Can Abercrombie & Fitch Meet These Numbers?

Checking expectations

Seth Jayson
Seth Jayson
Feb 11, 2013 at 12:00AM
Other

Abercrombie & Fitch (NYSE: ANF) is expected to report Q4 earnings around Feb. 15. Here's what Wall Street wants to see:

The 10-second takeaway
Comparing the upcoming quarter to the prior-year quarter, average analyst estimates predict Abercrombie & Fitch's revenues will increase 11.6% and EPS will grow 75.0%.

The average estimate for revenue is $1.48 billion. On the bottom line, the average EPS estimate is $1.96.

Revenue details
Last quarter, Abercrombie & Fitch logged revenue of $1.17 billion. GAAP reported sales were 8.7% higher than the prior-year quarter's $1.08 billion.

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Quarterly periods. Dollar amounts in millions. Non-GAAP figures may vary to maintain comparability with estimates.

EPS details
Last quarter, EPS came in at $0.87. GAAP EPS of $0.87 for Q3 were 53% higher than the prior-year quarter's $0.57 per share.

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Quarterly periods. Non-GAAP figures may vary to maintain comparability with estimates.

Recent performance
For the preceding quarter, gross margin was 62.5%, 240 basis points better than the prior-year quarter. Operating margin was 9.7%, 190 basis points better than the prior-year quarter. Net margin was 6.1%, 140 basis points better than the prior-year quarter.

Looking ahead

The full year's average estimate for revenue is $4.53 billion. The average EPS estimate is $2.98.

Investor sentiment
The stock has a one-star rating (out of five) at Motley Fool CAPS, with 823 members out of 1,152 rating the stock outperform, and 329 members rating it underperform. Among 314 CAPS All-Star picks (recommendations by the highest-ranked CAPS members), 245 give Abercrombie & Fitch a green thumbs-up, and 69 give it a red thumbs-down.

Of Wall Street recommendations tracked by S&P Capital IQ, the average opinion on Abercrombie & Fitch is outperform, with an average price target of $38.42.

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