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UPS Delivers the Goods

By John Bluis – Updated Nov 15, 2016 at 6:39PM

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Brown keeps growing, right along with the growth in international trade.

If you're a UPS (NYSE:UPS) shareholder, then you know exactly what Brown can do for you -- it can deliver consistent market-beating returns. The venerable company continued to produce satisfying results as it reported first-quarter earnings after the market closed yesterday.

Revenues were up 16.5% to $11.5 billion, and net income increased 10.5% to $975 million. Growth in earnings per share was a bit higher at 14.1% because of the company's ongoing share repurchases. A similar growth is expected in the second quarter, and full-year guidance was reaffirmed.

UPS is not a cheap stock and probably never will be because of the huge amounts of free cash flow it consistently produces -- $1.9 billion in the first quarter alone. But with the P/E for the trailing 12 months now at 22.9, it is at the low end of its historical range of 19 to 30. I don't advocate purchasing any stock based simply on a P/E range, but it is a useful metric to quickly decide whether a company is worth investigating further.

The investment opportunity is made all the more attractive with UPS' exposure to many burgeoning foreign economies, such as those in China and India. The company continues to add flights to and from China and undertake other operational expansions there. Meanwhile, a business restructuring and the implementation of new package flow technology are expected to widen margins, while capital expenditures will begin to decrease.

Competition is heavy in this space, but the global economy is large enough to allow many entities to prosper. You can see it for yourself by looking at the five-year chart of just about every competitor UPS has, including FedEx (NYSE:FDX) and global logistics companies Expeditors International (NASDAQ:EXPD) and UTI Worldwide (NASDAQ:UTIW). These companies should continue to benefit from the high growth rate of international trade and the demand for increased efficiencies in distribution. Even after a significant run-up in price, I expect many of these companies, UPS included, to continue their market-crushing returns for the next five years.

FedEx is a Motley Fool Stock Advisor recommendation. For more of Tom and David Gardner's selection, check out Stock Advisor free for 30 days.

As a NASCAR fan, Fool contributor John Bluis still wants to see Dale Jarrett -- who sits behind the wheel of the UPS No. 88 car -- drive the truck. John doesn't drive his portfolio's returns with any of the stocks mentioned in this article (which means he doesn't own any shares, long or short). The Fool is investors writing for investors.

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Stocks Mentioned

United Parcel Service, Inc. Stock Quote
United Parcel Service, Inc.
UPS
$161.75 (-1.57%) $-2.58
FedEx Corporation Stock Quote
FedEx Corporation
FDX
$142.90 (-4.31%) $-6.43
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. Stock Quote
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc.
EXPD
$86.78 (-1.00%) $0.88

*Average returns of all recommendations since inception. Cost basis and return based on previous market day close.

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