This article's salacious headline might smack of exaggeration -- but believe it or not, it's true.
How it happened
Picture it: New Jersey, 1995. Though not yet a Fool employee, I was an avid reader of the Fool's online site -- perhaps like you. The Fool's founding brothers, David and Tom Gardner, were occasionally recommending stocks, and one of their recommendations was an online service provider called America Online.
I was still quite new to investing, and I didn't know enough to do much of my own research. But at least I had one thing going for me: I was an AOL customer. I used the service every day, and I liked what I saw of its user-friendliness, usefulness, and potential. So I bought. I snapped up $3,000 worth of shares and hung on.
Over the following years, the stock would go up and down, sometimes significantly, but I kept holding on. Overall, it mainly went up, and it split and split. I remember checking my portfolio regularly -- several times a day! -- to see how rich I was becoming. Near the stock's peak, I was in possession of a 70-bagger! My $3,000 investment had turned into $210,000. If it doubled in value only two more times, I'd be (almost) a millionaire! All from a measly $3,000 investment.
Did I sell shares along the ride up? No. Did I sell at least some near the top, when my mom told me to? Nope. (That strange thudding sound you hear is me kicking myself.) I kept holding on. AOL merged with Time Warner in 2001, and ever since then, the stock has struggled. I remember when the shares were priced in the $70s, but it's a fuzzy memory. They've been below $20 for around four years now. I did sell a big chunk of my shares -- in the teens -- when I needed money for a down payment on my house. And I finally got smart and sold a few shares to diversify into some other stocks, instead of holding such a big chunk of my net worth in a company in which I no longer had the most faith.
I still hold some shares, though, and despite my inclination to curse my stupidity for not selling earlier, I'm still sitting on a handsome profit, even at current levels. My cost basis is ridiculously low, and this has still been one of my best investments ever. I really shouldn't complain.
How you can do it
If any of this story appeals to you, know that you have a chance to make it yours -- perhaps with an even happier ending -- if you make a few decisions differently:
- First, pay attention to products and services you know, use, and love -- especially if you see more and more people using them. There may be a great stock behind them. Plenty of well-known companies have done phenomenally well over the past decade or two. Do you use a Hewlett-Packard
(NYSE:HPQ)printer? Do you shop at Costco (NASDAQ:COST)and Walgreen (NYSE:WAG)? Do you bank at Citigroup (NYSE:C)and trade through TD Ameritrade (NASDAQ:AMTD)? Hewlett-Packard shares have increased in value 10-fold over the past 20 years, while Costco shares have increased more than five-fold in the past decade. Would you believe a drugstore chain has done even better? Walgreen stock has increased in value by about 2,500% over the past 20 years, and it's up more than six-fold over the past decade. Citigroup shares are up 2,200% since 1986, and TD Ameritrade stock is up some 1,500% over the past nine years. These companies have performed rather well, right under our noses.
- Along those same lines, be wary of what you don't understand. If you don't understand a business, you probably won't be able to understand when business is going badly.
- If you buy into a company hoping that it will be a multibagger for you, buy to hold. As long as you have faith in the company's future, it's often best to just hang on, despite inevitable hiccups. Don't let some naysayers in the media get you out of a stock because of short-term concerns if you still have long-term confidence. Consider Home Depot
(NYSE:HD)or American International Group (NYSE:AIG). Both stocks have earned incredible returns for early investors, and many still have high expectations for the companies' future performance, but both stocks have been flat or worse for the past few years.
- This isn't to say that these companies are necessarily great buys going forward, but their histories demonstrate that as long as you get in early and hold on, the market can work wonders for you. Stocks are dynamic, and you're likely to lose more money trying to time them than you are just sitting tight, as long as you've picked solid winners.
Do consider selling at least some of your shares if they rise to levels you can't justify. That was my main mistake -- irrationally and greedily hoping to get even richer. If a stock is trading for more than you know in your heart that it's worth, and you still hang on, you're no longer investing -- you're speculating, at great risk.
- Finally, consider checking out the stocks that David and Tom Gardner are recommending now. Their Motley Fool Stock Advisor newsletter service, launched in April 2002, offers two picks (and two investing styles) each month. They have a few losers, of course, but on average, their recommendations are up 50%, vs. 18% for like amounts invested in the S&P 500.
You can try Stock Advisor free for 30 days -- and you'll have full access to past recommendations.
Here's to big profits in your future!
This article was originally published on Feb. 2, 2006. It has been updated.
Selena Maranjian owns shares of Time Warner, Costco, and Home Depot. For more about Selena, view her bio and her profile . Costco and Time Warner are Stock Advisor picks. Home Depot is an Inside Value recommendation. The Motley Fool isFools writing for Fools.