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Dow Hits Record, but Flat Retail Sales and Soaring Credit-Card Debt Raise Risks for Investors

As investors weigh flat holiday sales and record-high credit card debt against rising hopes for Fed rate cuts, the next jobs report could prove pivotal for market direction and consumer-facing stocks.

By Motley Fool YouTube Feb 14, 2026 at 1:45AM EST

Key Points

  • December retail sales were flat despite the Dow hitting a record, raising concerns about consumer demand and the impact of $1.2 trillion in credit card debt on spending and default risk.
  • Rising odds of a March Fed rate cut have not yet reached levels likely to drive a sustained stock rally, making upcoming jobs data and further Fed signals crucial for market direction.

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