Stupidity is contagious. It gets us all from time to time. Even respectable companies can catch it. As I do every week, let's take a look at five dumb financial events this week that may make your head spin.
1. If only Sam Walton was here
Talk about being a contrarian retailer. Wal-Mart
The world's largest retailer stunned investors by posting a 1.6% decline in stateside comps during the holiday quarter, not including fuel purchases. An optimist may see this as an encouraging sign. Maybe shoppers are trading up to pricier department stores. Maybe the online migration continues.
Then again, Wal-Mart has become a catchall discounter. Shoppers can't buy groceries at a mall-based department store. It's hard to picture Wal-Mart slipping without its smaller retailing peers following suit.
2. Passing the buck
They're pulling up white flags at Coinstar's
Redbox follows Netflix
What a stupid move on Redbox's part. Netflix conceded because it was able to secure more titles for its streaming catalog. Netflix also claims that new releases account for roughly a third of its rentals, so it's not a colossal inconvenience.
None of this applies to Coinstar's kiosks. Redbox doesn't have an online streaming product. Redbox also thrives on the newness of fresh flicks. Movies like next month's release of The Blind Side will be available on video on demand and through full-priced rentals for four weeks before being stocked at Redbox.
Enjoy your second class citizenry, Redbox.
3. Retention: Plan B
Google
Bright minds get away from every company. You can't dock Google just because it has to pay up to win innovative hires back into its fold. The rub here is that Big G repriced its employee stock options a little over a year ago, when 85% of the options were underwater. Dramatically lowering the strike price -- in exchange for extending the vesting schedule -- was supposed to help with employee retention. Shareholders were the ones hit with the dilution.
How's that working out for you, Google?
4. Stupid analyst tricks
Shares of priceline.com
You won't find anything to complain about regarding priceline's performance. This "dumb" call goes out to the analysts following the dot-com darling. After all, priceline has now topped Wall Street expectations in each of the past 15 quarters.
We're not talking about narrowly besting the experts. Priceline is landing well ahead of the pros. Let's look at last year's quarterly performances.
Quarter |
EPS Estimate |
Actual |
Surprise |
---|---|---|---|
Q1 2009 |
$0.91 |
$1.09 |
20% |
Q2 2009 |
$1.78 |
$2.02 |
14% |
Q3 2009 |
$2.92 |
$3.45 |
18% |
Q4 2009 |
$1.68 |
$1.99 |
18% |
Source: Yahoo! Finance.
Are you kidding me? Analyst guesstimates haven't even come within a dime of the actual per share profits. One would think that analysts would wake up, doubt their convictions, and inch forecasts higher until they finally get it right.
I love companies that blast through Mr. Market's expectations, but behind every perpetual winner is a head-scratching pool of loser analysts.
5. Buzz kill
AT&T
Uh, AT&T. You know that Apple
This is so wrong.
Which of these five moves do you think is the dumbest? Share your thoughts in the comment box below.