Investors never know what to expect for Cree (Nasdaq: CREE), as it has wavered between topping and missing analysts estimates during the past fiscal year. The company will unveil its latest earnings Tuesday. Cree develops and manufactures semiconductor materials and devices mainly based on silicon carbide, gallium nitride, and related compounds.

What analysts say:

  • Buy, sell, or hold?: The majority of analysts back Cree as a buy. But with 57.1% of analysts rating it a buy, Cree is still below the mean analyst rating of its nearest 10 competitors, which average 65.8% buys. Analysts don't like Cree as much as competitor ON Semiconductor overall. Fifteen out of 21 analysts rate ON Semiconductor a buy compared with 16 of 28 for Cree. While analysts still rate the stock a hold, they are a little more optimistic about it compared with three months ago.
  • Revenue Forecasts: On average, analysts predict $233.8 million in revenue this quarter. That would represent a decline of 11.6% from the year-ago quarter.
  • Wall Street Earnings Expectations: The average analyst estimate is earnings of $0.21 per share. Estimates range from $0.15 to $0.23.

What our community says:
CAPS All-Stars are solidly behind the stock with 94.6% granting it an "outperform" rating. The community at large concurs with the All-Stars with 92.5% assigning it a rating of "outperform." Fools are keen on Cree and haven't been shy with their opinions lately, logging 519 posts in the past 30 days. Despite the majority sentiment in favor of Cree, the stock has a middling CAPS rating of three out of five stars.

Management:
Cree's profit has risen year over year by an average of more than twofold. A year-over-year revenue decrease last quarter snaps a streak of three consecutive quarters of revenue increases. The company's gross margin shrank by 6.2 percentage points in the last quarter. Revenue fell 6.4% while cost of sales rose 4.8% to $127.8 million from a year earlier.

Now let's look at how efficient management is at running the business. Traditionally, margins represent the efficiency with which companies capture portions of sales dollars. The following table shows gross, operating, and net margins over the past four quarters.

Quarter

Q3

Q2

Q1

Q4

Gross Margin

41.7%

47.1%

48.6%

49.5%

Operating Margin

9.0%

21.6%

27.3%

25.9%

Net Margin

8.6%

19.4%

21.6%

20.0%

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