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Why Joby Aviation Stock Soared 11% Today

By Rich Smith – Aug 27, 2021 at 4:29PM

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Investors were buying call options at 11 times the rate they were buying puts.

What happened

Shares of Joby Aviation (JOBY -5.33%), a recent SPAC IPO, surged Friday, closing the session up by 11.1%.

And there didn't seem to be a good reason for it.

Woman with suitcase looks up at a hovering air taxi

Image source: Getty Images.

So what

There was no news on the wires about this start-up air-taxi service. No upgrades from analysts. Not even a change in a price target -- and yet, the stock price took off.

About the only clue as to why Joby stock was on the move came from a brief alert on TheFly.com, which advised of "bullish option flow" at Joby Aviation. Specifically, TheFly noted that investors had bought five times the "expected" number of call options on Joby stock Friday -- and that purchases of call contracts were outpacing purchases of puts by a ratio of more than 11 to 1.

The most popular calls being bought predict that Joby stock will hit prices of $15 or even $17.50 per share by Oct. 21.

Now what

Suffice it to say that this suggests there's a large amount of optimism about where Joby stock is heading. Even a move to just $15 a share would amount to a nearly 14% gain over the next couple of months, while a move to $17.50 would translate to a 32.5% profit for buyers of the stock -- even after Friday's run-up.

Will that happen? Only time will tell, of course, but as I look at Joby now -- a $900 million market cap company with no revenues and a $128 million trailing-12-month net loss -- I can't say I'm terribly optimistic. Investors who have benefited from Friday's inexplicable run-up may be well advised to take their money and run.

Rich Smith has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Stocks Mentioned

Joby Aviation, Inc. Stock Quote
Joby Aviation, Inc.
JOBY
$3.91 (-5.33%) $0.22

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