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Global Payments Inc  (NYSE:GPN)
Q3 2018 Earnings Conference Call
Oct. 30, 2018, 8:00 a.m. ET

Contents:

  • Prepared Remarks
  • Questions and Answers
  • Call Participants

Prepared Remarks:

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by, and welcome to the Global Payments' 2018 Third Quarter Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. (Operator Instructions) And as a reminder, today's conference will be recorded.

At this time, I would like to turn the conference over to your host, Vice President Investor Relations, Winnie Smith. Please go ahead.

Winnie Smith -- Vice President, Investor Relations

Good morning, and welcome to Global Payments' third quarter 2018 conference call. Before we begin, I'd like to remind you that some of the comments made by management during today's conference call contain forward-looking statements, which are subject to risks and uncertainties discussed in our SEC filings, including our most recent 10-K and any subsequent filings. These risks and uncertainties could cause actual results to differ materially. We caution you not to place undue reliance on these statements. Forward-looking statements during this call speak only as of the date of this call, and we undertake no obligation to update them.

Some of the comments made refer to non-GAAP measures, such as adjusted net revenue, adjusted net revenue plus network fees, adjusted operating margin, and adjusted earnings per share, which we believe are more reflective of our ongoing performance. For a full reconciliation of these and other non-GAAP financial measures to the most comparable GAAP measure, in accordance with SEC regulations, please see our press release, furnished as an exhibit to our Form 8-K filed this morning, and our trended financial highlights, both of which are available in the Investor Relations area of our website at www.globalpaymentsinc.com.

Joining me on the call are Jeff Sloan, CEO; Cameron Bready, Senior Executive Vice President and CFO. Now I'll turn the call over to Jeff.

Jeffrey S. Sloan -- Chief Executive Officer

Thanks, Winnie. We are delighted to report that the strong momentum we saw in the first half of this year continued through the third quarter. We again delivered double-digit organic growth across our markets, at the high end of both our expectations and our raised cycle guidance set in March 2018. We expanded adjusted operating margin by 120 basis points and delivered adjusted earnings-per-share growth of 25% in the quarter, highlighting ongoing outstanding execution globally. We also made significant progress on all three components of our growth strategy. First, we expanded our owned software portfolio with the acquisitions of AdvancedMD and SICOM, as we continued to successfully deploy our capital to build out our technology capabilities in attractive vertical markets.

As a result our business mix is shifting further toward technology enablement, which we expect to be nearly 45% of our total revenue in 2019, up from 40% in 2017 and 30% in 2015.

We are pleased to announce that we recently closed our acquisition of SICOM, a leading worldwide cloud-based enterprise software provider for the restaurant and food service management vertical markets. SICOM solutions are highly synergistic with our existing Xenial platform and the two combined provide us with end-to-end offerings for small, medium-sized and enterprise level restaurant customers globally, one of the largest vertical markets that we currently serve. More specifically SICOM adds middle-of-house and back-of-house software and other technology capabilities to Xenial's front-of-house platform. The combination creates a leading solution that includes point of sale systems, kitchen and drive through management, data and analytics as well as payroll scheduling and procurement capabilities.

Our ability to now deliver a complete solution to the entire restaurant vertical uniquely positions us as a one-stop shop for software and payment services for customers in this $4 billion target addressable market or TAM. Through Xenial, we currently provide services to over 25,000 quick service restaurants in the United States. SICOM adds a worldwide footprint to our QSR markets with enterprise solutions that double our restaurant base across 60 plus countries in the Americas, Europe and Asia.

The acquisition of SICOM also provides entry into the food service management vertical market, a $2.5 billion TAM. SICOM is already leading this market by providing solutions for customers like Compass Group and Sodexo. We are very excited about the potential for accelerated growth in this new owned software vertical.

We also closed the acquisition of AdvancedMD in early September. We're off to a great start with AMD seeing strong bookings momentum in the most recent period and we are beginning to leverage Global Payments' corporate capabilities as well as our leading distribution network to penetrate the 80% of AMD's $3 billion payment opportunity we do not capture today. In addition, we see immediate opportunities across payroll and enhanced physician referrals from our Heartland business.

Finally ACTIVE achieved record bookings last quarter as it continues to acquire new logos and expand business with existing strategic partners. Including ACTIVE, we have successfully executed three software acquisitions over the last 14 months, just as we said we would do. In the aggregate, our own software businesses now have exposure to vertical markets representing roughly 25% of US GDP, the largest economy in the world. Further, our global pipeline of opportunities to invest in businesses that will enhance our tech-enabled software-driven payment capabilities remains full.

The vertical markets we target are sizable, distinctive, defensible and relatively insulated from disintermediation. These businesses tend to be less susceptible to broad-based macroeconomic concerns and have resilient, predictable and highly recurring revenue characteristics. We remain confident our differentiated approach will enable us to continue to gain market share by widening the competitive GAAP with our legacy competitors.

Moving to the second leg of our strategy, we are pleased to report that we now expect our e-commerce and omni-channel solutions business to generate approximately $520 million in adjusted net revenue plus network fees in 2018. This represents high teens organic growth in constant currency, ahead of the mid-teens target we discussed in March. As a reminder, this business produced $250 million in 2015 and $450 million in 2017. So we have more than doubled these lines in three years with performance consistent with many of the fastest growing companies in the online technology space and ahead of the card networks.

We are well represented in this rapidly growing channel and on track to achieve the 20% share of total revenue target we set for 2020. We believe we are overweight e-com/omni across Continental Europe and Asia Pacific, relative to the markets that we're in, and that we are more than proportionately represented in this channel in the United States. On a global basis, we are already a market leader today.

How do we achieve these results? First, the market is segmented by customer size, so we are distinctive in that we stick to our knitting with our value proposition by focusing on small to medium size or SMB customers, looking to go e-com or omni within a given domestic market or cross border. Second, the market is further segmented by geography and we also serve larger customers like multinational corporations looking for cross border acceptance in hard to serve markets like Taiwan, Singapore and Malaysia, as well as across Continental Europe.

Third, we provide not just local sales offices, but also operational and support resources with local and multinational expertise in 31 countries and domestic licenses and processing capabilities in nearly 60 countries. Our localized solutions produce higher acceptance rates and lower fees for some of the most complex demanding and technology savvy customers worldwide, a list that includes preeminent global brands like Zara, Swatch, Hermes and LVMH, and some of the largest payments facilitators globally.

Fourth, we are also fortunate to have distinctive partnerships across our geographies with leading institutions including CaixaBank, HSBC, Erste Bank, CIBC, National Bank of Canada and Bank of the Philippine Islands. These partnerships provide us leverage to access the faster growth markets, enabling us to catalyze penetration by delivering market-leading technologies to scaling digital economies.

That we have made substantial technology investments in these businesses to expand our competitive moat. We expect to continue to differentiate our omni-channel offerings over the next 12 months by making additional enhancements to our next generation omni-channel platform and further developing our cloud-based SaaS modular systems which are already in production. When combined seamlessly with our ability to support processing in nearly 60 countries, we expect our unified technology offerings to continue to lead the market over the coming years.

The third and final element of our strategy is to expand our industry-leading footprint and technologies into faster growing markets, where strong secular trends, distinctive partnerships and our innovative software and services are driving substantial and sustained revenue momentum. The organic revenue growth rates we achieved in key markets like Spain, Central Europe, Hong Kong, Singapore and the Philippines this quarter were again well into the double digits. We look forward to entering Mexico in the near term as we continue to extend and expand our relationship with HSBC globally.

The unique combination of our market leading software, partnered with known e-com and omni businesses in faster growth geographies has enabled us to meaningfully outgrow our legacy peers in 2018. And we have achieved record margin expansion and free cash flow while continuing to make investments today to provide for future growth. We are on a trajectory to accelerate our transformation to 2019 and beyond, as we continue to transform our business to more closely align with our high technology and pure e-commerce peers.

With that, I'll turn the call over to Cameron.

Cameron M. Bready -- Senior Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Thanks, Jeff and good morning everyone. We are very pleased to have delivered another quarter of exceptional financial performance, driven by continued strength in organic growth across our key channels and consistent execution of our growth strategies. Total company adjusted net revenue plus network fees for the third quarter was $1.025 billion, an increase of 12% versus the prior year's. Adjusted operating margin expanded 120 basis points to 33% and adjusted earnings per share increased 25% to $1.44. We achieved these results while also successfully closing two strategic acquisitions AdvancedMD and SICOM, meaningfully expanding our software driven payment strategy and vertical market footprint.

Our ability to consistently execute and deliver organic top line growth, margin expansion and earnings growth at the high end or above our cycle guidance, while also investing in the business for future growth remains a hallmark of our success over the past several years.

Turning to our segment performance, adjusted net revenue plus network fees for North America grew in excess of 13% to $756 million for the third quarter, which includes an approximately 100 basis point headwind from adverse foreign currency exchange rates. Adjusted operating margin expanded 180 basis points to 34.3% despite the negative impact of foreign currency and modest pressure from the acquisition of AdvancedMD. North American margins continue to benefit from growth in our technology enabled portfolio and increased scale in our business.

We successfully closed the AdvancedMD transaction on September 4, which contributed adjusted net revenues in line with the forecast we provided at that time. As a reminder, we also anniversaried the ACTIVE Network closing on September 1. ACTIVE Network contributed adjusted net revenues of approximately $50 million in the third quarter. Our US direct distribution business again delivered low double-digit normalized organic growth at the high end of our targeted range as it has each quarter this year. Our wholesale business saw a revenue decline at a high-teens rate this quarter, in line with our expectations and guidance as we continue to emphasize our direct distribution businesses, and actively pivot away from this channel.

Our Canadian business grew low single-digits in local currency, although that was more than offset by adverse foreign currency exchange rates. This resulted in Canada declining low single-digits in US dollars.

Moving to Europe, adjusted net revenue plus network fees grew 10% or approximately 12% on a constant currency basis. The UK grew in the high-single digits as good execution and share gains once again drove solid performance. Our faster growth markets in Europe continue to contribute meaningfully to top line growth in the region. Spain grew in the mid-teens in local currency driven by stable underlying economy and the strength of our partnership with CaixaBank. Likewise our Erste joint venture also delivered mid-teens growth reflecting favorable secular trends and benefits from the introduction of new products and services in our Central European markets.

Lastly, our e-commerce and omnichannel solutions business grew in the high-teens as we continue to scale in the pan-European market, leveraging our unique ability to combine our online and physical brick and mortar capabilities. Adjusted operating margin in Europe expanded 60 basis points to 47.6%, driven primarily by the strong top line performance, partially offset by the impact of foreign currency translation and continued reinvestment in the business.

Finally in Asia Pacific, we reported adjusted net revenue plus network fees growth of 10% or approximately 13% on a constant currency basis. Local currency growth in the region was driven by broad-based strength across our key markets, including Hong Kong, Malaysia, Singapore and the Philippines. Ezidebit and eWAY continue to see good momentum and once again delivered strong double-digit growth in local currency. Adjusted operating margins in Asia expanded 140 basis points to 33.7% primarily as a result of strong organic growth despite the negative impact of adverse foreign currency exchange rates.

Our ability to consistently drive core top line growth and deliver margin expansion across our businesses allowed us to generate strong adjusted free cash flow in the quarter of approximately $260 million excluding acquisition and integration costs. This reflects continued disciplined capital investment in the business, which totaled $53 million for the third quarter. Our highest priority from a capital deployment standpoint remains reinvestment in the business to support our growth initiatives, including M&A. As we highlighted, we closed the $700 million acquisition of AdvancedMD in September and the $415 million acquisition of SICOM earlier this month. We financed these transactions using a combination of cash on hand and our existing revolving credit facility.

As a result of these acquisitions, our pro forma leverage currently stands at approximately 3.8 times, a comfortable level that provides a clear line of sight to our targeted 3 times to 3.5 times range, given the strong cash flow generation profile of the business. We also maintain sufficient dry power to continue to pursue our organic and inorganic strategic initiatives going forward. To that end, we improved our liquidity position in October with the execution of a $500 million Term Loan B, the proceeds of which were used to pay down outstanding balances on our revolving credit facility. Once again, we were able to execute this Term Loan B, offering at LIBOR plus 175 basis points, a best-in-class rate for our current credit rating.

In addition, we recently entered into a new $250 million Notional amount interest rate swap to further hedge our exposure to floating rates. As we continue to implement our interest rate hedging strategy, we expect roughly 40% of our debt portfolio to be hedged by the end of 2018 and nearly 50% by the end of 2019. Looking ahead, the momentum we see in our business, coupled with our consistent execution has us on track to yet again deliver strong financial performance in the fourth quarter, despite pressure from foreign currency exchange rates.

For 2018, we are delighted to raise our adjusted net revenue plus network fees expectation to a range of $3.96 billion to $3.98 billion, reflecting growth of 15% over 2017. We expect AdvancedMD and SICOM to contribute adjusted net revenues of $45 million to $50 million for the fourth quarter which essentially offsets foreign currency headwinds for the back half of the year relative to our original expectations. Further for the fourth quarter specifically, we expect FX to be a year-over-year headwind to adjusted net revenues plus network fees of approximately 100 basis points to 200 basis points.

In addition, we expect our US direct business to again achieve double-digit organic growth, while we anticipate our North American wholesale business will decline at a similar to Q3, which is in line with our expectations for this channel. For the full year, we continue to expect adjusted operating margin to expand by up to 120 basis points, unchanged from our prior outlook, despite the significant impact of unfavorable foreign currency translation and the modest pressure in the quarter, we expect from our recent acquisitions.

Pro forma for M&A financing, we now expect net interest expense to increase sequentially in the fourth quarter, bringing our forecast to approximately $180 million for the full year. Further, we anticipate our effective tax rate for 2018 will be 20% to 21%. Putting it all together, we now expect adjusted earnings per share for 2018 in the range of $5.12 to $5.22, reflecting growth of 28% to 30% over 2017. We could not be more proud of our performance in the third quarter and year-to-date period. As we close out 2018, we are pleased to be in a position to exceed the expectations we had at the start of the year. Likewise, as we look forward to 2019 and beyond, we remain excited about the momentum in the business as we advance our technology-enabled software-driven strategy worldwide and our ability to meet or exceed the increased cycle guidance targets we established in March.

With that, I'll now turn the call back over to Jeff.

Jeffrey S. Sloan -- Chief Executive Officer

Thanks, Cameron. As we said in March, let's look at the facts. We have delivered compound annual growth of 25% plus in reported adjusted EPS over the last three years, while expanding margins, and delivering record free cash flow annually. And all the while generating sustained and in many cases accelerated revenue growth. This was all done without financial engineering, as revenue and margin flowed through to operating income and free cash flow. And 2018 is no exception.

The proof of any model is in the consistency of the results. You don't have to take it on faith that we will deliver on our commitments, that revenue will one day accelerate, that margins will one day expand, that synergies will one day materialize, that our partnerships will be durable, that we will be good stewards of capital, or that our technologies will one day be market leading. Rather we are already there today and we are now building on those achievements. And momentum across our businesses plainly continued through the third quarter and now persist into the fourth quarter, which we expect will round out an outstanding 2018. We could not be more excited about our trajectory heading into 2019, 2020 and beyond. The best is yet to come.

I will now turn the call back to Winnie.

Winnie Smith -- Vice President, Investor Relations

Before we begin our question-and-answer session I'd like to ask everyone to limit their questions to one, with one follow-up to accommodate everyone in the queue. Thank you. Operator, we will now go to questions.

Questions and Answers:

Operator

(Operator Instructions) Our first question comes from George Mihalos with Cowen. Your line is open.

George Mihalos -- Cowen & Co. -- Analyst

Great, good morning guys. I just wanted to ask, Jeff you spent a lot of time talking about the restaurant vertical, and obviously we've got the SICOM acquisition in there. Can you just maybe refresh for us again, what is sort of the big competitive advantage now the Global has in that vertical, given all the competition that's coming from some of your peers focusing more aggressively on it?

Jeffrey S. Sloan -- Chief Executive Officer

Yeah. Thanks, George. I appreciate the question. So I think the primary advantage that we have is we have an end-to-end enterprise level, cloud-based technology solution across the entire spectrum of the restaurant vertical market. So I think it's very consistent with our technology enabled software driven payment strategy. If you think about the combination of Xenial and SICOM, we have front-of-house solutions interacting with our customers at the point of sale. We have middle-of-house solutions like water management and drive through. And then we have back-of-house solutions, so like data and analytics for franchisors and franchisees. A lot of this of course is on a software-as-a-service or on a SaaS basis and we're in the market and in production today.

The other thing we have, as you know, given our footprint is a multinational perspective on the restaurant business. We announced in our prepared remarks, we are now present with those enterprise solutions in 60 countries around the globe in the Americas, Europe and Asia Pacific. So if we take a step back, it's the breadth and depth of the technology solutions that we're selling primarily on a software-as-a-service recurring basis and it's also the breadth and depth, I think of the geographic coverage and scope that we're delivering in all the markets that I just described.

We were delighted to see a number of our competitors announce that they intended to go into these types of markets. But these are businesses, George, as you know, that we were already in, with Xenial and Heartland Commerce and now have gone deeper into with SICOM and are in production today. So I think it's gratifying to see that folks think that vertical market software is an attractive place to be in restaurants. But really we're already there today.

Cameron M. Bready -- Senior Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Hey, George. It's Cameron. The only thing I would add to that is we also have solutions that are geared to everything from enterprise level customers. So some of the largest quick service restaurant names you can think of, all the way down to small single shop or multi-shop units, all SaaS driven. Again all of that can be tailored to the specific needs of the specific segment of the market that we're targeting, whether it's a small customer, medium sized customer, all the way again up to that enterprise level customer. So we have a breadth and depth of solutions across front, middle and back, as well as segmented by size of merchant from enterprise down to the small -- the small single shop operator.

George Mihalos -- Cowen & Co. -- Analyst

That's great, thanks. And just as a quick follow-up, Cameron, if you could just size for us on an annual basis what the contribution, both from a revenue perspective and margin perspective for SICOM will be?

Cameron M. Bready -- Senior Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, sure. George. So SICOM on a revenue basis for '19, we expect to be around $100 million growing in the low double-digits. From a margin standpoint, given that we're able to combine this business with our existing Xenial operations, we expect margins in '19 to be roughly consistent with overall corporate margins, and then accretive to margins thereafter as we realize synergies from combining the two existing businesses and platforms.

George Mihalos -- Cowen & Co. -- Analyst

Thanks, guys, congrats on the quarter.

Jeffrey S. Sloan -- Chief Executive Officer

Thanks, George.

Cameron M. Bready -- Senior Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Thanks, George.

Operator

Our next question comes from Darrin Peller with Wolfe Research. Your line is open.

Darrin Peller -- Wolfe Research -- Analyst

Thanks guys. Nice job on the quarter. I Just want to start off first, if you can help us -- yeah, thanks. I mean just more granularity on the direct business, obviously ISOs were down in the high-teens, which I know you guys expected, but outside of that, it seems like the core direct keeps going extremely well. And I'd just be curious to hear little more granularity, whether it's by vertical, what happened with other niches(ph)in terms of education and gaming, maybe a little more color would be great.

Cameron M. Bready -- Senior Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Yes, sure. Darrin, it's Cameron. And first of all, thanks for the comments. So I would say US direct growth in this quarter, very consistent with what we saw in Q2, maybe quite not as strong Q2, as you recall, is probably one of the best quarters we've seen in the business. So I would say, fairly close to Q2, better than Q1, quite frankly from an organic growth standpoint. So if you break it down into its constituent parts integrated and vertical markets again grew in the low double digits, continues to provide obviously a nice tailwind for growth in the US business. That's a combination of our partnership model, obviously with OpenEdge as well as our own software assets in these vertical markets that we're in today.

We do target low double digit for that growth for that business. We've seen it through the course of this year, and we're obviously delighted with the momentum we have in that channel. If you look at our US direct, more traditional relationship led distribution platform, it grew again high-single digit again, consistent with the level we saw in Q1 and Q2. So again you combine those two channels and I think US direct growth in the third quarter was around 10.6 , 10.7(ph), in that ballpark versus 11 in Q2. So right, in the same area that we saw in Q2 and again at the high end of our expectations for that channel. As you know, we target high single-digit to low double-digit for the US direct channels.

ACTIVE contributed about $50 million for the quarter. It grew low double digits relative to its number from Q3 of last year. And as Jeff -- or as I noted in my prepared remarks, Jeff noted in his prepared remarks, AdvancedMD had a good strong month, consistent with the expectation, we provided at close. So I think when you break it down without getting into any individual channel, every business in the US, really performed in kind of at the higher end of our expectations for those channels in the third quarter. Again good consistent momentum, as we've seen throughout the course of 2018, which we've been positioned very nicely going into the fourth quarter, and of course 2019 is right around the corner as well.

Darrin Peller -- Wolfe Research -- Analyst

All right. That's great detail. And then just a quick follow-up on margins, they came in better than our model, and I think it's still to some degree the mix right, I mean your ISOs being down obviously is helpful to your margin. What else is in there in terms of mix that's driving the margin expansion being particularly better than I think you guys may have expected?

Cameron M. Bready -- Senior Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, it's a great question, Darrin. So I think you're on the exact right point. The mix is really the biggest thing that we're seeing from a margin standpoint, as well as I think, good execution and obviously disciplined expense management in the business. But I wouldn't say mix is the biggest driver. You're right in pointing out the ISO business declining, the wholesale business declining in the high-teens. That's obviously a benefit to margins in the quarter, and again our integrated and vertical markets business being higher margin portfolios for us. Those growing more quickly than the rest of the business also create a nice tailwind from a margin standpoint as well.

I would say that the really nice thing about margins, particularly in North America this quarter is we delivered 180 basis points of margin expansion, notwithstanding currency and notwithstanding the investments that we're making back into the business from the benefits we've seen from tax reform. So I think if there's one thing I would call out specifically this quarter that we're particularly delighted about it's the margin expansion that we experienced despite those two headwinds.

Darrin Peller -- Wolfe Research -- Analyst

All right. That's great guys. Thank you.

Jeffrey S. Sloan -- Chief Executive Officer

Thanks, Darrin.

Operator

Our next question comes from Steven Kwok with KBW. Your line is open.

Steven Kwok -- KBW -- Analyst

Great, thanks for taking my questions. Jeff, could you elaborate on your comments around making enhancements to the omni-channel offerings? Would this be done all in-house or would you look to supplement that with perhaps a good acquisition or a tuck-in one? Thanks.

Jeffrey S. Sloan -- Chief Executive Officer

Yeah. Thanks, Steven. So of course, this quarter is the one that we traditionally give kind of an update on our e-commerce and omni business. As I said in my prepared remarks, we're delighted with the growth in that business, which is high-teens for the quarter, and we expect high-teens for the year as the guidance implies. So the first thing I'd say is we have a complete solution today. And we're obviously in market which generates the results that we've been describing both for the quarter as well for the year.

The enhancement we're looking at is making it even simpler to go into more markets with Global Payments around the world with a single omni-channel API interface no matter where you are globally, a single terminal API, no matter where you are globally. Those are all being done in-house and those will be rolled out on a rolling basis, are being rolled out really now, but on a rolling basis throughout 2019. So we've been able to generate the results that we've reported today, as well as our expectations for the year through our enterprise hub and the other technologies that we have today. Those are being further enhanced and are already at the run rate that we've been describing. So we expect to continue to gain share as we have been, as we head into 2019.

I would tell you it's a competitive matter. We are now pitching for new business for some very large and sophisticated potential counterparties. I think we're already market leading today, I think this is going to put us really when these things are rolled throughout 2019 internally really put us in the driver seat in terms of growing this business going forward.

Steven Kwok -- KBW -- Analyst

Thanks. And this actually fits right into my next question, was just around if you could talk about the competitive landscape, both on the offline and e-commerce space. One of your e-commerce peers just announced this morning that they are looking to expand into Canada and signed up a number of merchants. Thanks.

Jeffrey S. Sloan -- Chief Executive Officer

Yes, sure. So, of course, all of our businesses are intensely competitive, not just in e-commerce and omni, but in integrated vertical markets and in all the geographies that we're in around the world. If you go back, Steven to my prepared remarks, we really compete in a number of distinctive ways. First, we're primarily focused on small to mid-sized businesses or SMBs, within the domestic market, or those SMBs, looking to go omni-channel, cross border. A great example is Canada. We've made very attractive headway in e-com and omni over the last several years, and is a meaningful part of the growth really in our business in Canada. You can see in some of the materials we posted today on our website that we believe we are over represented in North America, including Canada, relative to the size of those e-commerce and omni-channel markets.

The second thing I'd say is we look to go global with multinational corporates in markets that are harder to serve. I gave a -- I listed those in my prepared comments. In many cases, there's only one or two folks including us who can really provide those services in the markets that we're looking to compete in. We also have a very healthy payment facilitator business globally. A great example of that is a recent renewal, we've had with PayPal, globally in our business and I think it's really a testament to the quality of our e-com and omni businesses globally, much of what they're doing around the world, outside of North America, where they do it themselves, particularly in Europe and Asia.

And to my point, Steve, in the hard to serve markets, really with Global Payments. So I think it's a tribute to the quality of our technology and really the extensibility of our geographic markets.

Steven Kwok -- KBW -- Analyst

Right. Thanks for taking my question.

Jeffrey S. Sloan -- Chief Executive Officer

Thanks, Steve.

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Glenn Greene with Oppenheimer. Your line is open.

Glenn Greene -- Oppenheimer & Co. Inc. -- Analyst

Thanks, good morning. So just want to go back to the SICOM acquisition. I know you sort of talked about the low-double digit sort of organic growth. But could you talk about more broadly overtime the cross-sell or revenue synergy potential, and if there's any sort of cost synergy potential, we should be thinking about?

Jeffrey S. Sloan -- Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, hey, Glenn, it's Jeff, I'll start and I'm sure Cameron will add to this. So if you think about where Xenial really is, which is the Heartland Commerce business in the restaurant vertical market, Xenial offers a lot of really good things, but particularly in loyalty, customer management, gift cards, mobile applications, so ordering your hamburger on your phone, paying with their Xenial(ph)billing and pick it up. Those are things generally that SICOM is really not in, in terms of by way of product offering.

So I think the most obvious cross-sell initially is to cross-sell the Xenial solutions into the SICOM base and to cross-sell the SICOM solutions, which as I described at the beginning of the call with George, are primarily front-of-house, middle-of-house and back-of-house, delivering those into the Xenial customer base. That's probably number one. Number two would be bringing the Xenial solutions globally. So SICOM, as I mentioned in my prepared remarks is present in 60 markets, essentially doubles our restaurant base, adding another 25,000 locations.

The ability to catalyze Xenial growth outside the United States and bring that into those existing markets where SICOM is already present is another real traction by way of cross-sell Glenn, in revenue. And then lastly, I would say that while Xenial and Global Payments are among other things, payments related businesses, historically SICOM is much more pure software and a lot less payments.

Our ability to go into large chains and SICOM has four of the top 10 QSRs in United States, and some outside the United States like Tim Hortons for example in Canada but in the US Burger King, Jamba Juice, et cetera, our ability to cross-sell payments, kind of a core part of Global Payments into the SICOM base is another revenue synergy that we're very excited about, very similar to what we announced, Glenn as part of AdvancedMD. So those are the three that we're most focused on in near term.

Glenn Greene -- Oppenheimer & Co. Inc. -- Analyst

Okay, great and then, Cameron, just a clarification on the forward full year guidance, and it's sort of in the context of, I think you made a comment about the acquisitions adding $45 million to $50 million of revenue in the fourth quarter being offset by incremental FX. Can you just sort of go through that? What I'm trying to get at, has the constant currency, organic growth expectations changed at all?

Cameron M. Bready -- Senior Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, Glenn. It's a great question. So I think the constant currency organic growth expectations have increased. So if you look at the -- probably by, call it roughly a point. So if you look at the guide that we provided today, the new acquisition, we expect to contribute $45 million to $50 million in the fourth quarter. That roughly offsets the FX headwind that we expect now in the back half of the year relative to what we originally anticipated coming into the year. So if you look at stripping out the acquisition and adding back sort of the FX headwind, you kind of get to a number that I would say puts you toward about the high end of the original guidance that we set forth at the beginning of the year, which again I would say, suggests organic growth at about a point better than we would have anticipated, kind of coming into the year from the original guide.

Glenn Greene -- Oppenheimer & Co. Inc. -- Analyst

Okay, great, thanks.

Jeffrey S. Sloan -- Chief Executive Officer

Thanks, Glenn.

Operator

Our next question comes from Tom McCrohan with Mizuho. Your line is open.

Thomas McCrohan -- Mizuho Securities -- Analyst

Hi guys. To get to the 60% revenue target for software enabled, do you have to get into other verticals, and if so what other verticals might they be?

Jeffrey S. Sloan -- Chief Executive Officer

So I'll start Tom and Cameron can comment as well. I don't think we have to get into other vertical markets. But clearly, if you go back to some of my prepared comments, Tom, the way we think about attractiveness of vertical markets is across a number of criteria. The first thing is what's the target addressable market? How big is the opportunity in the case for example, of restaurants, we think it's $4 billion of revenue a year. In the case of the food service vertical market that we talked about Compass and Sodexo, coming at the SICOM acquisition, we think that's $2.5 billion a year.

In the case AdvancedMD, in the healthcare side, we think that number is well in to the billion as well. So if you step back and look at my prepared comments Tom, we have exposure now, post the deals that we've done to about a quarter of US GDP. We don't need to do more deals in terms of more vertical markets to get to the 60, but clearly there are other markets that we've looked at that are sizable in the United States, that we're not directly in, as an own software vendor(ph).

Two most obvious ones that we -- I think we've talked about before, are real estate for example and government business and we're already in a little bit of the government businesses but paying your taxes or your fees online, paying your association and property fees and insurance fees online are both attractive opportunities as we see it and I think generally follow many of the characteristics that we've enumerated before.

Thomas McCrohan -- Mizuho Securities -- Analyst

Thanks, and just as a follow-up and thanks for giving us the update on e-commerce and omni. Is there a way to break out how much of that revenue today from that e-commerce and omni-channel is going over mobile devices?

Cameron M. Bready -- Senior Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

We don't have that level of detail today, Tom. It's Cameron. So I can't give you a specific amount that's coming directly from mobile devices. So as we think about our omni-channel business it's going to be the combination of where we provide both online capabilities to our merchant customers that's going to be a combination of traditional web-based e-com, or mobile offerings with the brick and mortar capabilities as well. We don't further disaggregate it between mobile and what's coming through more traditional e-com portals.

Thomas McCrohan -- Mizuho Securities -- Analyst

Okay, thank you.

Jeffrey S. Sloan -- Chief Executive Officer

Thanks Tom.

Cameron M. Bready -- Senior Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Thanks Tom.

Operator

Our next question comes from Ashwin Shirvaikar with Citi. Your line is open.

Ashwin Shirvaikar -- Citi. -- Analyst

Thanks. Hi, Jeff, hi Cameron. Congratulations on the quarter. So far, the three larger software ownership acquisitions that you've made, it kind of makes sense. The common question I get from investors though, is not so much about your ability to make the acquisitions work in the short term, which very few people doubt, I think, but it's about the ability to evolve and run multiple software stacks over time. So could you comment on that, and maybe sort of talk to some of the things that you may have learned from a year of running active.

Jeffrey S. Sloan -- Chief Executive Officer

Sure. So I'm certainly happy to start Ashwin, and I know Cameron will join in. So at the end of the day, whether it's software business like the three that we've acquired over the last 14 months or whether it's an e-commerce or omni-channel business, like Realex or Ezidebit or eWAY, that we acquired over the years, I think the most important metric on how we're doing is the ability to produce over a period of years, sustained and accelerated revenue growth.

So I think the most important thing is not to your point, can you make in other one quarter was to look 12 months out, it's what is the look a few years out in terms of building out a better business that has permanently changed upward, revenue acceleration margin into earnings contribution. I think we've been able to do that, to be honest. If you look at our e-commerce acquisitions in Europe and in Asia Pacific, if you go back and look at our integrated acquisitions with EPG and PayPurse(ph)all those date from six years ago to three years ago to four years ago, and that's what we've been able to deliver.

We are only a year, year and a half in, ACTIVE(ph)in some of these more recent deals. But as I mentioned in my prepared remarks, the bookings numbers coming out of ACTIVE a year in, a couple of months after that transaction close, are at record levels, which I think is a testament to our view of our ability to maintain and accelerate revenue growth. It's early days, but I also mentioned that in AdvancedMD, in the limited period of time, since we closed that transaction, booking they are running at very high rates. So of course, time will tell, but I think if you look at that metric which I view as the primary criterion in how we are doing in these partnerships, those numbers look really good, and retention of customers and retention of those personnel is really high.

At the end of the day, if you step back further and put aside metrics and productivity and you just look at what I think we're good at, and what I think we're not good at, what I think we are particularly good at is providing an environment where technologists can flourish, whether that means we're good at things like infrastructure, compliance, regulatory, accelerating sales, not just in the United States by way of channel, but outside of the United States and that's what you're seeing with some of the benefit on the deals that we've done.

What do I think we're not particularly good at, well we'd like to leave the management and the technologist and the software folks in place because that's the expertise, that they're providing. A great example I went to the closing Town Hall at AdvancedMD in Salt Lake, a couple of months ago and what I said to the folks there is, listen, I don't know all that much about healthcare. I'm not starting now. That's what you guys do. You know healthcare by way of vertical markets. That's a lot of where the value lies in what you're doing. I think we can help you get there more quickly. In the case of AdvancedMD, to follow up on what, for example Glenn was asking, in terms of revenue enhancements and what we can bring AdvancedMD is very excited about our ability to bring to Heartland Payroll solutions, our ability to bring more physician references by knowledge of the local markets in which we operate and our ability to get the close rate, up 80% of payments that we don't know.

Those things are generally really good news to the partner businesses that we're acquiring and it's stuff that software people and heath people like to hear, because we're growing the pie. And that's where I think Ashwin the points of demarcation are. But you don't have to believe me, you can just look at our track record over the last six years and see how that's gone.

Cameron M. Bready -- Senior Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Ashwin -- it's Cameron, I would maybe add just a couple of comments to that as well. So if you think about our entire M&A approach, we're very deliberate in terms of the type of businesses we buy. We buy quality management team, we buy assets where we think the cultural fit is very strong, largely for the reasons, Jeff, just described. We want those management teams to continue to run the businesses they've been running successfully, leading up to our acquisitions.

So we run our businesses more on a core and edge strategy, where the edge businesses continue to develop in the core software platforms that they have developed and they continue to invest in those to keep them contemporary and ensure that they meet the needs of the market going forward and remain market leading, whatever specific vertical that they're in today. So that's a big part of how we approach the business to begin with.

We look to get scale out of these assets through traditional corporate support services, technology infrastructure, as Jeff just described, compliance activities, et cetera. And we're also looking at other areas where you can drive more scale, including leveraging actives, offshore R&D capability to provide services to other software businesses as well. So we're doing more of the development through our own in-house resources as opposed either outsourcing that to third parties or having to do it each individually within the businesses themselves. So we do find those opportunities create scale in the business, but largely what we provide the software businesses themselves is the right environment in which to flourish, as Jeff described and the investment to continue to build the product set and the solutions to drive that top line revenue growth.

Ashwin Shirvaikar -- Citi. -- Analyst

Got it. No, that's very comprehensive. I guess one other question, the follow-up is with regards to lot of strength underlying here. Is there any reason why we should not carry this into 2019?

Cameron M. Bready -- Senior Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

No, I would say, absolutely not. As we sit here today and I think I covered some of this in my prepared comments, I feel very good. We're sitting here at the end of October, certainly feel very good about the momentum we have going into Q4, and I think quite frankly our guidance for the full year reflects, we have a tremendous amount of confidence in the momentum we have in the business in terms of where we think we'll end up for full 2018 basis, and as we look forward to 2019, sort of foreshadowed where we thought we would be earlier in the year for 2019 and beyond, very consistent with the cycle guidance we provided back in March. But still feel very good about how we're positioned to meet or exceed those expectations heading into '19 and beyond.

Ashwin Shirvaikar -- Citi. -- Analyst

Thanks, good to hear. See you in a couple of weeks.

Jeffrey S. Sloan -- Chief Executive Officer

Great, thanks, Ashwin.

Operator

Our next question comes from Jason Kupferberg with Bank of America Merrill Lynch. Your line is open.

Jason Kupferberg -- Bank of America Merrill Lynch -- Analyst

Hey, good morning guys. Thanks. I just wanted to ask a follow-up question on the acquisitions as we start to project the 2019 contribution here. I think you said SICOM about $100 million in revs. We're thinking AMD, I guess in the 140-ish range and then any color perhaps on EPS accretion, how we should start thinking about modeling that for 2019 on an adjusted EPS basis.

Cameron M. Bready -- Senior Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Sure. Jason, it's Cameron. So one quick correction and then a little bit of color. So as it relates to AdvancedMD and I think we said this on our Q2 call, we expect them to contribute $125 million next year.

Jason Kupferberg -- Bank of America Merrill Lynch -- Analyst

Next year, OK, sorry, I thought --.

Cameron M. Bready -- Senior Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

(multiple speakers), ASC 606. So little bit of ASC 606 impact on their business which they had not yet adopted when we acquired them. So around $125 million for AdvancedMD, you are right at SICOM for around a $100 million. Just a little bit of color around margins, as I mentioned before, we expect SICOM to coming in at or around corporate margins in 2019. And again, as we begin to merge our existing Xenial business with SICOM can we expect to realize synergies and as we scale that business heading into '20, we expect it to be accretive to margins.

AdvancedMD we expect to be modest, pressure margins in 2019. So it will be a little bit of a headwind to margin in '19. We expect it to be kind of at corporate margins or above corporate margins kind of '20 and beyond as we scale that business. From an earnings standpoint, the combination, we expect to be accretive to 2019 EPS estimates for our business based on our own kind of internal expectations. Both would be modestly accretive kind of heading into 2019 and obviously more expansive thereafter.

Jason Kupferberg -- Bank of America Merrill Lynch -- Analyst

Okay, and do you have kind of a clean specific number for constant currency, organic growth across the whole North America business in Q3, as well as what it was in Q2? I had a number in kind of the low-nines for Q2. So just wanted to check on that, if we include the entirety of the North America business?

Cameron M. Bready -- Senior Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Yes, sure. So, constant currency normalized organic growth for North America in total was around 9 for Q2 and it's around 8.6 for Q3, in that ballpark. So very similar the difference largely being wholesale with a bigger drag in Q3 than it was in Q2.

Jason Kupferberg -- Bank of America Merrill Lynch -- Analyst

Exactly.

Cameron M. Bready -- Senior Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

If you exclude wholesale, North America grew on a constant currency basis, roughly 10% in Q3 and a pretty consistent amount in Q2, overall north of 10%. So right in that ballpark.

Jason Kupferberg -- Bank of America Merrill Lynch -- Analyst

Okay, that's great. Thank you.

Jeffrey S. Sloan -- Chief Executive Officer

Thanks, Jason.

Operator

Our next question comes from James Friedman with Susquehanna. Your line is open.

James Friedman -- Susquehanna Financial Group -- Analyst

Hi, good morning. It's Jamie at Susquehanna.

Cameron M. Bready -- Senior Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Good morning, Jamie.

James Friedman -- Susquehanna Financial Group -- Analyst

I'll just ask my two upfront. One for you, Jeff, one for you, Cameron. Jeff, in your prepared remarks you had commented on markets where you characterize yourselves as over-indexed to e-commerce. I'm just wondering what advantages you might command when you are over-indexed. So that's one question. And then Cameron, I want to ask about cross border and thank you for these slides. They are helpful but with regard to cross border being that you typically, but not exclusively are heavier in SMB, how would you characterize the cross border opportunity for SMB? So one on the index and the other on the cross border. Thank you.

Jeffrey S. Sloan -- Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, Jamie, it's Jeff. I'll start on the relative share of the market. So I think if you look at those slides, we think we're overweight e-com/omni in all three of our regions. So that's the point one. One of the point you really wanted to get out there, is we do get asked, what are our footprint is. So I would say in every one of our markets, as you can see on the slides all three of our reporting regions, we have a greater share of our business in e-com/omni then the market implies for itself. That's kind of one point.

The second point I'd make though is if you break it down further but particularly overweight e-com/omni in Asia Pacific and Europe, and we think that's a really good thing.

Now why is that the case? And I think it's because of the breadth of our geographic franchise. If you think about the 13 markets we're in, in Asia Pacific, in some of those markets, I listed some Jamie in my prepared remarks, like Malaysia, Singapore, The Philippines, those markets are always competitive, but there is not a tremendous number of commodity based providers providing quality of services that we are, in each one of those markets. I also mentioned, it's not just providing processing, Jamie. But it's providing onsite support in all the things that we do globally.

So for example, I won't mention who it is, but a very large multinational tendered an(ph)RFP a couple years ago in Taiwan. The people who bid on that and ended up winning it were us and one other identity, and that was a bank that was native to Taiwan. Now why would that be, because that's a really hard service and a really hard market. So it doesn't mean that our businesses aren't competitive. It doesn't mean that we don't have to be very good in what we do, but it does mean that we like our odds when we are one or two in a market that's really hard to service.

That would be a very good reason why we think we're overweight e-com/omni in Asia Pacific in the markets that we're in, because the markets that we're in are hard to service multinationally and pervasity(ph). PayPal and we have won of those markets. That's a very good example of why we feel that we got an in-depth of relationship with one of the largest payment facilitators in the world.

The same thing would be true in the context of Europe. If you think about step up and the conversations we've had Jamie, over the years, our view of a single market and providing not just e-com solutions, but also physical acceptance on an omni-channel basis our footprint, our physical presence in third markets in particular in Continental Europe, for these purposes is really helping to drive the double-digit growth that Cameron described in Central Europe. There are not a lot of people who are in those markets doing that, which is why we think we're overweight in the EU and by way of step-up in those markets. Cameron you want to comment on the second part, the cross border.

Cameron M. Bready -- Senior Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Yeah. Jamie, I think it's a good question. It really depends on the region, which we're operating. So naturally here in the US at the small to medium-sized merchant space is not going to be a tremendous amount of cross border. There'll be some but predominantly small to medium-sized merchants who are using our omni-channel capabilities today want to sell online and brick and mortar location, kind of in the US market.

As you begin to move toward Europe you do see obviously an increase in the level of cross-border activity, particularly even at the small to medium sized merchant levels and frankly that's what partially the EU is designed to accomplish, Insep(ph)is designed to accomplish. It's lowering the barriers for commerce around the EU markets. So you do have more smaller to medium sized merchants selling on a cross border basis on a Pan-European basis. And obviously, we do see higher levels of cross border volume with our small to medium sized omni-channel merchants in those markets as well.

Asia is a little bit of a mixed bag. You do see between certain markets, particularly the call it, Chinese centric markets, more cross border activity. So whether it's between Mainland China, Hong Kong, Taiwan, Macau you're going to see more cross border activities, whereas within other markets where we're serving small to medium-sized merchants on an omni-channel basis it's going to be more domestically oriented as well. So hopefully that gives you a little bit of color as we think about it around the globe. It's a little bit of a mixed bag, just given the different geographies, where we're operating in. As Jeff noted obviously at the multinational level it's just all about cross border. It's our ability to provide the seamless solutions in up to 60 markets around the globe, where we can blur the lines between obviously the physical brick and mortar point of sale acceptance and e-com and omni for those customers.

James Friedman -- Susquehanna Financial Group -- Analyst

Great. Cameron and Jeff. Thank you very much.

Cameron M. Bready -- Senior Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Thanks, Jamie. Great to see you.

Operator

Our last question comes from Darrin Perlin with RBC Capital Markets. Your line is open.

Darrin Peller -- Wolfe Research -- Analyst

Thanks guys. I just wanted to ask a bit more on Europe for a moment. I didn't hear a lot on the UK and just kind of given all the kind of up and down rhetoric around that market, I'm wondering what you're seeing. And then secondly, in and around Europe is this just more a function of market share gain. You talked a little bit about this a second ago, but I'm trying to make sure I can fully reconcile kind of what's underlying demand versus share gains and how sustainable that is, as we think about kind of 2019.

Jeffrey S. Sloan -- Chief Executive Officer

Hey Darrin, it's Jeff, I'll start and I'm sure Cameron will jump in. So I think it depends on the market that you're in, in Europe, but let me just start with the United Kingdom point blank it's share gains. If you look at our consistent growth and Cameron's got to be three quarters of this year and probably going back to next year, look at any metric, Dan, Visa, Mastercard numbers in the UK. If you look at GDP in the UK, if you look at same-store sales growth in the UK, those numbers tend to be zero, one type of(ph)numbers on a given day. And so I think Cameron said in his prepared remarks. It's another high-single digit quarter growth for us.

So there's no doubt in my mind, that's share gains, I would say that's augmented by our focus on the small to mid-size business and leading with technology, UK in particular is a big place for us to have our e-com and omni business that's been true for a number of years. So there's no doubt leading with technology there as well as with integrated and semi integrate solutions has been very beneficial to us. But that's just another way of describing why we're taking share in that market relative to the size of the market.

I think if you back up and look more broadly across Europe, and now I'm thinking Spain, our Erste JV in the Czech Republic and across four markets in Continental Europe, that is a bunch of things. First I'd say there is no better partner that I think you can have in Spain and across Europe, and CaixaBank as Cameron called out it in his commentary, that business for the probably for the 8 years now nearly that we've been in partnership with Caixa continues to grow 50% to 100% more, but the market reported rates of growth are -- I really chalk it up to you how good a partner Caixa is, in that business and across Europe.

I think the same thing has proven to be true with Erste Bank in Continental Europe. Of course in Continental Europe, you have the added overlay of probably, marginally better demographics, in terms of a rising middle class and better receptivity to newer technologies because e-com and omni and DCG(ph)just haven't existed there until more recently. Spain is obviously further down the path, technologically than perhaps some of our other markets in Continental Europe. Nonetheless, however you slice it, Dan, when you look at the UK, you look at Spain or you look at the Czech Republic, our businesses in those markets are all growing faster than the rate of market growth and again I chalk that up to share gains.

Cameron M. Bready -- Senior Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, not a lot of color to add there. I think that covers it pretty well. Just couple other data points I would mention on the UK, in particular the market growth, you're actually seeing is largely debit contract. There's not that much market growth in the UK. So if you look at the performance, we've been able to achieve. I think it's pretty clearly attributable to share gains in that market. And obviously as Jeff highlighted the continued expansion of our omni capabilities in that domestic market as well as on a pan-European basis.

The other thing I would call out in Spain, Spain again mid-teens growth this quarter off of a summer where tourism was not nearly as strong as it was last summer frankly. So what we saw in Spain this quarter is even better domestic trends than we've seen quite a while. Tourism was down year-over-year relative to 2017. So very impressive kind of domestically oriented performance quarter in Spain this year, and I think Jeff summed up Central Europe really well. I think we're starting to see not only the revenue growth coming from our ability to bring new products and services into a market that has better secular trends, but also the scale benefits and now having that operating on our technology platforms, now that the migrations, are complete in our Erste joint venture.

So again, positioned very well, I think as we head into 2019 for Europe. Obviously, time will tell what manifests from the Brexit activities, but I think we feel very good about how we're positioned in the market.

Darrin Peller -- Wolfe Research -- Analyst

Great, thank you.

Jeffrey S. Sloan -- Chief Executive Officer

Thanks, Dan. On behalf of Global Payments, thank you for your interest in our company this morning.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, this conclude today's conference. Thanks for your participation and have a wonderful day.

Duration: ?? minutes

Call participants:

Winnie Smith -- Vice President, Investor Relations

Jeffrey S. Sloan -- Chief Executive Officer

Cameron M. Bready -- Senior Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer

George Mihalos -- Cowen & Co. -- Analyst

Darrin Peller -- Wolfe Research -- Analyst

Steven Kwok -- KBW -- Analyst

Glenn Greene -- Oppenheimer & Co. Inc. -- Analyst

Thomas McCrohan -- Mizuho Securities -- Analyst

Ashwin Shirvaikar -- Citi. -- Analyst

Jason Kupferberg -- Bank of America Merrill Lynch -- Analyst

James Friedman -- Susquehanna Financial Group -- Analyst

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