Don't hold your breath for that LivingSocial IPO.
An SEC filing yesterday shows that LivingSocial has raised $176 million in financing, part of a $400 million round that reportedly values the company at a cool $6 billion.
Wait a minute. Didn't LivingSocial just raise $400 million earlier this year? It did, and while early investors including Amazon.com
LivingSocial was at one point this year reportedly hoping to raise $1 billion by going public. Now that Groupon's
This is just what happens when bandwagons get unhitched. When Youku.com
Baseball has the Mendoza Line -- the 0.200 batting average that is considered acceptable. LivingSocial's Mendoza Line is simply Groupon at $20. When Groupon dipped below its $20 IPO price last month, it wasn't just bad news for Groupon insiders that were hoping to eventually cash out. The chances of a successful LivingSocial IPO -- and perhaps even the fate of this attempted $400 million financing round -- hang in the balance.
I argued that Groupon was too cheap when it fell down into the teens late last month, and the stock has now bounced back above its $20 Mendoza Line. It will have to stay there convincingly, if not head higher, before any other potential daily deals site pulls off an IPO.
A little extra seasoning wouldn't hurt. Analysts expect Groupon -- 142.9 million subscribers strong and growing -- to be profitable next year, and surely LivingSocial's fundamentals will improve if it continues to grow. The market is just too skeptical of the crowded daily deals space to embrace even a verified leader.
LivingSocial's time will come, though it may want to shake that "high maintenance" tag by easing up on the need for these meaty financing rounds.
If you want to follow the daily deals leader to see if it becomes a bargain itself, add Groupon to My Watchlist.