Although we don't believe in timing the market or panicking over market movements, we do like to keep an eye on big changes -- just in case they're material to our investing thesis.
What: Shares of craft-beer brewer Boston Beer
So what: After the market's close yesterday, Boston Beer revealed first-quarter earnings. Today, investors reacted with a decided thumbs-down. Net revenue for the quarter climbed 9% to $102 million and beat Wall Street's target. However, earnings per share fell 36% versus last year and badly missed analysts' $0.45 estimate. The profit shortfall was driven by increases in operating expenses, which were a result of a variety of initiatives by the company, including increased marketing and promotional spending and personnel additions.
Now what: Despite the soft first-quarter profit, the company maintained its full-year earnings-per-share guidance of between $3.45 and $3.95. Analysts' average estimate for the year is currently $3.81, so we could see them bring that down closer to the midpoint of management's range. Overall though, the results of the quarter don't seem as worrisome to me as the stock's drop suggests. It's also notable that the March-ending quarter tends to be a seasonally softer one for the company.
However, what today's drop may underscore is the that investors have high expectations for Boston Beer. With the stock currently trading at 22 times the midpoint of management's 2011 guidance, there's certainly room for the company to report solid results and still disappoint optimistic shareholders. Of course, as a recommendation at Motley Fool Stock Advisor and a real-money holding at Motley Fool Hidden Gems, there are more than a few folks in Fooldom who think the current price is well justified by the company's potential.
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