Alphabet (GOOG 1.25%) (GOOGL 1.27%) subsidiary Google recently announced plans to acquire Fitbit (FIT) for $2.1 billion. The takeover would make Google the fourth-largest wrist-worn wearables maker in the world, but it still faces a tough uphill battle against market leaders like Apple (AAPL 0.64%).

Chart showing global market share of wrist-worn wearable devices in Q2 2018 and Q2 2019

Data source: IDC. Chart by author.

Google already owns Wear OS, but the smartwatch platform failed to gain enough developers and many of its hardware partners abandoned ship. It also acquired some of Fossil's smartwatch tech earlier this year. Google's purchase of Fitbit could pave the way for its long-rumored "Pixel Watch" to hit the market.

However, analysts expect Fitbit's sales to decline 4% this year as it falls further behind companies like Apple, which generated "strong double-digit growth" in Apple Watch sales last quarter, according to CFO Luca Maestri. It's also unclear whether Google will replace Fitbit's OS with Wear OS or the other way around.

Either way, Google could struggle to gain as many developers as Apple's WatchOS, and it still faces competition from other smartwatch makers like Samsung, which notably replaced Google's Wear OS with its own Tizen OS. In short, Google's big bet on Fitbit won't be its magic bullet for conquering the wearables market.