Please ensure Javascript is enabled for purposes of website accessibility

Sirius Stumbles

By Seth Jayson – Updated Nov 16, 2016 at 4:57PM

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Satellite radio's second fiddle increases subscribers and loses more money.

By design, Sirius Satellite Radio (NASDAQ:SIRI) is a money burner -- just like bigger competitor XM Satellite Radio (NASDAQ:XMSR). The problem for Sirius is that it's burning cash quicker than anyone imagined.

This quarter's earnings release revealed revenues that came in a tick below analysts' estimates and a loss that also exceeded the Street's expectations. The $13.2 million on the top line looks a lot better than the $2.1 million in the prior-year quarter. But remember that this company carries a market cap of $3.23 billion.

Sirius's second-quarter per share loss of $0.11 looks slimmer than last year's second-quarter loss of $0.12, but keep in mind that there are 33% more shares outstanding now thanks to heavy stock issues needed to raise cash to keep the signal coming. The real loss was 23% wider: $137 million vs. $111 million.

As usual, management and Sirius die-hards are going to crow about distribution deals with Ford (NYSE:F), DaimlerChrysler (NYSE:DCX), Best Buy (NYSE:BBY), Circuit City (NYSE:CC), and Wal-Mart (NYSE:WMT). They're also going to point to record subscriber additions this quarter. The firm added 129,000 to the rolls. Looks nice, but that's chicken feed next to the 418,000 XM had put on during the same period. Consider that Sirius's total subscriber base is only half a million.

And Sirius is not only losing more money as it grows, but it's also paying more for the privilege. The firm spent $76 million -- almost six times subscriber revenues -- on marketing and subscriber acquisitions. Divide the $76 million by the new subscribers, and the firm laid out an incredible $590 per newcomer, 40% more than last year. Those pairs of ears need to stay on board for almost five years before Sirius can break even on the cost of attraction alone.

There will be screaming today about quality and content. Maxim radio. Eminem. Tony Hawk? Blah, blah, blah. Quality -- if that's what this is -- doesn't always win.

Here's what should matter to you as a shareholder: Not counting depreciation or stock-based compensation, operating expenses and interest cost Sirius around $170 million so far this year, and the price tag has been growing. Sirius has $640 million in cash. How long before the firm needs to pull more stock off the dispenser? When will the firm ever break even? What are you willing to pay for the wait? You do the math.

For more Fool coverage of satellite radio:

Fool contributor Seth Jayson looks forward to misspelled email and threats from the Sirius partisans. No matter how loudly they scream "your [Sic] just short," he has no position in any firm mentioned above. View his Fool profile here.

None

Invest Smarter with The Motley Fool

Join Over 1 Million Premium Members Receiving…

  • New Stock Picks Each Month
  • Detailed Analysis of Companies
  • Model Portfolios
  • Live Streaming During Market Hours
  • And Much More
Get Started Now

Stocks Mentioned

Walmart Stock Quote
Walmart
WMT
$131.31 (0.96%) $1.25
Sirius XM Holdings Inc. Stock Quote
Sirius XM Holdings Inc.
SIRI
$5.81 (0.00%) $0.00
Best Buy Co., Inc. Stock Quote
Best Buy Co., Inc.
BBY
$65.32 (-5.03%) $-3.46
Ford Motor Company Stock Quote
Ford Motor Company
F
$11.99 (-2.60%) $0.32
XM Satellite Radio Holdings Inc. Stock Quote
XM Satellite Radio Holdings Inc.
XMSR.DL

*Average returns of all recommendations since inception. Cost basis and return based on previous market day close.

Related Articles

Motley Fool Returns

Motley Fool Stock Advisor

Market-beating stocks from our award-winning analyst team.

Stock Advisor Returns
329%
 
S&P 500 Returns
106%

Calculated by average return of all stock recommendations since inception of the Stock Advisor service in February of 2002. Returns as of 09/27/2022.

Discounted offers are only available to new members. Stock Advisor list price is $199 per year.

Premium Investing Services

Invest better with The Motley Fool. Get stock recommendations, portfolio guidance, and more from The Motley Fool's premium services.