Got gold? I can think of no more essential question to pose to investors during these tumultuous times. I could, of course, state it more eloquently: "Pardon me, would you happen to have any Goldcorp
A flurry of downgrades and target-price reductions rained down upon Goldcorp after the company released lowered guidance late last week, projecting a pit stop for production growth during 2009. Until those analysts begin including their gold price forecasts alongside their outlook for miners, however, I find it best to tune them out entirely. It is indeed unfortunate that declining production from mines like Goldcorp's El Sauzal will offset many of the gains from the newer ones this year, but I continue to urge Fools to focus upon the larger picture.
The newly issued forecast for 50% production growth through 2013 is only about 5% below what analysts had targeted, and the starting point of 2.3 million ounces of gold produced in 2008 is nothing to sneeze at. Goldcorp continues to post impressive cost metrics, with anticipated 2008 costs of about $300 per ounce of gold and about $365 for 2009. I have heaped praise upon intermediate miners like Yamana Gold
After divesting its sizeable stake in spin-off Silver Wheaton
Bring on the downgrades, analysts! In the long run, I believe they can only help Fools by creating more attractive entry points. After shares promptly doubled from their October low, we frankly needed a little consolidation.
Further freshly mined Foolishness:
Gold is a hot topic on the blogs at Motley Fool CAPS. Join the free service today and see just how many Fools are taking the long view when it comes to investing in gold. The "Gold" tag at Motley Fool CAPS lists 32 companies, and you'll find Christopher's comments on most of them.
Fool contributor Christopher Barker thinks you can guess which of the James Bond movies he prefers. He can be found blogging actively and acting Foolishly within the CAPS community under the username TMFSinchiruna. He owns shares of Agnico-Eagle Mines, Silver Wheaton, Rubicon Minerals, and Yamana Gold. The Motley Fool has a gilded disclosure policy.
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