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Quick Take: The Bizarro Market

By Seth Jayson – Updated Nov 15, 2016 at 12:54AM

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Bad is good. And good is good. Which is kinda bad.

Riddle me this (to mix my superhero metaphors): Given that wholesale inflation came in at, oh, roughly twice the level that the Wall Street eggheads expected, why is everyone so sanguine on stocks today?

I find that bizarre, given that it looks to me like the only way Bernanke is going to lower interest rates is if some desperate mortgage broker slips a dose of horse tranquilizers into his highball. Apparently, Mr. Market doesn't agree, because I see an awful lot of happy-happy-joy-joy out there -- especially in the kind of companies that have the most to lose from inflation and/or higher interest rates, outfits like Alcoa (NYSE:AA), Caterpillar (NYSE:CAT), Joy Global (NYSE:JOYG), Lennar (NYSE:LEN), and Pulte (NYSE:PHM).

In fact, despite the recent, rapid unspooling of the Great American Housing Ponzi Scheme, it looks likely to me that Helicopter Ben is going to tighten the purse strings in order to soak up the excess "liquidity" his predecessor squirted into the markets. The stock market "correction" that hasn't really come is ample proof that investors are feeling flush -- perhaps overly so.

If and when the Fed tightens rates to try and rein in the current whack-a-mole inflation, it won't make stocks any more attractive.

Comments? Bring them here.

At the time of publication, Seth Jayson had no positions in any company mentioned here. See his latest blog commentary here. View his stock holdings and Fool profile here. Fool rules are here.

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Stocks Mentioned

Alcoa Inc. Stock Quote
Alcoa Inc.
AA
Caterpillar Inc. Stock Quote
Caterpillar Inc.
CAT
$163.22 (-0.62%) $-1.02
Lennar Corporation Stock Quote
Lennar Corporation
LEN
$74.82 (-2.92%) $-2.25
PulteGroup, Inc. Stock Quote
PulteGroup, Inc.
PHM
$38.29 (-2.20%) $0.86

*Average returns of all recommendations since inception. Cost basis and return based on previous market day close.

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