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DATE
Feb. 4, 2026 at 4:45 p.m. ET
CALL PARTICIPANTS
- President and Chief Executive Officer — Cristiano Amon
- Chief Financial Officer — Akash Palkhiwala
- Senior Vice President, Investor Relations — Mauricio Lopez-Hodoyan
- President, Technology Licensing — Alex Rogers
TAKEAWAYS
- Total Revenue -- $12.3 billion, a quarterly record, directly attributed to high flagship handset demand.
- Non-GAAP EPS -- $3.50, which reached the upper end of the range provided in previous guidance.
- QCT Revenue -- $10.6 billion, with notable strength attributed to flagship handset launches and records in automotive and IoT.
- QCT Handset Revenue -- $7.8 billion, supported by recently launched flagship smartphones and above-expected premium segment sell-through.
- QCT IoT Revenue -- $1.7 billion, up 9% year over year, driven by consumer and networking product demand.
- QCT Automotive Revenue -- $1.1 billion, representing 15% year-over-year growth on stronger Snapdragon digital chassis demand.
- Company-Wide Shareholder Returns -- $3.6 billion returned, composed of $2.6 billion in stock repurchases and $949 million in dividends.
- QCT EBT Margin -- 31% for the period, surpassing the long-term target of 30%.
- QTL Revenue -- $1.6 billion with an EBITDA margin of 77%, both at the high end of internal guidance.
- Flagship Smartphone Market Share -- Management expects to maintain an approximately 75% share in Samsung’s upcoming premium devices.
- Q2 Revenue Guidance -- $10.2 billion to $11 billion, with non-GAAP EPS forecast at $2.45 to $2.65.
- Q2 QCT Guidance -- Revenue expected between $8.8 billion and $9.4 billion; EBITDA margins guided at 26%-28%.
- Q2 QTL Guidance -- Revenue forecasted between $1.2 billion and $1.4 billion, with EBT margins of 68%-72% reflecting sequential normal trends.
- Q2 QCT Handset Revenue Guidance -- Approximately $6 billion, reflecting anticipated impact from industry-wide constrained memory supply.
- Q2 QCT IoT Revenue Outlook -- Expected to grow by low teens percent year over year, due to strength in industrial and consumer products.
- Q2 QCT Automotive Guidance -- Year-over-year revenue growth expected to exceed 35%, signaling acceleration versus the prior quarter.
- Operating Expenses (Q2 Guidance) -- Non-GAAP opex is anticipated at approximately $2.6 billion due to calendar resets, employee costs, and the Alpha Wave SEMI acquisition.
- Product and Platform Milestones -- ByteDance launched the first AgenTek AI smartphone using Snapdragon 8 Elite this quarter; over 40 personal AI devices are in development or production with the company’s solutions.
- PC Business Update -- Launched the Snapdragon X2 Plus and X2 Elite Extreme, delivering up to 35% faster single-core performance and over 21 hours of battery life in demonstration designs; 150 Snapdragon X power PCs are targeted for commercialization within the year.
- Automotive Business Pipeline -- Signed a letter of intent for a long-term agreement with Volkswagen Group to supply infotainment and connectivity across multiple brands, plus new and expanded partnerships with key global automakers reported.
- Robotics and Industrial IoT Expansion -- Announced entry into advanced robotics and launched the Dragon Wing IQ 10 series and IQX industrial PC products, formally engaging with multiple robotics companies on compute architecture.
- Acquisitions Completed -- Closed Alpha Wave SEMI to add high-speed wire connectivity for AI data centers and acquired Ventana Micro Systems for developing a high-performance RISC V CPU.
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RISKS
- Management acknowledged an industry-wide memory shortage, noting: "In the coming quarters, the handset industry will be constrained by the availability and pricing of memory, particularly DRAM. As memory suppliers redirect manufacturing capacity to HBM to meet AI data center demand, the resulting industry-wide memory shortage and price increases are likely to define the overall scale of the handset industry through the fiscal year. Given the current environment, several handset OEMs, especially in China, are taking a cautious approach in reducing their chipset inventory. This is reflected in our guidance for the upcoming quarter."
- Guidance for QCT handset revenue in the next quarter reflects "reduced chipset orders" tied directly to these OEM inventory reductions and memory constraints.
- Akash Palkhiwala said, "given the supply, we have a negative bias on units," indicating an expectation for handset units and licensing revenues to be slightly below historical trends.
SUMMARY
Qualcomm (QCOM +1.16%) delivered record-breaking financials, led by flagship handset launches and ongoing momentum in automotive and IoT. Management forecasted a sequential slowdown for the next quarter, explicitly tied to a global memory shortage and resulting cautious inventory management by Chinese handset OEMs. During the quarter, the company expanded its portfolio with new launches in AI smartphones, PCs, industrial IoT, and robotics, strengthened its position in automotive through design wins and a pending long-term agreement with Volkswagen Group, and executed multiple strategic acquisitions targeting data center and high-performance CPU capabilities.
- Over 40 personal AI device projects are underway, and the automotive segment is expected to grow revenue by more than 35% year over year in the next quarter.
- Management maintained an expectation of resilient premium handset demand, with a continued shift toward higher-tier devices despite supply headwinds.
- The company is emphasizing diversification, with strategic focus on automotive, industrial, data center, and robotics, aiming for multi-billion-dollar revenue contributions from these segments within several years.
- Operational execution continues on HPC and AI inferencing platforms, supported by feedback from top cloud and hyperscale partners and completion of two technology acquisitions.
INDUSTRY GLOSSARY
- QCT: Qualcomm CDMA Technologies; the company’s primary semiconductor segment encompassing mobile, automotive, IoT, and networking chipsets.
- QTL: Qualcomm Technology Licensing; segment for licensing the company's wireless communication patents and intellectual property.
- QSI: Qualcomm Strategic Initiatives; focuses on early-stage investments aligned with next-generation technology expansion goals.
- EBT Margin: Earnings Before Tax margin, a profitability metric at the segment or company level.
- DRAM: Dynamic Random-Access Memory, a semiconductor memory used in a variety of consumer and industrial electronics.
- HBM: High Bandwidth Memory, a type of advanced DRAM increasingly allocated to AI data center uses.
- OEM: Original Equipment Manufacturer, in this context referring to companies producing branded electronic devices incorporating Qualcomm components.
- SOP: Start of Production, indicating when new automotive programs commence manufacturing.
- TOPS: Trillions of Operations Per Second, used to measure AI processor performance.
- RISC V: An open standard instruction set architecture for CPUs, used in the company’s new data center processor development.
- ADAS: Advanced Driver-Assistance Systems, software and hardware to augment vehicle safety and automation.
- NPU: Neural Processing Unit, a dedicated processor for accelerating artificial intelligence workloads.
- VLM: Vision-Language Model; models that process both visual and textual information, used in robotics.
- ISV: Independent Software Vendor; referenced in data center collaborations and AI workloads.
- AI250: Referenced as a new memory architecture in the company’s AI data center platform development.
Full Conference Call Transcript
Cristiano Amon: Thank you, Mauricio. Good afternoon, everyone. Thanks for joining us today. In fiscal Q1, we delivered record revenues of $12.3 billion and non-GAAP earnings per share of $3.50. Within QCT, record revenues of $10.6 billion were driven by strength in flagship handsets. We also saw another quarter of record revenues in automotive and positive momentum in IoT across industrial edge networking applications and smart glasses. Licensing business revenues were $1.6 billion, while global consumer demand for handsets, especially premium and high tier, exceeded our expectations with healthy sell-through observed through fiscal Q1 in the first few weeks of 2026. In the coming quarters, the handset industry will be constrained by the availability and pricing of memory, particularly DRAM.
As memory suppliers redirect manufacturing capacity to HBM to meet AI data center demand, the resulting industry-wide memory shortage and price increases are likely to define the overall scale of the handset industry through the fiscal year. Given the current environment, several handset OEMs, especially in China, are taking a cautious approach in reducing their chipset inventory. This is reflected in our guidance for the upcoming quarter. We will continue to work closely with our customers and suppliers as the situation evolves. Akash will share more details on the memory impact in his prepared remarks. And now some key highlights from the business.
We are pleased with the continued expansion of the premium and high tier smartphone segments and traction of Snapdragon platforms, including broad OEM adoption for dual flagship products. For Samsung's upcoming family of premium tier devices, we expect approximately 75% share, consistent with prior expectations. It's important to note that during the quarter, ByteDance launched the first AgenTek AI smartphone powered by the Snapdragon 8 Elite. This is a significant milestone in the transition toward AI-native smartphones, the precursor to the agentic experiences shaping the future of mobile. With the development of agents and AI becoming the new UI, intelligent wearables are evolving into personal AI companions and quickly emerging as the next mobile computing category.
Our early investments in this area, including powerful and power-efficient chipsets, advanced connectivity including micro power Wi-Fi, as well as ambient sensing and perception technologies, position Snapdragon XR wear and sound as the platforms of choice for the industry. We're pleased to be working with seven of the nine largest cloud companies globally, and more than 40 personal AI devices are in production or development. In PCs, we introduced the Snapdragon X2 Plus, an expansion of our second-generation platforms purpose-built for the enterprise and commercial segment. The X2 Plus is powered by the third-generation Qualcomm Orion CPU, which delivers up to 35% faster single-core performance and up to 3.5 times faster multi-core performance compared to the competition in previous generations.
Our Hexagon NPU provides up to 5.7 times and 3.4 times faster inferencing versus competitors' NPU and GPU, respectively. 18 Snapdragon-powered PCs debuted at CES from ASUS, HP, Lenovo, and Microsoft. The ASUS Zenbook A16 was one of the standouts, featuring the Snapdragon X2 Elite Extreme and is the fastest Snapdragon-powered laptop to date. It features our 18-core third-generation Orion CPU and 80 TOPS hexagon NPU for AI workloads in an Adreno GPU delivering up to a 2.3 times improvement in performance per watt versus the prior generation. X2 Elite Extreme enables desk-class performance, advanced graphics, and more than 21 hours of battery life in an ultra-light 16-inch form factor.
We remain on track to commercialize 150 Snapdragon X power PCs this year. Demand for our Snapdragon digital chassis solutions remains incredibly strong, and we announced several collaborations with top automakers, OEMs, and service providers during the quarter. We signed a letter of intent for a long-term supply agreement with Volkswagen Group, which spans many brands, including Audi and Porsche. Under this intended agreement, we would provide advanced infotainment and connectivity capabilities powered by our digital chassis across multiple vehicle segments, price tiers, and markets. We would also serve as the group's primary technology provider for its software-defined vehicle architecture, developed through its joint venture with Rivian Automotive.
In addition, we're collaborating with the group's automated driving alliance formed by Cariad and Bosch to accelerate the development of highly automated driving systems. We're very proud that the newly launched RAV4, Toyota's top-selling vehicle globally and one of the best-selling cars worldwide, is powered by our Snapdragon cockpit platform, delivering premium AI-enabled in-vehicle experiences. We also announced new and expanded collaborations with Hyundai, Movies Deep Motor, Li Auto, Zeeker, Great Wall Motor, NIO, and Cherry, bringing our total design wins for Snapdragon Elite platforms to 10 programs. In industrial IoT, we continue to expand our portfolio of advanced computing, connectivity, and AI solutions for an increasing number of verticals.
With the recent acquisition of Algenxx, we augmented our Dragon Wing vision portfolio and Qualcomm Insight platform with its AI-based low-power image signal processing solution. At CES, we also introduced two new Dragon Wing processors delivering on-device intelligence for security-focused drones, smart cameras, and industrial vision AI TVs, media hubs, and video collaboration systems. Additionally, the launch of our new Dragon Wing IQX series marked our entry into the industrial PC space with best-in-class compute performance and efficient edge AI engineered for PLCs, advanced HMIs, edge controls, and panel and box PCs. This quarter, we formally announced our expansion into advanced robotics and introduced a full suite of robotics technologies and solutions, including the Dragon Wing IQ 10 series.
Our general-purpose robotics architecture supports advanced perception and motion planning using models such as VLAs and VLMs, allowing robots to perceive, reason, adapt, and act in real-world environments. As part of a complete hardware-to-software stack, IQ 10 is designed to accelerate the commercialization of household, industrial, and humanoid robots. It combines heterogeneous edge compute, safety-grade SoCs, and end-to-end AI. In a short period of time, we have engaged with AdventTech, Eplux, OuterCore, Booster, Figure, KUKA Robotics, Robotech AI, and ZenMotion to help define the compute architecture for their robotics and humanoid platforms.
The physical AI in robotics space is experiencing rapid growth driven by advances in edge AI and sensor fusion, and QUALCOMM Incorporated is one of the best-positioned companies to enable this next frontier of AI. We will do this by leveraging our strengths in high-performance, power-efficient computing, connectivity, and edge intelligence, as well as our experience in ADAS and autonomy, industrial and safety-grade silicon, and perception and sensing technologies. Many of the drivers of our leadership in automotive are applicable to advanced robotics. Finally, we continue to develop our data center solutions and engage with leading hyperscalers, cloud service providers, sovereign AI projects, and other global partners.
We remain encouraged by the positive feedback on our CPU and innovative AI processing and memory architecture for next-generation inferencing data centers. Additionally, the recent developments in the industry validate platforms QUALCOMM Incorporated's view of the importance of specialized and power-efficient AI as inferencing becomes the key driver of data center growth. In fiscal Q1, we completed the Alpha Wave SEMI acquisition, adding high-speed wire connectivity technology to further strengthen our platforms. We also acquired Ventana Micro Systems, reinforcing our leadership and commitment to expanding the RISC V standard in ecosystem, and development of our high-performance RISC V CPU for data center workloads.
We look forward to providing more information, including an update on our roadmap at our next investor event. We will also share our progress in robotics, automotive, next-generation autonomy, industrial IoT, and 6G. I will now turn the call to Akash.
Akash Palkhiwala: Thank you, Cristiano, and good afternoon, everyone. Let me begin with our strong first fiscal quarter results. Total revenues of $12.3 billion and non-GAAP EPS of $3.50 were both records, with non-GAAP EPS coming in at the high end of our guidance. QTL revenues of $1.6 billion and EBITDA margin of 77% at the high end of our guidance, driven by higher units and favorable mix. We delivered record revenues in QCT of $10.6 billion, including strong year-over-year growth across automotive and IoT. QCT handset revenues reached a record $7.8 billion, reflecting the benefit of recently launched flagship smartphones. QCT IoT revenues of $1.7 billion grew 9% year-over-year, driven by demand across consumer and networking products.
In QCT Automotive, we delivered another record quarter with revenues growing to $1.1 billion, up 15% versus the year-ago period on increased demand for our Snapdragon digital chassis platforms. QCT EBT margin of 31% came in line with expectations, exceeding our long-term target of 30%. Lastly, we returned $3.6 billion to stockholders, including $2.6 billion in stock repurchases, and $949 million in dividends. Before turning to guidance, I'd like to address the impact of the memory industry dynamics on our financial outlook. The fundamentals of our handset business remain favorable. A stable global economic environment, total handset shipments exceeding expectations in December, especially in the premium and high tier, a strong design win pipeline for our Snapdragon chipsets.
However, increasing demand for memory solutions in AI data centers is driving near-term uncertainty in memory supply and pricing for handset OEMs. As a result, the handset OEMs are taking a cautious approach in planning their business. We've seen several OEMs, especially in China, take actions to reduce their handset build plans and channel inventory. Our guidance for the upcoming quarter reflects the latest signals from these customers, which includes reduced chipset orders, aligned with their scaled-back expectations for build plans. We expect to return to our prior run rate and growth trajectory for QCT handset revenues when these conditions normalize. Now turning to guidance.
In the second fiscal quarter, we are forecasting revenues of $10.2 billion to $11 billion and non-GAAP EPS of $2.45 to $2.65. In QTL, we estimate revenues of $1.2 billion to $1.4 billion, EBT margins of 68% to 72%, reflecting normal sequential trend. In QCT, we expect revenues of $8.8 billion to $9.4 billion, EBITDA margins of 26% to 28%. We are forecasting QCT handset revenues to be approximately $6 billion as a result of the impact of memory constraints I just outlined. We anticipate QCT IoT revenues to grow by low teens percentage versus the year-ago period, driven by growth across industrial and consumer products.
QCT Automotive, following another record quarter, we expect year-over-year revenue growth to accelerate to greater than 35% in the second fiscal quarter. Lastly, we expect non-GAAP operating expenses to be approximately $2.6 billion in the quarter. The sequential increase is driven by typical calendar year resets, certain employee-related costs, and completion of our acquisition of AlphaWave, to further strengthen our platforms for next-generation AI data centers. In closing, we are pleased with our strong first-quarter performance, delivering record results across the following metrics: total company revenue, non-GAAP EPS, QCT revenues, QCT handset revenues, and QCT automotive revenues.
While near-term QCT handset guidance is being impacted by memory industry dynamics, the underlying fundamentals around consumer demand for handsets and Snapdragon product leadership remain strong. Our second-quarter guidance reflects the continued revenue acceleration across automotive and IoT, with their combined growth outpacing the run rate required to achieve our long-term revenue targets. Our product announcements and strong customer engagement at CES 2026 further demonstrated our momentum across multiple growth vectors. In automotive, we have reinforced our technology leadership with 10 design wins for Snapdragon Ride Elite and Cockpit Elite, eight global programs for Snapdragon Ride Flex, and continued success in building an automated driving stack ecosystem for our customers.
In robotics, we announced a full suite of technologies, including the industry-leading Dragon Wing IQ 10 chipset platform, and engagement with several players in the ecosystem to drive commercialization of our products. In industrial, we showcased our ability to serve a wide spectrum of customers, from global enterprises to local developers, with an expanded portfolio that offers advanced edge computing and AI solutions across industry verticals. This concludes our prepared remarks. Back to you, Mauricio.
Mauricio Lopez-Hodoyan: Thank you, Akash. Operator, we're now ready for questions. Thank you.
Operator: First question comes from the line of Joshua Buchalter with TD Cowen. Please proceed with your questions.
Joshua Buchalter: Hey guys, thank you for taking my question. I wanted to start with the handset outlook. Any other factors that are driving the weakness beyond the memory pricing? It was good to hear the reiterated Samsung share. But I think, you know, most importantly, how should we think about the TAM for the year? And do you feel like this inventory correction is sort of the last true shoe to drop in the March that you're seeing? Thank you.
Cristiano Amon: Thanks, Joshua, for the question. I will start and I'll ask Akash to add more color. It's 100% related to memory. Actually, I'll say the macroeconomic indicators have been strong. We look at the handset demand has been strong, I think because of our licensing business, we have a good understanding of the overall demand. We look at sell-through data also very strong. Unfortunately, I think what we saw in Q1 as we guide to Q2 is 100% sized by the availability of memory. So as you all know, as all the indications show that DRAM availability for consumer electronics, especially handsets, is actually down bias on a year-over-year because of the prioritization of HBM for data centers.
I think the market is going sized by that. And I think we saw the reaction right away from our customers adjusting, I think, their build production to the memory they have available. And I don't know if Akash, you'd like to add some more color to that.
Akash Palkhiwala: No. I think that covers it.
Joshua Buchalter: Okay. Thank you, Cristiano. I guess the follow-up, I mean, just back me into the guidance you just gave on QCT, I mean, that auto number is implying a pretty sharp acceleration sequentially. Is this some of the ADAS wins that you've talked about previously layering in? And maybe you could speak to, you know, both the drivers and the durability of this higher watermark that you're guiding to? Thank you.
Cristiano Amon: No. Thank you very much. As we have said consistently, I think the pipeline we have built in automotive is continued to translate into revenues, especially as new cars ramp and new cars launch. And I think that's why we continue to see record revenues in automotive. We know we don't move with the industry. We move primarily with our share gains. I think we're very excited about the trajectory. I will say we feel good about all the projections we have made about the size of the revenue when you look at our targets for fiscal 2029. It's all going in the right direction. And we continue to have more design wins.
I think our position in the industry becomes stronger. I think with the platform, we've seen traction with Flex, which both the ability to bring ADAS and digital cockpit in the same chipset across other tiers. We're seeing now some of the major, I think, volume drivers SOP. We did announce a very broad partnership with Volkswagen Group. And to your comment, it is correct. We're getting more traction with ADAS once OEMs were able to see the stack that we launched with BMW that was an option for them. We're seeing interest and those things are progressing very well.
Operator: The next question is from the line of Samik Chatterjee with JPMorgan. Please proceed with your question.
Samik Chatterjee: Hi. Thanks for taking my questions. I have one on data center and one on the smartphone side. Maybe on the data center, Cristiano, if you can give us an update in terms of the progress with your customers on that front. And given sort of the volatility we are seeing in memory, is that sort of being more disruptive to making progress with your customers, or is it instead augmenting some of the pace of the discussions given sort of big focus on that side of the sort of bill of materials as well? And I have a follow-up. Thank you.
Cristiano Amon: Thank you so much, Samik. So let me start with the data center. I think everything is going in the way we have planned. I think the only public customer announced today is Humane that is progressing well. We have started shipping. We have been working with them in ISV on third-party workloads. We're encouraged about the progress our teams are doing on our roadmap. We continue to get very positive feedback, I think, from broad engagements. You would imagine that a company at our size will be engaged in conversations with some of the largest hyperscalers and cloud service providers in the industry. We have something very unique.
We always said we have a dedicated platform for the disaggregated data center. We do very, very well in certain workloads such as decode with our different approach to compute and memory. If anything, I think the transaction of Grok kind of validates that when you think about this aggregated data center, you have specialized hardware versus just a GPU that would do everything. And we're getting good traction. What we're really focused on right now is on execution. I think we had identified some of the milestones. We're executing on two fronts. It's CPU. We added a RISC V CPU now to our roadmap in addition to Orion, which is ARM compatible.
And we're executing on AI250 with our new memory architecture. And we will provide details of our roadmap in our investor event. But so far everything is on track. We still restate that we expect 2027 to start showing in revenues. And we feel good. We're just going to keep executing that. And if I don't know, Akash, you want to add anything before I go to memories?
Akash Palkhiwala: No. I think the only thing I'll add on data center is we've mentioned previously that we expect this to be a multibillion revenue opportunity in a couple of years. And so everything that Cristiano outlined kind of just reiterates that opportunity for us.
Cristiano Amon: Okay. So the memory thing and look, I think we're going to see how this thing played out. Going to give you maybe a little bit of the dynamics. When we step back and we look at the business, we're very, very happy with everything in the business. We just wish there was more memory. And the handsets get hit the most given its scale and its cycle time. So we expect the impact is going to be more muted in other business. For example, automotive is a little bit less sensitive to memory price increases. As you pointed out, the impact on handset and the bond.
Having said that, when we go back to situations that we saw in the past, I think the best proxy is what happened during the pandemic. The premium and high tier has proven to be more resilient to price increases. And we think that may be a factor that plays out, but the most important thing is that the issue is not just the price. The issue is just availability. So I think the memory availability will determine the overall size of the handset market. OEMs are very likely to prioritize premium and high tier how they have done in the past.
That could be less impacted and we will see the reaction on consumers as their price increase for the finished product. I do stand by what I said. I think the whole fiscal year mobile handset size will be determined by memory availability. We're just going to monitor this on a quarter as phones get repriced, tiers kind of shift towards high-end premium, and we'll see what happens in the marketplace.
Samik Chatterjee: Got it. If I just can quickly follow-up on that question on the OEM prioritizing the higher tier, I mean, within that higher tier, do you expect them to downshift in terms of tiering of the chipsets or the SoCs that they go for just to be able to manage their overall cost, in relation to what they need to pass on to consumers? And that's it for me. Thank you.
Cristiano Amon: So as a general trend, and I wanted to emphasize what we saw in the quarter, yes, there's a memory shortage, but when there was memory, we saw the results were very good. Consumer demand was very good. And what we have seen, which has been going on for years now, the premium tier continues to expand. In a market that is being relatively flat, which is the handset market, we have seen growth in the mix with the premium tier expanding. So I think that's a factor that is likely going to drive OEMs to continue to be focused on the premium tier.
I did mention one thing in my prepared remarks, which is a dual flagship strategy that we have adopted and that has been also very well received, I think, by the market. You probably see that when you think of different OEMs, how they have like ultra or different categories and they have multiple tiers of the premium tier. I expect that's going to play. But overall, our hope is that the premium tier will be more resilient granted the memory that is available is the memory that's available.
Operator: The next question is from the line of Ross Seymore with Deutsche Bank. Please proceed with your questions.
Ross Seymore: Hi, guys. Thanks for asking the question. You mentioned a couple of different things on the handset side for my first question. But I guess what it comes down to is what percentage of your handset business do you think is in China? Considering that you cited them as being especially hit? And do you think normal seasonality is likely to occur after this step down in the March or is that too difficult to tell?
Akash Palkhiwala: Yes, I think on your first question, Ross, we don't really kind of break down by regions. But if you think about the percent of volume that is driven by the Chinese OEMs, but then adjusted down for the tiers that they play in. So our exposure would be less than what you would just see based on the units.
Ross Seymore: And the seasonality side?
Akash Palkhiwala: The seasonality on the handset side, I think you think of the seasonality in the demand from the consumers is going to be consistent with what we've seen in the past. I think consumers will wait for premium tier launches, and there are significant purchases that happen when that plays out. I think to Cristiano's earlier point, it's really a question of how supply aligns against the demand. We don't have a demand issue, as we said earlier. The demand continues to be strong. Our design win pipeline continues to be strong. And then it's just a question of supply alignment with it over the next few months.
Ross Seymore: And then I guess just for my follow-up on the OpEx side of things, you gave a good explanation why it's popping up a bit in the March. After that, are there any adjustments given what you're saying in the memory side? Or are you guys kind of investing right through this?
Akash Palkhiwala: I think the way we've guided the March is a reasonable way of thinking about the rest of the year. I think our focus, as we've said before, is the following framework on OpEx. Really kind of reduce the investments in mature businesses and use it to fund the diversification priorities. And then we have these acquisitions, including Alphawave, kind of driving incremental expense and investment in data center. But it's really just focused on those things as we've been extremely disciplined over the last several years. And grown OpEx significantly slower than revenue and gross profit, that framework for our operating plan doesn't change going forward.
Ross Seymore: Thank you.
Operator: The next question is from the line of Stacy Rasgon with Bernstein Research. Please proceed with your question.
Stacy Rasgon: Hi, guys. Thanks for taking my questions. So the first one, I want to ask that seasonality question a different way. I think it was really getting a June. Like, you usually, just seasonally, know your revenue stepped down in June. And so you're guiding $6 billion in handsets. You're guiding $6 billion in March, which is down about 13% year-over-year. Are you expecting, just given what you're seeing in the memory market right now, a similar and what you what can be supplied a similar type of year-over-year growth, like, for instance, in June?
Do you think this $6 billion number given it is sort of supply constrained is a good number to have given the current supply that is out there until things normalize? Like just how do we think about June in the context of March, given the March decline in the context of the memory situation?
Akash Palkhiwala: Yeah. So, Stacy, we're given the uncertainty in the market, we're obviously not guiding beyond the second quarter at this point. But as Cristiano said earlier, when you think about the demand fundamentals, are strong. And really, it's a question of how supply aligns against it. And we expect that supply will really the financial forecast for the year for the rest of the fiscal year. Specifically, of between quarters, you should think of March as a reasonable way to model June as well. It's really kind of similar seasonality profile that you would see in other years.
Stacy Rasgon: Got it. Thank you. And for my follow-up, I want to ask just about QTL. So it sounds like the demand is there, but we just don't know how many handsets are going to be able to be I guess, in that context, how are you thinking about sort of, like, just a typical QTL run rates in the various quarters through the year? Do you think they're similar to what we've seen in past? I think your guidance is maybe in line to maybe slightly below what would we typically see for March?
Akash Palkhiwala: On the Yeah. Stacy below? I mean, how do you think about that? Yeah. Stacy, it's Akash. So let me try to address it a couple ways. I think first is just strong performance in December quarter. We saw units, handset units higher than expectation in the quarter. I think as you go into the next quarter, we are guiding QTL just slightly below what we did last year. So pretty consistent with trend. But, of course, that's subject to supply considerations.
As you think about the full year at this point, given the supply, we have a negative bias on units, but really we're going to have to see how it plays out as we go through the next several months.
Stacy Rasgon: Got it. So maybe a touch below those similar to what we saw in March seems reasonable.
Akash Palkhiwala: Given what we know right now.
Stacy Rasgon: I think that's the framework that I outlined is the way we are thinking about it.
Stacy Rasgon: Got it. Okay. Thank you, guys.
Operator: The next question is from the line of Timothy Arcuri with UBS. Please proceed with your question.
Timothy Arcuri: Thanks a lot. Akash, I wanted to ask about the op margin guidance in QCT. The drop through is more than 100%. I mean, it's not surprising that margins would come down. They seem to be coming down pretty quickly, like, faster than I would have thought. Is there is there something else going on there? I know that, you know, wafer costs are going up and you know, MediaTek said on their call that they're still gaining share at the high end. Something going on to make the drop through more than 100% on the top line for March?
Akash Palkhiwala: No. There isn't, Tim. I think we're expecting gross profit to be largely in line with December. And so it's just the scale of the revenue coming through and the OpEx guidance that we provided.
Cristiano Amon: Ahead. Sorry. I just want to add one thing. No. Look, we saw how I think the other company reported as well. Very consistent view of VENCO on what we're seeing sequentially on the quarter. It's just the whole market is kind of being adjusted to the new build-out reality. So we actually don't see anything other than that in remind you of the seasonality that we always have regardless of this memory issue. A lot of the premium tier launch in Chinese New Year. So you actually you normally see some of the Chinese go down on a sequential basis because they just build for the premium launches.
Timothy Arcuri: Okay, thanks. And then, do you have any update on the Huawei license? I know we're still waiting for it. And maybe what's the sticking point? And is there risk, we talked about this before, but is there a risk and precedent for the big customer if you don't sign a license with Huawei? Thanks.
Alex Rogers: Thanks for that. This is Alex. Really no update on the Huawei discussions. The discussions are still underway. In terms of sticking points, I really can't get into what are confidential discussions. I see these two sets of negotiations as, you know, fairly distinct, actually significantly distinct, operating on different paths. And as you know, with the other with the other company, whenever we see a renewal date on the horizon, we start discussions very well in advance. And so that's underway, and we don't have any update on that.
Timothy Arcuri: Okay. Thank you.
Operator: The next question is from the line of C.J. Muse with Cantor Fitzgerald. Please proceed with your questions.
C.J. Muse: Yes, good afternoon. Thank you for taking the question. I guess curious obviously, the DRAM makers have been talking about satisfying only 50 to 70% of the demand, and they're highlighting shortages into 2028. So curious how you're planning for a situation where this could be sustained. Are your Chinese customers looking to design in CXMT? And could you get qualified inside of that? I would assume your business with Samsung would be strong given their internal supply from DRAM and as well as your supply chain in terms of, you know, your wafer commits to TSM. I guess, how are you managing all of that given all this great uncertainty?
Akash Palkhiwala: Look. Very good question. And I and I'm gonna I know it's obvious, but just in case, I'm gonna use this opportunity to make clarification. For handsets, we don't buy memory. I think there are some memory that gets stacked on models, but the majority of memory is purchased directly by our customers. You should expect given our scale, we're probably among the first to be qualified with every memory provider. Every single memory you can imagine has CXMT and other smaller companies, we have been qualified. And also we have flexibility versus some of the other companies.
If you actually double click, you're going to see we have flexibility about working with new versions of memory as well as older versions of memory on our platform. Platforms. We have multi-generation memory controller. So from a platform, we're going to work with whatever is available. I think that's kind of the approach we always took when you have a shortage. So the second part of the question, which is the bigger question. Look, the trend I think of growth in the data continues and it's pretty obvious. I think memory vendors have prioritized the build-out of HBM. And I think some of the data that you just provided is kind of what we see.
As I said before, it's very clear indication that as of today, the availability of memory for consumer electronics year over year has been below the demand and we see that in handsets. You start to see commentary on gaming consoles and other consumer electronic devices. We can't really predict if this will continue for 2027 or 2028. I think there's capacity build-out in plans. It all depends also on how much the trend on data center continues to accelerate.
It is fair to assume at this point that for the fiscal year, the size of the handset market, which is one that is probably getting the blunt of the impact in our business, is going to be defined by the availability of DRAM. And C.J., your second part of your question on wafers, for leading nodes, as you know, kind of leading nodes are constrained on the wafer side as well. But we have great relationships with our suppliers, and so we're confident that we'll have enough wafers to address the demand.
C.J. Muse: Thank you. And I guess as a follow-up, curious if we do see a mix shift higher Snapdragon but, you know, unit volume's lower, how should we think about that impacting your QCT EBT margins?
Akash Palkhiwala: Yes. I mean, as you know well, C.J., we do very well in the premium and high tiers. And so as the volume shifts up, that is usually a benefit for us.
Operator: The next question is from the line of Benjamin Reitzes with Melius Research. Please proceed with your questions.
Benjamin Reitzes: Yes. Hey, guys. I wanted to just kind of keep going on the memory side. As we, you know, kind of look at Apple, and their propensity for double-digit growth, maybe even the whole year, just seems like they are going to continue to get disproportionate, you know, share of the available DRAM. Is it possible, you know, how do you kind of navigate that with all your partners? And I guess the question would be, does that add to some of the uncertainty that could linger into the next fiscal year, with one vendor getting disproportionately this kind of unit growth and obviously, the kind of allocation they get.
Cristiano Amon: Look, it's hard to make a prediction, but I will also probably remind you that we have another large customer that also has a memory division as well. So I think as a general statement, I think it is probably a fact that OEMs of larger scale will have probably better ability to have enough memory and they will make priority calls than OEMs of smaller scale. But I think this problem is probably going to be industry-wide. I don't think any OEM has been immune. In general, I think the statements we've seen broadly in the industry is not a demand issue, it's also supply constraint.
Benjamin Reitzes: Okay. Well, look, there's been a lot of questions on that. Just my next one, I just wanted to double click on the data center. And I know you got asked about whether there'll be memory available for that, but just in terms of the recent events that validate, I believe the decoding aspect of your solution. I was wondering if you could just provide a little bit of an update there. What's happened since Grok? With NVIDIA? And you know, the Howard discussion is going beyond Humane. And just that overall trend. And your ability to play. Thanks.
Cristiano Amon: Look, here's what I can say without a bank front running our investor event. First of all, I think we are I would describe it like this. I think there's a lot of companies right now, they recognize, I think the technology and the technical capability of QUALCOMM Incorporated. I think our track record on technology execution has been very successful. And I think we also understand some of the dynamics on compute in memory, I think given the breadth of our IP roadmap. We're probably one of the few companies that go from sub-five watts to now all the way to 500 watts.
And we have said in the past as we're going to enter this market, we needed to kind of intercept where the market is going and we're going to be really, really focused on inference and especially the disaggregated I think you pointed to the right way. Think for example decode applications we believe we're incredibly competitive. Not only from a power consumption, but also from an overall TCO. Compute density, memory density. And we're really focused on execution. The feedback we have been given from a lot of the large companies on the technical side and on the product side is very positive.
Now the ball is in our courts to execute have hardware available and that kind of show the results. And we're just going to continue doing that.
Operator: Thank you. That concludes today's question and answer session. Mr. Amon, do you have anything further to add before joining the call?
Cristiano Amon: The only thing I want to add, look, it's unfortunately, I think that the whole is impacted by memory, but we remain incredibly encouraged about I think the foundation we set up with the company to be relevant to many industries. So we are on track to the commitments we made on the diversification revenues for the company for fiscal '29. We have in a record time, I think being having a very good traction in the future opportunity of robotics, physical AI and a robot is the best example I can provide other than autonomous driving of what Edge AI is. And we believe that we are creating really a completely different company with relevance in many, many markets.
And we'll just continue to execute. I think on our roadmap. I would like to thank all of our partners, suppliers, they're dealing with us in this memory shortage. And our employees. And we look forward to talking to you next quarter.
Operator: Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's conference call. You may now disconnect.
