Please ensure Javascript is enabled for purposes of website accessibility

FuboTV Q1 Earnings Preview: Here's What You Need to Know

By Parkev Tatevosian - May 7, 2021 at 8:45AM

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The sports-centric streaming content provider will report first-quarter earnings on May 11.

fuboTV (FUBO 13.26%) is set to report first-quarter earnings on Tuesday, May 11. The sports-first streaming content platform had a solid year in 2020 as people cooped up inside wanted more in-home entertainment options.

FuboTV is competing with some heavy hitters in the media industry with deeper pockets and more experience. Still, the sports focus may give enthusiasts enough reason to pick it over rivals when choosing a streaming alternative to cable TV. Ultimately, FuboTV will need to add many more subscribers for the business to be profitable, and that's why it's the metric you're going to want to follow most closely when the company reports earnings. 

A group of friends celebrating while watching TV and drinking beverages.

FuboTV has 547,880 paying subscribers. Images source: Getty Images.

Subscriber growth is the key

FuboTV reported having 547,880 subscribers at the end of 2020, up 73% from the previous year. Although the growth in subscribers was substantial, investors have sent shares of the media company down 40% year to date. For one, the company is losing money every quarter, but FuboTV also guided investors to expect a subscriber count of just 525,000 at the midpoint for the first quarter.

While that would be more than 80% higher than the year-ago quarter, it would still be a sequential drop from the 2020 year-end figure of 547,880. In other words, it expects to lose subscribers in the current quarter. One reason for the decline is likely the surge in new customers during the pandemic pulled forward much of the demand from 2021. Netflix already attributed its own subscriber growth slowdown in the most recent quarter to this dynamic, though the company still added subscribers quarter on quarter. On the other hand, FuboTV is still guiding for robust subscriber growth in 2021 with 760,000 to 770,000 subscribers at the end of the year, or 40% growth at the midpoint.

FuboTV generates average revenue per user (ARPU) of $62.84 per month, and the company plans to expand by offering online sports betting to its customers later this year -- a natural extension of its focus on sports content. Therefore, subscribers acquired now should add even more value down the line when sports betting is available. That's why the first-quarter total subscriber count is going to be vitally important.

What this could mean for investors 

Analysts on Wall Street expect FuboTV to report revenue of $103.8 million and a loss per share of $0.44. If results turn out as Wall Street expects, the top-line figure will be above even the high end of management's revenue guidance ($101 million to $103 million).

And given that shares are already down 40% year to date, there is upside potential following earnings. That is, of course, if the company lived up to management's expectations (or better). The company is trading at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 5, down from a high of more than 12 times sales earlier in the year. The risk-versus-reward thus appears to be favorable for investors looking for a high-growth streaming play who are aware it comes with elevated risk. 

Parkev Tatevosian has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool owns shares of and recommends Netflix. The Motley Fool recommends fuboTV, Inc. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Invest Smarter with The Motley Fool

Join Over 1 Million Premium Members Receiving…

  • New Stock Picks Each Month
  • Detailed Analysis of Companies
  • Model Portfolios
  • Live Streaming During Market Hours
  • And Much More
Get Started Now

Stocks Mentioned

fuboTV, Inc. Stock Quote
fuboTV, Inc.
FUBO
$3.93 (13.26%) $0.46
Netflix, Inc. Stock Quote
Netflix, Inc.
NFLX
$233.49 (2.96%) $6.71

*Average returns of all recommendations since inception. Cost basis and return based on previous market day close.

Related Articles

Motley Fool Returns

Motley Fool Stock Advisor

Market-beating stocks from our award-winning analyst team.

Stock Advisor Returns
377%
 
S&P 500 Returns
123%

Calculated by average return of all stock recommendations since inception of the Stock Advisor service in February of 2002. Returns as of 08/08/2022.

Discounted offers are only available to new members. Stock Advisor list price is $199 per year.

Premium Investing Services

Invest better with The Motley Fool. Get stock recommendations, portfolio guidance, and more from The Motley Fool's premium services.