Legendary rocker David Bowie's song Changes is my investing mantra. Actually, it's more of a siren that blares in my head, as a reminder to stay on top of growth companies. If a market changes, a great growth story could quickly become a one-hit wonder.
Revenues came in 1% light, and new customers are bypassing the flagship three-at-a-time plan versus a one-at-a-time plan in the face of continued economic pressures. My biggest concern is that subscriber acquisition costs leaped 13% quarter over quarter. It's great that Netflix beat earnings estimates, but if it cost it this much extra to do it, I'm not pleased. I don't want it to have to fight harder to get new customers.
The struggle exists because Coinstar's
The takeaway here is that the home-viewing market is transitioning, and Netflix must also. Streaming video still has a ways to go before it becomes ubiquitous and convenient, which should shift things to Netflix's favor given its technological capabilities. Until then, however, competition is increasing as well as expenses. Even though analysts are projecting 40% earnings growth this year and 35% the following year, with Netflix trading right at 40 times earnings, it gives me pause.
I have considered buying Netflix stock, but I'm holding off giving it any of my Modern Love until the next chapter in the home-viewing saga provides some indication about the future.
Matthew Brown loves David Bowie but none of the stocks mentioned in this article. He owns none of them but does own several Bowie albums. Wal-Mart Stores is a Motley Fool Inside Value selection. Netflix is a Motley Fool Stock Advisor recommendation. Try any of our Foolish newsletters today, free for 30 days. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.