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Lennar Is Cresting on Solid Demand and a "Lighter" Land Model

By Asit Sharma - Oct 3, 2019 at 4:22PM

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Housing slowdown? Lennar doesn't see it -- the national homebuilder posted surprisingly strong results in its most recent quarter.

If Lennar (LEN -2.77%), one of the largest U.S. homebuilders, is a barometer for the health of the domestic housing market, then new housing demand may indeed be picking up.

A challenged market saw a reprieve in August when new housing starts hit a 12-month high, and home resales also notched their best performance in 17 months. Lennar's fiscal third-quarter 2019 earnings, released on Wednesday, seem to support indications of heightened construction activity. As we review the company's robust quarter below, note that all comparative numbers are presented against those of the prior-year quarter.

Lennar's headline numbers from last quarter

Metric Q3 2019 Q3 2018 Change
Revenue $5.86 billion $5.67 billion 3.4%
Net income $513.4 million $453.2 million 13.3%
Diluted earnings per share $1.59 $1.37 11.1%

Data source: Lennar.

Here are the important details from the last three months:

  • Homebuilding revenue -- which makes up 93% of consolidated revenue -- improved by nearly 3%. Home deliveries increased by 7% to roughly 13,500 homes.
  • New home orders rose 8% to 13,400 homes, while the company's order backlog decreased by 2% to 18,900 homes.
  • Gross margin on home sales inched up by 10 basis points to 20.4%. Tight control over selling, general, and administrative (SG&A) expense helped push operating margin higher by 30 basis points, to 12%.
  • Financial services revenue dipped 13% to $224.5 million, though segment operating profit increased by 23% to $74.7 million. Management attributed the advance to higher mortgage originations associated with Lennar home deliveries.
  • The multifamily segment increased revenue by 82% to $184 million, while segment operating income of $10.2 million compared favorably with a loss in the prior-year quarter of $3.9 million.
  • The company continued to whittle away at debt incurred from its late 2017 purchase of competitor CalAtlantic. Lennar retired $500 million worth of senior notes in the homebuilding segment during the quarter. The company held $9.08 billion of homebuilding debt on its balance sheet at the end of Q3 2019, versus $9.41 billion at the end of the comparable quarter.
A timber A-frame roof of a residential home is shown under construction against a cloudy blue sky.

Image source: Getty Images.

Management's perspective on Lennar's business model

Lennar has improved its operating margin over the last three years from roughly 8.5% to 10.5%. While many initiatives inform the improved profitability, one of the keys to continued margin expansion is the company's project to become "land lighter."

Management believes it can achieve higher internal rates of return to the extent that it can avoid purchasing homesites, and focus on its core competency of building homes and selling new inventory. In the company's press release, CEO Rick Beckwitt discussed this strategy and provided shareholders with updated statistics:

We've clearly focused our attention on becoming a land-lighter company. Regarding our forward-looking 40% goal of controlled homesites (versus owned), during the quarter, we made great progress by increasing our controlled homesites from 25% to 30%. We expect to continue making significant progress on this goal by entering into deals with regional and national land platforms. During the quarter, we also made progress on reducing our years-owned supply of homesites from 4.5 to 4.4 years and continue to target a goal of 3.0 years. As we reach these goals, it will enable us to generate significant cash flow by reducing our land spend, driving meaningfully greater returns over time.

An enticing share price?

Lennar's stock has emphatically outperformed both the market and peer construction companies, soaring 50% year to date. Surprisingly, the company is still something of a value play, as shares trade at just 11 times forward earnings. Investors are notoriously wary of the fickle home construction market, and the macroeconomic backdrop continues to be pervaded by uncertainty due to trade tensions and slowing U.S. gross domestic product. For investors with a fair amount of risk appetite, Lennar is worth following into the new year; once the larger economic picture is clearer, a position in these shares may make sense.

Asit Sharma has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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