Please ensure Javascript is enabled for purposes of website accessibility

Deutsche Delivers

By Matt Koppenheffer – Updated Nov 14, 2016 at 10:31PM

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

A good call on the U.S. subprime market helped produce strong results.

Mired in the funk that has currently enveloped the major global investment banks, strong results from Germany's Deutsche Bank (NYSE:DB) were unable to do much for the stock earlier this week. For the quarter, revenue climbed 27% versus the same quarter of 2006 and pretax income rose 32%. Pretax return on average active equity was 36% for the quarter, three percentage points higher than last year.

Deutsche's results were strong across the board. The bank's largest group, the Corporate and Investment Bank Group, provided 6 billion euro of the total 8.8 billion euro for the quarter -- a 29% gain versus 2006. Equity sales and trading posted an impressive 89% jump in revenue, thanks to increases in customer activity in derivatives, prime services, and cash equities. The bank's proprietary equity trading desk also helped results by delivering "substantially positive" net revenue versus a loss in the second quarter of 2006.

M&A advisory was also a particularly strong point. The bank was obviously able to capitalize on the strong M&A market, which helped revenue rise 63%. Equity and debt origination also posted notably higher revenue.

The interesting story in Deutsche's results, though, comes from the subprime mortgage market. While investors in other investment banks such as Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) and Bear Stearns (NYSE:BSC) are trying to figure out how much they could potentially lose from subprime exposure, Deutsche investors are wondering how much the bank might ultimately make from correctly playing the subprime fallout.

It's Deutsche analyst Eugene Xu to whom investors should be addressing the thank-you notes and boxes of chocolate. Two years ago he made a very prescient call when he predicted that there would probably be losses ahead for subprime loans in the U.S. The forecast allowed the bank to pursue a strategy that let them profit while others struggled.

Unfortunately, correct call or not, if the struggles of the credit market create turmoil and hurt business confidence, it will likely cramp Deutsche's business the same way it will cramp the rest of the i-banks.

For now, kudos are certainly in order for Deutsche's willingness to go against the crowd. But if Deutsche's stock is going to benefit from its subprime success and good-looking quarter, the market will have to decide that its overall prospects are better than the rest of the major investment banks.

More financial Foolishness:

Fool contributor Matt Koppenheffer does not own shares of any of the companies mentioned. The Fool's disclosure policy has never once been caught with its pants down. Of course, it doesn't actually wear pants ...

None

Invest Smarter with The Motley Fool

Join Over 1 Million Premium Members Receiving…

  • New Stock Picks Each Month
  • Detailed Analysis of Companies
  • Model Portfolios
  • Live Streaming During Market Hours
  • And Much More
Get Started Now

Stocks Mentioned

Deutsche Bank Stock Quote
Deutsche Bank
DB
$8.12 (-2.64%) $0.22
The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. Stock Quote
The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.
GS
$294.62 (-2.43%) $-7.35

*Average returns of all recommendations since inception. Cost basis and return based on previous market day close.

Related Articles

Motley Fool Returns

Motley Fool Stock Advisor

Market-beating stocks from our award-winning analyst team.

Stock Advisor Returns
329%
 
S&P 500 Returns
106%

Calculated by average return of all stock recommendations since inception of the Stock Advisor service in February of 2002. Returns as of 09/26/2022.

Discounted offers are only available to new members. Stock Advisor list price is $199 per year.

Premium Investing Services

Invest better with The Motley Fool. Get stock recommendations, portfolio guidance, and more from The Motley Fool's premium services.