Anders Bylund seems to be enamored ofCisco Systems'
Here's why: From the third-quarter 10-Q filing, Cisco claimed to have $121 million in retained earnings on the balance sheet. In the fourth quarter, it claimed $1.5 billion in earnings based on generally accepted accounting principles ($1.9 billion in non-GAAP earnings that exclude stock options expenses), and that it spent $2.8 billion on share buybacks. Even giving Cisco the benefit of the doubt on the options expense, my math leaves it with a retained earnings deficit somewhere in the neighborhood of $779 million, and Cisco hasn't used any of it to reward its shareholders because it has never paid a dividend.
So what?
In plain English, having negative retained earnings means that every dollar that Cisco has ever earned -- along with money it hasn't earned yet -- has been spent. Unfortunately, there's reason to believe it has not been spent in the outside shareholders' best interests. In the same earnings release, Cisco mentioned spending $8.3 billion in the most recent fiscal year and $35.4 billion in aggregate on share buybacks. Yet its historical share count paints a scary picture:
Fiscal Year End |
Basic Shares Outstanding (*) |
---|---|
2006 | 6,158 |
2005 | 6,487 |
2004 | 6,840 |
2003 | 7,124 |
2002 | 7,301 |
2001 | 7,196 |
2000 | 6,917 |
1999 | 6,646 |
1998 | 6,312 |
1997 | 6,007 |
1996 | 5,758 |
The company, with a current market value of around $136 billion, has spent more than a fourth of that buying back its own stock. Still, it has more shares outstanding than it did a decade ago. The picture this paints is painfully clear: Someone is getting rich off of Cisco's operations, but it sure isn't the shareholders. The $400 million options expense for the most recent quarter is a big clue as to who is walking away with all the rewards.
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Think you're done with the Duel? You're not! Go back and read the other three arguments, and then vote for a winner.
At the time of publication, Fool contributor Chuck Saletta had no direct ownership stake in any of the companies mentioned in this article. The Fool has a disclosure policy.