I ended my "outperform" CAPS call on STEC
Three months ago, STEC's stock (say that five times fast!) had climbed more than 50% in the preceding quarter. Now the stock has lost some 30% of that peakish luster. In the meantime, direct rival SMART Modular Technologies
So STEC's first-quarter report beat analyst estimates with 145% year-over-year revenue growth and matched estimates of $0.32 in non-GAAP earnings per share as opposed to the year-ago period's $0.08 loss per share. Last year, STEC suffered from drastic order withdrawal from largest customer EMC
You could argue that this 19% drop would make a buyout target out of STEC, and I can't completely ignore that possibility. In particular, Western Digital could use some in-house SSD mojo, which STEC would supply relatively cheaply at this point.
But STEC's jumpy results don't make it a very appetizing meal. Moreover, any buyout would likely show current management the door as STEC's real value lies in its technology portfolio. CEO and Chairman Manouch Moshayedi and his brother, COO, CTO, President, and fellow director Mark are the two largest owners of STEC shares -- just to complicate matters further. That means heel-dragging and outrageous price demands, which isn't exactly fertile grounds for a happy buyout ending.
So nothing much has changed since I turned bearish on STEC, except the share price. I'm staying on the sidelines until STEC cures its severe case of jumpy-itis. In the meantime, this stock belongs on my Foolish watchlist -- and yours. Click here to follow STEC's every move.
Fool contributor Anders Bylund holds no position in any of the companies discussed here. The Fool owns shares of EMC and Western Digital. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days. We Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors. You can check out Anders' holdings and a concise bio if you like, and The Motley Fool is investors writing for investors.