Please ensure Javascript is enabled for purposes of website accessibility

Now's the Time to Double Down on Dividends

By Todd Wenning - Updated Nov 11, 2016 at 4:52PM

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

There are some great income opportunities out there. Here's how to find them.

Yes, you read that headline correctly. In the midst of perhaps the worst year for dividend investors in more than a generation, I'm telling you that now's the time to double down on dividend stocks. Allow me to explain.

A tough pill to swallow
While dividend payers have long been thought of as safe ports in stormy markets, this year has been a notable exception.

Thirty-six members of the S&P 500 have cut or eliminated their dividends this year, among them National City (NYSE:NCC) and Ambac (NYSE:ABK). Financials in particular, thought by many to be defensive staples in dividend-based portfolios, slashed dividends to the tune of $35 billion in the first half of 2008. Other companies, like Carnival, have opted to suspend their dividend payouts to shore up capital until things turn around.

With glum news like this, dividend-paying stocks look like more of a gamble than ever. But while no dividend -- or stock -- is 100% guaranteed, this particular stormy market is providing some great opportunities to buy strong, well-capitalized companies with high dividend yields -- at lower prices.

Here's how to find them
All dividend payers are not created equal, and you want to find the ones that have the businesses to back up their payments. Strong businesses will maintain or even increase their dividends, even in a market like this one. Just look at Kraft and Philip Morris International for examples.

So how do you tell if a business is strong? Many people use the earnings payout ratio (dividends per share / earnings per share), but those numbers aren't always reliable, because a company can strategically adjust net income for any number of reasons.

Rather, focus on the free cash flow payout ratio. It's much more difficult to fake the cash flow, and that means investors can have more confidence in it as a measure of dividend health.

Ideally, you want to find companies with free cash flow payout ratios below 80%, which demonstrates that the company has an adequate cash cushion to maintain its dividend payments -- and even raise them.

In fact, of the 198 S&P 500 members with dividend yields over 3%, 89 of them (45%) have free cash flow payouts below 80%. Here are just a few of them:


Dividend Yield on Dec. 10, 2007

Dividend Yield on Dec. 10, 2008

Levered FCF Payout Ratio

Wyeth (NYSE:WYE)








Emerson Electric (NYSE:EMR)




United Technologies (NYSE:UTX)




ConocoPhillips (NYSE:COP)




Source: Capital IQ, a division of Standard & Poor's, as of Dec. 10, 2008.

Because of the market turmoil, you can get much higher yields today than you could just a year ago; while the companies' stock prices have declined, their ability to pay dividends appears unchanged. In fact, each of these stocks has actually increased its dividend in 2008.

The combination of lower prices, higher yields, and a sustainable dividend is one you definitely want to research further.

But spread your bets
It's important to keep in mind that no individual company, however strong, is immune to the kind of sectorwide disaster that brought down the banks this year -- even after many of them had paid uninterrupted dividends for years. That's why diversification across sectors is so important, even if that means sacrificing a little yield.

This beaten-down market provides a great opportunity to build a high-yield portfolio made up of 10 to 15 stocks with well-protected dividends from different industries. With so many financially strong companies paying higher yields today, now's the time to double down on dividend stocks that have solid free cash flow coverage.

Good companies with well-covered dividend payouts are exactly what James Early and Andy Cross look for at our Motley Fool Income Investor service -- and they're finding plenty. If you'd like to see what they're recommending now, consider a 30-day free trial. You'll also see all of their past recommendations and their best bets for new money now. Just click here to get started. There's no obligation to subscribe.

This article was first published on Nov. 13, 2008. It has been updated.

Todd Wenning recently launched a second high-yield portfolio on Motley Fool CAPS, which you can follow by clicking here. He owns shares of Philip Morris International. Kraft is a Motley Fool Income Investor selection. 3M is an Inside Value recommendation. The Fool's disclosure policy once caught a fish "this big."


Invest Smarter with The Motley Fool

Join Over 1 Million Premium Members Receiving…

  • New Stock Picks Each Month
  • Detailed Analysis of Companies
  • Model Portfolios
  • Live Streaming During Market Hours
  • And Much More
Get Started Now

Stocks Mentioned

Raytheon Technologies Corporation Stock Quote
Raytheon Technologies Corporation
$95.01 (2.00%) $1.86
ConocoPhillips Stock Quote
$102.75 (2.38%) $2.39
3M Company Stock Quote
3M Company
$152.24 (1.72%) $2.58
Emerson Electric Co. Stock Quote
Emerson Electric Co.
$89.22 (1.98%) $1.73

*Average returns of all recommendations since inception. Cost basis and return based on previous market day close.

Related Articles

Motley Fool Returns

Motley Fool Stock Advisor

Market-beating stocks from our award-winning analyst team.

Stock Advisor Returns
S&P 500 Returns

Calculated by average return of all stock recommendations since inception of the Stock Advisor service in February of 2002. Returns as of 08/13/2022.

Discounted offers are only available to new members. Stock Advisor list price is $199 per year.

Premium Investing Services

Invest better with The Motley Fool. Get stock recommendations, portfolio guidance, and more from The Motley Fool's premium services.