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Why Red Robin Gourmet Burgers, Inc. Stock Jumped 28% in March

By Steve Symington – Updated Apr 10, 2017 at 9:23PM

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The casual dining chain jumped last month as investors anticipated delicious gains ahead.

What happened

Shares of Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc. (RRGB 1.12%) rose 28% in the March, according to data from S&P Global Market Intelligence, on the heels of the restaurant chain's encouraging fiscal fourth-quarter 2017 report in late February.

So what

That's not to say Red Robin's quarter looked jaw-droppingly good on the surface. Revenue climbed a modest 1.8% year over year, to $291.5 million, driven entirely by contributions from newer locations. Comparable-restaurant revenue -- which includes those restaurants that have operated for at least five full quarters -- declined 4.3%. On the bottom line, that translated to adjusted earnings per share of $0.35, down from $0.86 per share in the same year-ago period. By comparison, however, analysts were expecting adjusted earnings of just $0.29 per share on slightly higher revenue of $297 million.

Red Robin Gourmet Cheeseburger


Red Robin CEO Denny Marie Post elaborated:

The changes we made to streamline the team and focus on value, speed, and service in the back half of last year have strengthened our business and resulted in significantly improved guest service scores. We began this year piloting several off-premise growth initiatives. We will roll out the most promising programs as quickly as possible to support year-over-year earnings growth in the back half of 2017, heavily weighted to the fourth quarter as these programs come together.

Now what

During the subsequent conference call, Red Robin management also promised to share more details at the company's analyst meeting in May regarding its "multi-year vision" and results of the testing and rollout of its off-premise business efforts.

But given Red Robin's improving guest service scores already, as well as its expected return to earnings growth later this year, it was no surprise to see investors bidding up Red Robin stock last month. 

Steve Symington has no position in any stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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