Although we don't believe in timing the market or panicking over daily movements, we do like to keep an eye on market changes -- just in case they're material to our investing thesis.
Investors' brief burst of optimism yesterday didn't last long, as the markets have resumed the downward trajectory that has marked much of January. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJINDICES:^DJI) is down more than 154 points as of 2:30 p.m. EST, with most blue-chip stocks in the red. Earnings season has taken its toll again, this time on 2013's big Dow winner, Boeing (NYSE:BA), which has seen its stock hammered by more than 6% today. Let's catch up on what you need to know.
Irrationality dominates on a down Wednesday
As has been the case in the recent past, more Federal Reserve action has spooked investors over stimulus tapering. The Fed announced at 2 p.m. that it will cut monthly bond-buying by another $10 billion, down to $65 billion a month. While much has been made around the market airwaves about the taper, the reality is that stimulus has to wind down one way or another. There's no need to take an ax to your long-term investment strategy just because of the market's irrational fright over central bank activity.
Boeing's offers another example of irrational investor behavior today. The stock has plunged despite the company reporting a strong performance in the fourth quarter. The aerospace giant announced that core earnings climbed 29% year over year to $1.88 per share. Meanwhile, revenue jumped more than 6% to $23.8 billion. Both figures represented beats over analyst expectations. Boeing announced increased production rates, along with record delivery numbers on some of its top aircraft, including the 737 and 777 airliners.
So why the horrible day on the markets? Investors rang the alarm over Boeing's projections of core earnings to fall between $7 and $7.20 per share for the full year in 2014, a sizable amount below the average analyst estimate of $7.46 as surveyed by Bloomberg. With Pentagon budget cuts also in full swing, Boeing's defense group could see a tough time finding much growth in the new year.
But does this really deserve a more than 6% drop on the day on light of Boeing's stellar performance? Last year Boeing projected full-year earnings guidance on the conservative side and ended up beating it handily, and given how strongly the commercial aerospace market's risen recently, there's no reason to expect Boeing's largest division to slow down anytime soon. The global economy's rebound should only fuel an increase in commercial airline traffic, and that combined with growing demand for aircraft in China plays right into Boeing's hands. Don't make much out of today's big sell-off besides jittery investors finding a reason to take their profits from Boeing's big run-up over the past year.