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Why Appian Stock Jumped 20.4% in August

By Keith Noonan – Sep 2, 2020 at 3:33AM

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The app-development company's share price has climbed roughly 65% in 2020's trading.

What happened

Shares of Appian (APPN 4.89%) rose 20.4% in August, according to data from S&P Global Market Intelligence. The low-code software stock actually lost some ground after the company posted second-quarter results early in the month, but it climbed in conjunction with momentum for the broader market and a late-month rally for the tech sector.

^SPX Chart

^SPX data by YCharts

Appian published second-quarter results on Aug. 6, delivering sales and earnings results that came in ahead of the market's expectations. The company posted an adjusted loss of $0.12 per share on revenue of $66.78 million, while the average analyst estimate had called for a per-share loss of $0.25 on sales of $61.25 million. The beats weren't enough to lift the stock immediately after the earnings release, but shares benefited as the tech sector rallied later in the month.

People at a table using laptops, surrounded by technology icons.

Image source: Getty Images.

So what

Appian's revenue inched up 2% year over year in the second quarter, while the business's adjusted net loss expanded to $8.2 million from $7.2 million in Q2 2019. Cloud subscription revenue rose 30% year over year in Q2 to reach $29.6 million, and the software company posted a revenue retention rate of 113% in the quarter as customers increased spending. Total subscription revenue (which also includes on-premise licenses) was up 12% to reach $41.4 million.

Now what

Appian stock has continued to gain ground early in September. The company's share price rose roughly 2.7% in the month's first day of trading.

APPN Chart

APPN data by YCharts

Appian is guiding for third-quarter revenue between $70.5 million and $71.5 million, suggesting growth of 7.5% year over year at the midpoint of the target. Subscription revenue is expected to come in between $31.4 million and $31.9 million in the third quarter, representing growth of 29% year over year at the midpoint. Management anticipates an adjusted loss per share between $0.16 and $0.18 for the period and an adjusted EBITDA loss between $10 million and $11 million. 

Appian is valued at roughly $4.4 billion and trades at approximately 15 times this year's expected sales. That multiple might look pretty lofty in the context of the company's relatively small revenue growth, but sales should accelerate as the transition to the cloud-subscription model moves forward. With more businesses requiring software solutions that can be quickly developed and deployed, Appian's app-development platform could enjoy surging demand, and the stock deserves consideration from growth-focused investors willing to embrace the potential for near-term volatility. 

Keith Noonan has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool owns shares of and recommends Appian. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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