T-minus two weeks and counting -- it looks to Wall Street like the AIG
Now, if you read my column on the mechanics of this "re-IPO" back in January, you might have thought this was obvious. After all, everyone wanted this deal to happen. AIG wanted to follow in the footsteps of General Motors
As recently as January, AIG shares were selling for $60 or more apiece. Today, shareholders are lucky to get just half that. And therein lies the problem. According to The Wall Street Journal, Treasury needs to liquidate its AIG stake at an average share price of $28.70 in order to break even on its 2008 "investment" in the company. If AIG stock continued to fall, Treasury mused, and it was unable to at least break even, it was planning to shelve the IPO and wait for more "irrationally exuberant" days to exit its stake.
Now, it seems the IPO is a go again.
Maybe not "A-OK," but good enough
AIG shares sell today for a piddling 0.65 time book value, a steep discount to the share prices at insurers Prudential
But while AIG seems cheap relative to its peers, at $30 and change, the shares seem to have bounced off a floor somewhere around $30. At this price, Treasury has a chance to proceed with its plan to sell 200 million shares later this month, and at least not immediately torpedo its chance of breaking even on the entire AIG stake. (As happened with GM.) Heck, taxpayers might even make a profit. (As happened with Citigroup.)
Come to think of it, at 0.65 time book ... maybe investors will get a chance to profit from the AIG IPO, too.
How will the AIG IPO play out? Add the stock to your watchlist and follow along.
Fool contributor Rich Smith does not currently own shares of, nor is he short, any company named above. The Fool has a disclosure policy. Berkshire Hathaway and General Motors are Motley Fool Inside Value choices. Aflac and Berkshire Hathaway are Motley Fool Stock Advisor selections. The Fool owns shares of Aflac and Berkshire Hathaway. Fools may not all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.