Although we don't believe in timing the market or panicking over market movements, we do like to keep an eye on big changes -- just in case they're material to our investing thesis.
What: Shares of sporty apparel maker Under Armour
So what: Or at least that's what the headlines are saying. The reality is much different. For the second straight quarter, Under Armour blew past analyst estimates in reporting financial results. The retailer earned $0.23 on $312.7 million in Q1 revenue, which was up 36% year over year. Wall Street had been calling for $0.19 on $293.83 million in revenue, according to Yahoo! Finance data.
Now what: Traders and investors alike looked past that performance and management's higher guidance and focused instead on inventory, which rose 68% and ate into cash flow.
Having been bearish on the stock myself, I can understand investors' nervousness. And yet Under Armour has worked through inventory spikes in the past and come out fine. Should we really believe this time is different? Or is management simply stocking enough supply to meet sharply rising demand? My vote is on the latter.
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