Slow and steady wins the investing race, and Waste Management's
Headwinds ahead
Little has fundamentally changed from last year, as higher revenues were offset by rising fuel costs and other increased operating expenses. Let's take a look at some of the differences to see how Waste Management is recovering:
Metric |
Result |
Change From Prior Year |
---|---|---|
Annual revenue | $13,378 million | $863 million |
Annual gross profit | $2,028 million | ($88 million) |
Annual gross margin | 15.2% | (1.7%) |
Annual net income | $961 million | $8 million |
Annual net margin | 7.2% | (0.4%) |
Debt | $9,756 million | $849 million |
Free cash flow | $1,198 million | (1.4%) |
Cash and cash equivalents | $258 million | (52.1%) |
Fuel costs | $628 million | $135 million |
Source: Waste Management 10-K filing for 2011.
Top-line growth doesn't much mask a weaker bottom line, which was dinged by weaker-than-expected volume as well as higher fuel costs. There are signs that volume is nudging higher, which is one way to gauge the broader economy. CEO David Steiner pointed out that volume has increased for three straight quarters, and recycling volume is also growing at a brisk pace.
Looking forward
Waste Management's 2012 performance looks to continue the slow, steady growth one might expect from a company that's become a de facto garbage utility. The company's annual guidance came in at the low end of analysts' expectations, but earning at least $2.22 per share in 2012 is nothing to sneeze at. Waste Management's currently only half as costly as international rival Veolia Environment
The first half of 2012 might not be the best time to pick up more shares, as Steiner anticipates things to be tougher until midyear, after which the company ought to bounce back. On the other hand, Waste Management's dividend yield is near five-year highs, and its P/E has yet to recover to last summer's highs. Potential overreactions to the muted guidance could make it an even more attractive buy, particularly if American macro trends continue to show unexpectedly strong growth.
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