The latest results from Hewlett-Packard (NYSE: HPQ) make me think that ousted CEO Leo Apotheker was onto something when he wanted to shift out of hardware sales to more of a software focus. In the first quarter, all three hardware-focused divisions took diet pills while software and services fattened up.
Revenue fell 7% YOY, to a nice, round $30 billion, about $750 million below Wall Street's consensus estimates. Non-GAAP earnings of $0.92 per share shot past the Street's target at $0.87 per share, though far below the year-ago period's $1.36 per diluted share.
CEO Meg Whitman described the quarter as a success story. "We are taking the necessary steps to improve execution, increase effectiveness and capitalize on emerging opportunities to reassert HP's technology leadership," she said.
Nevertheless, guidance for the next quarter was disappointing and I see red flags all over the place. I can understand if PC sales lost 15% of its sales YOY, given the onslaught of systems competition from Chinese and Taiwanese companies, not to mention how Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL) cannibalizes the PC industry with both Mac systems and iPad tablets. But HP's systems business actually dropped 12% from the previous quarter, going against everything we know about consumer behavior and holiday seasons.
And it gets worse. HP is launching lawsuits against Oracle (Nasdaq: ORCL) to defend its Itanium servers, but server sales fell 11% from last year anyhow. To put that swoon into context, IBM's (NYSE: IBM) comparable systems sales fell just 2% YOY in the latest report.
Moreover, HP brags about $1.2 billion in operating cash flows this quarter, but fails to explain what it means. This was less than the $1.5 billion in GAAP earnings, down from $3.1 billion a year ago, and mostly gone after spending $883 million on capital expenses. HP was left digging into cash reserves to fund its $1 billion in dividends and buybacks. Not a sustainable model, I'm afraid.
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