What Does Wall Street See for Alon USA Energy's Q1?

Checking expectations

Seth Jayson
Seth Jayson
May 6, 2013 at 12:00AM
Other

Alon USA Energy (NYSE: ALJ) is expected to report Q1 earnings on May 8. Here's what Wall Street wants to see:

The 10-second takeaway
Comparing the upcoming quarter to the prior-year quarter, average analyst estimates predict Alon USA Energy's revenues will compress -14.9% and EPS will grow 266.7%.

The average estimate for revenue is $1.52 billion. On the bottom line, the average EPS estimate is $0.55.

Revenue details
Last quarter, Alon USA Energy chalked up revenue of $1.95 billion. GAAP reported sales were 3.8% higher than the prior-year quarter's $1.87 billion.

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Quarterly periods. Dollar amounts in millions. Non-GAAP figures may vary to maintain comparability with estimates.

EPS details
Last quarter, non-GAAP EPS came in at $0.58. GAAP EPS were $0.28 for Q4 compared to -$0.24 per share for the prior-year quarter.

Source: S&P Capital IQ. Quarterly periods. Non-GAAP figures may vary to maintain comparability with estimates.

Recent performance
For the preceding quarter, gross margin was 8.3%, 710 basis points better than the prior-year quarter. Operating margin was 4.9%, 570 basis points better than the prior-year quarter. Net margin was 1.1%, 180 basis points better than the prior-year quarter.

Looking ahead

The full year's average estimate for revenue is $6.56 billion. The average EPS estimate is $1.91.

Investor sentiment
The stock has a three-star rating (out of five) at Motley Fool CAPS, with 365 members out of 387 rating the stock outperform, and 22 members rating it underperform. Among 87 CAPS All-Star picks (recommendations by the highest-ranked CAPS members), 82 give Alon USA Energy a green thumbs-up, and five give it a red thumbs-down.

Of Wall Street recommendations tracked by S&P Capital IQ, the average opinion on Alon USA Energy is hold, with an average price target of $15.20.

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