Can Goodrich Petroleum Beat These Numbers?

Checking expectations

Seth Jayson
Seth Jayson
Feb 16, 2013 at 12:00AM
Other

Goodrich Petroleum (NYSE: GDP) is expected to report Q4 earnings on Feb. 20. Here's what Wall Street wants to see:

The 10-second takeaway
Comparing the upcoming quarter to the prior-year quarter, average analyst estimates predict Goodrich Petroleum's revenues will grow 27.2% and EPS will remain in the red.

The average estimate for revenue is $65.4 million. On the bottom line, the average EPS estimate is -$0.08.

Revenue details
Last quarter, Goodrich Petroleum booked revenue of $46.0 million. GAAP reported sales were 17% lower than the prior-year quarter's $55.5 million.

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Quarterly periods. Dollar amounts in millions. Non-GAAP figures may vary to maintain comparability with estimates.

EPS details
Last quarter, non-GAAP EPS came in at -$0.23. GAAP EPS of $0.30 for Q3 were 9.1% lower than the prior-year quarter's $0.33 per share.

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Quarterly periods. Non-GAAP figures may vary to maintain comparability with estimates.

Recent performance
For the preceding quarter, gross margin was 77.2%, 630 basis points worse than the prior-year quarter. Operating margin was -40.1%, 8,800 basis points worse than the prior-year quarter. Net margin was 27.0%, 250 basis points better than the prior-year quarter.

Looking ahead


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The full year's average estimate for revenue is $236.2 million. The average EPS estimate is -$0.78.

Investor sentiment
The stock has a two-star rating (out of five) at Motley Fool CAPS, with 198 members out of 225 rating the stock outperform, and 27 members rating it underperform. Among 49 CAPS All-Star picks (recommendations by the highest-ranked CAPS members), 42 give Goodrich Petroleum a green thumbs-up, and seven give it a red thumbs-down.

Of Wall Street recommendations tracked by S&P Capital IQ, the average opinion on Goodrich Petroleum is outperform, with an average price target of $18.69.

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