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Will Chevron Beat These Analyst Estimates?

By Seth Jayson – Updated Apr 10, 2017 at 2:47PM

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Checking expectations

Chevron (NYSE: CVX) is expected to report Q4 earnings on Feb. 1. Here's what Wall Street wants to see:

The 10-second takeaway
Comparing the upcoming quarter to the prior-year quarter, average analyst estimates predict Chevron's revenues will increase 8.7% and EPS will expand 17.8%.

The average estimate for revenue is $63.05 billion. On the bottom line, the average EPS estimate is $3.04.

Revenue details
Last quarter, Chevron recorded revenue of $55.66 billion. GAAP reported sales were 9.8% lower than the prior-year quarter's $59.29 billion.

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Quarterly periods. Dollar amounts in millions. Non-GAAP figures may vary to maintain comparability with estimates.

EPS details
Last quarter, non-GAAP EPS came in at $2.37. GAAP EPS of $2.69 for Q3 were 31% lower than the prior-year quarter's $3.92 per share.

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Quarterly periods. Non-GAAP figures may vary to maintain comparability with estimates.

Recent performance
For the preceding quarter, gross margin was 29.9%, 90 basis points worse than the prior-year quarter. Operating margin was 14.1%, 310 basis points worse than the prior-year quarter. Net margin was 9.8%, 340 basis points worse than the prior-year quarter.

Looking ahead

The full year's average estimate for revenue is $241.94 billion. The average EPS estimate is $12.50.

Investor sentiment
The stock has a five-star rating (out of five) at Motley Fool CAPS, with 4,063 members out of 4,225 rating the stock outperform, and 162 members rating it underperform. Among 1,041 CAPS All-Star picks (recommendations by the highest-ranked CAPS members), 1,018 give Chevron a green thumbs-up, and 23 give it a red thumbs-down.

Of Wall Street recommendations tracked by S&P Capital IQ, the average opinion on Chevron is outperform, with an average price target of $124.86.

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Seth Jayson had no position in any company mentioned here at the time of publication. You can view his stock holdings here. He is co-advisor of Motley Fool Hidden Gems, which provides new small-cap ideas every month, backed by a real-money portfolio. The Motley Fool recommends Chevron. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Stocks Mentioned

Chevron Stock Quote
Chevron
CVX
$181.03 (-0.80%) $-1.46

*Average returns of all recommendations since inception. Cost basis and return based on previous market day close.

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