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Are You Watching the Brazilian Oil Action?

By David Smith – Updated Apr 6, 2017 at 12:18AM

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Keep your eyes on the rapid changes in Brazil's oil scene.

Back in May, while watching oil prices recover to just under $60 a barrel, I urged my Foolish friends to consider playing Brazil's deepwater boom even before watching oil prices increase further over the coming months With that in mind, let's check in on Brazil and take stock of the goings on of late.  

Probably the most important event was the recent approval by the country's House of Representatives of what is being called a "Petro-Sal." Proposed in late summer by the nation's President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, its function would be to oversee exploration and production pacts in the pre-salt. And while the body was approved by a vote of 250 to 67, it still needs to gain the approval of the Brazilian Senate.

The process in the Senate will require the wording used be examined by several standing commissions, rather than by a special one. In an era of resource nationalism, I trust that the new organization will be passed. After all, one of its roles would be to garner more oil and gas revenues for the nation's government.

At the same time, Petrobras (NYSE:PBR) has announced that a pair of tests in the Tupi Assessment Area -- called Iracema -- in the deepwater Santos Basin yielded record production from both tests. Although the tests were limited by the capability of the equipment being used, estimated production could amount to approximately 50,000 barrels of oil per day, further bolstering the notion that the Tupi area is as good as advertised.

Finally, the National Petroleum Agency -- more commonly referred to as ANP -- Brazil's oil regulator, has announced that it will initiate a new drilling program in a promising area during early December. According to Harold Lima, the Agency's president, the objective of the program is to discover reservoirs, each containing in the vicinity of 2 or 3 billion barrels of oil. The ANP apparently began with about 20 areas, and has subsequently reduced them to two.

One question then becomes the role that such publicly held companies as ExxonMobil (NYSE:XOM), Hess (NYSE:HES), Anadarko (NYSE:APC), and Shell (NYSE:RDS-A), will now play in the Santos Basin. All have been active in the Santos, and it's difficult to imagine their roles changing dramatically.

Beyond that, my advice is for Fools with a taste for energy to keep close tabs on Petrobras. With its close ties to the Brazilian government and the changes rapidly occurring in the country, it's difficult to see the company coming out a loser.     

Petrobras has been awarded a full five stars by the 145,000 strong Motley Fool CAPS community. Does that ranking include your assessment?

Fool contributor David Lee Smith doesn't own shares in any of the companies named. He does welcome your questions or comments. Petroleo Brasileiro is a Motley Fool Income Investor recommendation. Try any of our Foolish newsletters today, free for 30 days. The Fool has a disclosure policy.

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Stocks Mentioned

Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras Stock Quote
Petroleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras
PBR
$12.16 (-3.11%) $0.39
Royal Dutch Shell plc Stock Quote
Royal Dutch Shell plc
RDS.A
Exxon Mobil Corporation Stock Quote
Exxon Mobil Corporation
XOM
$83.98 (-2.06%) $-1.77
Anadarko Petroleum Corporation Stock Quote
Anadarko Petroleum Corporation
APC
Hess Corporation Stock Quote
Hess Corporation
HES
$100.74 (-3.69%) $-3.86

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