Please ensure Javascript is enabled for purposes of website accessibility

Eli Lilly Is Resilient

By Brian Lawler – Updated Apr 5, 2017 at 10:13PM

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The company is ready to handle competition from generics.

Proving that not every sector is affected by downturns, Eli Lilly (NYSE: LLY) released its fourth-quarter results yesterday, showing a bit of pep in its top-line growth.

In the quarter, pro forma sales gained a strong 16% year over year, bringing Lilly's 2007 full-year revenue up 14% compared with 2006. The big sales gainer was depression and anxiety treatment Cymbalta, although revenue from most compounds like Cialis and diabetes drug Byetta also grew by double-digit percentages. Non-GAAP earnings per share came in at $3.54 for the year.

Most importantly, operating cash flow was up 25% in 2007 to $5 billion, thanks to cost-cutting and the sales gains. This is important because Lilly uses this cash to fund its generous 3.7% annual dividend and to acquire new drugs to stock up its pipeline ahead of all the major patent expirations on the horizon.

Speaking of the pipeline, Lilly expects to file a marketing application for its much-anticipated, longer-lasting version of Byetta by the end of the second quarter next year. My Foolish colleague Brian Orelli covered more of the Amylin Pharmaceuticals (Nasdaq: AMLN) Byetta news yesterday.

Lilly's other phase 3 drug candidate, its AIR inhalable insulin developed with partner Alkermes (Nasdaq: ALKS), lost another competitive threat when Novo Nordisk (NYSE: NVO) stopped development of its own inhaled insulin drug. Last quarter, Lilly's biggest pipeline candidate, anticoagulant prasugrel, produced mixed phase 3 data; Lilly recently filed a marketing application for it with the Food and Drug Administration anyway. 

As with all publicly traded companies, it's not the past that matters most but what the future holds. Lilly already announced its 2008 forecast back in December, and this year should be a respectable one, even with lead drug Zyprexa starting to face more generic competition.

I like to think of Lilly as a mini-Pfizer (NYSE: PFE). It will face many of the same generic troubles that Pfizer faces as both lose patent protection on their top drugs by 2011. Zyprexa accounted for about a quarter of Lilly's sales last year, but unlike Pfizer, Lilly has more opportunities to fill in the revenue hole because of its relatively stronger pipeline.

Eli Lilly is an Income Investor pick. Let co-advisors Andy Cross and James Early help you find the best dividend-paying stocks with a free trial to Income Investor.

Fool contributor Brian Lawler does not own shares of any company mentioned in this article. Pfizer is a pick of the Inside Value newsletter. The Fool has an A+ disclosure policy.

Invest Smarter with The Motley Fool

Join Over 1 Million Premium Members Receiving…

  • New Stock Picks Each Month
  • Detailed Analysis of Companies
  • Model Portfolios
  • Live Streaming During Market Hours
  • And Much More
Get Started Now

Stocks Mentioned

Eli Lilly and Company Stock Quote
Eli Lilly and Company
LLY
$311.46 (0.19%) $0.59
Pfizer Inc. Stock Quote
Pfizer Inc.
PFE
$44.08 (-1.10%) $0.49
Novo Nordisk A/S Stock Quote
Novo Nordisk A/S
NVO
$97.93 (-0.39%) $0.38
Alkermes plc Stock Quote
Alkermes plc
ALKS
$22.32 (-0.67%) $0.15

*Average returns of all recommendations since inception. Cost basis and return based on previous market day close.

Related Articles

Motley Fool Returns

Motley Fool Stock Advisor

Market-beating stocks from our award-winning analyst team.

Stock Advisor Returns
339%
 
S&P 500 Returns
109%

Calculated by average return of all stock recommendations since inception of the Stock Advisor service in February of 2002. Returns as of 09/24/2022.

Discounted offers are only available to new members. Stock Advisor list price is $199 per year.

Premium Investing Services

Invest better with The Motley Fool. Get stock recommendations, portfolio guidance, and more from The Motley Fool's premium services.