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Netflix Can Afford to Say No

By Rick Munarriz – Updated Apr 6, 2017 at 12:35AM

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The buyout fodder is silly.

Like a good friend whom everyone is trying to fix up, matchmakers are whispering around Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX) again.

The Barron's Tech Trader blog column is crediting TheFlyOnTheWall.com for a rumor this morning, indicating that Netflix is a hot buyout candidate.

But the news doesn't make any sense. The chatter seemed plausible a couple of years ago, when Netflix was threatened by a hungry, price-slashing Blockbuster (NYSE:BBI) and fears of irrelevance in a digitally delivered future.

Since then, Netflix has emerged victorious on both fronts. Blockbuster's cash crunch forced it to back away from cutthroat subscriptions. Netflix's streaming service, available at no additional costs for members on unlimited DVD plans, is a hit.

Things are going so well with Netflix that it was one of the few consumer-facing stocks to close 2008 higher than when it started. With 10.3 million members in its latest quarter, Netflix is growing its user base at a time when other premium entertainment providers, including Sirius XM Radio (NASDAQ:SIRI) and DISH Network (NASDAQ:DISH), are shedding subscribers.

In short, Netflix is no longer desperate. It's also no longer cheap, and it's left with little reason to cash out as its coffers and rolls continue to grow.

And who would buy Netflix, anyway? Amazon.com (NASDAQ:AMZN) and Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) are the two obvious sugar daddies, but neither one makes sense at this point.

Amazon is booting affiliates from North Carolina, Rhode Island, and Hawaii because it doesn't want to have a presence in states that would force it to collect sales tax. How silly would Amazon be, then, to tack on Netflix's network of dozens of distribution centers?

Microsoft is still licking its wounds after chasing an out-of-favor Yahoo! (NASDAQ:YHOO) last year. Even if Netflix CEO Reed Hastings sits on Microsoft's board, it doesn't make sense for Mr. Softy to pursue a company that is organically popular. Netflix investors would demand a hefty premium. Oh, and let's not forget that regulators are critical of anything that the folks in Redmond want to ingest.

So let this rumor die a respectful death. It no longer makes dollars or sense.

Other Netflix-ish headlines:

Amazon.com and Netflix are Motley Fool Stock Advisor selections. Microsoft is a Motley Fool Inside Value recommendation. Try any of our Foolish newsletter services free for 30 days.

Longtime Fool contributor Rick Munarriz has been a Netflix shareholder -- and subscriber -- since 2002. He owns no shares in any other companies in this story and is also part of the Rule Breakers newsletter research team, seeking out tomorrow's ultimate growth stocks a day early. The Fool has a disclosure policy.

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Stocks Mentioned

Netflix, Inc. Stock Quote
Netflix, Inc.
NFLX
$224.07 (-1.03%) $-2.34
Sirius XM Holdings Inc. Stock Quote
Sirius XM Holdings Inc.
SIRI
$5.81 (0.00%) $0.00
Microsoft Corporation Stock Quote
Microsoft Corporation
MSFT
$237.45 (-0.20%) $0.47
Amazon.com, Inc. Stock Quote
Amazon.com, Inc.
AMZN
$115.15 (1.20%) $1.37
DISH Network Corporation Stock Quote
DISH Network Corporation
DISH
$14.27 (-6.12%) $0.93

*Average returns of all recommendations since inception. Cost basis and return based on previous market day close.

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