Although we don't believe in timing the market or panicking over market movements, we do like to keep an eye on big changes -- just in case they're material to our investing thesis.
What: Shares of 3-D technology specialist RealD
So what: It was reported today that starting May 1, Sony will no longer shoulder the cost of the 3-D glasses that allow moviegoers to see movies in all of their tri-dimensional glory. Revisiting Economics 101 would remind us that if we hold everything else constant, raising the price on a product or service will decrease the demand for it. If consumers are suddenly met with one more extra cost on top of the already higher price to see a 3-D movie, they may decide that, "You know what? I really dig two dimensions after all." For obvious reasons, that's no bueno for RealD.
Now what: The plunge today follows a jump yesterday as rumors swirled that the company could end up a takeover target. A lower price could make it even more attractive to a potential buyer, but the move from Sony could also make acquirers think twice. Meanwhile, my fellow Fool Rick Munarriz thinks that "this isn't going to end well" and that the move by Sony will, in fact, put a damper on 3-D movie ticket sales.
But is this enough reason for RealD investors to cut and run? I'm not so sure. It's not a stock that I would invest in, but 3-D is still very early in its lifecycle -- at least in terms of wide adoption. For the true believers in a 3-D future, this could prove to be just a small bump on a long road.
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