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Get Your Guess?

By Seth Jayson – Updated Apr 5, 2017 at 4:54PM

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One apparel retailer isn't rolling over to die.

Once again, we have one of those so-so monthly sales reports. Discounters like Wal-Mart (NYSE:WMT), Costco (NYSE:COST), and Target (NYSE:TGT) do better than expected, but at the same time, we get ominous warnings -- like the one from Target -- that post-Thanksgiving sales haven't been so exciting. Meanwhile, apparel retailers like Abercrombie & Fitch (NYSE:ANF) and American Eagle Outfitters (NYSE:AEO) have posted flat and uninspiring comps.

Where do you go for relief? You could do worse than Guess? (NYSE:GES). As this week's earnings report shows, the comeback apparel retailer (and wholesaler) is continue to outperform most of its peers. Take a peek at the raw numbers. Global revenue increased 43% to nearly $470 million, while European revenue (which earned an almost 29% operating margin) increased at a quick 79% pace. North American same-store sales were up 15.8% in the quarter, and although management guided Q4 to mid-single-digits, it noted that sales seem to be mirroring the Q3 pace so far.

There were, of course, numbers worth watching. Gross margins were pinched a bit -- owing to lower product margins in Europe, according to what management said in the call. And inventory is beefing up. Again, management says that's necessary to support the new store growth. Makes sense, but always worth watching.

Clearly, Guess? is bucking the trend that's afflicting other apparel retailers. That's what can happen when you're working from a smaller base of sales, and gaining on the competition from a few yards back. But to me, the best reason to own Guess? is that it's truly an international company. For the first three-quarters of this year, North America provided 43% of operating profit. Guess? relies less and less on U.S. sales -- and that's good insurance in our sagging economy.

Related Foolishness:

American Eagle and Costco are Stock Advisor picks. Wal-Mart is an Inside Value recommendation.

At the time of publication, Seth Jayson, a top-ten CAPS player, had shares of Guess? and American Eagle Outfitters, but no positions in any other company mentioned here. See his latest CAPS blog commentary here. View his stock holdings and Fool profile here. Fool rules are here. The Motley Fool owns shares of American Eagle.

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Stocks Mentioned

Guess?, Inc. Stock Quote
Guess?, Inc.
GES
$15.07 (-3.58%) $0.56
Walmart Stock Quote
Walmart
WMT
$130.06 (-2.50%) $-3.33
Target Corporation Stock Quote
Target Corporation
TGT
$152.61 (-0.23%) $0.35
American Eagle Outfitters, Inc. Stock Quote
American Eagle Outfitters, Inc.
AEO
$10.24 (-3.58%) $0.38
Abercrombie & Fitch Co. Stock Quote
Abercrombie & Fitch Co.
ANF
$15.88 (1.73%) $0.27

*Average returns of all recommendations since inception. Cost basis and return based on previous market day close.

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