Live Streaming During Market Hours
  • And Much More
Get Started Now

Stocks Mentioned

Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Limited Stock Quote
Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Limited
TEVA
$7.90 (-1.98%) $0.16
Viatris Inc. Stock Quote
Viatris Inc.
MYL
Novartis AG Stock Quote
Novartis AG
NVS
$76.01 (-1.47%) $-1.13
GSK Stock Quote
GSK
GSK
$29.36 (-2.17%) $0.65
Dr. Reddy's Laboratories Limited Stock Quote
Dr. Reddy's Laboratories Limited
RDY
$50.65 (-1.31%) $0.67
Teva Branded Pharmaceutical Products R&D, Inc. Stock Quote
Teva Branded Pharmaceutical Products R&D, Inc.
BRL.DL

*Average returns of all recommendations since inception. Cost basis and return based on previous market day close.

Related Articles

Motley Fool Returns

Motley Fool Stock Advisor

Market-beating stocks from our award-winning analyst team.

Stock Advisor Returns
339%
 
S&P 500 Returns
109%

Calculated by average return of all stock recommendations since inception of the Stock Advisor service in February of 2002. Returns as of 09/24/2022.

Discounted offers are only available to new members. Stock Advisor list price is $199 per year.

Premium Investing Services

Invest better with The Motley Fool. Get stock recommendations, portfolio guidance, and more from The Motley Fool's premium services.