Please ensure Javascript is enabled for purposes of website accessibility

Defend Yourself From the Double Dip With These 5 Stocks

By Dan Dzombak – Updated Apr 6, 2017 at 12:31PM

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

5 Cheap Mega Cap Stocks to Protect Your Portfolio

Right now, thousands of people are packing up their cars, filling up their gas tanks, and hitting the road for vacation. And the topic they'll surely discuss on those long car rides is ... the economy!

Well, maybe not, but people are growing worried. Using Google search trends, you can look into the collective searches of millions of people around the U.S.


The number of searches for "double dip" has more than doubled since May! Now, searches aren't necessarily predictive of the future, otherwise Google would be the world's greatest investor, and they certainly are not.

I'm not sounding the alarm bells of panic simply to sound the alarm bells of panic. With the market down about 8% over the past three months and concerns over Europe's debt crisis, China's slowing economy, and the BP spill still in the forefront of news, investors have every right to be concerned. Instead, today's economic climate should be a reminder that you should always keep your portfolio prepared to weather tough times.

People are worried that some of the largest stocks in the U.S. are priced as though a double-dip recession is imminent. Of the largest 25 stocks in the S&P 500, 15 are priced at or less than 13 times expected 2010 earnings (cheap!) and they all pay a dividend. These companies have the characteristics of defensive stocks.

Defensive stocks
There are two core qualities of defensive stocks:

  1. Reliable. These companies make the products that people buy even when their wallets are being pinched. In other words, shampoo, razors, medicines, or electricity for their homes -- and not speedboats.
  2. Dividends. Dividends mean you get a steady return from a stock regardless of what the market is doing. So, all else being equal, you enjoy a head start over the stocks that don't pay dividends.

Also, when you're looking for reliable companies that pay dividends, you want to make sure your company has paid its dividend steadily over a period of at least five years. Only then are you getting a track record you can trust.

Of course, there's one more core quality you should always look for.

  1. Cheap. You should always be constantly vigilant of paying too high a price. As many in the U.S. housing market know, there is such a thing as too high a price. Demand a margin of safety from your stocks buys, and you will be rewarded.

So, with those as guidelines, here are five cheap, reliable, defensive stocks that shouldn't let you down even when times get tough:

Company

Market Cap

2010 Est. P/E

Div. Yield

Hewlett-Packard (NYSE: HPQ)

$107 billion

10.3

0.7%

IBM (NYSE: IBM)

$162 billion

11.4

2.0%

Johnson & Johnson (NYSE: JNJ)

$159 billion

12.2

3.7%

Merck (NYSE: MRK)

$109 billion

10.3

4.4%

AT&T (NYSE: T)

$153 billion

11.1

6.6%

Merck, J&J, and the health-care sector in general have been beaten down by worries about unintended consequences of health-care reform and the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act. With 2010 P/E of 10.3 and 12.2, respectively, the downside is more than factored into these stocks' prices. Merck reports earnings on Friday and is expected to post a $0.83 of earnings; anything higher will further bring down its already-low P/E. Industry bellwether GlaxoSmithKline (NYSE: GSK) reported poor earnings last week, but investors should not worry; this was due to a large legal settlement during the quarter.

AT&T shares have gone nowhere since Apple's (Nasdaq: AAPL) iPad and iPhone 4 hit the market. Hewlett-Packard was once rumored to be building a tablet to compete with the iPad using Google's Android platform, but those plans are now on hold. 

AT&T and Hewlett-Packard are undoubtedly cheap, but some impressive investors, including Bill Miller, believe IBM is the most remarkably mispriced name in the market. Over the past five years, IBM has doubled its earnings per share, increased its dividend by more than 20% a year, and trades for only 11 times earnings! 

All three of these companies are strong enough to be a part of your portfolio, but I'd take a special look at IBM.

Is this a good time to hop on the large-cap bandwagon, or do other companies catch your eye? Let us know in the comments box below!

Dan Dzombak does not have a position in any of the companies mentioned in this article. Google is a Motley Fool Rule Breakers pick. Apple is a Motley Fool Stock Advisor recommendation. Johnson & Johnson is a Motley Fool Income Investor choice. Motley Fool Options has recommended buying calls on Johnson & Johnson. The Fool owns shares of GlaxoSmithKline and Google. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Invest Smarter with The Motley Fool

Join Over 1 Million Premium Members Receiving…

  • New Stock Picks Each Month
  • Detailed Analysis of Companies
  • Model Portfolios
  • Live Streaming During Market Hours
  • And Much More
Get Started Now

Stocks Mentioned

HP Inc. Stock Quote
HP Inc.
HPQ
$24.96 (-1.54%) $0.39
Apple Inc. Stock Quote
Apple Inc.
AAPL
$150.77 (0.23%) $0.34
AT&T Inc. Stock Quote
AT&T Inc.
T
$15.67 (-2.12%) $0.34
International Business Machines Corporation Stock Quote
International Business Machines Corporation
IBM
$122.01 (-0.57%) $0.70
GSK Stock Quote
GSK
GSK
$28.82 (-1.84%) $0.54
Merck & Co., Inc. Stock Quote
Merck & Co., Inc.
MRK
$86.18 (-0.69%) $0.60
Johnson & Johnson Stock Quote
Johnson & Johnson
JNJ
$165.70 (-0.61%) $-1.02

*Average returns of all recommendations since inception. Cost basis and return based on previous market day close.

Related Articles

Motley Fool Returns

Motley Fool Stock Advisor

Market-beating stocks from our award-winning analyst team.

Stock Advisor Returns
329%
 
S&P 500 Returns
106%

Calculated by average return of all stock recommendations since inception of the Stock Advisor service in February of 2002. Returns as of 09/26/2022.

Discounted offers are only available to new members. Stock Advisor list price is $199 per year.

Premium Investing Services

Invest better with The Motley Fool. Get stock recommendations, portfolio guidance, and more from The Motley Fool's premium services.